John Ryan
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: Baltimore Orioles
5* graded play on Baltimore as they take on San Francisco set to start at 10:15 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a reasonable probability that Baltimore will win this game. Yes, they are certainly the worst team in baseball, but their recent struggles against the Mets has seen the public start to presume they will lose every game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 50-59 making 32.6 units since 2004. Play against home favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 with a decent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 to 1.450 on the season and averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game on the season. These are great systems and you should certainly record them and use them as qualified games are presented. These types of systems are analogous to playing Black Jack and getting paid $1.83 for every winning $1.00 hand played. The average play of the system is a +183 dog. So, you can hit just 46% winners during the course of your evening of Black Jack at the casino and still walk out a meaningful winner. This is also the BEST method of makig money in MLB. Take Baltimore.
Jack Jones
Toronto Blue Jays +102
After 3 straight losses, including setbacks in 6 of their last 7, I'm taking the Blue Jays to bounce back Monday behind Shaun Marcum. The righty is 5-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.125 WHIP this season as one of the better starters in the American League. Jon Garland has been solid this year for San Diego, but the righty is 0-2 with a 4.95 ERA in his last 3 starts. Toronto is 29-21 against right-handed starters this season, scoring 5.3 RPG while hitting 92 home runs in just 50 games. Compare that to San Diego, who are hitting just .244 while scoring 4.0 RPG against righty starters with only 33 home runs in 41 games, and you can see why I am backing the Blue Jays Monday.
The Blue Jays are 17-9 against the money line after batting .250 or worse over a 20 game span this season. The Padres are just 4-14 against the money line in home games after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons. Cito Gaston is 22-9 against the money line vs. terrible power teams - averaging 0.75 or less HR's/game as the coach of Toronto. Bud Black is 18-36 in interleague games as the coach of San Diego. This is a very even match-up on the mound, but the advantage goes to the Blue Jays with their ability to put up runs in bunches. Plus, Toronto is more hungry for a win tonight after a recent stretch of poor play. Take the Blue Jays Monday.
Freddy Wills
Baltimore Orioles vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants -1½
Orioles have been just plain awful on the road this year going 6-25 of which they have lost 68% by more than 1 run. The Giants have been great at home at 22-11 and have won 73% of those by more than one run. They have a clear pitching advantage with Sanchez on the mound who has a 2.31 ERA at home and goes up against an Orioles team getting just 2.73 runs per 9 vs. LHP on the year and 1.56 runs per 9 over their last 5.
Jeff Alexander
1 Unit on LA Angels -149
The Angels are rolling, having won 10 of their last 12, and I like their chances against Wolf, who has been getting lit up, tonight. Wolf's ERA is up to 8.26 over his last 3 starts, and the Brewers have been outscored 8-27 in those games. Meanwhile, Saunders have found his groove, allowing just 1 earned run in each of his last 2 starts with the Angels winning each of those games by a count of 7-1. In addition, the Angels have taken care of business against the teams they should beat, going 13-4 against teams with a winning percentage of just 38 to 46% this season. Take the Halos at home.
Dave Price
1 Unit on Orioles/Giants UNDER 8
Baltimore is 21-9-1 to the Under in all road games this season, and I expect this trend to continue when you consider how good Sanchez has been at home (2.31 ERA this season). Plus, the Under is 5-1-1 in Sanchez's last 7 interleague starts. We also can't overlook the fact that the Under is 8-3 in Tillman's last 11 starts. The Under is 17-8-3 in the Giants' last 28 home games and it is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two clubs. Bet the Under tonight.