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Free Picks: Premium Service Plays Tuesday 7/21/09

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Posts: 318493
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Teddy Covers

20* Big Ticket Cardinals/Astros Under

Rays

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:25 pm
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Street Rosenthal

300* Milwaukee
200* Phils

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:36 pm
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Posts: 1857
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Chris James Sports

2* Milwaukee Brewers -131

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:36 pm
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Posts: 1857
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Street Rosenthal

300* Milwaukee
200* Phils

This Play to
Great Work Chance !!!

*200 Chicago White Sox +111
The White Sox are looking to take another game from the Rays tonight and I have the trends that say they will. First, we have White Sox are 19-11 SU since 2004 as a dog after a one run win and it is not the first game of a series. I also have the Rays are 26-68 SU since 2004 season when they won the last two games their starter started. Take the White Sox for the win.

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:41 pm
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STU FEINER

BREWERS @ PIRATES
ALTHOUGH HIS ERA IS HIGH LOOPER IS HAVING A SOLID SEASON. 8-4 THIS YEAR AND HIS TEAM HAS WON 12 OF HIS 19 STARTS. HE IS ALSO WON HIS LAST 2 DECISIONS. VAZQUEZ HAS BEEN GETTING SHELLED ALL YEAR. IN HIS LAST 13 INNINGS HE IS 0-3 WITH AN ERA OF 8.31. ALL BREWERS TONIGHT.
BREWERS -125 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

RAYS @ WHITE SOX
ALTHOUGH NIEMANN IS 0-2 LIFETIME AGAINST CHICAGO, HE WILL GET THE WIN TONIGHT. HE IS 8-4 ON THE YEAR AND HIS TEAM IS 12-4 IN HIS 16 STARTS. HE IS ALSO 5-2 ON THE ROAD AND IN HIS LAST 20 INNINGS HE IS 2-0 WITH AN ERA OF 1.35. RICHARD IS 1-2 WITH AN ERA 12.60 IN HIS LAST 10 INNINGS AND WILL GET SHELLED TONIGHT. ALL RAYS TONIGHT.
RAYS -120 FOR A 1000 DIME SELECTION

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:42 pm
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Scott Delaney

10-DIME ANGELS (WITH O'Sullivan and Chen)
Alright, it’s a re-write from last night’s Pay-After release that was rained out, as I am backing this kid Sean O'Sullivan, who has lived up to his hype and has rapidly opened eyes after his first four Major League starts. As I stated last night, this kid has done a great job in keeping his team in ball games against some very tough lineups, including Colorado and Texas. He’s displayed durability, he’s shown toughness and he’s provided resourcefulness for the American League West-leading Angels.

Sullivan has recorded 15 strikeouts against a mere six walks over 23-2/3 innings. He had his roughest start in his most recent appearance, on July 4, at home versus the Orioles, as the brawny right-hander was tagged for four earned runs on nine hits in 5-2/3 innings. He took a no-decision out of that one, and the Angels are a perfect 4-0 in his starts.

On the other hand, we’re going against Bruce Chen, whose numbers don't look so great, despite giving the Royals a chance to win in his first two starts, pitching at least six innings in both of them. It’s his last two starts that are suspect, as he lasted 4-2/3 innings and gave up seven runs against Detroit on July 7, and then surrendered three runs in three innings of his last start on July 12 against Boston. He’s 0-4 with a 6.86 ERA overall, and against a superior lineup, he’ll struggle.

After a hard-fought 1-0 win in Oakland on Sunday, the Angels have won nine of 12, so I believe they’ll most certainly be able to manhandle a Royals team that has now lost eight of nine.

5-DIME ASTROS (WITH Rodriguez) - I wasn’t necessarily a believer of Wandy Rodriguez until his last outing, in which he threw six scoreless innings against the Major League-leading Dodgers last Thursday. He extended his scoreless innings streak to 17 over three starts. He has a 0.41 ERA in his last three starts, allowing one earned run in 22 innings, and in his only appearance against the Cardinals this season he produced a quality start in giving up five hits and three runs in six innings.

And that was at Busch Stadium on April 12. This one is at home, where the southpaw is 1-0 in his last three starts there, having given up five earned runs over 22 innings for a stellar 2.04 ERA. Expanding the look at Rodriguez to his last five starts overall, he’s 4-0 with a stifling 1.54 ERA, while he’s recorded 33 strikeouts in those outings.

