Bobby Maxwell
400 Units Tampa Bay Rays
100 Units Milwaukee Brewers
Fantasy Sports GametimeFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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100* Play Colorado (-180) over ArizonaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona has lost 30 of the last 43 games when playing in the month of September and they have also lost 39 of the last 60 games vs. division opponents. Rodrigo Lopez has lost 8 consecutive games after walking one or less batters in his last two outings and he is 0-3 vs. Colorado over his career with an ERA of 4.19.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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50* Play Texas (+105) over LA AngelsTHESPREAD.COM
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Texas pitcher, CJ Wilson has won 16 of the last 19 night games and he has won 3 consecutive road games when the total posted is between 7 and 7.5 runs. Los Angeles pitcher, Dan Haren has lost 22 of the last 31 games when the total posted is between +125 to -125 and he has also lost 8 of the last 11 games vs. division opponents.
David MalinskyFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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4* BALTIMORE over BOSTONFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Red Sox do not bring an advantage anywhere near the going market price for this matchup. With losses in this first two games of this series basically sealing their Wild Card hopes shut there is not going to be a lot of competitive fire coming to Fenway, and that makes this price impossible to pass up.
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We have been noting the John Lackey story through most of this season, and even after a small glimpse of life following the All Star break his bottom line is actually more ominous than the 12-11/4.63 can indicate. His Hits per 9 and W’s per 9 are both at career highs, while his K’s per 9 are at the lowest since his rookie season. This is the third straight season that there has been a rise in his ERA, and we believe there are two issues at play – first that seven straight seasons of at least 163.1 innings can take a toll on anyone, and second the fact that this time around he was not working in those pitcher-friendly A.L. West Coast ballparks. The three previous seasons he worked to a 19-12/3.77 from his home mound in Anaheim, a 4-2/2.36 in Oakland, and a 4-0/1.24 at Seattle. This year his Fenway allowance (4.71) has been nearly a full run higher than Angels Stadium, and he only had two outings from those West Coast mounds, allowing two earned runs over 15.1 innings vs. the Angels and Mariners. So the bottom line is that he is falling off a bit due to age and workload, while at the same time was not quite as good as he appeared to be anyway.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Orioles are now 29-17 under Buck Showalter, and the kind of fun that winning brings will have them going hard to the season’s final inning. The same can be said for Kevin Millwood, a veteran that competes hard that is stuck with the embarrassment of the 3-15/5.14 next to his name in the pitching forms. As we have noted several times down the stretch, Millwood shows absolutely no signs of mailing it in, and over his last eight starts it has been a 3.02 allowance, something missed by the markets because he still only managed a 1-4 personal line through those games (in half of those starts the Orioles produced two runs or less behind him). Millwood battled hard against the Yankees in his last outing, not getting a decision despite only allowing one run on five hits over seven innings, and the bottom line is that his stuff may be even better than Lackey’s right now.
Matt FargoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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9* Seattle / Toronto Over 8.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Last night Seattle and Toronto scored seven runs through five innings but finished the game ‘Under’ the number by a half-run. That makes it three straight games for Toronto that have stayed ‘Under’ the total and that has been a rarity for the Blue Jays as the bats have quieted down. They catch a good number here for the second straight night as getting anything less than nine is great value in my opinion especially when we aren’t dealing with an elite pitcher on either side. Seattle has been a solid ‘Under’ bet all season long as the Mariners are 80-59-11 to the ‘Under’ on the year but most of those low scoring games have been at pitcher friendly Safeco Field. They are 49-25-3 to the ‘Under’ at home while going 34-31-8 to the ‘Over’ on the road and that is a massive discrepancy. Pitching has been the difference as Seattle is allowing 3.6 rpg while the opposition is hitting .235 in its home games but on the road those averages jump to 5.0 rpg and .274 respectively. Kyle Drabek has the potential to be an elite pitcher someday as he is a top prospect in the Toronto organization. He was dealt from the Phillies in the Roy Halladay deal and in his Major League debut, he showed signs of hat could come. He tossed a quality outing against the Orioles but it was not flawless as he did allow nine hits while walking three so his WHIP is at 2.00. This is his home debut and while some expect him to settle down, I think we will see a similar effort and that is all we will likely need. David Pauley counters for the Mariners and he has been very inconsistent this season. Only three of his 12 starts have been quality outings and two of those have come in his last two starts and that makes this the perfect time to go against that. Two of his best starts this season came against Boston, including his last game, and that was his former team so there was some extra motivation in place. His other two follow up starts after facing his former team were poor performances as he allowed eight runs in 8.2 innings. Seattle is 14-5 to the ‘Over’’ in its 19 road games this season against teams with an on-base percentage of .320 or worse. The ‘Over’ is 10-3-1 in the Blue Jays last 14 games against right-handed starters and they are 18-9 to the ‘Over’ at home in the second half of the season. This is a good spot against Pauley as well as Toronto is 20-7-1 to the ‘Over’ in its last 28 games against starters with a WHIP of 1.30 or worse.
