SPORTS ADVISORS
San Francisco (52-44) at Colorado (52-44)
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The top two teams in the N.L. wild-card standings continue their weekend series at Coors Field, with the Rockies’ Jorge De La Rosa (7-7, 4.95 ERA) scheduled to face off against fellow southpaw Jonathan Sanchez (3-8, 4.68).
San Francisco followed up Thursday’s 5-1 victory in Atlanta with Friday’s 3-1 win over Colorado, getting seven strong innings from All-Star Matt Cain. Despite those two wins, the Giants remain just 3-6 in their last nine, including winning just three times through the first seven games of their current 10-game road trip, and they’re now 3-7 in their last 10 on the highway. On the bright side, Bruce Bochy’s squad has won seven of its last eight against left-handed starters and six of its last eight N.L. West contests.
Colorado is 6-3 in its last nine and has been one of the best teams in baseball over the past two months, recording runs of 32-12 overall and 16-7 at home. Additionally, the Rockies are on upticks of 8-3 against left-handed starters and 6-0 when facing southpaws at Coors Field.
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The Giants own a 4-2 edge in the season series in 2009, but going back to last year, Colorado has won seven of the last 12 clashes.
Sanchez followed up his stunning no-hitter over the Padres on July 10 with a quality start at Atlanta on Monday, giving up three runs on four hits in six innings, but he got a no-decision as his team got blasted 11-3. With Sanchez starting, San Francisco is mired in funks of 6-21 overall (1-5 last six), 3-13 on the road (0-8 this season) and 0-4 on Saturday.
Including Monday’s effort against the Braves, Sanchez is 0-7 with a 6.02 ERA in his eight road start this year. He’s also 1-2 with a 7.47 ERA in 13 appearances (six starts) versus Colorado, but the Giants are 4-2 in those six starts.
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De La Rosa is working on a personal five-game winning streak, and the Rockies are 8-1 in his last nine trips to the mound (including one relief appearance) and 5-0 in his last five outings (four starts) at home. On Monday, De La Rosa held the DBacks to a run on four hits in seven innings of a 10-6 road win, and he has a 1.98 ERA in his last four starts. Still, the lefty is just 4-5 with a 5.81 ERA at home.
In seven career appearances (four starts) against San Francisco, De La Rosa is a perfect 3-0 with a 2.33 ERA. His four starts versus the Giants all came last year, and he gave up a combined five runs (three earned) on 16 hits in 25 1/3 innings (1.07 ERA), and Colorado won all four games.
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San Francisco carries “under” trends of 6-2 overall, 8-2 on the highway, 5-1 against winning teams and 18-8-3 in N.L. West contests. Also, the under is 5-1-1 in Sanchez’s last seven road starts and 5-0-1 in his last six outings against division rivals, and Colorado has stayed low in nine of De La Rosa’s last 12 starts against the N.L. West and three of his four starts against the Giants.
Conversely, four of the last five Giants-Rockies clashes at Coors Field have soared over the total, the lone “under” occurring Friday.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: COLORADO and UNDER
Chicago White Sox (50-47) at Detroit (51-44)
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Fresh off Friday’s doubleheader sweep of the White Sox, the Tigers look to continue their mastery of their A.L. Central rivals when they send All-Star Edwin Jackson (7-5, 2.52) to the mound opposite Chicago’s Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.40) at Comerica Park.
Detroit got a complete-game gem from Justin Verlander en route to a 5-1 victory in the first game of Friday’s twin bill, then came back and took the nightcap 4-3. Neither club is playing with much consistency, as the Tigers have lost 13 of their last 23 games while the White Sox are 8-9 in their last 17.
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Chicago is in slumps of 1-6 on the road, 3-8 against right-handed starters and 1-5 in A.L. Central contests, but Ozzie Guillen’s squad is 8-1 in his last nine games on Saturday and 14-7 in its last 21 on grass. Meanwhile, Detroit carries positive streaks of 15-4 at home, 21-8 as a home chalk, 6-1 versus division foes and 6-2 as a chalk, but the Tigers have dropped four in a row on Saturday.
Detroit is 6-4 against the Pale Hose this year, and the host has won 14 of the last 21 meetings.
Floyd was sharp in his first post-All-Star break start, giving up three runs on three hits in seven innings of Monday’s 4-3 home win over Tampa Bay. With Floyd on the bump, the White Sox are on streaks of 7-2 overall, 4-1 as an underdog, 4-1 against division rivals, 7-3 on Saturday and 18-6 when he pitches on four days’ rest. However, they have lost six of Floyd’s last eight outings on the road, where the right-hander is 4-4 with a beefy 6.03 ERA in 10 starts this year.
