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Free Picks: Service Plays for Saturday July 11,2009

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SPORTS ADVISORS

NATIONAL LEAGUE

L.A. Dodgers (55-31) at Milwaukee (44-42)

Jeff Weaver (5-2, 3.32 ERA) is slated to make his fifth start of the season and his first in three weeks when he leads the Dodgers against the Brewers and rookie Mike Burns (1-2, 5.57) at Miller Park.

Los Angeles opened the three-game series Friday night with a 12-8, 10-inning victory, putting together a six-run 10th that featured a Matt Kemp grand slam, then it fended off Milwaukee after allowing two runs in the bottom of the inning. The Dodgers are 5-2 on their current nine-game road trip, and despite continuing to sport baseball’s best record, Joe Torre’s club is just 8-7 in its last 15 games (5-4 on the road). However, the Dodgers are still on positive runs of 6-1 against right-handed starters and 15-4 on Saturday.

Milwaukee has dropped seven of its last nine, scoring two runs or fewer in five of the seven defeats. The Brewers have also struggled with L.A. of late, losing 36 of the last 52 meetings.

Weaver has been consistent in a starting role for the Dodgers, going exactly five innings in all four of his starts while yielding a combined seven runs over those 20 innings (3.15 ERA). L.A. is 3-1 in Weaver’s four starts this season and 11-5 in his last 16 starts going back to his first stint with the club in 2005-06.

The veteran right-hander is 3-2 with a 5.51 ERA in seven appearances (one start) on the road, yielding 10 runs (all earned), 21 hits and nine walks in 16 1/3 innings. Also, the well-traveled Weaver has faced Milwaukee seven times in his career (six starts), going 3-3 with a 4.35 ERA.

Burns followed up his first career victory – a 6-3 home win over the Mets – with his worst start to date, getting clobbered in Sunday’s 8-2 loss at the Cubs as he surrendered seven runs in 4 2/3 innings. In his two starts at Miller Park, the right-hander is 1-1 with a 4.38 ERA, and this marks his first-ever appearance against Los Angeles.

Milwaukee carries “under” streaks of 4-1 at home, 8-3 against the N.L. West and 4-2 versus right-handed starters. Conversely, the Dodgers are on “over” runs of 6-1 overall, 8-1 on the road, 7-1 in Weaver’s last eight road starts and 10-2 in Weaver’s last 12 versus the N.L. Central. The over is also 3-0 in Burns’ first three big-league starts and 5-1 in the last six Brewers-Dodgers clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER

AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (51-35) at L.A. Angels (47-37)

The streaking Yankees continue their three-game weekend series in Anaheim against the Angels, with veteran Andy Pettitte (8-4, 4.53) set to oppose Jared Weaver (9-3, 3.07).

New York finally cooled off a bit in Friday night’s opener, blowing a 4-0 second-inning lead and losing 10-6 after giving up three-run homers to Kendry Morales and Erick Aybar. The loss snapped the Yankees’ eight-game road win streak, but despite the setback, they’re still playing their best baseball of the season, winning six out of eight and 13 of its last 16 games. Also, Joe Girardi’s troops have won nine in a row against right-handed starters and are on additional runs of 36-18 overall, 10-5 against the A.L. West and 13-4 against winning teams.

Los Angeles halted a two-game hiccup with Friday’s win and is 18-8 in its last 26 games overall, including 7-3 at home. Mike Scioscia’s club is also 4-1 in its last five against southpaw starters.

The host has won 10 of the last 12 meetings in this rivalry, including three of four this season. Additionally, the Angels are 6-1 in the last seven series clashes in Anaheim.

Pettitte got roughed up Monday against Toronto, yielding six runs, five hits (two home runs) and five walks in six innings, losing 7-6, and he now has just three quality starts in his last 10 trips to the mound. Still, with Pettitte on the hill, New York is on streaks of 8-3 overall (3-1 last four), 4-0 on the road and 4-1 on Saturday.

Pettitte has been much better on the highway this season (4-1, 2.79 ERA in seven starts) than at Yankee Stadium (4-3, 5.72 ERA), but he’s struggled in day games (1-2, 5.29 ERA in five contests). Also, he opposed Weaver in the Bronx back on May 1 and gave up five runs on nine hits and four walks in 5 2/3 innings, but the Yankees’ offense bailed him out and won 10-9. Including that no-decision, Pettitte is 12-8 with a 4.52 ERA in 26 career starts versus the Halos.