He’ll most certainly out pitch Todd Wellemeyer, who has had difficulty on the highway, as evidenced by his 5.90 ERA with a suitcase in hand. Trouble is for him tonight is left-handed hitters are crushing Wellemeyer with a .345 batting average and .604 slugging percentage.

This might seem like a hefty price to lay, but the Astros are 29-18 since losing a season-high seven in a row near the end of May, and they’re just three games behind the Redbirds, who have now lost four in a row at Houston dating to last season. Take the home team here.

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:54 pm
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Trace Adams

1000* - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard, 500* - Toronto w/Cecil over Lee
The Rays threatened severely last night, loading the bases in the 9th before bowing 4-3 to snap their 3 game winning streak.Look for Tampa to take this middle game, as Jeff Niemann has simply been brilliant lately, going the route his last time out, in a 6-hit shutout. That moves his mark to 4-0 his last 7 starts.The Rays will tee off on Sox starter Clayton Richard who is on a 1-2 slide his last 3, with an ERA near 12.The White Sox pitching has looked shaky their last couple of games, and let's face facts, the Rays are a better team than the Sox.
No issue with laying a little road wood in this one.
1000♦ - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦

I said it before, but this Cleveland team should be ashamed of themselves. They have talent, but this is a heartless, gutless squad that continues to slump. The Indians lost the final 3 of their 4 game set at home with the Mariners, as they have now lost 13 of their last 18 overall.Toronto has a little momentum going, as they won their last pair of Boston to end the weekend.Brett Cecil will go against Cliff Lee, and while Lee may appear to be the logical choice, it is hard to get excited by his 5-9 mark this season.Cecil did work 6 innings of 1 earned run ball in the last series meeting against the Tribe back on May 5th in a no-decision.The Jays have won 3 of the 5 season series meetings this season, and they win again tonight.
500♦ - Toronto w/Cecil over Lee
♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 5:57 pm
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jefferson-sports Full Card

angels gm1 -128
tampa-120
yankees over 10.5
phillies-125

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 6:00 pm
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Matt Rivers

75,000* NL NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock

1. 75,000♦ Cubs

2. 50,000♦ Royals (Nightcap and maybe change of pitcher but stay with play as I think Chen will be in that game creating a nice takeback...Stay with second game no matter what)

1. I am not a moron and certainly understand how Rich Harden is not the consistent bona fide stud that he used to be but he does show flashes at times and when all is said and done is definitely still better than the not bad but very mediocre Joe Blanton.

The Cubbies had a rough first half partially due to injuries but with Aramis Ramirez back have looked better of late. Combine the third baseman's health along with Alfonso Soriano finally remembering how to hit a Homerun plus a semi baller in Derrek Lee and you have a Chicago club that is formidable and dangerous right now, just ask the Nationals about that.

No doubt the Phillies are the clear superior offense with total studs in Utley, Howard and Ibanez along with Rollins, Victorino and Werth. Charlie Manual's club is scary good when on and they have been just that over the past month or so. Things have been better of late at Citizens Bank for sure but this team still does not have as good of a mark at home as on the road and there may be a little something to that. There may not but there may.

The bottom line is that I just cannot pass up the Cubs flamethrower today plus some jack. Harden can be lights out if he brings that A game and I just see this as a total no-brainer.

2. Bruce Chen obviously frightens me and the Royals have been struggling ever since the solid first month to the season but Ervin Santana is far from the really good pitcher he used to be and at home to get this takeback with the at least capable enough boys from Kansas City is fine with me.

Anaheim is still a beat up club with both Guerrero and Hunter hurting and with the lack of pop right now I can see Mike Scioscia's club not perform up to expectations today. Chen is far from good but he has looked alright a few times in this, his 89th or so comeback, and up against what is a fairly punch and judy offense could make the former Brave/Met/well everything almost hold his own for six or seven innings.

The Royals have guys like DeJesus, Butler, Guillen, Teahen and a few others that do not equate to a good offense in 162 game season but there is a high enough upside to back them in this always quality home dog role.

If Santana all of a sudden looks like the hurler from last season then we are in some trouble but until that happens consistently I will gladly fade him in this spot. Yes he was better last time out in Oakland but the A's are an offense that can totally crap on themselves so I do not put all that much stock onto that eight inning one run performance.

 
Posted : July 21, 2009 6:02 pm
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