Wunderdog
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Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Minnesota Twins
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The Twins enter this game at .500 on the road. That's better than Cleveland can do at home. The Indians simply can't hit and that's not good when facing a team that allows just 4.1 runs per game on the season (down to 3.7 over the Twins' last seven games). Brian Duensing has gone 4-1 for Minnesota, posting a 2.10 ERA. In contrast, David Huff is 2-10 on the season. He has just 36 strikeouts on the season (just 2.57 per start). That's good news for the Twinkies who are 11-1 this season when squaring off against a starter that averages under 3 Ks per game. Minny is also 30-12 this season as a favorite of -125 to -175. I like the Twins to get the road win here.
John Ryan
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Play: Chicago Cubs
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5* graded play on the Chicago Cubs as they take on the Reds set to start at 2:20 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Cubs will win this game. Reds have won six of the past seven and eight of the past 10 games to take a 1 1/2 game lead in the NL Central. Still, this is a difficult matchup for them. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 248-163 making 90.6 units for 60.3% winners since 2004. Play on home teams with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games facing an opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings. Anytime a system approaches 100 units in profits over a period more than five season it gains complete credibility when moving forward. So, if you like action and don’t mind doing the homework to track the qualifications of this system, this si a system that can still make a ton of dough in seasons to come. Since becoming the manager of the Cubs, Piniella is a solid 19-5 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games revenging 2 straight home losses versus opponent. Cubs have done their best hitting of the season when facing a lefty starter batting 280 and scoring 4.8 runs per game. Take the Cubs.
Doug Upstone
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New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
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Normally when a pitcher has 7-4 record and sharp 2.36 ERA, he and his team would favored or at the very least a short road underdog. That is not the case the Mets R.A. Dickey who will face Roy Halladay (13-8, 2.17). New York is 1-14 in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last two seasons. Plus, add to the fact road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250, with a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season are 2-22 the last five years, the outcome seems simple.