Free Sports Picks Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
288 - 188 run 60 % 36-18 run here 66.6% 😮
FRI Braves
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Free Sports Picks Selection from Undefeated77
2 - 1 run here 66.6% 😮
FRI - Seattle/Boston UNDER total score of 8.5
Vernon Croy
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
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This pick falls into one of my top MLB systems and the Dodgers have the superior pitcher on the mound tonight with Hiroki Kuroda (2-4, 3.77). The Padres are just 1-9 in their last 10 games in game 1 of a series and they are just 4-11 in their last 15 games as an underdog. Kuroda has pitched solid on the road this season with an ERA of just 3.20 over 3 starts and Chad Gaudin (4-6, 4.97 ERA) has struggled overall this season with an ERA of 5.11 over 12 starts. Gaudin got lit up in his last outing against the Dodgers back on May.3 giving up 6 earned runs over 5.7 innings while Kuroda pitched solid in his only start against the Padres this season allowing just 4 hits and 1 earned run over 5.7 innings. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games against the Padres and they are 4-1 in Kuroda's last 5 starts against them. Take the L.A. Dodgers as my Free MLB Play for Friday Night.
Matt Fargo
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Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Seattle Mariners
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We catch a lot of value in this game as this one is almost opposite of most games where the teams control the line and not the starters. Tim Wakefield have been unbeatable at home as hew is 6-0 with the Red Sox going 7-0 in his seven starts at Fenway. However unbeaten and dominating are two different things and Wakefield has been far from the latter. He has a 3.55 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in those seven games which is definitely good but certainly not great. Boston has averaged 8.1 rpg in his home starts so that definitely has something to do with the record. Getting eight runs tonight will definitely be a challenge against Felix Hernandez who is pitching lights out of late. He has tossed seven straight quality outings while allowing one or no runs in six of those games. His ERA over this seven-game stretch is a remarkable 0.85 and he has simply been in the zone. In his career against Boston Hernandez is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA and that improves to 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts at Fenway Park which includes his one-hit shutout three years ago. Those memories will definitely help him out tonight. The Mariners are 12-4 in Hernandez’s last 16 road starts against a team with a winning record. Seattle is 9-2 in its last 11games when its opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game. The Red Sox meanwhile are 1-7 in Wakefield’s last eight starts against the Mariners. Seattle also falls into a solid underdog situation. Play on underdogs that are starting a pitcher whose WHIP is 1.00 or better over his last five starts and with a bullpen whose season ERA is 3.33 or better. This situation is 31-14 (68.9 percent) over the last five seasons. 3* Seattle Mariners
Rocketman
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Florida Marlins
Play: Florida Marlins
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Pittsburgh comes in with a 36-43 overall record this year while Florida is 41-39 on the season. Florida has won 3 in a row and 8 of their last 11 games overall. Pittsburgh is only 14-26 on the road this year. Charlie Morton is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA overall vs Florida since 1997. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games on grass. Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 overall. Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 home games. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Marlins are 8-0 in their last 8 games on grass. Marlins are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 12-2 in their last 14 games as a home favorite. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Marlins are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Marlins are 13-3 in their last 16 games as a favorite. Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. We'll recommend a small play on Florida tonight!
BEN BURNS
Tampa Bay Rays @ Texas Rangers
PICK: Tampa Bay Rays
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Scott Kazmir shows a 4-4 record and a 7.28 ERA. He's a lot better than those numbers indicate though and his first start since coming off the disabled list indicates that he's ready to "return to normal." Kazmir looked sharp in holding the Marlins to just two earned runs in his first start May 20th. Now Kazmir's second start is also drawn up well for success, as the Rays southpaw is 4-0 (team is 7-0!) with an impressive 2.09 ERA and a .201 BAA in seven career starts against the Rangers.
Also, even though he pitched while hurt earlier this season, Kazmir still has managed to go 3-1 on the road with a 4.29 ERA so far this season. On grass Kazmir is 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA this season. At Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, Kazmir is 2-0 in three starts with a 2.70 ERA.
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While one thinks of Texas being the better offensive club, it's Tampa Bay's offense which is ranked #2 in the majors for both slugging percentage and batting average. The Rays lead the majors in runs scored. On the other hand, the Rangers offense has struggled recently and their .257 batting average is among the worst in the American League. The Rangers' struggles at the plate are likely to continue against an old nemesis, Kazmir.
