JIM FEIST
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ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS / COLORADO ROCKIES
Take UNDER
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You know the drill with Coors Field: You want to have ground ball or strikeout pitchers in this high altitude park. For this game, a light hitting Arizona offense comes to town, plus two excellent strikeout pitchers. Arizona's young Max Scherzer has fanned 83 in 83 innings and has a strong 3.67 ERA. But the offense has scored 3 runs or fewer in 7 of the last 12 games. Colorado lefty Jorge De La Rosa has fanned 87 in 81 innings. Colorado's defense is strong, like their pennant winning team of 2007, and they are on a 7-3 run under the total. Play the D-Backs/Rockies Under the total.
Matt Rivers
For Friday back the A's at the Jake.
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Let me first say that there are not many positive things that I can say about this Oakland team right now. The A's are really not very good at all as guys like Jason Giambi, Matt Holliday and a few others have seemingly forgotten how to hit a baseball.
Plus Trevor Cahill is coming off of that terrible home start against the Rockies where he did not even work into the fourth inning. The Oakland starter though was very good in his previous few starts and should be alright here against a Cleveland team that right now is the biggest mush in the game.
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Eric Wedge is a total joke and should no longer have a job. When you have guys like Sizemore, Martinez and Hafner you can't lose the way the Indians have been over and over and over again. Cleveland is just flat out atrocious right now as we just saw yet again in the last season where Ozzie Guillen's team came to town and left with one of the easiest sweeps you will ever see. The wheels have totally fallen off.
The Tribe's bullpen is pathetic, they just traded away Mark DeRosa somewhat signaling the raising of the white flag and are a total losing culture right now.
The A's are a poor ballclub at this time but they have not totally quit like the Indians and at this price against a guy in David Huff who is not good at all I will take my chances on Cahill and the visitors for sure.
There's bad and then there's BAD. Oakland is bad but Cleveland is BAD!
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1♦ A's
DUNKEL
Oakland at Cleveland
The A's look to build on their 4-1 record in Trevor Cahill's last 5 starts against a Cleveland team that is 0-6 in its last 6 games as a favorite. Oakland is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110).
Game 901-902: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.392; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.605
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-170); N/A
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.343; Florida (Volstad) 14.992
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Florida (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+145); Under
Game 905-906: Atlanta at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.703; Washington (Detwiler) 14.443
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-135); Over
Game 907-908: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 13.462; Philadelphia (Lopez) 15.090
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-140); Under
Game 909-910: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.082; Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.588
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over
Game 911-912: Arizona at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Scherzer) 14.583; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.017
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under
Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.451; San Diego (Gaudin) 13.929
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-140); Over
Game 915-916: Houston at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Paulino) 15.143; San Francisco (Sadowski) 16.308
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Over
Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.394; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.173
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-180); Over
Game 919-920: Oakland at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 14.217; Cleveland (Huff) 13.037
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Under
Game 921-922: Seattle at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.602; Boston (Wakefield) 16.691
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-120); Under
Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 16.529; Texas (Hunter) 15.226
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Over
Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.518; Kansas City (Greinke) 15.006
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Under
Game 927-928: Detroit at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (French) 15.233; Minnesota (Slowey) 14.545
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+150); Over
Game 929-930: Baltimore at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.721; LA Angels (Santana) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-150); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over
WNBA
Chicago at San Antonio
The Sky look to take advantage of a San Antonio squad that is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games versus Eastern Conference teams. Chicago is the pick (+6) according to Dunkel, which has the Silver Stars favored by only 4. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6).
Game 651-652: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 106.495; Atlanta 111.103
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 164
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-3 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: Chicago at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.258; San Antonio 110.061
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 145 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+6); Over
Nick Parsons
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Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels
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Sidelined with right triceps inflammation, Santana (1-3, 7.47 ERA) hasn’t pitched for Los Angeles since allowing six runs and eight hits in 4 2-3 innings of an 11-1 loss at Tampa Bay on June 11. Now, after a solid effort against minor league competition Sunday and a productive bullpen session Tuesday, manager Mike Scioscia feels Santana is ready to go. Santana is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in seven starts versus Baltimore. Rookie David Hernandez (1-2, 4.19) looks to avoid a second straight loss for the Orioles after giving up three runs and eight hits in 5 2-3 innings of a 5-3 defeat to Washington on Sunday. The Angels have seen the total go under the posted number in 6 of their last 9 games as a home favorite of -125 to -150 and I look for this trend to continue; play on the UNDER!
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Play on: UNDER
LT Profits
St. Louis Cardinals @ Cincinnati Reds
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Joel Pineiro of the St. Louis Cardinals has been pitching well all season with very little to show for it, but the key to this Under could very well be Homer Bailey of the Cincinnati Reds.
