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Free Picks: Service Plays for Friday June, 15

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Dave Price

New York Mets -124

After dominating Tampa Bay on the road, look for the Mets to keep right on rolling at home this evening. The Mets have won 7 of their last 10 at home and are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Dillon Gee has quietly been pitching well, giving up 3 earned runs or less in each of his last 5 starts. Bronson Arroyo, meanwhile, has allowed 4 earned runs or more in 4 of his last 6 starts. Bet the Mets.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 11:58 am
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Jeff Alexander

Detroit Tigers -143

Fading the Rockies on the road as they have lost 8 in a row by an average of 4.9 runs. Detroit returns home with momentum after winning 4 of its last 5 on the road. Plus, Colorado's Jeff Francis is 0-4 on the money line in four career starts versus the Tigers. The Tigers are 44-14 in their last 58 interleague home games and 24-4 in their last 28 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. Take Detroit.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 11:58 am
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Jimmy Boyd

Los Angeles Dodgers -120

Chicago's Chris Sale is having an excellent season, but I won't hesitate to get behind the reigning NL Cy Young at this price. The Dodgers have won 9 of Kershaw's 13 starts this season and are 36-16 in his last 52 starts. They are 19-7 in his last 26 home starts, 7-0 in his last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The Dodgers are a terrific 36-16 in their last 52 home games and 41-15 in their last 56 games as a favorite. Since winning 13 of 14, the White Sox have gone just 4-7. The Dodgers, meanwhile, are 7-3 in their last 10 games. Take L.A.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 11:59 am
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John Ryan

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Play: Houston Astros

5* graded play on the Houston Astros as they take on the Texas Rangers set to start at 8:05 PM ET. I always enjoy playing dogs of +230 or greater as they will make you money over the course of the season. Of course, there will be blowout losers, but over time, and that is what truly matters, these dogs will get the job done for you. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 49-42 for just 54% winners, but has made 56.2 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on NL road dogs with a money line of +175 to +250 and is a team with a low on-base percentage of .350 or less and with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 5.20 to 5.70 on the season and is now facing a team with a good bullpen sporting a WHIP of 1.350 or less. This amazing system has averaged a +200 dog and clearly shows you that your greatest opportunity to make money in MLB is to identify dogs that can win consistently over the course of the season. Texas was hammered 11-3 by the Arizona Diamondbacks Thursday and this does not put the Rangers in the best of spots for this game. Note, that they are just 7-15 losing 13.3 units per one unit wagered using the money line after allowing nine runs or more in games encompassing games played over the last two seasons. Take the Astros.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 11:59 am
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Ross King

Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
Play: Texas Rangers -1.5

Darvish has complained that the 5 day starting rotation is getting to him and was given 7 days before this start like he got while playing in Japan.Texas is currently 18-7 after a loss and 107-68 the last 3 seasons.Texas has beaten Houston 17 of the lastt 22 times.Houston is currently 9-22 currently on the road and 68-126 the last 3 seasons.Houston starter Lyles is 0-5 with an e.r.a of 5.94 in his last 12 starts and is 0-2 e.r.a 7.00 whip 1.833 versus Texas.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 12:00 pm
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WUNDERDOG

San Diego at Oakland
Pick: Oakland -120

You know you're not a good road team when you sweep your last opponent, but stand at 9-21 on the road for the season. The struggle is a spillover from a year ago, and the Padres are now 13-34 in their last 47 on the road, so the low number here certainly has some merit on the A's. That is especially true as the Padres wheel out Anthony Bass, who has been a colossal struggle, yielding 19 earned runs in his last 21 innings of work, so the A's should be able to generate a big inning or two. The Padres have really struggled vs. left-hand pitching which has left them at a woeful 14-40 in their last 54 when facing one. The A's have been super as an interleague favorite where they are now a whopping 93-45 in their last 138. Play on Oakland.

 
Posted : June 15, 2012 2:27 pm
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