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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays Monday 7/20/09

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(@blade)
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Savannah Sports

4* Milwakee -105
3* Texas -109

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:12 pm
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JACK JONES

15* Minnesota Twins -120

I'm backing the Twins and Nick Blackburn tonight at Oakland. Blackburn has been sharp all season, earning an 8-4 record with a 3.06 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Over his last 3 starts, Blackburn has allowed a total of 7 earned runs in 22 innings pitched, giving him an ERA of 2.86 over that stretch. The A's will counter with Gio Gonzalez, who has just 3 starts on the season and who has not earned a win pitching in Oakland in two starts there. So far he is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 2.42 WHIP. I also like that the Twins have been hot offensively, averaging 6 runs per game over their last 7 games, helping them to win 3 of their last 4 overall.

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:31 pm
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Sam Clayton

25 dime - Braves

While I am typically not a big believer in laying larger chalks, tonight is a rare exception. In fact, this line is actually valued as it should be around -200 in favor of the Tomahawks. Here's why: the public has fallen for little ol' lefty Jonathan Sanchez, yes, the same guy that no-hit the lowly Padres last week. The same old Jonathan Sanchez that is a career 16-26, 5.07 pitcher. And tonight he's pitching on the opposite side of the country, out of his element on the road, where he's a horrendous 0-7 with a 6.27 ERA this season. It gets worse for the G-Men though as they draw Tommy Hanson (4-0, 2.85), who has been sensational since his June 7 call-up. Hanson has flourished in the Braves rotation and has an added edge at Turner Field, where his WHIP drops all the way down to 1.15, his strikeouts rise and his opponents' batting average plummets. Also, for some reason that can't quite be explained, the Braves actually score when Hanson toes the rubber as Atlanta's offense has plated 37 runs in his 7 starts this season. Sanchez is extremely overhyped in this spot and with the way the Atlanta bats broke out last night, I find great value in laying this chalk. Play the Braves as Monday's top play winner.

15 dime - White Sox

Just as I called in the last starts for John Danks and Mark Buehrle, Gavin Floyd is aiming for his own personal bounce back start tonight against the Rays. Sure, Floyd earned the 'W' in Minnesota last Saturday, but it came in ugly fashion. The right-hander was tagged for five runs on eight hits over seven plus innings of work. He wasn't comfortable on the mound and he sure as hell wasn't able to locate his curveball, which set the stage for a couple rough innings. Tonight though, Floyd returns home where he's enjoyed great success the last two years. No. 34 is 13-5 with a 3.23 marker since Opening Day 2008 at Comiskey and he has the luxury of facing another awful road pitcher in David Price. The former Vanderbilt standout is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA in four road starts this season. Trust me folks, the White Sox are dangerous in bounce back games and after yesterday's 10-2 shellacking, I'm banking on a great start from Floyd and a series-opening win for the South Siders.

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:35 pm
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Tony Salinas

24* La Angels {S.OSullivan} (-130)
25*Rockies {J.De La Rosa} (-145)

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:36 pm
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Charlie

Milwaukee @ Atlanta Under 9 ( 500* )
Washington -130 (30*)
Twins -130 (20*)
Reds +155 (20*)
White Sox +110 (10*)
Colorado -140 (10*) free play

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:37 pm
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Tony Bruno Wins

20X Phillies

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:46 pm
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JACK JONES

15* Minnesota Twins -120

I'm backing the Twins and Nick Blackburn tonight at Oakland. Blackburn has been sharp all season, earning an 8-4 record with a 3.06 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Over his last 3 starts, Blackburn has allowed a total of 7 earned runs in 22 innings pitched, giving him an ERA of 2.86 over that stretch. The A's will counter with Gio Gonzalez, who has just 3 starts on the season and who has not earned a win pitching in Oakland in two starts there. So far he is 0-2 with a 7.27 ERA and 2.42 WHIP. I also like that the Twins have been hot offensively, averaging 6 runs per game over their last 7 games, helping them to win 3 of their last 4 overall.

20* No Doubt Rout on LA Angels -120

The Angels are one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning 6 of their last 7 games overall, aided by a team batting average of .310 and a scoring average of over 7 runs per game on this current stretch. As a basis of comparison, the Royals are 1-6 over their last 7 games, averaging 4.1 runs per game and hitting just .253 as a team. You can clearly see these are two teams heading in different directions. Sidney Ponson hasn't pitched for the Royals since May, but don't expect him to wow you in his return appearance. Ponson was just 1-4 with a 5.92 ERA in 6 starts before hitting the disabled list. The Angels send Sean O'Sullivan to the mound, and even though he only has 4 starts this season, I have much more confidence in him than I do in Ponson. O'Sullivan is 2-0 on the season with a 3.80 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, including a 2.08 ERA and 1.08 WHIP on the road. As a matter of fact, the Angels are 4-0 in his four appearances this year. Obviously that can't keep up forever, but the Angels are playing great ball right now and they should provide him with more than enough support.

