Yankee Capper
Philadelphia Phillies -155
San Diego Padres -140
The Spread
Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Boston is 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
Pick: NY Yankees
Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Detroit is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
Pick: Minnesota
Chicago Cubs at Colorado Rockies
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Colorado's last 10 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Colorado is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Pick: Chicago
Tony George
Texas Rangers vs. LAA Angels
Play: Texas Rangers
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I know all about LA's offense, but I like Scoot Feildman for Texas on the hill on the the road tonight, to hold LA in check. He is 6-1 on the road with a 3.32 ERA and in 51 road innings pitched, has only given up 43 hits, and that is the KEY to beating the Angels offense. The Angels just came off a road series loss to the White Sox and look to get back on track with Joe Saunders headed to the mound with some solid numbers, but one advantage is that Texas loves to hit left handers and do it well.
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When you have a pitcher who can keep LA in check in terms of runs getting out of hand, and you have a team batting almost .300 against southpaws the last 10 games, you can keep yourself in the game. The consensus is LA in this game, but if you take a look at the last 16 weeks of baseball, where weekend series 9 times of out 10 begin, Texas is 13-3 in Friday games. A small upset here to night, as the better bullpen is clearly Texas in this one, and with starters being equal, and texas having better power hitters, I like texas in a road upset tonight.
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PLAY on the Rangers
John Ryan
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Texas Rangers vs. LAA Angels
Play: Under 9.5
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play UNDER Texas/LA Angels set to start at 10:05 EST. AiS shows a 73% probability that 9 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a series of reliable and meaningful angles. Note that Texas is 14-4 UNDER (+9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season; 20-6 UNDER (+13.0 Units) versus teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season; 16-5 UNDER (+10.4 Units) after 4 or more consecutive road games this season. Texas starter Feldman is a solid 17-6 UNDER (+9.8 Units) after a win over the last 2 seasons. Anaheim starter Saunders has struggled this season and sports a 7.56 ERA and a 1.98 WHIP over his last 3 starts. Yet, Texas is a team that he can control. Texas is batting just 237 and scoring 4.2 RPG in 49 road games. Moreover they are batting just 259 against LH starters. Anaheim ranks first in MLB in numerous offensive categories. They are batting at levels (321 BA, 384 OBP, and scoring 8.4 RPG over their past 7 games) that are just not sustainable based on the AiS projections. Texas starter Feldman is the type of starter that will give Anaheim trouble. He has posted a 3.20 ERA in 8 road starts and is coming off a solid start against Seattle allowing just 2 ER on 5 hits in 7 innings pitched. Anaheim skipper Scioscia is a solid 55-37 UNDER (+12.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss where the team scored 1 run or less as the manager of the Angels. These teams last played each other on July 8th where Texas, led by starter Padilla, defeated the Angels 8-1. Take the UNDER.
LT Profits
Tampa Bay Rays @ Seattle Mariners
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Felix Hernandez of the Seattle Mariners is one of the best pitchers in all of baseball while Jeff Niemann of the Tampa Bay Rays is a Rookie of the Year candidate, so do not expect much offense at Safeco Field tonight.
Hernandez is 12-4 with a sparkling 2.78 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 152.1 innings, and he has been a model of consistency, with 11 Quality Starts in his last 12 outings. He has been dominant against the Rays, allowing one run or less in five of is six career starts against them. Sure, that is not saying much until last season, but two of those great starts have come in the last two seasons, including allowing only four hits in seven shutout innings this year.
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Niemann has been a godsend in back of the rotation, as he is 10-5 with a 3,62 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP in his first season as a Major League starter. He has also been very consistent, allowing three runs or less in 12 of his last 14 starts. He pitched reasonably well the first time he faced the Mariners this season in Seattle back in April, when he allowed two earned runs and only three hits in 5.1 innings.
Finally, the Rays are not exactly crushing the ball right now with just a .250 team batting average the last 10 games, while the Mariners are averaging a lowly 3.76 runs per game here at home this season.
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Pick: Rays/Mariners Under 7.5
MTI Sports
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Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros
Prediction: Over
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The Astros are 6-0 OU at home as an favorite vs a team that has a better record and the Brewers are 5-0 OU on the road after a win and it is the first game of the series. Consider the OVER.
Wunderdog
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: Seattle Mariners
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The Seattle Mariners always knew they had a future star in Felix Hernandez, and this season that star has begun to shine. Hernandez has been the key figure in a team that went from 102 losses a year ago, to within striking distance this season of a wildcard berth. Hernandez is 12-4 with a 2.68 ERA, and has already blanked this Tampa lineup through seven innings earlier in the season. The Rays have been a force at home, but such has not been the case on the road, where they are a losing team. The Rays are six games under .500 this season on the road, and 75-156 in their last 231 games, and just 3-8 in their last 11 against a team with a winning home record. Mariners strong with king Felix on the hill at 9-1 in his last 10 starts. I'll go with the Mariners here.
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Chicago Cubs +122
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I'll back the Cubs, who have had Colorado's numbers and send the better starter to the hill, at a nice underdog price tonight. Chicago is a strong 13-5 since the All-Star Break and it has won won 12 of its last 16 meetings with Colorado. The Cubs send the red hot Carlos Zambrano to the hill and he has certainly been one of the most dominant road pitchers in baseball in recent years. In fact, Big Z is 7-0 against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the Cubs winning these games by an average score of 6.9 to 3.7. Plus, the Cubs are 14-5 in his last 19 starts as an underdog and 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The Rockies send Jimenez to the mound and they are just 3-7 in his last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record. But here's the real stat. He is 0-4 against the money line when starting against the Cubs in his career with an ERA of 7.27 and a WHIP of 2.076. I'm on the Cubs for 1 unit this evening.