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Chicago is 10-1 in Floyd’s 11 career starts against the Tigers, including 4-1 in five games at Comerica Park. Personally, Floyd is 5-0 with a 3.55 ERA in those 11 starts against Detroit, with two of them coming this season. He got rocked for six runs in five innings at Comerica on April 13, but the Sox rallied for a 10-6 victory. Two months later at home, Floyd allowed just one run in eight innings of a 4-3 win.
Jackson is coming off a tough 2-1 loss at the Yankees as he gave up both runs in seven innings The right-hander, who ranks third in the American League in ERA, has surrendered three earned runs or less in 13 consecutive trips to the mound, including two earned or less nine times. However, the Tigers have only split Jackson’s last 10 starts, scoring three runs or fewer in seven of those contests.
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The Tigers have won five in a row behind Jackson at home (all as a favorite), and they’re 7-2 in his last nine overall as a chalk. At home this year, the 25-year-old is 4-1 with a 2.73 ERA, but he’s 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in five career starts against the White Sox, including a no-decision in a 4-3 Tigers loss in Chicago on June 11 in which he gave up two runs, five hits and four walks in five innings.
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Chicago has stayed under the total in five straight games, but otherwise the team is on “over” runs of 4-1-1 on the road, 4-1 against the A.L. Central, 9-2 when Floyd works on the road, 15-5 when Floyd faced the A.L. Central and 4-1 when he pitches against Detroit. The Tigers sport a bevy of “under” streaks, including 40-18 overall, 6-2 at home, 8-3 as a favorite, 15-6 as a home chalk, 4-0 on Saturday, 10-1 overall with Jackson on the mound and 5-0 when Jackson works against division opponents.
Finally, both games yesterday stayed low, making the under is 8-2 in the 10 clashes between these teams in 2009 and 43-20-4 in the last 67 battles in Motown.
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ATS ADVANTAGE: DETROIT and UNDER
DUNKEL
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NY Mets at Houston
The Astros look to take advantage of a New York team that is 2-8 in its last 10 games as a road underdog. The Astros are the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has Houston favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-135).
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Game 951-952: Cincinnati at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.243; Cubs (Hart) 15.506
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-130); N/A
Game 953-954: St. Louis at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 16.166; Philadelphia (Lopez) 15.622
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-140); 10
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Over
Game 955-956: NY Mets at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Niese) 14.766; Houston (Ortiz) 14.995
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-135); Under
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Game 957-958: Atlanta at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Hanson) 14.823; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.698
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+125); Over
Game 959-960: San Diego at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stauffer) 14.155; Washington (Martin) 13.198
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Under
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Game 961-962: Pittsburgh at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Ohlendorf) 15.931; Arizona (Davis) 14.810
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+135); Over
Game 963-964: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Sanchez) 15.341; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.436
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-160); Under
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Game 965-966: Florida at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Vandenhurk) 15.123; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 16.319
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 10
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-1165); Over
Game 967-968: Oakland at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.567; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 18.016
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-250); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-250); Over
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Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 14.452; Toronto (Tallet) 14.928
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+100); Over
Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.686; Detroit (Jackson) 15.610
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Under
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Game 973-974: Cleveland at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Sowers) 15.490; Seattle (Bedard) 14.860
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+165); Over
Game 975-976: Minnesota at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Blackburn) 16.273; LA Angels (Palmer) 16.105
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over
Game 977-978: Baltimore at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.940; Boston (Lester) 16.148
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-205); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-205); Under
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Game 979-980: Texas at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.958; Kansas City (Hochevar) 14.720
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+105); Over
CFL
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Edmonton at Saskatchewan
The Roughriders look to build on their 7-1-1 ATS record in their last 9 July games. Saskatchewan is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4).
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Game 407-408: Edmonton at Saskatchewan
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 102.959; Saskatchewan 109.168
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 6; 56 1/2
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 4; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (-4); Over
Steve Merril
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs
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Chicago looks for their third straight win as they take the field on Saturday afternoon. They'll have to beat Johnny Cueto who is 8-6 with a 3.67 ERA. He is 0-2 with a 12.34 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 16 runs and 24 hits in just 11.7 innings pitched. Cueto is 2-3 with a 3.66 ERA all-time against the Cubs. One of his two wins came earlier this season when the Cubs were banged up, but they are finally getting healthy and Chicago hits .299 all time against Cueto with Ryan Theriot (7-16), Derrek Lee (6-15), Geovany Soto (5-14), Alfonso Soriano (4-12) and Reed Johnson (2-5) doing the best. Chicago is 28-18 at home and 27-19 in daytime games this season. Kevin Hart who will make his third start of the season for Chicago and he is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA as a starter, giving up just 3 runs in 10 innings of work. Hart is coming off a win over the Nationals in which he gave up two runs and five hits in five innings. He'll now be facing a struggling Cincinnati lineup that is averaging just 3.5 runs per game in their last six and 3.9 runs per game during the daytime this season. Cincinnati has lost four straight and eight of their last 10 games overall.
