Dominic Fazzini
Toronto -105 at BALTIMORE
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Toronto's Ricky Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) has been impressive over his last seven starts, going 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA.
The rookie left-hander beat the Yankees in his last start, allowing three runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings.
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Orioles left-hander Rich Hill (3-2, 7.43) has been horrible lately, allowing at least six runs in each of his last three starts.
And Hill has been even worse pitching at Camden Yards this year, allowing 17 earned runs and 20 hits in 10 2/3 innings over three starts.
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Before their 2-0 win Friday, the Blue Jays had won just three times in 14 games, and Romero was the starter in each of those victories. I think the 24-year-old will keep the Orioles’ bats quiet today. Go with the Blue Jays to get the win.
5♦ TORONTO
Bobby Maxwell
Texas at SEATTLE
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Today I'm loving the Rangers as they are in the Pacific Northwest to take on the Mariners in this American League West matchup.
I've said it before in this spot - I love the Rangers' Kevin Millwood and his consistency. Even though the guy got drilled in his last outing, he won't let it bother him and he'll come out and give Texas a quality start and legitimate shot at winning tonight in Seattle.
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Millwood (8-6, 3.34 ERA) gave up nine runs in five innings against the Angels on Monday, losing 9-4 in Anaheim. But in eight of his previous nine outings he hadn't allowed more than three earned runs in a contest and the Rangers had won six of the eight.
Millwood faced these Mariners on May 4 and gave up five runs in 7.1 innings but his offense did the job for him and got the win 6-5.
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Jarrod Washburn (5-6, 3.08 ERA) is on the hill for the Mariners and he's had no luck against the Rangers lately, with the Mariners losing five of his last six outings and he's given up three runs or more in seven straight against Texas. He threw a complete-game one-hitter against the Orioles on Monday, but they aren't exactly the offensive juggernaut the Rangers are.
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The Rangers took Friday night’s contest 6-4 and Texas is 22-7 in its last 29 against the A.L. West and 8-2 in its last 10 overall. The Rangers are also 7-2 in their last nine in Seattle and 6-1 in the last seven with the Mariners overall. Play Texas is this one!
2♦ TEXAS
Nelly
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Atlanta + over Colorado
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Atlanta is batting .297 in the last ten games and this is a game where the starting pitchers have very deceiving records. Jason Marquis has had a fine season but his season ERA is considerably higher than his counterpart on the mound tonight Jair Jurrjens. Marquis is 11-5 while Jurrjens is 6-7. Marquis has been less effective at home while Jurrjens has been a superior road pitcher and he pitched well against the Rockies in a May start. The Rockies are 26-8 in the last 34 games but just 6-5 in the last eleven and the offense has cooled off considerably, batting just .228 in that span. The recent stretch of winning has created inflated lines for the Rockies and Atlanta will be a dangerous underdog Saturday night, playing with their top pitcher on the mound. The Braves should also have a significant edge once this game gets into the bullpens.
Jimmy The Moose
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Atlanta Braves at Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
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The Braves won last night but over their last 10 vs. a NL West team they are 3-7 over their last 10. Atlanta has lost 6 of Jurrjens last 7 starts overall. In his last 5 road starts they are 1-4. The Rockies are 26-8 in their last 34 overall. Colorado has won 4 of their last 5 at home. In their last 17 vs. a team with a losing record they are 14-3. Colorado has won 5 of Marquis' last 6 starts. In his last 5 as a favorite they are 4-1. The Braves have lost 5 of their last 7 trips to Colorado. Play on the Colorado Rockies -.