Ross Benjamin
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Oakland Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals
Play: Kansas City Royals
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The Kansas City starter Bannister has been excellent in 7 home starts this season posting a 2.11 ERA, a 0.98 WHIP, and an almost 4:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Bannister is 6-2 in his last 8 team starts when installed as a favorite. The Royals are 6-2 in the last 8 versus Oakland. The Oakland starter Mazzaro enters the game in horrible form off of his last 4 starts posting a whopping 11.44 ERA and 2.65 WHIP. Mazzaro is 1-9 in his last 10 team-starts overall. Oakland is 7-19 in the last 26 on the road versus a team with a less than .500 winning percentage. Play on the Kansas City Royals as my free selection of the night.
Rob Vinciletti
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: Under 7½
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I liked this play better at 8 flat.However Ill still give it a go at 7.5.The pitching matchup is what intrigues me with this game.Seattle has Felix Hernandez going tonight and he has been lights out at home vs the Rays.In 22.7 innings he has allowed just 2 earned runs.He has a solid 2.78 era and will undoubtedly get the job done again here tonight.The Rays have one of my favorite pitchers this year going in J.Niemann.This guy gets no credit.You don't hear a peep about him, yet he has been solid all year in a tough division.In his last 3 starts he has a 3.18 era.In his lone start in Seattle back in April he did well going 5.7 innings allowing a modest 2 earned runs.This game should be a well pitched game here tonight.Congrats to those who had the big 6 unit over selection in the Yankee game last night.Game was over by the 5th inning.
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
305 - 200 run 60 % 52-29 run here
FRi over 9 1/2 Texas Rangers game over the total
8)
P.S. He has had some losses recently with his free
pick and so is putting "premium picks" up here now in
order to improve his winning percentage.
Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Cardinals/Pirates UNDER 7
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Odds makers are begging for action on the Over with this line but we won't bite. The Cards' Carpenter has an ERA of just 2.10 in 17 starts this season and that is down to 1.50 over his last 3 starts. Plus, he is 10-1 when starting against Pittsburgh with an ERA of 2.06 and a WHIP of 0.882. Maholm has struggled over his last couple starts, but I expect a solid outing from him at home tonight where he has posted an ERA of just 3.62 in 10 home starts this season. Plus, the Cards really struggle against southpaw starters, hitting only .250 and scoring just 3.9 runs per game against them in 2009. Also, Maholm has an ERA of only 2.47 in 8 career starts against the Red Birds. I'll bet the Under tonight.
Evan Altemus
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Milwaukee at Houston
Play: HOUSTON -130
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Houston has been struggling lately, mainly because they haven't had Lance Berkman in the line-up. However, the Astros have a great pitching advantage with Bud Norris going up against Charlie Villanueva. Villanueva was very lucky not to get hit hard in his last start, as he allowed several base runners and got himself into tough spots almost every inning. However, the Padres weren't able to capitalize on their opportunities. I look for Houston to him hard tonight, as he is still filling in because of injuries to the Brewers starting rotation. Milwaukee has never faced Norris before, and the lack of familiarity with his stuff will make it very hard on the Brewers. In addition, Milwaukee's bullpen has been horrible lately, so Houston will get more runs when Villanueva doesn't last very long. Look for the Astros to get the home win.
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2 UNIT SELECTION
Sports Gambling Hotline
Florida at Philadelphia
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Thursday night winner on Arizona, now 12-3-1 the last 16 days for FREE!
For Friday night, take the UNDER in the Florida-Philadelphia contest.
Florida played a wild 12-8 game yesterday for their third straight OVER, but we expect order to be restored at the Bank tonight, as Ricky Nolasco has been on top of his game of late.
Nolasco has allowed just 3 earned runs over his last 20-plus innings of work for an ERA of 1.33.
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Philadelphia will counter with Joe Blanton who has also been on fire of late, as Blanton has only allowed 6 runs to cross in his last 29-plus innings of work.
All 3 of the previous season series meetings between the teams in Philly this year have stayed UNDER the posted total, and 10 of the Phillies last 11 Friday night games have also played LOW.
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Have to expect a pitcher's duel in this one, and the Marlins-Phillies to hold UNDER the total.
Play the LOW.
2♦ UNDER
Karl Garrett
Cubs at COLORADO -125
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G-Man with another comp play winner on Texas on Thursday; now 20-9 my last 29 comp play releases.
For Friday night, take the Rockies back at home as they take on the visiting Cubs.
Colorado did just lose their last pair of games at Philadelphia, as they were held to just 1 run in losses to J.A. Happ and Cliff Lee. While Chicago's Carlos Zambrano is still a tough hombre, he won't fare too well in this road outing against a Colorado team that is on a 20-8 run at Coors Field.
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Chicago has been a poor road play this year, as the Cubs are just 24-30 outside of Wrigley Field.
Ubaldo Jimenez looks to build off an 8-inning, 2-run win at Cincinnati, and the rigthy has been fairly steady of late for Colorado.
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G-Man likes the "home cooking" this Friday night as Colorado hands Chicago another road loss.
3♦ COLORADO