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3* Colorado / Arizona Under 9
3* Kansas City
Totals 4 U
Top Plays (Parlay)
Minn OVER 8
Cubs UNDER 8
Tex OVER 7.5
Reg Plays
Pitt OVER 9.5
Tor UNDER 8.5
NYM UNDER 8
Ariz UNDER 9
ROCKETMAN
5* Houston Astros -110
3* St Louis Cardinals -105
Teddy Covers
Giants / Cubs Under
KELSO
25 Units LA Angels -110
10 Units Oakland A's -165
5 Units Philadelphia Phillies -150
5 Units Baltimore Orioles +155
5 Unit PARLAY Baltimore Orioles & Philadelphia Phillies
SCOTT RICKENBACH
OVER EASY - Toronto Blue Jays Over
DAYTIME DOMINATOR - Oakland A's
KYLE HUNTER
3* Houston Astros
NELLY
San Diego
ATS LOCK CLUB
4 Units NY Yankees -135
3 Units Texas Rangers +100
Brandon Lang
20 Dime San Francisco Giants -110
Steam On-Line Guaranteed Selections
INSIDE LATE STEAM MLB INFO WINNER
Toronto w/Drabek -169
Jennifer Barry
25* SF Giants
Craig Davis
20 Dime Tigers -1.5
20 Dime Rockies -1.5
20 Dime Brewers
Chuck O'Brien
75 Dime GOY SD Padres
Jeff Benton
10 DIME Astros
10 DIME Reds
10 DIME Padres-Dodgers Under
ASTROS
Two words: Wandy Rodriguez
Two more words: Jason Marquis.
That’s the pitching matchup in this contest. There’s not much more that needs to be said here. Rodriguez has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball over the past three months, going 8-1 with a 1.93 ERA in his last 16 starts. Rodriguez has pitched at least six innings in each of those 16 games, giving up three earned runs or fewer in 15 of them. Breaking it down further, Rodriguez has given up one or zero earned runs 11 times over this 16-start stretch.
Simply put, Rodriguez has been an absolute beast for the Astros since the end of June. At the same time, Marquis has been absolute mess for the Nationals. He’s lost nine of his 11 starts, giving up 40 earned runs, 62 hits and 22 walks in 46 2/3 innings. Those numbers equate to a 7.71 ERA and a 1.80 WHIP, and oppasing hitters are reaching base at a 41 percent clip against Marquis.
Even worse, Marquis is 0-5 with an 8.86 ERA in five home games. And in his last five starts against the Astros since the start of the 2008 season, Marquis has allowed 23 earned runs in 27 1/3 innings (7.57 ERA). That includes three losses in his last three starts against Houston. At the same time, the Astros are 6-1 in Rodriguez’s seven career starts against the Nationals.
If the pitching mismatch isn’t enough to play Houston, this should be: The Astros are on a 20-9 overall run, and even though they turned a 3-1 eighth-inning lead into an 8-4 loss last night – giving up seven runs in the eighth – Houston is 8-1 in its last nine games following a defeat. Conversely, the Nationals are in slumps of 3-10 overall, 1-6 at home and 18-39 after a victory.
REDS
Damn right I’m backing the Reds again tonight. And even though I admittedly think more of tonight’s starter for Milwaukee (Randy Wolf) than I did of last night’s (Dave Bush), I also trust Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto (12-5, 3.35 ERA) much more than I do Edinson Volquez, who dominated the Brewers on Tuesday.
Starting pitchers aside, the main reason for this play is the fact the Reds have completely owned the Brewers, winning 13 of the last 14 meetings dating to July 2009, including seven in a row this season. Cumulative score in those seven games: Cincinnati 50, Milwaukee 20. The Reds’ 13-1 run against the Brewers includes seven wins in eight games at Miller Park.
More incredible ongoing trends for the Reds: 46-22 as a favorite, 8-1 as a road favorite, 38-18 against N.L. Central rivals, 10-4 against left-handed starters, 75-29 versus teams with a losing record and 40-14 on the road against losing teams. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 17 of their last 27 overall.
Back to Cueto: In his last five starts, he’s allowed just eight earined runs in 33 innings (2.18 ERA). And his seven career starts against the Reds have all been quality outings, with the right-hander allowing a total of 14 earned runs in 45 1/3 innings (2.78 ERA).
Padres-Dodgers Under
Here are the final scores of the last five Padres-Dodgers contests (all won by San Diego, by the way): 5-0, 4-2, 2-1, 4-0, 6-0. Obviously, the under cashed in all five games. Going back to last September, these divisional foes have faced of 19 times, and 15 of those games have stayed under the total, and 16 of those 19 have featured seven runs or less.
The Dodgers have scored two runs or less in more than half (33) of their 63 games since the All-Star break, and they come into this contest batting just .230 as a team over their last 10 games, including .212 against right-handed pitching (they face righty Tim Stauffer tonight). Meanwhile, San Diego has scored three runs or less in 15 of their last 26 games, and although the Padres pushed acrols six runs in last night’s 6-0 shutout victory, they haven’t scored more than four runs in back-to-back meetings with L.A. since last July.
Stauffer has a 1.99 ERA in 63 1/3 innings (four starts) with San Diego this season, including holding the Dodgers to one run on five hits in 5 2/3 innings. In his last three starts against L.A., Stauffer has surrendered just three earned runs in 16 2/3 innings. All three games stayed low, and in addition to that, San Diego has gone low in 10 of Stauffer’s last 11 starts overall, each of his last five starts on the road and each of his last eight starts against N.L. West teams,
Meanwhile, Dodgers lefty Ted Lilly is 3-1 with a 3.03 ERA in five starts at Dodger Stadium this year, giving up just 19 hits and six walks while striking out 30 in 32 2/3 innings and holding opponents to a .170 batting average. The last two times he’s faced San Diego, Lilly has given up total of one run (a solo homer), six hits and one walk in 13 innings (both games stayed under the total).