Paul LeinerFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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100* Mets +110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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50* Balt/Bos Over 9.5FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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25* Astros -110FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Bob BalfeFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Colorado Rockies -170FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rockies are three games back of the wild card and will need to win these two remaining games before playing tough competition down the stretch. Roy Halladay won his 20th game last night and Jimenez will be looking to do the same tonight against a pretty bad baseball team. The Rockies need every win they can get and should do so against weaker competition behind the better pitcher. Take Colorado.
The Duke's SportsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston (-110) for 2.5 UnitsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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We'll jump back on the Astros here despite that disastrous 8th inning collapse. Yesterday's Houston starter - Happ mowed down the Nationals for 6 innings allowing just 3 hits and no runs. Tonight, another quality southpaw Wandy Rodriguez who is in good form, should be equally effective. Rodriguez has 20 strike outs over his last 13 innings of work and he's been rock solid in his last 4 road appearances. Tonight, he faces a Nationals' lineup that this month is batting a meager .160 vs lefties. We'll look for him to go deeper into this game and then for Brad Mills to use the struggling Astros' bullpen more effectively. We'll also look for the Houston lineup to get the best of Jason Marquis. Marquis, who is 2-9 in team starts over his last 11, couldn't get out of the 1st inning at Philadelphia last Friday giving up 6 ER. Houston should jump on him early here. Houston has exhibited resiliency going 8-1 off losses; moreover, they're 16-5 on Wednesdays, 7-1 on Wednesday with Rodriguez and 12-4 in game 3 of a series with Rodriguez. The Astros are also 6-1 with Rodriguez against Washington. Houston the call.
O.C. DooleyFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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2 Units Brewers -105FOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Cincinnati has humiliated their divisional opponent this season posting a sensational “9-1” mark against Milwaukee where the offense has averaged approaching 7 runs per game. But the fact of the matter is that the first-place Reds this evening are facing Milwaukee’s hottest starting pitcher in Randy Wolf (5-2, 2.66 ERA past 10 outings) an the veteran has always had plenty of success against Cincinnati with a dazzling “9-2” career mark, Even though the Reds came out on top once again on the scoreboard last night, they played WITHOUT league MVP candidate Joey Votto who has a serious sinus infection. Votto’s replacement Jim Edomonds also had to exit last night’s affair due to injury. The “intangible” surrounds the fact that Milwaukee held a PLAYERS ONLY MEETING to clear the air and tonight the offense goes up against Johnny Cueto who has NOT had a winning decision is more than 3 weeks. Even though things are going bad in Milwaukee there are some positives regarding the offense including Rickie Weeks who has just become the 4th player in Brewers history to cross the plate 100 times from the leadoff slot. Slugger Ryan Braun is only 7 runs batted in from reaching the 100 RBI plateau. Only TWO Brewers in team history have reached that lofty mark in 3 consecutive campaigns. Another Milwaukee slugger Prince Fielder just happens to lead the entire National League with 101 walks. As mentioned earlier Randy Wolf has been Milwaukee’s hottest hurler and he is a positive 21-11 long term against winning opponents
Lenny Del Genio FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Florida -120FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Have we ever mentioned how much we love to play on the Marlins against a lefty starter? The Fish enter tonight's game with the Metropolitans a phenomenal 30-14 vs. southpaws in 2010, which is the best such mark in the National League. On August 25th-26th, we played this matchup accordingly and came away with a pair of wins on Florida. One of those games (8/25) saw tonight's starter Alex Sanabia throw 6 1/3 strong innings, allowing only two earned runs, in a 5-4 win over lefty Misch. He's allowed just two runs in 12+ IP over his last two outings and boasts a WHIP of 1.153 L3 starts. A solid finish to the season should give Sanabia a spot in the club's 2011 rotation. On August 26th, we played on Florida against tonight's starter Jon Niese and won that game too, 11-4, as Niese was shelled for seven runs in five innings of work. At the time, it was the Marlins NINTH straight win vs. a lefty starter. Since that time, they've gone just 3-2, but note both losses came against first place Philadelphia. The Mets have lost four straight games overall and are 1-7 this season in Miami. Florida is our 15* Division Game of the Week
Nick "BookieKiller" ParsonsFOR FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Toronto -155
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For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:
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David Pauley gets the nod for the visitors; Pauley hasn't won a game since early August; he's 2-8 on the year with a 4.14 ERA and has been a victim of poor run support all year.
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Keep in mind, Seattle is just 2-9 its last 11 overall; 0-5 its last 5 on the road.
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In the other dugout: Kyle Drabek heads to the hill for the home side; Drabek is moved up in the rotation and gets a chance for a big win tonight with a hot hitting team behing him; he's 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA for the Jays.
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This however is a spot that Toronto has excelled in all year long; 4-54 (+13.9 units) vs. right handed starters; also 5-1 its last six vs. Seattle.
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Bottom line: Drabek was actually sharp in his first start but was outduelled in Baltimore in the 3-1 loss on Sept. 15th.
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Jose Bautista is still looking for home run #50; I expect a similar outcome as we saw yesterday as Toronto continues its league leading home run streak;
Street Rosenthal
*200 Boston Red Sox -163