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Atlanta -120 at MILWAUKEE
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Thursday free winner on Seattle to make it a 7-1-1 comp play run the last 9 days.
For Friday night we like what the Atlanta Braves have been doing of late, and will back them in their series opener at Miller Park against the struggling Brewers.
Milwaukee has lost 12 of their last 18 games overall, and they have not won too many of Manny Parra's starts of late, as they are just 1-7 his last 8 home starts, and 7-21 overall the last 28 times Parra has been the listed starter.
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Atlanta has won 4 of their last 5, and 10 of their last 14 overall. Javier Vazquez may only be 7-7 for the year, but in 8 of his last 9 starts he has allowed 2 earned runs or less, and the righty is 2-0 his last 2 trips to the hill to boot.
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Take the Braves to continue their winning ways in the weekend opener.
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Play on Atlanta.
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3♦ ATLANTA
Karl Garrett
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Florida +145 at LOS ANGELES
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G-Man now 9-2 the last 11 days for free.
Friday night at Chavez Ravine I am all about backing the underdog Marlins as they look to cool down the Dodgers who have won their last 5, and LA starter Clayton Kershaw who is 5-0 his last 6 starts.
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Florida has got the right guy on the mound to cool off the Dodgers, as Josh Johnson is 8-2 this season, and better still is the Marlins 12-5 mark the last 17 road starts Johnson has made.
Overall the Marlins are 25-8 when Johson makes the start, and Florida is fresh off a 3-game sweep at San Diego, and should be raring to go at Dodger Stadium, a site where they are 6-2 the last 8 meetings.
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No doubt Los Angeles is the class of the senior circut thus far, but tonight the price is a little steep on LA, as this dog hunts tonight.
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Take the Marlins.
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1♦ FLORIDA
Dominic Fazzini
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Oakland +175 at N.Y. YANKEES
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I finally won a complimentary selection Thursday with the Angels’ come-from-behind victory over the Twins. Now I’m shooting for two straight with the biggest value on the board today.
Athletics rookie Brett Anderson (5-7, 4.25 ERA) might be the hottest pitcher going these days. The 21-year-old left-hander has tossed 21 consecutive scoreless innings over his past four starts, holding opponents to a .124 batting average during that stretch, as he’s slashed his ERA by 1 ½ runs over the past month.
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In his last outing, Anderson took a perfect game into the seventh inning against the Angels, who have been on fire offensively, and departed with a no-decision after allowing just two hits in eight scoreless innings. He hasn’t suffered a loss since June 14 at San Francisco.
Joba Chamberlain has not fared very well at the new Yankee Stadium. The hard-throwing right-hander won Sunday in his last start there, allowing one run and three hits in 6 2/3 innings, but he is just 1-2 with a 4.81 ERA in 10 home starts
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Anderson has shown he can handle the pressure of pitching on a big stage, as his two-hit shutout of the Red Sox at Fenway Park on July 6 began his current scoreless streak. The Yankees have won seven straight games, but I love Oakland today as a huge underdog with Anderson on the mound. Go with the A’s.
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2♦ OAKLAND
Matt Rivers
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For Friday take the White Sox at Comerica against Justin Verlander.
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Note that this is a doubleheader and pitchers could change but in the end go against Justin Verlander and the price he will be laying. I am assuming though things go as scheduled and he goes in game one against Jose Contreras.
Contreras was not good at all in that last outing against Baltimore but besides that the old man has been really good ever since being recalled from the minors. Granted he is no Justin Verlander and if Contreras isn't on the tip top of his game than we are in a world of trouble but the way the Tigers have been sliding and the way Ozzie Guillen's Sox have been climbing why not take a chance? Plus all of a sudden there has been a little magic of late with Chicago, as we all saw yesterday with Mark Buehrle.
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Flat out Chicago is currently the better team. Obviously their bullpen has been struggling a bit as Bobby Jenks has had some recent issues but it's not like Jim Leyland's relievers are exactly lights out themselves and with Joel Zumaya on the DL they are well below par.