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 1:57 pm
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STU FEINER

METS @ NATIONALS 7:05 ET
HERNANDEZ AND THE METS HAVE STUGGLED ALL YEAR, BUT TODAY THEY WILL BEAT WASHINGTON. LIVAN OWNS THE NATIONALS. 10-5 LIFETIME AND 2-0 THIS YEAR. HE DESPERATELY NEEDS A WIN AND WILL GET IT HERE. MARTIN HAS JUST BEEN CALLED UP AND WILL LOSE HIS FIRST MAJOR LEAGUE START.
METS + 120 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

CARDS @ ASTROS
MOEHLER OWNS ST LOUIS. 4-0 LIFETIME AGAINST THE CARDS. HIS TEAM HAS WON 9 OF HIS 15 STARTS. IN HIS LAST 18 INNINGS HE IS 2-1 WITH AN ERA OF 2.00. LOHSE IS ONLY 4-5 THIS YEAR AND HIS TEAM IS 4-7 IN HIS 11 STARTS. HE IS ALSO 0-2 ON THE ROAD THIS YEAR AND WILL LOSE TONIGHT.
ASTROS - 107 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

RAYS @ WHITE SOX
FLOYD IS HAVING A SOLID YEAR. 7-6 ON THE YEAR AND HIS TEAM HAS WON 10 OF HIS 17 STAR TS. HE HAS ALREADY BEATEN TAMPA THIS YEAR. IN HIS LAST 19 INNINGS HE IS 2-1 WITH AN ERA OF 2.84. PRICE IS 0-2 ON THE ROAD AND IN HIS LAST 13 INNINGS HE HAS GIVEN UP 8 EARNED RUNS WITH AN ERA OF 5.54. HE WILL GET BEAT TONIGHT.
WHITE SOX PK FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 2:24 pm
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Fantasy Sports Gametime

100* Play Pittsburgh (-110) over Milwaukee (TOP MLB PLAY)

Milwaukee has lost 10 of the last 15 games and Mike Burns is 0-1 in road games this season with an ERA of 13.49. Ross Ohlendorf has won 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is between -125 to +125 and he has also won 6 of the last 8 home games when the total is between 8.5 and 10 runs.

100* Play Washington (-120) over NY Mets (TOP MLB PARLAY)

Washington has lost 14 of the last 20 games and they have also lost 14 of the last 20 road games this season when the total posted is between 9 and 9.5 runs. Livan Hernandez has lost 8 of the last 11 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 11.57.

50* Play Philadelphia (-110) over Chicago Cubs (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Philadelphia has won 12 of the last 13 games and they have also won 5 of the last 6 games when playing on a Monday. Rodrigo Lopez ahs won 9 of the last 10 home games and he is also 1-0 this season with an ERA of 3.18. Chicago has lost 15 of the last 17 games as an underdog of +100 or higher and they have also lost 12 of the last 17 games after having won 5 or 6 of the last 7 games.

50* Play Texas (+100) over Boston (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Texas has won 11 of the last 15 games as a home underdog of +100 or higher and they have also won 10 of the last 13 games when their bullpen has an ERA of 2.00 over the last 5 games. Kevin Millwood has won 7 of the last 8 games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher and he is also 6-1 in home games this season with an ERA of 2.49.

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 2:25 pm
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Kelso Sturgeon

Minnesota Twins ML
LA Angels ML

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 2:30 pm
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Kelso Sturgeon

Minnesota Twins ML
LA Angels ML

Anyone have DenverMoneyPicks?

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 3:02 pm
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Street Rosenthal

200* Colorado ( Free )
300* Oakland
300* Texas

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 3:34 pm
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KBHoops

5* Cubs +104 **POD**
5* Pittsburgh -105
5* NY Mets +117
5* Texas -108
5* Minnesota -120

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 3:57 pm
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WINSPORTSNOW

Over 9.5 Cubs
Braves-170
Marlins moneyline
Reds+140
Under 10.5 Yankees
Redsox+105
Whitesox+100
A's+115

WINSPORTSNOW

Parlay Report
Over 9.5 Cubs
Redsox+105
Whitesox+100

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 4:02 pm
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Street Rosenthal

200* Colorado ( Free )
300* Oakland
300* Texas

Any New Reader
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A Special Thank You !!!!!
Chance

Write Up on the Rockies
_____________________
The Rockies looked prime to get another win tonight, and Street has the Trends that say they will. First we have the Rockies starter De La Rosa as 12-0 SU as favorite and his team had more than 6 strike outs in their previous game. Plus, I have the Diamondbacks as 3-17 SU since 2008 as a dog after a loss in which they had 6 or fewer hits. Street says take the Rockies for the Win.

 
Posted : July 20, 2009 4:07 pm
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