Jr Tips
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BRAVES vs. ROCKIES
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The Colorado Rockies Jason Marquis is a first-time All-Star and will face one of his former teams, the Atlanta Braves.The 30-year-old is 11-5 with a 3.61 ERA and will look to set a career-high streak for consecutive scoreless innings Saturday against Atlanta.He tossed eight innings Monday night against the Washington Nationals to win the eighth 1-0 game in Coors Field's 15-year history after a three-hit shutout June 30 against the host Los Angeles Dodgers. Hew has a 2.03 ERA in consecutive wins over the Braves. Atlanta (42-44) beat Colorado last night 4-1 and will start right-hander Jair Jurrjens (6-7, 2.91) who will try to improve on a 1-5 record over his last seven starts with a fourth straight win over the Rockies.Jurrjens, who allowed one run over seven innings in an 8-1 home win against Colorado on May 19, gave up four runs over six innings in Monday night's 9-2 loss to the host Chicago Cubs.Jason Marquis has been stellar of late, not giving up a run in his last two outings. He will carruy that momentum into the All-star break as Colorado only needs three runs to get back on track and get the win against the Braves tonight.
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TAKE COLORADO-115
Alex Smart
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Toronto Blue Jays
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The Toronto Blue Jays Ricky Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) has been impressive in his rookie season in the majors, and is off a top tier effort vs the NY Yankees last time out. Over his last seven outings , former Cal State Fullerton standout has gone 5-1 with a 2.22 ERA. Im betting on more of the same top tier work in this spot vs a Baltimore Orioles team that has struggled mightily against LH starter this season, averaging just 4 RPG via a BA that is floating right around the Mendoza line. Final notes & Key Trends: Toronto is 15-6 L/21 meetings in this series. ....Play on the Toronto Blue Jays
LT Profits
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Atlanta Braves @ Colorado Rockies
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The Atlanta Braves beat the Colorado Rockies 4-1 here in the altitude last night, and we are looking for a similarly low scoring game tonight.
Jason Marquis is going to the All-Star Game for the Rockies, as he is 11-5 with a 3.61 ERA and 1.30 WHIP, impressive numbers when you consider how high his home stadium is. In fact, Marquis has a 3.72 ERA here at Coors Field, suggesting that his overall ERA would be closer to 3.00 if he pitched at sea level. Marquis also comes into this game in peak form, as he has tossed 17 scoreless innings in his last two starts while allowing a total of just nine hits.
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Now Jair Jurrjens may be just 6-7 for the Braves, but his key numbers are actually better than those of Marquis. Jurrjens has an excellent 2.91 ERA and 1.26 WHIP, but he has gotten very little run support and that does not figure to change tonight. He has also owned the Rockies, as he allowed one run and just three hits in seven innings in his only start against Colorado this season after hurling 7.2 scoreless innings the last time he pitched here at Coors last year.
Finally, the Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 starts Jurrjens has made on grass, as well as 26-8 in the last 34 Rockies games overall.
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Pick: Braves/Rockies Under 9.5
Tom Freese
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Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
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Philadelphia is 11-3-1 UNDER when favored by over -200 and they are 7-2 UNDER their last 9 home games. The Phillies are 18-6-2 UNDER off a win and they are 10-4 UNDER with Cole Hamels pitches vs. a losing team. Pittsburgh is 35-16-2 UNDER vs. lefty starters and they are 5-0-1 UNDER their 6 road games. The Pirates are 20-7-2 UNDER their last 29 games and they are 5-0-1 UNDER in the last 6 starts made by Ross Ohlendorf. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Hamels vs. Ohlendorf)
3G-Sports
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St Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs
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The Cubs will be more than happy not to be underdogs today as Friday's loss dropped them to a miserable 2-14 in that role this season. Now, the "cards" are in their favor as St. Louis averages a scant 3.8 runs per game vs. lefties and must solve Ted Lilly, who boasts a fantastic 1.96 ERA in eight home starts this season. St. Louis starter Brad Thompson has been a disaster of late with three straight losses, including two by a combined 21-0 margin! CUbs love the day action and so does Ted Lilly when favored. CUBBIES ROLL HERE TODAY!!