Cajun Sports
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Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Chicago White Sox
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The White Sox were swept in a double-header on Friday versus this Tigers team but we look for them to rebound here and get the win. Chicago will send Gavin Floyd to the bump with his 8-6 record and ERA of 4.40 on the season including 4-4 on the road with an ERA of 6.03. Over his last three outings he is 2-1 with an ERA of 5.85. In his last outing he defeated Tampa Bay at home by a score of 4 to 3 pitching for 7 innings giving up 3 earned runs on 3 hits and 7 strikeouts. Floyd has dominated the Tigers over his career with a 5-0 record and an ERA of 3.55 while the Sox are 10-1 when he takes the mound versus Detroit. His last start versus the Tigers was back on June 11th and he faced today’s starter Edwin Jackson and got a 4 to 3 win pitching 8 innings giving up 1 earned run on 5 hits and 5 strikeouts. Jackson threw for 5 innings giving up 2 earned runs on 5 hits and 3 strikeouts in the loss. We expect another dominating performance from Gavin Floyd on Saturday as they White Sox rebound from a tough day on Friday and get back in this series with a win.
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Graded Selection: 2* Chicago White Sox 5 Detroit Tigers 3
Nelly
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Los Angeles Angels - over Minnesota Twins
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Matt Palmer does not own dominating numbers but he simply wins games as he has produced a 7-1 record this season with all wins coming as a starter. In home games Palmer is 4-1 with a respectable 4.14 ERA and although he does not produce a lot of strikeouts he has kept the Angels in most games. With the way the Angels have been hitting lately, there is a lot of leeway for the starting pitchers. The Los Angeles bullpen has been a problem area much of the season but in the last ten games the unit has posted a respectable 3.68 ERA. In Minnesota the bullpen has gone south since the all star break including a 5.79 ERA in the last ten games and multiple-runs allowed in three of the past four games. This is a tough road trip for Minnesota and the Twins are struggling to stay afloat as the offense is slipping as well. Minnesota is batting .268 in the last ten games but the Twins have lost four of the last five, including playing three extra-innings games, so this team could be a bit worn out playing the ninth straight road game. In the last ten games the Angels are batting .327 against right-handed pitching and Los Angeles has scored 83 runs in a recent 10-1 stretch. Nick Blackburn has been the Twins best pitcher this season but he allowed 13 hits and seven runs in his first start after the all star break. In road games Minnesota is just 3-8 when Blackburn starts with his ERA climbing to 4.18 and his WHIP up to 1.41. The Angels are too hot to ignore right now and even though Palmer has not had dominant stuff he should be capable of a solid effort while the Angel offense carries the way.
Red Dog Sports
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Tampa Bay at Toronto 1pm
Play: Over 9
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Price has an ERA of 7.42 in his last 3 while Tallet's ERA is 8.40 in that same span. There have been 4 overs and 2 unders in the last 3 games started. These two have played their share of unders as they have 28 unders and 11 overs in their last 39 meetings but I like the chances of an over on Saturday afternoon.
Triple Threat Sports
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Play Kansas City over Texas
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Of course we realize that the Royals have lost ten in a row coming in, but in fact that actually helps their cause here since last year just three games happened when a home team came favored riding a ten game losing streak, and the teams went 2-1 in those games, winning by a combined score of 16-7 with the only loss coming by just a run. With that backdrop, prefer Hocevar to keep Mr. Holland from achieving his opus tonite.
Brad Diamnd Sports
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Play St. Louis over Philadelphia
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After an outstanding win streak against bad teams the home standing Phillies have now lost two of three after crushed 8-1 last night. Here former Orioles RHP Rodrigo Lopez gets the call against a Cardinals lineup that has been up been recharged with Holiday coming over from Oakland. St. Louis catches a nice stat here too, as the Phillies are 2-8 in their next game after scoring 2 or less runs. Also, the Cards show at 9-3 versus winning teams. Don't miss Brad's super road warrior on Saturday afternoon,
Marc Lawrence
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Atlanta Braves at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Atlanta Braves
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The Braves and Brewers battle in Game Two of this weekend series when Tommy Hanson matches serves with Yovanni Gallardo in Milwaukee. Gallardo enters tonight game in terrible form with losses in each of his last four team starts, including three straight home losses. With Gallardo owning a 6.75 ERA in his last three starts, look for Hanson to improve to 7-2 in his team starts this season here tonight.
