GoodFella
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FLA -1.5 (+115) vs WAS
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Florida THRIVES OFF left-handed starters & we have a subpar starter going for the Nattys tonight...in Scott Olsen... & need I even mention their bullpen.......For the Marlins, they have Nolasco starting & I have personally watched his L/3 starts & his command & confidence is back to where it needs to be...We have a nice starting pitchind edge here, to go along with the edge in the bully, we have the Marlins facing a lefty starter & they are playing at home....I really think they will jump out early & have the Natty's chasing them...Here are some numbers to back up what I said above....Nolasco L/3 starts: 2-0, 1.50 ERA, with a WHIP of 0.833, 18 IP, 3 ER, 2 BB, 21 K's. Scott Olsen on the road this season: 1-3, 7.87 ERA, with a WHIP of 2.167. Florida is 18-10 vs left-handed starters this season & they average 5.1 runs per game off leftys, .5 runs more than their season average of 4.6. I really like the Marlins to come away with a fairly easy win here tonight.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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CHC (-110) vs PIT
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If the Chicago Cubs are going to be serious contenders in the NL Central, they?ll probably need to show some improvement on the road. Visiting the last-place Pittsburgh Pirates may be just what they need. The Cubs go to Pittsburgh on Monday night to begin a three-game series, which will end a 10-game road trip on which they?ve managed only one win thus far. Chicago (35-37) entered this trip riding a four-game winning streak. That run was halted with a 2-0 loss at Atlanta last Monday as the Cubs stranded 12 runners. It turned out to be the first of six losses in seven games, including Sunday?s 6-0 defeat to the Chicago White Sox as the Cubs were held to four hits; however I expect them to have a strong game this evening. Rich Harden (4-4, 4.95 ERA) will try to get Chicago off to a strong start as he looks to convert his first game against Pittsburgh into his first win in nearly seven weeks. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 5.64 ERA in four starts since a 6-2 win over San Diego on May 12. His losing streak started five days later with a 6-5 defeat to Houston, and a lower back strain landed him on the disabled list the following day; however it's interesting to note that the Pirates are a horrible 10-21 (-10.2 units) against division opponents and I expect this trend to continue this evening. Good value on the CUBS!
Rob Homyak
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5 Units on Minnesota Twins
Play On All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (MINNESOTA) revenging 2 straight losses vs opponent as a home favorite, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
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35-10 over the last 5 seasons.
77.8% (22.5 units)
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Minnesota won 4 of 6 away from home. Blackburn had gone 4-0 with an ERA of1.64 over a six-start span and allowed 2 runs or less in 5 of those appearances. Blackburn is 6-3 on the season with an ERA of 3.11 and his ERA is down to 2.52 over his last 3 starts and 2-0 against the money line when starting against K.C. with an ERA of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.913 in his career. The Twins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City and 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series. The Royals have dropped 5 straight at home and are 0-6 in Hochevar's last 6 starts vs. the American League Central and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a home underdog.
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Head to Head
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Twins are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Kansas City.
Stephen Nover
Dodgers -$1.10 vs Rockies
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Analysis: The Rockies have lost eight of their last nine games to the Dodgers. Rockies starter Ubaldo Jimenez struggles versus the Dodgers. He's already lost three times to them this season with a fat 10.20 ERA, giving up 17 earned runs in 15 innings. The Dodgers' projected lineup tonight is batting .339 against him.
In nine career starts against the Dodgers, Jimenez has a 6.99 ERA. The Rockies are vulnerable in middle relief and closer Huston Street is unlikely to pitch having worked three straight games.
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Colorado is 7-21 in Jimenez's last 28 road starts.
Dodgers starter Randy Wolf has been excellent at home if you exclude his last start at Dodger Stadium when he was feeling under the weather.
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Discounting that outing, Wolf has allowed two earned runs in his previous four home starts spanning 24 innings. His strikeout-to-walk ratio during this time frame was 23-to-5.
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The Dodgers are 10-2 the past 12 times Wolf has been a home favorite.
Rocketman
Houston @ San Diego
Pick: Houston -140
Houston is 35-38 on the season while San Diego comes in with a 33-41 overall record this year. Houston has won 3 of their last 4 games overall. San Diego is scoring only 3.7 runs per game at home this year and their team batting average is only .214 in home games this season. Roy Oswalt has a 3.00 ERA his last 3 starts. Josh Geer has a 5.86 ERA overall this year and is 0-1 with a 6.62 ERA his last 3 starts. Houston is 3-0 against San Diego this year. Oswalt is 9-2 with a 2.97 ERA overall vs San Diego since 1997 while Geer is 0-1 with a 15.00 ERA overall vs Houston since 1997. We'll recommend a small play on Houston tonight!
Prez 10* please? 🙂