Tony George
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago Cubs -125
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I have rode the Cubs hard in this series, with a free play winner on Thursday and a Best Bet winner on Friday. Like their bullpen and offense and I like Wells on the hill for them. Washington 15-45 their last 60 games and a new skipper is not helping them! The Nats are just a bad team and Chicago is taking advantage of a team who they can beat up on the road. Every win counts for the Cubs in their division, this is amust win road series.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago White Sox -150
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
I rarely lay lines over -150 but this one would be worth the stretch at 50 cents over on the moneyline. Buehrle is on the hill at home for them, he is in great form at home, with the better team, against a weak road team. The White Sox bullpen is not doing well, but their offense is making up for it, they had 12 runs last night and are batting .347 as a team against southpaws their last 10 games. Chicago is avenging a series loss to the O's back in April.
Computer Picks
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Atlanta Braves -105
St. Louis Cardinals -230 *
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Texas Rangers -130
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
* Best Bet
Mr. A's
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Chicago White Sox -155
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Los Angeles Dodgers -185
GINA
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia's Joe Blanton (6-4, 4.44 ERA) is 2-0 with a 1.83 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA in three career starts versus Florida, but the Phillies are just 2-5 in Blanton's last 7 starts.
Florida's Josh Johnson (8-2, 2.74) is 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts. The right-hander is 3-1 with a 3.22 ERA in six career starts versus Philadelphia and the Marlins are 14-5 in Johnson last 20 starts.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Go with the Marlins tonight in South Beach with their ace Josh Johnson at the helm to restrain the hot Phillies. The Marlins are 10-3 in their last 13 home games and 13-3 in Johnson's last 16 home starts. Johnson’s hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in his last 16 starts.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Florida Marlins -130
Scott Delaney
I am on a 10-5 run with complimentary releases and tonight we're taking the Under in the Mets/Braves contest.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
After exploding for 11 runs last night to celebrate with Greg Maddux, whose jersey was retired at Turner Field, the Braves will be silenced considerably by Johan Santana. The All-Star southpaw is in quadruple revenge against this team, as he’s never beaten Atlanta in six career starts. However, he has an impressive 2.31 ERA against the Braves, and gave up two runs - both unearned - and seven hits over 6-1/3 innings May 11 at Citi Field in an 8-3 loss.
This is the right spot for him to claim a win, so I expect his best.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Nevertheless, I’m not siding with the Mets, who have struggled offensively for the better part of the last month and a half. Put it this way, in Santana’s seven losses, the Mets scored a total of 12 runs, including just four during his four-game road losing streak dating back to June 2.
So, on the other end, there’s Kenshin Kawakami, a Japanese veteran who could regain his form and continue to find his groove against a troubled lineup. After posting a 7.06 ERA in April, Kawakami is 4-3 with a 3.36 ERA in his last 12 starts.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Look for a low-scoring affair today, as the Mets and Braves stay low.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
1♦ UNDER Mets/Braves
Craig Davis
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Today's third straight free play winner is on the Florida Marlins (with Josh Johnson) over the Phillies at home. How can I be so confident backing the Marlins vs. a team that's had so much success on the road this year? Easy... it comes down to starting pitching and I simply don't trust Joe Blanton like I do Johnson. Blanton's ERA for the season is a sketchy 4.44 and he hasn't been near the pitcher the Phils thought he would be when they brought him over here last year. Still, he's been good recently and I can't take that away from him. His counterpart, Josh Johnson, has a 3-1 career record vs. Philadelphia and an 8-2 record so far this season, not to mention his 2.74 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. His last outing vs. Philadelphia was a masterful one, going seven strong innings allowing three hits and two walks, striking out eight and allowing no earned runs. Today will be a pitcher's duel for a while, but in the end, Johnson will out perform Blanton and get his 9th win of the season.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
2♦ FLORIDA
THE SPREAD
Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays, 1:07PM ET
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Boston
Pick: Toronto
New York Mets at Atlanta Braves, 4:00PM ET
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets are 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games
Pick: New York
Baltimore Orioles at Chicago White Sox, 4:05PM ET
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games
Chi White Sox are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Pick: Baltimore
John Ryan
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Florida Marlins
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on the Phillies as they face Florida set to start at 7:10 EST. Red hot Phillies winners of 11 of 12 games find themselves in the role of DOG. Their starting pitching has started coming around in a big way and Blanton has been one of the leaders. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 63-52 making 38.8 units since 2003. Play against home teams revenging a one run loss to opponent and with a hot starting pitcher sporting an ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games. Phils are a robust 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 this season; 21-8 (+11.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season; 25-12 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season. Marlins are just 1-9 (-9.4 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games this season. With the improved Philly starters, the bullpen has also gotten better. They sport a 3.60 ERA in road games and a 3.95 for the season. Overall, the pitching staff has allowed a 208 BA and just 3.4 RPG over the past 7 games. Many media types say that the Phils have a huge home field advantage playing at the hitter friendly Citizen’s Bank Park. But, they actually score more runs on the road. Florida bullpen is in shambles sporting a 5.05 ERA in home games. Blanton has posted a 1.83 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over his last 3 starts and just 1 ER spanning 15.3 IP over his last 2 starts. Last, but not least, Florida skipper Gonzalez is just 3-17 (-15.7 Units) against the money line with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 10 games. Take the Phils.