Bailey was a highly regarded prospect in the Cincinnati system, and he showed some flashes of brilliance when he was first called two years ago. However, he regressed badly last season and found himself back in the minors until finally being recalled again to take his first 2009 Major League start on May 23, when he was bombed again.
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However, after a brief return to the minors, he looked decent in his second start upon his recall vs. the Cleveland Indians last week, when he got the win while allowing three runs on only three hits in five innings. Now, he has the advantage of facing a struggling St. Louis offense that is averaging just 2.30 runs per game over the last 10 games while batting a horrific .213 as a team during this time.
As for Pineiro, he is probably the most unfortunate 6-9 pitcher in baseball, given his 3.44 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. In fact, Pineiro has now allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts, and yet he has gotten so little support for the quite Cardinal bats that they are only 2-6 as a team in those games. Naturally, that has made him a great Under pitcher, as it is 10-4-1 in all of his starts this year.
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Tonight could be more of the same, especially if Bailey builds on his improved start the last time out, making for yet another Under.
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Pick: Cardinals / Reds Under 9.5
MR EAST
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SEATTLE MARINERS @ BOSTON RED SOX
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It is hard to deny what Felix Hernandez has done over his last 53 innings of work, allowing just 5 earned runs, 38 hits, striking out 51, and pitching to a 0.85 ERA. He has also had success against the Red Sox where he is 3-1 with a 3.05 lifetime ERA. Tim Wakefield has had a good season, but still enters with a 4+ ERA, and the Sox pen has been struggling of late. The Red Sox have also lost 7 of the last 8 starts Wakefield has made vs the Mariners. Good spot for a live dog, and I'm on the Mariners here.
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PLAY ON SEATTLE MARINERS +115 FOR 3 UNITS
LEE KOSTROSKI
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Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: Under 9.5
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Arizona managed just eight hits in the last two games of the Cincinnati series and the Diamondbacks are batting just .298 over the last ten games against left-handed pitchers. In 15 of the last 22 games Arizona has been held to four or fewer runs and Arizona is 8-14 against left-handed starters this season. For the season the Diamondbacks are batting just .245 overall, averaging just 4.3 runs per game. The numbers are worse on the road, batting .226 even though the Diamondbacks have won more road games than home games this season.
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Jorge De La Rosa has won four of his last five starts and although he has had a few rough outings at home this season his overall results have been decent. Nine times this season De La Rosa has allowed three or fewer earned runs and he allowed just two runs over nearly seven innings against Arizona earlier this season in a 2-0 loss. Improvement in the Rockies bullpen has been a big reason for Colorado’s return to contention for the NL Wild Card. The ‘under’ is 11-4-1 in the last 16 Colorado games as Colorado pitching has been solid.
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Arizona starter Max Scherzer has been very reliable as starting pitching has not been the problem for the Diamondbacks. Scherzer has allowed just seven earned runs in his last five starts. In road games this season Scherzer has an ERA of 1.80 and he pitched extremely well in his lone start against the Rockies last season. Colorado is a high scoring park but only 69 home runs have been hit at Coor’s Field. The ‘under’ is 19-13-3 in Arizona road games and both offenses have hit below .242 in the past ten games.
Karl Garrett
White Sox at KANSAS CITY
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You are probably saying "G-Man, how can you go OVER the posted total with both John Danks, and Zack Greinke in a groove right now?"
Well, before you get your panties in a bunch, consider that Danks' road ERA this season is 4.99, and 4 of Danks' 7 road starts this year have gon OVER the total.
As for Greinke, 5 of his 9 home starts have landed on the HIGH side.
I just get the feeling that the total on this game is a total normally reserved for National League games.
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One big inning from either side this evening, and this game will be heading OVER the posted price.
G-Man going OVER in the Sox-Royals.
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2♦ OVER
Sports Gambling Hotline
Atlanta -130 at WASHINGTON
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Tonight we must side with the surging Atlanta Braves who come to DC fresh off a 3-game sweep of the Phillies, and have now won their last 4.
Atlanta is also 4-2 in the season series against Washington, and starter Kenshin Kawakami has gone 1-0 over his last 3 starts, allowing just 4 runs in 14 innings of work.
Ross Detwiler will counter for the sliding Nationals whose latest losing streak is at 3 in a row, and 8 of their last 10 have ended in defeat.
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Detwiler has yet to win this year at 0-4 with an ERA of 5.24. This will be his first start against the Braves, but with Atlanta starting to "feel it" in a division that no one has seized control of, we will side with the Braves to make it 5 straight wins.