Mikey Sports
Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers
Pure Lock
Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Play: New York Yankees
R&R Totals
Florida Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: Over 9
Craig Trapp
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Oakland Athletics vs. New York Yankees
Play: New York Yankees -1½
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The NYY go for 9th win in a row today verse a very outmatched OAK squad. Oak just traded away the best hitter on team Holiday to STL. Not good news for a team that already struggled to score runs. NYY will send Petite to the mound and he will try and repeat his last game where he went 7 innings only allowing 1 run. Petite has dominated OAK recently and for his career. Recently he has a 1.57 ERA in winning his last three starts against Oakland, including a 5-3 victory April 21 as he gave up two runs over seven innings. The veteran left-hander improved to 11-5 with a 3.24 ERA in 20 career outings versus Oakland, and 7-2 with a 2.93 ERA in 10 home starts. On the other side OAK sends Gonzalez to the plate coming off a pitiful start. He allowed 11 runs in 2 innings to MIN on Tuesday!! Gonzalez might hurt his neck today as he gives up a ton of HR's for his career and with this ballpark and lineup he faces today that spells trouble. NYY win in a easy blowout!! SCORE NYY 10 - OAK 1
Carlo Campanella
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Cleveland Indians vs. Seattle Mariners
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Seattle is listed as a -170 Favorite at most books (or around that price), but offers betting value as they should be listed above the -200 price as they host a Cleveland squad starting Sowers on the mound. Sowers is a horrible 2-17 during his last 19 road starts as a Dog of +100 or higher since last season! Seattle might have lost 0-9 last night to these Indians, however, these M's are one of the hottest teams in MLB, winning 7 of their last 10 games! Lay the lumber with this Seattle team starting Eric Bedard, who's won 3 straight starts against Cleveland and his teams are now 6-2 during his 8 trips to the mound against the Tribe. Only reason Seattle doesn't rate as a 10* Play is we don't like to lay big prices often.
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7* Play On Seattle
Rob Vinciletti
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: St. Louis Cardinals
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The Cards were finally able to secure the bat they needed with the addition of M.Holiday.This move paid immediate dividends last night with an 8-1 thrashing in Philly.Holliday immediately contributed with a 4 hit night.Today the Philles qualify in a negative system that plays against home favorites off a blowout loss of 5+ runs if they scored 2 or less runs and had 10 or more left on base and today's opponent scored 5+ runs.These home favs have lost over 70% of the time.Looking at the numbers in this range the Cards are a better investment as a road dog than Philly is as a home favorite.Philly has been playing some subpar teams on their long winning surge through the month of July.The Cards are a good team and will play Philly tough.
JIM FEIST
ATLANTA BRAVES / MILWAUKEE BREWERS
Take ATLANTA BRAVES
The Braves are delight to be back in the pennant race, after a 6-2 homestand out of the break. Said Atlanta's Chipper Jones, "We played an awesome homestand. We beat some good pitchers." They can do it again here, as Milwaukee Yovani Gallardo is decent (8-7), but walking too many batters and is in a slump. He is 0-2 his last three starts with a 6.75 ERA, walking 13 in 16 innings. Braves righty Tommy Hanson (5-0) has been huge, with a 3.00 ERA. Play the Braves.
Bobby Maxwell
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Chicago White Sox at DETROIT -145
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Hit my third straight FREE winner on Friday night when the Astros took care of the Mets in Houston. Today I'm loving the Tigers at home to blow out the White Sox.
Absolutely I'm going with the Tigers in this one and have no problem with the price as Detroit is going to easily take care of the White Sox, shutting them down much like they did in Friday night's 5-1 victory.
The Tigers are 15-4 in their last 19 at home and have young Edwin Jackson (7-5, 2.52 ERA) on the mound today. He's 4-1 in front of the home crowd and hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in any of his last 10 starts. He gave up two runs to the Yankees on Sunday and lost 2-1. His last home start was against the Indians on July 10 when he allowed one run on four hits in seven innings of a 5-1 victory.
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Jackson faced these White Sox on June 11 and allowed just two runs on five hits in five innings.
Gavin Floyd (8-6, 4.40) is on the mound for Chicago and he's just 4-4 on the road with a 6.03 ERA. Last time he took to the highway was July 11 when he allowed five runs on eight hits in 7.2 innings of an 8-7 win as his offense bailed him out. In his last two roadies, he's allowed 10 runs in 13 innings. Last time he started in Detroit was April 13 and he gave up six runs in five innings.
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Detroit is 21-8 in its last 29 as a home favorite and 5-0 when Jackson starts as the favorite at home. I love this guy's stuff, go ahead and play Detroit in this one.
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4♦ DETROIT