On the other hand, the Rays hot hitting should continue against Tommy Hunter. While he's been respectable in two starst this season, Hunter is still 0-3 in his MLB career (five starts). Hunter has a 9.93 ERA and has a .356 BAA in his first five big league outings. Left-handers have been particularly troublesome, as he's got more walks than strikeouts against lefties plus he has a .385 BAA versus left-handed hitters. Note that the Rays will have a few lefties and a few switch-hitters in their lineup on Friday night.
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The Rays are 31-20 (+7.7) units against right-handed starters this season and they've won 11 of their last 18 (+3.9) vs. Texas. Consider Tampa
Tony George
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Oakland +114
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Cannot go with the home team here, Cleveland is a train wreck right now. Oakland just took 2 out of 3 from Detroit (I lost one of those games by the way Wednesday). Impressed with Oaklands ability to play good teams tough and that inspires confidence on the road against weak sisters. Should pool that into a win tonight, Clevelands bats are silent and provide little run support for their starters. Clevelands Huff is a southpaw and the A's hit lefties well and Huff has a season ERA over 6. I do not think Celveland can trade enough runs on offense to win this, better team getting almost 20 cents on the moneyline. I continue to fade Clevealnd till they start getting some offense and they are off a pouding at the hands of the White Sox where they got swept big time.
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PLAY on Oakland.
Dwayne Bryant
Seattle at Boston UNDER 8.5
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Summary: Felix Hernandez has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his last seven starts, going 4-0 with a 0.85 ERA. Hernandez is 3-1 with a 3.05 ERA in six starts against the Red Sox, and he's been undaunted by the challenge of pitching at Fenway Park, tossing 15 shutout innings in winning his two starts there. Felix also owns a 1.72 ERA in 9 road starts this season.
Tim Wakefield had a 1.80 ERA in two starts against Seattle last season. The 42-year-old also went 4-0 with a 3.45 ERA in five June starts. And let's not forget about the Boston bullpen. Red Sox relievers are tied for the major league lead with a 3.18 ERA.
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The Under is 13-3-3 in Boston's last 19 home games, and 6-1 in Boston's last 7 games with the total set at 7 to 8.5. The Under is 11-1 in the Mariners' last 12 road games with the total set at 7 to 8.5, and 13-3 in Hernandez's last 16 starts vs. AL East foes. The Under is also 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings.
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I'd say the UNDER is worth a shot here for a half-unit.
Randall the Handle
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Houston +1.14 over SAN FRANCISCO
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Great spot for the Astros here, as they’re very warm and they catch the Giants returning home from a season high 10-game trip. In four of those 10 games they scored one run and they dropped the final two games in St. Louis, scoring a total of just three runs. One might suggest the Giants have way over-achieved so far and that certainly could be the case. Thus, it’s the right time to go against the Giants with a rookie pitcher going because, as a favorite, San Fran has very little appeal right now. In fact, the Astros have beaten them six straight and overall, the Astros have won six of eight. They took three of four in San Diego and scored seven runs in each of the last two games. Scoring seven times in succession at Petco is a strong sign that the Astros are seeing the ball extremely well. In fact, over the last eight games, the Astros lead the NL in runs scored with 41. As for the starters, well, Felipe Paulino’s numbers aren’t great but numbers can sometimes be very deceiving. Paulino possesses good stuff and is coming on big time as his confidence grows. In his last two starts against the Rockies and Tigers, he pitched a combined 13 innings, allowing just eight hits and three runs, struck out 16 and walked just one batter. In fact, over his last 20.2 innings he’s walked just one and that’s a great sign that he’s “trusting” his stuff and going right after the hitters. Again, the Giants have cooled off and possess what just might be the least feared hitting line-up in the majors. Matt Cain or Tim Lincecum is not starting and that’s all I need to know to pull the trigger on this very live pooch. Play: Houston +1.14 (Risking 2 units).