With first place on the line there is no reason to believe this is not a winnable game for the visitors. Yes Verlander is pretty freakin' nasty and will once again hold his own for sure making Detroit the favorite to win this game but the Tigers have turned into a bit of mush of late and with those foot steps behind them I
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l'll back the streaking ChiSox!
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1♦ White Sox
DAVE COKIN
CLEVELAND INDIANS / SEATTLE MARINERS
Take SEATTLE MARINERS
The Mariners get lefty Ryan Rowland-Smith back from the DL tonight, and he's a good fit as their #5 starter. Rowland-Smith should be fired up to finally get back in action, Aaron Laffey's road numbers are nothing special, and the contending Mariners are likely to be more focused right now than an Indians squad that's waiting to see who gets traded next. I'll play Seattle in this contest.
JIM FEIST
SAN DIEGO PADRES / WASHINGTON NATIONALS
Take OVER
If you're a big fan of offense, you probably don't mind lousy pitching. This game features two of the worst pitching staffs in the game, with San Diego ranked 26th in ERA and the Nationals dead last. And both starters are not strong at getting anyone out. Washington starter Garrett Mock (0-3, 7.71 ERA) has walked 10 batters in 16 innings along with 24 hits! Look for plenty of runs, play the Padres/Nationals over the total.
LT Profits
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Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
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Roy Halladay could possibly be making his last start for the Toronto Blue Jays tonight, and we look for both he and Matt Garza of the Tampa Bay Rays to excel in the spotlight tonight.
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Halladay is having a typical season for him, as he is 11-3 with a 2.73 ERA and an excellent 1.06 WHIP in 132 innings. He has also had great success vs. the Rays, as he has five straight Quality Starts against them since the second half of last season. He is obviously in top form right now, as he tossed a Complete Game vs. the Boston Red Sox on Sunday, allowing only one run and six hits with seven strikeouts.
Not to be outdone, Garza has been absolutely dominant vs. the Blue Jays recently. In fact, he has allowed a grand total of two runs and 26 hits in 37.1 innings in his last five starts vs. Toronto. He allowed exactly one run is two of those outings while the other three starts were scoreless, and facing Halladay in a possibly emotional situation should keep him at his best, as Garza knows he needs to be on top of his game to give the Rays a chance here.
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Look for a good old fashioned pitching duel at Rogers Centre tonight.
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Pick: Rays, Blue Jays Under 7.5
Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Philadelphia Phillies -135
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The reigning World Series champs are playing like it right now and I look for them to stay white hot tonight at home. The Cards have dropped 4 straight to the Phillies and I look for those struggles to continue against lefty J.A. Happ. Happ has a perfect 7-0 record with an ERA of 2.68 this season and the Cards have not been able to score consistently against southpaw starters. St. Louis is averaging just 3.6 runs per game against lefty starters this season and is just 2-8 in its last 10 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Phillies are 12-1 in their last 13 games as a home favorite and a ridiculous 73-35 in their last 108 game 1's of a series. Take Philly for 1 unit.
Michael Cannon
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NY Mets -120 at HOUSTON
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Take the Mets for the road win over the Astros.
I know it seems strange to side with the Mets as a road chalk, especially considering how well the Astros have been playing. But that’s a testament to how tough Johan Santana has been.
Santana is riding a 15-inning scoreless streak and is the winningest pitcher following the All-Star break in league history. The left-hander is 59-17 with a 2.67 ERA following the midsummer classic in his career.
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Santana has also had great success against the Astros in his career. He’s 2-0 with a 0.98 ERA in three lifetime appearances against Houston.
Houston has played well lately, but Mike Hampton hasn’t been doing his part. The left-hander has lost his last two starts and is 5-7 with a 4.63 ERA on the year. He’s 0-1 with a 6.43 ERA in his last three starts against the Mets.
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Take the Mets as they grab the road win.
