EZWINNERS
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Cincinnati Reds @ St. Louis Cardinals
Play: St. Louis Cardinals
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Cincinnati's starting pitcher Johnny Cueto started off the season pitching lights out, but he has been in a terrible funk since the beginning of July. Cueto has gone 0-5 in his last six starts with a 9.85 ERA, the worst slump of his short two year career. Cuerto is 2-0 against St. Louis this season, but that when when he was pitching very well and that was also before the Cardinal's improved their lineup with the acquisition of Matt Holiday. The Cardinals starting pitcher Kyle Lohse has been lit up on the road lately where his road ERA in over 7, but he has pitched well at home where his ERA is under 3. The Reds are only 7-19 in their last 26 road games and I expect St. Louis to knock Cuerto around in this game. Play on the Cardinals.
KING CREOLE
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Chicago Cubs @ Colorado Rockies
Play: Over
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Behind the Dish at Coors Field tonight will be one of our favorite "OVER" Umpires in JIM REYNOLDS. He comes in with a 12-7 O/U record on the year. Percentage-wise, he comes in as the #3 "OVER" Umpire on the season at 63%. In terms of current form, he's trending well, going 4-1 O/U in his last 5 games with an average of 11.2 RPG. In National League parks, he's gone OVER at a 67% Clip (8-4 O/U). His numbers on the season are not a fluke. He's gone 33-18-3 O/U in the last year and a half (19-9 in NL parks)... and 54-32-5 O/U in the last 2.5 years (30-15 O/U in NL parks). In Colorado Rockie games, Reynolds has gone 8-1 O/U in the last 3 seasons. That includes 3-1 O/U "In THIS park", with a whopping average of 15.8 combined runs per game. With projected winds blowing OUT to straightaway Center Field, we'll take a small bite on the "OVER".
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Florida Marlins -150
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The Marlins just pulled off an impressive 3-game sweep over defending World Series champion Philly on the road and I expect them to keep right on rolling at home tonight against an Astros club that has lost 5 straight to them in Florida. I like the Marlin bats against Moehler. The Astros have dropped each of his last 3 starts, during which he has posted an ERA of 6.75. Plus, the Astros are also just 1-4 in Moehler's last 5 Monday starts. The Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing record, 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games, and 21-8 in their last 29 games as a favorite. VandenHurk has been roughed up a few times, but he has an ERA of 3.00 and a WHIP of 0.833 and I like him to get the job done against an Astros lineup that has struggled to score runs all season away from home. Take the Fish at home.
Ben Burns
Chicago White Sox at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Under
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This o/u line has climbed from 8.5 to nine at some shops and I feel that move has created some value with the 'under.'
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Floyd goes for the visitors and he's been outstanding lately. Despite facing the likes of the Yankees, Angels and Tigers, he's managed a superb 1.21 ERA and 0.94 WHIP his last three starts. During that stretch, he's allowed just three earned runs in 22 1/3 innings. He had 23 K's (only five walks) and didn't allow a single home run. Not surprisingly, all three games stayed below the total.
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French, acquired in the Washburn trade, hasn't been as sharp as Floyd lately and wasn't all that great in his Seattle debut. That said, he's still got a respectable 3.93 ERA and an excellent 2.32 ERA (1.286 WHIP) in two home starts. Both games stayed below the total. He'll also have the advantage of starting against the Sox for the first time.
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Recent results notwithstanding, both teams have been profitable for 'under' bettors this season. If you can get a '9,' consider the Under
GINA
Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels
Tampa Bay Rays have lost 10 of the last 11 games versus the Angels in Los Angeles and are 5-11 in Matt Garza's (7-8, 3.63 ERA), last 16 road starts. The right-hander is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA in two career starts against the LA Angels. Go with the Los Angeles Angels at home. The Angels have won 26 of the last 31 contests versus the Rays at Angel Stadium and are 5-1 in rookie right-hander Sean O`Sullivan (3-1, 4.24), last 6 starts.
Los Angeles Angels +110
MLB Computer Picks
New York Yankees -145
St. Louis Cardinals -165
Los Angeles Angels +105
Mr. A's
New York Yankees -150
Arizona Diamondbacks -160
ATS Consultants
San Fransisco over LA Dodgers - Preferred Play
The Giants are tied for the Wild Card and have been lights out in the pitching department. Led by Cy young favorite Lincecum the home standing Giants will be too much for the Dodgers. San Fransisco 5-1
Over in the Seattle/Chicago W.S. game - Preferred Play
Jeff Saad
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Mets at D-Backs
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Doug Davis is getting a lot of respect with this betting line because he has a 1.89 ERA his last three starts. However, 11 walks in 19 innings during that time is not good. And 70 walks in 137 total innings is a terrible ratio, which partly explains a 6-10 record, along with a lousy offense. Mets starter Mike Pelfrey (8-7) has excellent control and his last three starts sports a 2.95 ERA, offering great value on the visitors.