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CFL
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B.C. Lions –1.05 over SASKATCHEWAN BetCris
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This is my best game of the week, as the Lions are in a not-so-familiar role. Over the last several years, B.C. has been expected to be a serious threat to win it all but this season the media, fans or both have written this year off as a rebuilding year and for the first time in a long time, expectations aren’t high. That’s a perfect scenario for this team to rise to the occasion and it says here that’s precisely what they’ll do. Make no mistake, they lost some very key personnel on defense but have replaced them with some very capable players. Without naming names, the Lions are younger and quicker and they’ll put a ton of pressure on opposing QB’s (watch out for Aaron Hunt). Offensively for the Lions, it’ll be Buck Pierce leading the way in his fifth season. He had his best year last season, completing 64% of his passes for over 3000 yards. In other words, there is no concern at the all-important position, especially with Jarious Jackson backing him up. Darian Durant had about 2000 less yards in the air than Pierce and he’ll be the Riders QB once again. He threw for just seven TD’s against six picks and frankly, has shown very little. He was riding the pine for two years before being instilled as the starter last year. Saskatchewan has relied upon a great defense the past couple of years and that has carried them a long way. However, this year they’ve lost at least three top defenders, difference makers if you will, and there are no significant replacements. Yeah, the Riders are tough at home but they’ll be no complacency for the Lions this year, as they’re out to make a giant statement this season. The Lions are far superior on offense, defense, coaching and QB and they want this one badly. Play: B.C. Lions –1.05 (Risking 3.15 units to win 3).
Stephen Nover
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Colorado Rockies
PICK: Arizona Diamondbacks
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It's worth a strong look any time you can get a superior starting pitcher at a 'dog price. That's the case here with Arizona's Max Scherzer opposing Jorge De La Rosa.
Scherzer only went 4 1/3 innings in his last start giving up eight runs in a 12-8 loss to the Angels. But only three of those runs were earned.
No that wasn't one of Scherzer's better performances. But in his four previous starts, the flame-throwing righty had a 1.46 ERA with 24 strikeouts in 24 2/3 innings.
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Scherzer is a tremendous young talent. He's a rising star. Arizona has won seven of his last 10 starts. De La Rosa, on the other hand, is a journeyman lucky to be on a major league roster.
To his credit, De La Rosa has been better than expected on the road. Of course the bar is set very low in his case. The lefty has struggled at Coors Field going 1-5 with a 7.97 ERA in seven home starts.
The Diamondbacks are not a good team. But their offense should pick up with the return of Chad Tracy, who was activated off the DL on Tuesday. The Diamondbacks do have the right-handed power bats to take advantage of De La Rosa.
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The Diamondbacks also have a good history at Coors having defeated the Rockies seven of the last nine times in Colorado.
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This is a one-unit play for me.
Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Boston Red Sox -115
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The Red Sox are 25-10 at home this season and 90-39 in their last 129 home games. They march Wakefield out to the hill tonight and that figures to a be a recipe for success when you consider that the Red Sox are 42-16 in his last 58 home starts and a perfect 7-0 in his home starts this season. In addition, the cross country trip to Bean Town has been brutal for the M's, who are just 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in Boston. While the M's put their ace on the hill tonight, I don't think they'll be able to provide enough run support to walk away with a win when you consider they are scoring just 3.8 runs per game against righty starters this season. Bet the Sox.
Ron Raymond
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ANA / BAL Over 10
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When Baltimore played as an Underdog - During Last 2 Years - With 1 Under or Less - Lost Last Game by 3 Runs or Less - With a SU Record of 1 Win 2 Lost in L3 Games; The OVER is 9-4-0 for the Orioles in this underdog role the L2Y.
The Spread
Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies, 8:10PM ET
Arizona is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Arizona is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games when playing Colorado
Colorado is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Pick: Colorado
Seattle Mariners at Boston Red Sox, 7:10PM ET
Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Seattle is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Boston is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Seattle
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Pick: Seattle
Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants, 10:15PM ET
Houston is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco
San Francisco is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
San Francisco is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Pick: San Francisco
Wunderdog
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Arizona at Colorado
Pick: Colorado -130
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The Arizona Diamondbacks have been futile on the road as they have a 1-5 mark in their last six road games. One of the biggest reasons is that they have scored just 16 runs, or 2.7 per game. They have already been shutout five times on the road, and have had a total of 13 games scoring two runs or less on the highway. That makes for a difficult time taking on a Rockies team that is red hot. The Rockies are scoring nearly six runs per game this season at home, and have won 10 of their last 12 here. The D-Backs are just 18-39 in their last 57 as a road dog, while the Rockies are on a 21-5 run in their last 26 games and are also 19-7 in their last 26 against a right-hand starter. I'm going with the hot hand here and playing the Rockies.