Play on the Bravos!
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5♦ ATLANTA
Jr Tips
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ARIZONA vs. COLORADO
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The Colorado Rockies will need to get back on track at the plate, especially with Jorge De La Rosa starting at Coors Field. Colorado (41-37), the majors' hottest team with 17 wins in 18 games before struggling at the end of a 5-4 road trip, has scored a combined eight runs in its last four games. The Rockies wil be back at home where they have won 10 of 12 at Coors Field, and are averaging 6.0 runs while batting .321 with 11 homers during a five-game winning streak there. They will have to score runs tonight to win with De La Rosa (4-7, 5.64 ERA) on the mound as the left-hander is 1-5 with a 7.97 ERA in seven starts at Coors. Max Scherzer (5-5, 3.67) will take the mound for Arizona (31-48). The right-hander gave up eight runs, three earned and four hits in 4 1/3 innings as Arizona lost 12-8 to the Los Angeles Angels in his last start. Arizona has split the six meetings with Colorado in 2009. You can count on the Rockies getting back to form with the bats coming back home off a road trip and they will need at least 7 runs to win the game with Jose De La Rosa who has been their weakest link in the rotation.
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TAKE OVER 9 1/2
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers
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Rays starter Scott Kazmir does have a perfect 7-0 TSR and a 2.09 ERA against the Rangers, but he has not had his best stuff this season. He has an ERA of 7.28 overall and an ERA of 11.37 in his last three starts. Tampa Bay has won just 11 of 33 tries after back-to-back road games. As a road favorite, they are just 7-15 and 6-23 on the road in July. Texas has won back-to-back home games over division rival Los Angeles scoring nine runs in each win. They should have no trouble continuing their offensive onslaught against a shaken Kazmir. Go with Texas
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Play on: Texas
Tom Freese
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Los Angeles at San Diego
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Los Angeles starter Hiroki Kuroda has a 16-0 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. Los Angeles is 7-3 UNDER after allowing 2 or less runs in their last game. The Dodgers are 6-1 UNDER in the last 7 starts made by Kuroda and they are 7-3-1 UNDER on Friday. San Diego starter Chad Gaudin has a 28-5 strikeout to walk ratio in his last 3 starts. San Diego is 7-1 UNDER their last 8 games vs. righty starters. The Padres are 4-0 UNDER their last 4 games as underdogs and they are 7-3 UNDER their last 10 games vs. the Dodgers. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Gaudin vs. Kuroda)
Nelly
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Arizona + over Colorado
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The emergence of Max Scherzer as a frontline starter has been one of the lone positives for the Diamondbacks this season. Arizona had a disastrous season but Scherzer has won three of his last four starts and Arizona owns a winning record behind Scherzer, including wins in seven of the last ten games. Scherzer has allowed just seven earned runs in his last five starts and he owns an over 2.3:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Jorge De La Rosa owns a 7.97 ERA at home and Colorado 1-6 in his home starts. As poorly as Arizona has produced on offense the Diamondbacks actually own a stronger team batting average over the last ten games despite a 2-8 record. Arizona and Colorado have also featured very similar bullpen numbers on the season. The Rockies have been held to four runs or fewer in seven of the last eight games.
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Colorado Rockies -125
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I'll back the red hot Rockies, who have won 21 of their last 26, at home against the struggling D-backs, who have dropped 7 of their last 8 tonight. De La Rosa has had his fair share of struggles on the mound this season for Colorado, but I like his chances tonight against an Arizona club averaging only 3.6 runs per game against southpaw starters. In fact, the Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a left-handed starter and just 8-14 against lefties this season. Scherzer has pitched pretty well for Arizona, but he hasn't gotten enough run support. As a result, the Diamondbacks are juts 3-8 in his last 11 road starts. Rockies take care of business at home tonight.
IndianCowboy
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Take Under 9.5 between the Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
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Let's keep the comp winners rolling as we roll with the Under in Washington. Bear in mind the Braves come off three straight wins as they sweep the Phillies at home. This has brought the Braves into contention for the division as each game is pivotal for this team right now. The Braves will look to pick up an important series of games here in Washington as if they sweep and some right things happen above them, they could very well move from fourth to second in the division by the close of this weekend. Kawakami understands the importance of this and he will likely put forth a quality start today as he has yet to have a non-quality start in ten attempts. Detwiler comes off a rough start at Baltimore where he gave up 5 runs in 5 innings as the Nats went on to lose 1-11 at Baltimore. I look for him to have a quality start here at home as this game has a decent propensity to dip under. The Under is 6-1-1 for the Braves as a favorite and the Under is 6-1 in Detwiler's last 7 starts overall.