Weaver bounced back from his worst loss of the season – seven runs allowed in 5 1/3 innings at Texas – with a strong effort against the Rangers at home Monday, yielding three runs in seven innings of a 9-4 victory. The right-hander is now 6-1 with a sterling 1.91 ERA in nine home outings this season. As a team, L.A. is 7-2 in Weaver’s last nine starts overall, 9-2 in last 11 at home (7-2 this year) and 9-3 in his last 12 outings against A.L. East squads.

Weaver got a no-decision when he faced Pettitte in the Bronx on May 1, giving up four runs in six innings. He’s 3-1 in five career starts against New York despite a bloated 6.11 ERA, and in three daytime contests this year, he’s 2-1 with a 1.12 ERA.

With Pettitte pitching, the “under” is on stretches of 44-19-1 overall, 19-7 on the highway and 6-1 versus the A.L. West. The under is also 6-2 in Weaver’s last eight starts at home, but his last four starts overall have topped the total.

For Los Angeles, the “over” is on runs of 5-1 overall (all at home), 5-1-1 against the A.L. East and 5-2-1 versus lefty starters, while New York has hurdled the total in six of its last seven overall. Finally, in this rivalry, the “over” is on stretches of 14-4 overall, 11-3 in Anaheim and 4-0 with Weaver facing the Yankees.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and OVER

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:01 am
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DUNKEL

Chicago White Sox at Minnesota

The Twins look to take advantage of a White Sox team that is just 1-6 in Gavin Floyd's last 7 road starts. Minnesota is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120).

Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Thompson) 15.422; Cubs (Lilly) 15.351
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-170); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+160); N/A

Game 903-904: Washington at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Stammen) 15.299; Houston (Hampton) 15.011
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+160); Under

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Weaver) 15.346; Milwaukee (Burns) 14.208
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-115); Over

Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 14.573; Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.240
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-230); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-230); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.122; NY Mets (Santana) 12.898
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+135); Over

Game 911-912: Florida at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 17.060; Arizona (Garland) 15.910
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+110); Over

Game 913-914: Atlanta at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.125; Colorado (Marquis) 14.407
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+120); Over

Game 915-916: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 13.342; San Francisco (Cain) 15.816
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.884; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.256
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Braden) 15.617; Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.011
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 921-922: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Pavano) 13.750; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.223
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Over

Game 923-924: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.537; Baltimore (Hill) 15.072
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+105); Under

Game 925-926: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.843; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.301
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Over

Game 927-928: Kansas City at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Meche) 14.869; Boston (Smoltz) 15.314
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-170); Over

Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Millwood) 15.607; Seattle (Washburn) 16.468
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-110); Under

WNBA

Atlanta at New York
The Liberty look to bounce back from a 69-60 home loss to LA and build on their 23-9 ATS record in their last 32 games following an ATS loss. New York is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Liberty favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (-4).

Game 651-652: Los Angeles at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 114.182; Washington 111.304
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 3; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 2 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+2 1/2); Over

Game 653-654: Detroit at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 107.650; Connecticut 115.301
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 154
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 6; 150
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-6); Over

Game 655-656: Atlanta at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 109.286; New York 115.711
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 144 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 149
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Under

Game 657-658: Phoenix at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 115.611; Sacramento 112.399
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 3; 170
Vegas Line & Total: Sacramento by 1 1/2; 173 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1 1/2); Under

CFL

Saskatchewan at Toronto
The Argonauts look to take advantage of a Saskatchewan team that is 0-4 ATS in its last 4 road games. Toronto is the pick (-2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Argonauts favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2).

