DUNKEL INDEX
Hollywood SportsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hamilton Tiger-Cats at Saskatchewan RoughridersVISIT THESPREAD.COM
Prediction: Hamilton Tiger-CatsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Saskatchewan (3-0) has raced out to a perfect start after the first three weeks of the Canadian Football League season after their big 39-28 win at Toronto last week against the defending Grey Cup champions. But this team now faces a possible letdown situation returning home to face a non-divisional rival who has only won game this season. The Roughriders have failed to cover the point spread in 22 of their last 29 games against teams with a winning record. To compound matters, their star quarterback Darian Durant is listed as questionable with a right foot injury for this contest. Even if he plays in this contest, his effectiveness in the pocket may be impacted by this nagging injury. Hamilton (1-2) looks to build off their first win of the season last week with their 25-20 victory versus Winnipeg. The Tiger-Cats have exceeded point spread expectations in 9 of their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Additionally, Hamilton has covered the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games played in the ninth of July. The T-Cats defense recorded an impressive six sacks last week while holding the Blue Bombers to just 330 yards of offense -- and that is a very encouraging sign moving forward this week against a less than 100% Durant. Take Hamilton plus the points in this one.
Art AronsonFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Hamilton vs. SaskatchewanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Pick: SaskatchewanFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Whether "straight up" or "against the spread", to say the Roughriders have dominated this series would be an understatement 15-3 SU in their last 18 overall and a near-perfect 11-1 SU their last 12 in front of the home town crowd. Saskatchewan is also 10-2 ATS its last 12 at home in this series and 18-6 ATS in the last 24 overall. The Roughriders are 3-0 to start the year, while the Tiger-Cats are just 1-2. Saskatchewan annihilated the defending champions 39-28 last week, while Hamilton finally got off the schneid, holding on for a 25-20 home victory over the Blue Bombers. The Tiger-Cats have the firepower offensively to hang with the Roughriders, but clearly their defensive unit is going to be in for a long night having already given up a ghastly 89 total points to the opposition over the first three weeks (conversely, the high-flying Roughriders have given up 67; certainly not elite, but definitely much better than Hamilton's discombobulated and porous secondary). The road has not been kind to Hamilton (0-5 SU its last five away from friendly confines) and I expect this trend to carry over here as the home side pulls away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.