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Free Picks: Service Plays for Monday August 3,2009

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John Ryan
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Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Dodgers as they face Milwaukee set to start at 10:10 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 94-18 for 84% winners since 1997 and has made 57.3 units in profits. Play on all favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 that are poor power teams averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season and after a win by 4 runs or more. Nailed 7* Titan winner with the Dodgers last night and it certainly stands to reason that are wroth to be a 3* graded Major today despite the steep price. Dodgers are a solid team essentially because they do not have several home run type players in their lineup. They simply get men on base, move them over in situational plays, and then score runs through sacrifice flies, ground balls hit to the right side, and of course another base hit. Having men on base consistently places enormous pressure on the pitcher and the defense. You will see this type of play again tonight. Add in an excellent Dodger bullpen and they become a team that certainly will contend for the World Championship. Milwaukee is just 3-15 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 2 seasons.

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:23 am
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Freddy Wills
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San Francisco Giants vs. Houston Astros
Play: Under 8
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Today we go with the under on this game as Matt Cain faces off against Mike Hampton. Cain has a 2.27ERA with a 6-1 record on the road this year which is by far the best road pitcher from any team if you ask me. 85% of the public have jumped on board with the Giants yet the line has dropped from -138 to -128. Why would this happen with such a dominant hurler on the mound and one that has pitched well on the road and against the Astros who are struggling against RH starters? They are expecting a bounce back performance from Mike Hampton here tonight after giving up 9ER in 4IP in his last start. Giants have a .237 average against Hampton in his career and Hampton has a 2.76 ERA in 2GS with Atlanta against the Giants from 2008. Hampton's biggest problem has been the long ball. He's given up HR in his poor starts. Lucky for him on Monday the Giants are ranked 23rd in the league in HRs. I expect a bounce back start from him tonight. The Under is 8-1 in Cains last 9 following a quality start and the under is 37-15-2 in the Astros last 54 home starts vs. a RH starter now facing one of the best in the bigs here tonight!

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:24 am
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Rocketman

Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
Play: Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs is 55-48 overall this year while Cincinnati is now 45-59 overall this season. Chicago Cubs are 7-1 this year when playing against a team with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Cincinnati is 2-13 this year when playing against a team with a winning record in the 2nd half of the season. Cubs have won 8 of their last 11 games overall. Cincinnati has lost 12 of their last 13 games overall. Cincinnati is scoring only 4 runs per game overall, 4 runs per game at home and 4.1 runs per game against right handed starters this year. Randy Wells is 7-4 with a 2.84 ERA overall this year, 3-1 with a 2.62 ERA on the road and 3-0 with a 3.32 ERA his last 3 starts. Aaron Harang is 5-12 overall this year and 0-3 with a 6.30 ERA his last 3 starts. We'll recommend a small play on the Chicago Cubs tonight!

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:38 am
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Nelly

Houston + over San Francisco

Mike Hampton was hit hard in his last outing but his results have been better at home and he should be capable of rebounding with a solid start. Matt Cain has some of the best numbers in the National League and as a result the Giants are a heavy road favorite despite being ten games below .500 on the road for the year. San Francisco bats just .243 on the road and the Astros have been a far better hitting team overall this season. Houston received a much needed win on Sunday and the Astros are 8-3 in the last eleven home games. Houston has won seven of the last nine meetings and San Francisco is 3-9 in the last twelve road games. Cain is tough to go-against but he is not the same pitcher away from the Bay area and the Giants have not proven they can win on the road.

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:39 am
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Mr. Vegas Wins
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Rangers at Oakland
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Texas has a fine offense and Oakland has been playing well offensively of late, on a 9-1 run over the total. Dustin Nippert of the Rangers has allowed 29 base runners in 21 innings, while Oakland lefty Brett Anderson has allowed more hits than innings pitched. This is a low total for an American League game, especially ones without an ace on the hill.
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Play the Rangers/Oakland Over the total.

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:46 am
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Dave Price

1 Unit on Chicago Cubs -131

The Reds have really hit the skids, dropping 6 straight at home, and they are just 6-20 in their last 26 games as an underdog. On top of that, they have lost Harang's last 4 starts and 4 straight to the Cubbies. The Cubs are 7-0 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record and 14-3 in their last 17 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. They should also be in good hands with Wells on the hill as they are 7-0 in his last 7 starts as a favorite. Bet the Cubs.

 
Posted : August 3, 2009 10:55 am
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