Game 407-408: Saskatchewan at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 108.969; Toronto 112.231
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 52
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-2 1/2); Over

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:02 am
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VEGAS EXPERTS
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St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs
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The Cubs will be more than happy not to be underdogs today as Friday's loss dropped them to a miserable 2-14 in that role this season. Now, the "cards" are in their favor as St. Louis averages a scant 3.8 runs per game vs. lefties and must solve Ted Lilly, who boasts a fantastic 1.96 ERA in eight home starts this season. St. Louis starter Brad Thompson has been a disaster of late with three straight losses, including two by a combined 21-0 margin!
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Play on: Chicago Cubs

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:06 am
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Cajun Sports
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Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles
Play: Baltimore Orioles
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The second game of this three-game weekend set at Camden Yards between the host Baltimore Orioles and the visiting Toronto Blue Jays has a first pitch scheduled for 7:05PM Eastern Time on Saturday evening. The Jays took the opener by a final score of 2 to 0 on Friday. We expect the host to bounce back on Saturday night they had previously won three straight at home versus Toronto until the loss yesterday. Toronto is 18-26 W/L (-6.4) on the highway this season and only 8-17 W/L (-10.0) when facing division opponents. The Blue Jays will send left-hander Ricky Romero to the bump with his record of 2-2 W/L and ERA of 3.60 when he starts away from home. He was involved in the Jays 0-3 W/L performance their last trip here the end of May. Romero started on May 26th pitched for 5.3 innings allowing five earned runs on eleven hits including three homeruns in a 7 to 2 loss. He faces an Orioles team that has averaged 5.3 runs per game at home this season with a batting average of .299 and an OBP of .361. The Orioles have held opponents to 4.7 runs per game with a .277 batting average and an OBP of .331 at Camden Yards in 2009. The Orioles will send Bradley Bergesen to the hill with his 5-1 W/L home record and ERA of 2.83 in nine starts this season Baltimore has won seven of those nine games. Bergesen took the mound in Toronto back on May 2 pitching for 6 innings giving up 3 earned runs in a 5 to 4 loss but was not involved in the decision. The Orioles are 4-1 W/L the last 5 Bergesen starts at home. The Jays are 5-16 W/L on the road versus teams that have a winning home record, 4-17 W/L versus the AL East and 1-7 W/L when installed as a road favorite. Our TPR (Team Performance Ratings) Index projects an Orioles win by 0.88 runs in tonight’s contest. Our Math Model and Pitcher Efficiency Index have the Orioles winning by a larger margin with the Math Model projecting a win by 1.4 runs and our PEI has them winning by 1.79 runs. We will back the host as they bounce back from Friday’s loss and get the Game Two victory.
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Graded Selection: 2* Baltimore Orioles 6 Toronto Blue Jays 4

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:06 am
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Craig Trapp
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Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets
Play: New York Mets
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Going to make this quick and easy today. Cueto has been horrible his last three starts all were terrible. On the other hand Santana has been awesome even though he has not received the run support to turn into some wins. Today CIN will continue there struggles at the plate specially since Santana is on of the best pitchers in the NL. The Mets have struggled to score but will get enough to get a win for NYM today.!!

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:07 am
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Brad Diamond Sports
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Play on: Philadelphia -1 1/2 runs over Pittsburgh
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Key spot here for Philly with ace lefty Cole Hamels on the hill as they have now won 7 of 8 and look to close out the first-half with a sweep of the Pirates. Hamels looks to improve over his earlier form, but still has a tendency to give up the long ball, much like Joe Blanton last night. However, with the offense finally scoring runs in bunches, I'll back the red hot Phillies. Don't miss my solid Fox Game Of The Week Up Now.

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:08 am
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Marc Lawrence
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New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels
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The Angels and Yankees meet in Game Two in Anaheim Saturday afternoon when Jered Weaver takes the mound for the Halos against Andy Pettite and the Pinstripes. Weaver enters today's game knowing he is 7-2 in his last nine team starts. He's also 4-1with a 3.77 ERA at home lifetime in July, including 4 straight wins. On the flip side, Pettite is 1-3 with a 7.97 ERA in his last four starts against the Angels. Stay at home with the Halos here today.

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:10 am
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JIM FEIST
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WASHINGTON NATIONALS / HOUSTON ASTROS
Take WASHINGTON NATIONALS
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The Washington offense is decent, ranked 3rd in the NL in on base percentage, and they play in a hitter's park here. Starter Craig Stammen has good stuff, allowing 3 earned runs or less in 4 of the last 5 starts. Houston is 10th in the NL in runs scored and lefty Mike Hampton has below average stuff at this point in his career. The Astros are 4-8 his last 12 starts, yet he's a big favorite here. The value is all with the visitors. Play the Nationals.