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Play the Mets.
Tony George
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Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners
Play: MChicago White Sox
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I Passed on this game as my play of the day, but I like them even on the road tonight at Seattle for a free one. I know all about the White Soxs struggles on the road and the bad karma for them in Seattle, but Gavin Floyd's recent performance index is off the chart. A 0.94 WHIP and a 1.21 ERA his last 3 starts, and really has been damn near unhittable. Also taking into account a weak bullpen from Seattle having over a 6 ERA thir last 3 games. Chicago just lost a series to Tampa Bay and look to pick up a rare road win against a beatable team whose starter, Lucas French, has tossed out a 6.46 ERA his last 3 games, I like Floyd in this one, who has already beaten Seattle this year as a starter.
Wunderdog
New York Mets at Arizona
Pick: OVER 9
Looking at this Mets' offense, there's nothing scary about it. They were a team that went through a stretch of 30 games where they were shutout eight times. What has gone unnoticed is the fact that the Mets have been finding quite a bit of offense lately, and have not been shutout since July 21 in Washington. Their last 17 games shows a team scoring at an above-average clip for any team as the Mets have produced 5.1 runs a game. The Diamondbacks are the lowest-scoring team against lefthand pitching at 3.8 runs per game, but do far better against righthanders where the offense is a full run better at 4.8 per game. It is one of the reasons why they have played 15-7-2 to the OVER in their last 24 against righthand pitching. The Mets' pitching has been very inconsistent, and after allowing two runs or less, they have played OVER in their next game to a record of 30-14-3. I like this one to go OVER the total.
Scott Rickenbach
San Francisco vs Los Angeles
Play Under
The Dodgers are 30-20 to the under this season when playing against a team that is above .500 on the season. Also, Los Angeles is 7-4 to the under when they are installed as a small road favorite (up to -125). The Giants are 28-19 to the under when the posted total is 8 or 8.5 on their game. Also, San Francisco is chilly and damp at this time of year and so, it should come as no surprise that the Giants are 39-26 to the under in the month of August the last three years. This evening is going to be milder than usual by San Francisco standards but the pitching match-up here is still dictating a low-scoring affair.
The Dodgers send Hiroki Kuroda to the mound and he's allowed three earned runs or less in 9 of his 13 starts this season. Opponents are hitting just .239 against Kuroda in his road outings this season. The Giants are sending Jonathan Sanchez to the mound tonight. The talented southpaw is 4-1 at home this season with a 3.26 ERA. Also, opponents are hitting just .226 against him this season. He's coming off of a rock solid start where he shut out Houston for seven innings to begin August. As for July, Sanchez Dating back to July 1st, Sanchez has given up just 17 hits in his last 34.2 innings of work and we look for another strong effort from here. That leads to a pitchers duel at AT & T Park. Consider a small play on UNDER the total in San Francisco on Monday night.
LARRY NESS
Los Angeles Dodgers @ San Francisco Giants
PICK: San Francisco Giants
The Dodgers took over first place in the NL West back on April 15 and despite a 50-game suspension to Manny, have had a stranglehold on the division lead ever since. However, for the first time all season, the Dodgers look a little vulnerable. After edging the Braves 5-4 on Thursday night (won on a walk-off, three-run HR in the 9th), LA lost the final three games of its series with Atlanta. That makes 10 losses over its last 15 games and the team's division lead is down to 5 1/2 games over both the Giants and the hard-charging Rockies. The Giants missed an opportunity to get closer to the Dodgers this past weekend, losing two of three games at home against lthe lowly Reds but let's not forget that San Francisco is an NL-best 38-18 at home in 2009. The Dodgers won their first three meetings with the Giants this season but have dropped four of the last six games between the two teams. Los Angeles will go with Hiroki Kuroda (4-5 with a 4.44 ERA) and San Francisco with Jonathan Sanchez. Kuroda was LA's Opening Day starter but went on the DL a few days after that start and stayed there for almost two months. LA is 8-5 in his 13 starts this year, including a perfect 4-0 in his four starts since the All Star break (Kuroda's ERA is 3.91 in that stretch). As for Sanchez, most are aware that he pitched MLB's first no-hitter of the season back on July 10. He's 5-9 with a 4.49 ERA on the year in 18 starts but while his road ERA is 5.52 (team is 1-9), his home ERA is 3.26 with the Giants going 5-3. The Giants have been getting the job done at home all season and I'll ride them again tonight.
Gamehunter
CUBS +133 (1.5 UNITS)
METS +145 (1.5 UNITS)
TORONTO +137 (1.5 UNITS)
BOSTON -110 (1.5 UNITS)