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3♦ NY METS
BIG AL
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Zach Greinke's season has gone from outstanding to average while Scott Feldman continues to win for the Rangers. Take Texas on Friday when they travel to Kansas City.
Our Friday night MLB selection is on the Texas Rangers on the road over the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
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Michael YoungThe wins are getting a bit hard to come by now for Royals ace Zack Greinke. Once thought of as being a favorite for the AL Cy Young award earlier in the season (and he's still in the running), it's now been almost a month since Greinke put up a "W," and it took a start against the lowly Pirates in that case. Greinke just pitches for a bad team and that's pretty much all there is to it.
He's also not going as deep into games now. In April and May, through his first 11 starts, Greinke went eight or more innings a total of five times, or almost 50% of his starts. So far through June and July, Greinke has made eight more starts, but in only one of those has he lasted eight innings and he hasn't pitched a single complete game during that time (he had four complete games in April and May).
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Scott Feldman has very quietly had a productive season for the Rangers at 8-3 with a 3.87 ERA, and is one of the reasons why his team is still in contention for the AL West title heading into August. Feldman actually has produced better overall numbers than Greinke over their last three starts. Their ERAs are almost identical, but Feldman is 2-1 while Greinke is 0-2 while Feldman's WHIP is 1.07 vs. a very ugly 1.63 for Greinke.
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The Rangers are 8-3 in their last 11 meetings with KC and they have won five of the last six played at Kauffman Stadium heading into this series. Take the Rangers.
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Pick: Rangers +138
Craig Trapp
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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Boston Red Sox
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BOS has lost 5 in a row coming off a long road trip. The day off yesterday will really help this BOS team focus and come into FRI with a ton of energy. BOS has not been hitting since the break hitting under .200. Good news for BOS they are back at home where they hit near .300 and have the best home record in all of baseball. BOS has owned Baltimore beating them 6 out of 7 this year. Penny has been really good at home all this year going 4-1 with a 3.28 ERA. He will face Bergesen who has been really good overall but on the road his ERA is 4.37 and ba .275! Think today BOS scores a ton of runs busting out of the slump and getting back to playing good baseball. Everyone looks forward to playing Baltimore as they find ways to lose. SCORE BOS 7 - BAL 2
Jeff Benton
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Texas +135 at KANSAS CITY
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The freebie run sits at 12-5 after last night’s 5♦ winner with the DBacks on the run-line over the Pirates, with Arizona rallying from a 4-1 deficit. For Friday’s free play, I’ll back the Rangers as a road underdog at Kansas City.
Obviously, there’s only one reason why Texas (52-41, including four straight wins after a three-game sweep of the Red Sox this week) would be catching this kind of price against the Royals (37-57, including nine straight losses): because K.C. is throwing Zack Greinke in this game.
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Certainly, Greinke has been lights out this year and has the kind of stuff that can tame any offense, even one as loaded as the Rangers. But unless the Royals’ All-Star goes the distance tonight – something he did four times in his first 10 starts but hasn’t done since May 26 – you cannot trust Kansas City to win this game. Why? Because its middle relief pitching has been beyond atrocious.
Get this: Kansas City has had a lead in all six games since the All-Star break – including Saturday, when Greinke departed after seven innings with a 2-1 advantage over Tampa Bay – only to watch the bullpen blow every single one of them. And I’m talking not about closer Joakim Soria; the Royals can’t even get the ball to him in a save situation! In fact, Kansas City’s bullpen ERA over the last 10 games is a whopping 9.09!
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Back to Greinke: Yeah, he’s delivered quality starts in seven of his last nine trips to the mound (including the last five in a row), but the Royals are just 2-7 during this stretch, including 0-3 in his last three outings (despite his solid 2.84 ERA). Furthermore, while Greinke blanked the Rangers 2-0 in a complete-game victory in Texas on April 18, he faced them twice last year and allowed just three runs (two earned) in 13 innings … but Kansas City lost both games by 2-1 scores, and they’re 2-5 in Greinke’s last seven starts against Texas.