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:13 am
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BIG AL
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At 4:10pm our member selection is on the St. Louis Cardinals over the Chicago Cubs. There are plenty of All-Star snubs to point out this year (Russell Branyan and Nick Markakis in the American League; Adam Dunn and Jason Werth in the National League) but when it comes to pitchers (who are chosen by the coaches and not the fans) perhaps the one name that stands out the most is the Cardinals' Chris Carpenter, who pitched yesterday vs. the Cubs' Rich Harden. After all, we're talking about a former Cy Young award winner who came back this season from major surgery to put up phenomenal numbers so far, despite a short stint on the shelf with an injury. And we're also talking about a guy who has pitched the last seven seasons of his Major League career in St. Louis, the host city of this season's mid-summer Classic. In contrast, today's starter for the Cubbies, veteran Ted Lilly will not only be at the All-Star Game in St. Louis next Tuesday, but he will be the Cubs' lone representative to the game. Pretty surprising when you consider that many people picked Chicago to win its division and perhaps go much further this season. But the offense really hasn't clicked so far for Lou Piniella and company, and Lilly and his teammates will certainly have their hands full this afternoon against one of the most potent offenses in the league. The Cardinal bats are really heating up lately, and it's more than just Albert Pujols doing the damage. Rookie outfielder Colby Rasmus has been punishing the ball. Of course it doesn't hurt that LaRussa has been batting Rasmus directly in front of Pujols so he's getting some pretty good pitches thrown his way. Take the Cards.

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:21 am
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Michael Cannon

St. Louis +145 at CHICAGO CUBS
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Take the Cardinals for the road win over the Cubs.

St. Louis has owned the Cubs this year, winning seven of the 10 meetings so far, including yesterday’s 8-3 win.
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Albert Pujols has been too hot all season and I like him to lead the charge against Ted Lilly.

The Cubs have lost three in a row and have scored only five runs during their slide.

Brad Thompson will start for St. Louis and he hasn’t pitched all that great this year but should be able to keep the struggling Cubs offense in check.
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Take St. Louis at this nice return as they grab the road win.

3♦ ST. LOUIS

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:35 am
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Chris Jordan

Pittsburgh at PHILADELPHIA
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And all of a sudden the defending World Champion Phillies look like a team to reckon with, as they’ve now won three straight and seven of eight. They’ve seemingly righted the ship at Citizens Bank Park, where they started this home stand with a 13-22 mark. And off last night’s series-opening win over Keystone State rival Pittsburgh, I like my chances with Cole Hamels.
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The southpaw was given plenty of run support in his last outing - a 22-1 Phillies shellacking of the Reds - but he didn’t dilly-dally around with that lead, as he made the most of the opportunity by limiting hit pitch count to 92, while maneuvering through seven innings against, and allowing no walks and just three hits. Look for him to stay patient tonight and find the consistency he employed all last season – and in his last start – to find those dominating results he’s become accustomed to. Hamels won his only career start against the Pirates, so confidence should be on his side.
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I don’t know about 22 runs of support again, but he should get plenty of it in this one, as Ross Ohlendorf comes in after being shelled for nine hits and five runs in his last start. The Bucs have now lost eight of 11, so I know we have the hotter team. Let’s lay the run line and bank a huge blowout.

1♦ PHILLIES RUN LINE

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:35 am
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Cincinnati at NY METS
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Have to expect Johnny Cueto to buckle down in this start, as the Reds righty was humiliated in his last start at Philadelphia, getting shelled for 9 runs in less than an inning of work.

That start was the exception rather than the norm for Cueto whose ERA is a respectable 3.45 for the year.

Cueto will match pitches with Johan Santana who sports a home ERA just over 2 for the first half of the year, and Santana did work 6 innings of 1 run ball in an April win at Cincy.
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The Reds and the Mets opened the weekend with an UNDER last night, and the way the Mets have struggled at the plate of late - 5 of their last 7 UNDER - we don't see the OVER being an option this Saturday night.

Cincinnati has played UNDER the total in 3 of their last 4, and 6 of Cueto's 10 road starts this season have held LOW as well.
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Take the UNDER at Citi Field tonight.

4♦ UNDER

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:36 am
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Drew Gordon

Chi. White Sox +105 at MINNESOTA
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Now on a 23-15 roll with the plays I'm giving away! For today's complimentary play, we're looking at the Chi. White Sox/Minnesota match-up.