LARRY NESS
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Colorado Rockies @ San Diego Padres
PICK: Colorado Rockies
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Rockies fired manager Clint Hurdle, who had led them to the 2007 World Series, on May 29. The Rockies were 18-28 under Hurdle, 14 1/2 games behind the first-place Dodgers. Things have been quite different under Jim Tracy, as the Rockies have gone 31-13 and moved within seven games of LA. More importantly, the Rockies are squarely in the playoff hunt now, just a half-game behind the Giants. Meanwhile, the Padres are a ML-worst 11-29 since the beginning of June and at 36-54 on the season, virtually 'buried.' San Diego is batting a ML-low .232 and will try to slow down a Colorado team going for its 16th win in its last 20 games away from Coors Field. Right-hander Jason Hammel (5-4 with a 4.43 ERA in 18 appearances this year / 15 starts) will get the start for the Rockies. Hammel was with the Rays last year, making 40 appearances (five starts) with a 4-4 mark (4.60 ERA) and two saves for the AL champs. He made his first three appearances of 2009 out of the bullpen but his last 15 outings have been as astarter. Hammel is 5-1 over his last 10 starts, with the Rockies winning NINE times. He's been very erratic, six times allowing two ERs or less in that stretch but also allowing four ERs or more four times. Opponents have hit .281 vs him in that span but the Rockies just keep winning. Why go against them here? The Padres have been in a funk for almost two months and tonight's starter, Kevin Correia, hardly inspires any confidence. The former Giant was 3-8 with a 6.05 ERA in 25 appearances (19 starts) with San Francisco last year, with the Giants going 5-14. He's been better this year but that's not saying much. He's 6-7 with a 4.59 ERA in 2009, as the Padres are 9-9 in his 18 starts. Stick with the red-hot Rockies.
Tom Freese
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Arizona Diamondbacks at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: Under
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Arizona is 9-4 UNDER in the last 13 starts in the last 13 starts made by Dan Haren vs. winning teams and they are 6-1-1 UNDER their last 8 road games. The Diamondbacks are 5-1-1 UNDER their last 7 games vs. righty starters and they are 5-2-1 UNDER their last 8 games in St. Louis. Cardinals starter Adam Wainwright has allowed 3 runs total in his last 3 starts covering 25.1 innings of work. St. Louis is 8-1 UNDER in Game 2 of a series. The Cardinals are 6-2 their last 8 home games and they are 8-3 UNDER with Wainwright vs. NL West teams. PLAY ON 'UNDER' (Wainwright vs. Haren)
Jimmy Boyd
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
1* Reds/Brewers OVER 9
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Manny Parra now has a 6.78 ERA on the season, including an 8.92 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 8 road starts. Aaron Harang has been rock-solid at home, giving up just under 3 runs per game, but he is also 0-1 with a 5.62 ERA and 1.68 WHIP on the season. Both teams have hit a dry spell as far as production, but these two pitchers should provide plenty of hittable balls.
Ron Raymond
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
PIT / SFG Under 8.5
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Reason #1: When SAN FRANCISCO played as any home/road team - During Last 4 Years - Lost Last Game by 1 Runs; the UNDER is 61-37-1 for the Giants in this spot the L4Y.
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Reason #2: When ANY MLB Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - During a night game - Vs. Left handed pitchers - Coming off a 1 game win - Scored 2 or less runs FOR in their last game; The UNDER is 21-14-1 for the Home Fave (Pit) in this role the last 5 seasons.
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
293 - 194 run 60 % 41-23 run here
Sat Florida Marlins
=====================================
My "trends say" picks are 3-0 now and we had a win
on the parlay yesterday. Today, you will see another
pick in that thread "trends say..." and it is good value
at +105
8)
Randall the Handle
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Colorado –1.09 over SAN DIEGO
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Rockies have come in here and have beaten the Padres both games while outscoring them 15-4 and it sure doesn’t look like this one will be any different. Jason Hammel has outstanding credentials when he’s not pitching at Coors. He’s started seven games on the road, covering 50 innings, and has posted a 1.97 ERA in those starts. In those 50 frames the league is hitting just .227 off him and he’s allowed just two bombs. Hammel also has excellent control, as his 21 walks in 89 innings this season will attest to. The Rockies are hot and the Padres are the Padres. Kevin Correia has a 4.68 ERA at Petco and that’s equivalent to having about an ERA of 6.50 anywhere else. In three July starts his BAA is .324 and his ERA is 5.94. Lastly, the Rocks are 15-4 in its last 19 road games while the pathetic Padres have won eight of its last 31 games. This is a very cheap lay on the far superior team in a good spot. Play: Colorado –1.09 (Risking 2.18 units to win 2).
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
CFL
SASKATCHEWAN +4½ over Montreal
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
It’s very tempting to play the Riders straight up, as every dog that’s covered this year has not needed the points. The Riders may not either as they come in 2-0 and have looked very impressive thus far. It’s also worth noting that Darian Durant has never lost a game as a starter in his career and as it turns out, the Als blowout win over the Eskies last week has a lot less weight after Edmonton got blown out by the Lions on Thursday. Anyway, you don’t need me to tell you that the Alouettes are a damn good football team with an explosive offense and a ton of weapons. However, the Riders are good too and this venue is as tough as any for the opposition to win at. The Roughrider defense is one that puts a ton of pressure on the QB and so far in two games that defense has caused 13 turnovers. That’s a staggering number and a significant one. Lastly, the Riders have won four of the last five meetings between the two teams and that includes all three games at Mosaic Stadium, which is just more proof of how difficult it is to win here. Play: Saskatchewan +4½ (Risking 2.10 units to win 2).
Yankee Capper
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia Phillies +110
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Pittsburgh Pirates -120
Dennis Macklin
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Prediction: Under
FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
The Phils are rolling and look to make quick work of the NL East by beating on the Fish righ out of the break. Blanton has been Light's Out in July at 2-0 and 0.61 over last two starts. Josh Johsnon is 8-2 and 2.74 and will definitely bring it tonight in virtual must win for the Marlins. This will likely go to the bullpens late 0-0, 1-1, 2-2, 1-0, 2-1. Runs will be at a premium makeing the Under the way to go.