Prior to losing two of three at home to the Royals in April, the Rangers had won nine of 11 against the Royals, including five of six in K.C. last year. Tonight, They have a solid starter on the mound in Scott Feldman, who is 8-3 with 3.87 ERA overall including five straight quality starts. Texas is 11-5 when Feldman pitches, including 6-1 on the road, and he beat the Royals in K.C. 9-4 last year, giving up two earned runs in seven innings.
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Bottom line: As great as Greinke has been and can be, there’s no way a team that’s lost nine in a row and is 20 games under .500 can be laying this kind of price to a quality opponent that’s won four in a row and has legit playoff aspirations. Ride the pup here!
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4♦ TEXAS
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels
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The Angels have gone OVER the total in 14 of 18 games in the month of July and have done so in three of their four meetings with the Twins this season. Minnesota has done the same going OVER in 27 of 38 games following a one run loss. Twins starter Francisco Liriano has a 5.55 ERA on the road this season, while John Lackey of the Angels has a 4.89 ERA at home. Go with the OVER
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Play on: OVER
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Toronto Blue Jays -140
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The Rays were just no-no'd by Buehrle and the White Sox yesterday and they will catch no break tonight with Doc Halladay on the hill for the Jays. Halladay is 11-3 with an ERA of 2.73 on the year. Halladay has not let all the trade talks disrupt him on the mound and I expect him to leave it all out on the field tonight as he goes into this one with revenge on the brain. His only two losses in his last 14 starts have both come against the Rays so you can bet that he will be out for blood with every pitch tonight. The Blue Jays are 24-10 in their last 34 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150, 55-17 in Halladay's last 72 home starts, and 110-49 in his last 159 starts as a favorite. Garza has not won in nearly a month for Tampa and is 0-2 with a 6.06 ERA and a WHIP 1.715 over his last 3 starts. Bet the Jays for a unit tonight.
Undefeated77's TREND SAY free sports picks
Now a SCREAMING HOT 10 - 2 run = 85% +
We won a two team parlay yesterday and an UNDER play.
I also won a three team parlay yesterday - (personal play) - WOW !!!
perhaps no play today - check back later - I do not see the kind of trends
that make me feel comfortable today.
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Jeff Benton - free sports pick
The freebie run sits at 12-5 (70%+)after last night’s 5♦ winner with the DBacks
on the run-line over the Pirates, with Arizona rallying from a 4-1 deficit. For
Friday’s free play, I’ll back the Rangers as a road underdog at Kansas City.
(based on a 1♦ to a 10♦ Rating) 4♦ TEXAS
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Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
298 - 194 run = 60 % 46-23 run here = 66.6%
FRI Braves
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
(920) Toronto Blue Jays -147
(Listing Halliday and Garza)
A struggling Matt Garza takes the hill for the Rays a day after Tampa
was "Perfect Gamed" by Mark Buehrle and the White Sox. Garza did
not factor into the decision in his last start on Sunday as the Rays beat
the Royals. But it was not a strong performance by Garza who lasted
just five innings in that game as he allowed three runs on six hits and
walked five Royal batters. Garza struck out five but also needed to
throw 102 pitches to get through five innings. Before that game Garza
had lost his previous two starts and has given up 11 runs in his last 1
6 1/3 innings pitched. Toronto Ace pitcher Roy Halliday makes what c
ould be his last start for the Blue Jays if he is traded by the July 28th
deadline that Toronto has set. Halliday has gone only 1-2 in four starts
since returning from the DL on June 28, but looks to be returning to form
as he pitched a six hitter to beat Boston on Sunday. Halliday is 0-2 in
two starts against Tampa Bay so far this season, but I like the way things
line up for him in this game. The Rays bats are ice cold and they have a
struggling pitcher on the mound with Matt Garza. The Rays are only 2-5
in Garza's last seven starts as a road underdog of +$150 or less.
Play on Toronto.
2009 Free Selections Record 108-88 (55.1%)