GREG SHAKER
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Chicago White Sox at Kansas City Royals
Play: WhiteSox +140
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One could almost say that the Royals are being steamed as this betting line has moved steadily upward since the Get Go and this play can be had as high as +148 at some books as I peck out these thoughts. And why is that? Because Greinke "The Wonder Boy" is pitching. His games have seen this same kind of result over his last 8 to 10 pitched and perhaps with good reason, as he has been solid as can be. However, he has not been as sharp lately and the WhiteSox thrower is having his best stint of the year. Danks as allowed just 6 runs over his last 4 starts. He is in a VERY GOOD SITUATION tonight facing the Royals who have been lefty handicapped and are 2-9 verses them this year. KC is beginning to figure out that they are not a good team. They have won just once here at Kaufman the last 9 times they have played here. They have lost 11 of 15 regardless of where they have played. We all know how hot the Chicago Squad is, so I will not bore you with that and during this streak I have bet them more than once. I think that I will do it again! Chicago is hitting the ball. They are playing great defense. They are getting very good starting and reliever pitching. They are winning games. And....they are HUGE DOGS tonight. What up with that?
Pluslinesprorts
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Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals
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A season-high four-game winning streak and a sweep of the defendingWorld Champions has put the Atlanta Braves back in the thick of theNL East race. A visit to Washington could help them climb even higher. Some challenges could lie ahead for the Braves on their 10-gameroad trip, but they'll first open a three-game set on Friday nightagainst the lowly Nationals. The Braves have struggled with consistency - especially offensively- this season, but picked a good time to find a bit of a groove,totaling 21 runs and 37 hits in a three-game sweep of Philadelphiaearlier this week. They're still in fourth place in the East, but only two games inback of the struggling Phillies, who are in a virtual tie withFlorida. Atlanta (38-40) is one game behind the third-place NewYork Mets. "(We've got) a long way to go, but we're happy with our position,"Braves manager Bobby Cox said. The winning streak has come without injured leadoff hitter NateMcLouth (hamstring), but Martin Prado has helped pick up the slack.He went 7 for 12 with three doubles, a home run and six RBIsagainst the Phillies. Casey Kotchman and Garret Anderson each hit two-run home runs, andMatt Diaz notched his second straight three-hit game in Thursday's5-2 win to cap their first home sweep of the Phillies in more thanfour years. The Braves last won five in a row from May 18-22, 2008. With anNL-worst 5.21 team ERA, Washington could help Atlanta keep rolling. Cox's club will face the Chicago Cubs and Colorado later in thetrip, but the Nationals (22-54) have the worst record in the majorleagues. They return home after a 1-5 road trip, which closed withthree straight losses to Florida including 5-3 on Wednesday asWashington stranded 13 runners. "We had plenty of chances," manager Manny Acta said. "I think,right now, our situational hitting flat out stinks." Rookie Ross Detwiler (0-4, 5.24 ERA) is well aware of that. He hasreceived one run of support in five of his eight starts, includinglast Friday at Baltimore as he allowed five runs in five-plusinnings of an 11-1 defeat. The Nationals are 1-7 when he pitches. His mound opponent will be Kenshin Kawakami (4-6, 4.25). Theright-hander has not pitched since June 24, when he was forced toleave after three perfect innings when he was hit in the base ofthe neck by a line drive from the bat of New York Yankees pitcherJoba Chamberlain. "I'm fine," Kawakami told the Braves' official Web site through atranslator. "I'm alive. At first, I was worried that it might havehit a bone. I'm glad it didn't." The 34-year-old rookie has allowed three or fewer earned runs ineach of his last 10 starts. He's 3-3 with a 3.18 ERA over that span. Both of his starts against Washington came before that stretch. Hebeat the Nationals in his major league debut on April 11, but lostto them 10 days later after allowing four runs - two earned - overfive-plus innings at Nationals Park. Atlanta swept the Nationals at home from April 10-12, but the teammanaged six total runs while losing two of three in the nation'scapital April 20-22.
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Pick: Atlanta -126