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
292 - 192 run 60 % 40-21 run here
Sat UNDER Houst/Wash 9 1/2
Fri Minn Twins ty TY Thurs Dodgers WED HoustonTY
The Spread
New York Yankees at Los Angeles Angels, 4:10PM ET
LA ANGELS are 70-52 (+15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 47-37 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA ANGELS are 67-36 (+25.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 42-18 (+17.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 24-10 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in July games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 45-18 (+29.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 44-31 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA ANGELS are 47-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
WEAVER is 28-10 (+15.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 80-46 (+19.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
Pick: LA Angels
Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles, 7:05PM ET
TORONTO is 11-22 (-13.6 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 2-12 (-10.7 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 7-0 (+8.9 Units) against the money line in home games after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 86-91 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 232-289 (-86.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 490-531 (-108.2 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
BALTIMORE is 33-69 (-26.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 490-531 (-108.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
Pick: Toronto
Los Angeles Dodgers at Milwaukee Brewers, 7:05PM ET
LA DODGERS are 10-20 (-12.4 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 55-31 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
LA DODGERS are 41-21 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 38-21 (+14.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 55-31 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-6 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
LA DODGERS are 27-18 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
LA DODGERS are 11-4 (+8.4 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-13 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
Pick: Milwaukee
John Ryan
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Dodgers as they face Milwaukee starting at 8:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 36-14 making 23.2 units for 72% winners. Play against home teams that are verage offensive team scoring 4.3 to 4.8 runs/game facing a good NL starter posting an ERA<=3.70 after allowing 10 runs or more. Weaver is a solid 10-1 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in road games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Take the Dodgers.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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TOR (-110) vs BAL
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It's been more than two weeks since the Toronto Blue Jays have won consecutive games. With Ricky Romero pitching, they have to like their chances to end that drought. The red-hot rookie will try to close out a stellar first half Saturday night by winning his fifth straight start as the Blue Jays continue their three-game road series against the Baltimore Orioles. Before a 2-0 victory Friday, Toronto (44-44) had won only three of its previous 14 - each time with Romero (7-3, 2.96 ERA) on the mound. Baltimore is a poor 11-19 (-5 units) against division opponents! Good value on the BLUE JAYS!
Dwayne Bryant
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Cleveland at Detroit -120
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The Tigers have won 3 straight, while the Indians have dropped four of their last five. Detroit has also won six of seven against Cleveland this season after last night's win. Galarraga appears to be returning to form, allowing just 2 runs over 13 1/3 innings in his last two starts. Pavano has subpar numbers and he's been getting hit hard lately. Pavano has allowed 22 earned runs and 44 hits in his last 27 innings of work. These two hurlers squared off at Comerica Park on May 1st, with Cleveland getting a 6-5 win. Pavano pitched well, but it was also the first time Detroit had faced him. Now that the Tigers hitters have been in the box against Pavano, they should produce better this time around. We also have a serious bullpen edge with Detroit. It also doesn't hurt that Detroit is one of the best home teams in baseball at 26-12. The Tigers are well worth a half-unit play tonight.
GREG SHAKER
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Washington Nationals at Houston Astros
Play: Under 9.5
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These two teams have scored a lot of runs in the first two games of this series and the 4 games these guys have played this year have produced 58 runs, so perhaps this play looks a bit iffy. Afterall 58 divided by 4 equals 14.5 per contest! I don't think it does look iffy for a number of reasons. Despite all of this stuff, this venue is considered an UNDER Site and UNDER is still 9-3-2 last 14 here. As bad as Washington is, they can hit the ball but they will be in their worst hitting posture tonight facing a lefty, and the same will be true for Houston facing the rightly. We do have a Ump working behind the plate that has been very kind to throwers. Culbreth worked games have produced just 7.8 runs this year, batters are hitting a meager .235, and pitchers are enjoying a 3.50 ERA. Mike Hampton gets a lot of bad press, but the fact is, he his throwing very well of late, allowing just 1 run in 4 of his last 5 starts. Overall, his last 32 innings have seen just 7 runners step onto the plate and his last 7 games have seen 6 UNDERS. The Nats pitcher can be good, and he can be bad. But his last effort was marvo at Colorado, allowing 1 run over 7 innings and the one prior to that was pretty good as well. In fact except for one bad game, his last 5 of 6 have been super duper overall and his games have seen UNDER at 4-2 last 6. His last 5 road affairs are 4-1 UNDER as well. I think that things will slow down a bit for these two teams but in the meantime because of the way they have played, we have a good number to work with and I will play it with ferver.