Not surprisingly the Twins bounced back nicely yesterday, beating the White Sox 6-4, after getting swept by the Yankees in the home series prior. However, things are looking a lot better this time around for Chicago, and despite their traditional struggles at the Metrodome, I'm expecting the Pale Hose to take care of business Saturday, and here's why:
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First, I warned you yesterday with my paid play winner that John Danks would run into trouble, as the Twins hit southpaws extremely well at the Metrodome. However, their numbers are nowhere near as good against righties, and tonight they get one of the White Sox BEST in Gavin Floyd. True, he got roughed up in his last start, but let's not get carried away, as he went 4-1 with a ridiculous 1.39 ERA in the 8 starts prior to that loss! Every pitcher is allowed an off-day, and I suspect Floyd gets right back to his winning ways tonight.

Opposing Floyd is the Twins southpaw Glen Perkins, who's coming off back-to-back quality road wins. He's got his sinker working, no doubt, but before you go jumping aboard the Twins, consider that Perkins is 1-0 with an ugly 5.56 ERA in 2 career starts against the White Sox... And it won't get any easier tonight.
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That brings me to my final point, as both teams hit lefties well, but the Twins had the edge yesterday facing Danks. Tonight, their roles are flip-flopped, as the White Sox now get to face the southpaw, and that's good news for their backers, as their a solid 6-2 against lefties on the road under the lights! Not only that, but they average a hearty 5.1 runs per game against lefties away, batting red-hot .304 in that spot this season! In the end, the Twins got a nice bounce back win yesterday, but tonight, its all about the Pale Hose!
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Take the Chicago White Sox behind Floyd over Minnesota and Perkins in this MLB match up.

2♦ CHI. WHITE SOX

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:37 am
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Karl Garrett

NY Yankees at LA ANGELS
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Friday night comp play winner on the Braves, now 8-4 the last 12 days for free!

G-Man is all about a HIGH-SCORING game between the Yankees and the Angels this Saturday afternoon.

Sure Andy Pettitte, and Jered Weaver have had their moments this season, but neither has fooled the others team much in the recent past, as Pettite's last 23 innings against the Halos have seen 20 runs score. As for Weaver, he has allowed 18 runs against the Yankees over his last 22 innings of work against them.
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Last night's game was able to clear the impost, making it 4 games played between the teams this season, 4 OVERS played between the teams this season!
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Hard to argue those numbers, G-Man going with the OVER in Saturday's matinee between the Yankees and Angels.

3♦ OVER

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:38 am
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Jeff Benton

Toronto (PK) at BALTIMORE
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Hope you enjoyed that easy 7♦ free-play winner with the Cardinals on Friday afternoon. For Saturday, I’m going to back Toronto in a pick-em spot at Baltimore.

Obviously, the Blue Jays have come crashing back to earth after a scorching-hot start in the season’s first six weeks. However, one positive for Toronto lately has been the pitching of rookie lefty Ricky Romero. Since flipping the calendar to June, Romero has made seven consecutive quality starts in a row, giving up three runs or fewer while pitching into the seventh inning in all seven games.
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Toronto won six of those seven contests, including Monday’s 7-6 victory over the Blue Jays in which Romero yielded three runs in 6 1/3 innings. In fact, during this seven-start stretch, Romero has given up a total of 12 runs in 48 1/3 innings, good for a 2.34 ERA.

As for Romero’s counterpart today, it’s either going to be rookie Brad Bergesen or struggling lefty Rich Hill. Either way, it doesn’t matter, because neither pitcher scares me, particularly Hill, who is 3-2 with a 7.43 ERA overall this year, including 0-1 with a 13.15 ERA in his last three starts. Hill faced the Jays back on May 27 and got rocked for six runs (all earned) in 3 2/3 innings.
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Bottom line: Yes, the Blue Jays are scuffling right now, and prior to Friday’s 2-0 victory at Baltimore, they had been mired in a 3-11 funk. However, all three of those victories came with Romero on the hill, and they’re now 5-0 in his last five outings. Tonight, they make it six in a row behind the 24-year-old lefty, who’s facing a Baltimore lineup that’s batting just .200 in its last 10 games against southpaws after getting blanked by young Jays left-hander Brett Cecil.
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3♦ TORONTO

 
Posted : July 11, 2009 8:39 am
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