Wunderdog
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Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Play: Pittsburgh Pirates +1½
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Zack Greinke started the season on fire, posting eight wins in his first ten starts and putting up a ridiculous 0.84 ERA over that span. Then something happened which we see often in sports - regression to the mean. Greinke is good but not that good, and over his next four games he went 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA. He pitched well last outing but the fact remains, he's still overrated. The Royals are 2-5 in their last seven games averaging just 3.0 runs per game. They are averaging 3.4 runs per game on the road on the season. They are 13-31 since early May - the worst record in the American League by far. They do not deserve to be laying this kind of wood on the road. Especially against a Pittsburgh team that scores nearly five runs per game at home and has posted a 21-13 mark here (22-12 against the run line). The Pirates are 5-1 in their last six, putting up 5.6 runs per game in the process. While the Pirates can win this, Greinke has been good. But to ask the Royals to put up enough runs to win on the road by 2+ runs is really asking a lot. KC is 16-25 on the road against the run line the past two seasons after 4+ straight road games. They are 4-11 this season after three straight losses. Even with Greinke on the mound, the Royals are just 3-11 against the run line on the road the past two seasons when coming off a loss. The Pirates are 10-1 vs. the run line at home in June and I look for that to go t 11-1 today.
Michael Cannon
Boston -105 at ATLANTA
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Take the Red Sox for the road win over the Braves.
Brad Penny gets the nod for Boston and he’s settling down after a rocky start to the season. The right-hander is 6-2 with a 4.93 ERA, including 1-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last three starts.
The Braves will counter with rookie Tommy Hanson, who is off to a great start through his first four games. The right-hander is 3-0 with a 3.13 ERA.
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But the one thing I don’t like about his performance so far is his high walk total. Hanson has issued 15 walks in his 23 innings, to go along with 22 hits, and he’s not going to get past this Boston lineup putting that many runners on base.
The Red Sox are patient at the plate and will force Hanson to run up a high pitch count today.
Take Boston as they grab the road win.
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3♦ BOSTON
Chris Jordan
Detroit at HOUSTON +130
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We're siding with the Astros tonight, as they're catching a value price against Detroit and are a value pup winner. No need to list any pitcher, as we're banking on the momentum they bring into this one, having won three straight.
Houston has won five straight at home against the Tigers, who came into the weekend riding a seven-game winning streak, but have been outscored 13-5 in the first two games after yesterday's 8-1 defeat.
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The Astros have plenty of motivation, aside from posting a season-high four-game win streak, as they can move within one game of .500 for the first time since being 1-2 on April 8.
The Astros are 17-10 with a 3.46 team ERA since ending a seven-game losing slide on May 29.
Like the Astros here, as they roll to an easy win.
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1♦ ASTROS
Tony Weston
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The Twins can’t take care of business and end up costing us. That’s fine because we’re getting back on the winning track tonight as we’re taking the Total in the Yankees-Mets matchup.
The Total for this game is set at 10 runs and these two will blow right past that. Despite totaling only 5 runs yesterday, the Under has come in 3 of their 5 meetings this season, including 2 of the last 3 matchups. The Over is also 8-5 their last 13 contests against one another.
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Consider, too, that the Yankees have seen the Over come in 3 of their last 4 games overall and 4 of their last 6. The Mets have seen the Over go 4-3 their last 7 games
These teams will see the Over come in again as they blow past the Total easily tonight.
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3♦ YANKEES-METS OVER
282 - 184 run 60 % 34-15 run here 😮
SUNDAY Texas Rangers
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Free Selection from Mike Wynn
Free Play: MLB Tampa Bay
w/Price -150 Over Florida
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==============================
Free Selection from Platinum Plays
MLB: CHICAGO WHITE SOX - 105
8)
LT Profits
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Boston Red Sox @ Atlanta Braves
The Boston Red Sox and the Atlanta Braves have scored a grand total of six runs combined in the first two games of this series with Boston winning both games by scores of 4-1 and 1-0, and given this pitching matchup, do not expect much more scoring today.
Tommy Hanson was already anointed as the future ace of the Atlanta staff well before he was called up to the Major Leagues, and he has lived up to the hype thus far. After a shaky Major League debut that could be attributable to nerves, Hanson has been great in his last three outings, allowing only two runs in 17 innings including tossing 11.1 scoreless innings in his last two efforts. He will be tough on all teams his first time through the league.
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Now we have been down on Boston starter Brad Penny for most of the year, as he was not pitching well early on and was bailed out by the Red Sox offense time and again. However, his last three starts make his 6-2 record look more legitimate, as he has allowed a total of three earned runs and 15 hits in 16.2 innings over those outings.
Aside for the recent pitching lines of the hurlers today, neither team is exactly tattooing right-handed pitching lately, with Boston batting just .233 vs. right-handers in the last 10 games and Atlanta batting a modest .252 against them in this same span.
Look for the Under pattern from the recent meetings between these clubs to continue today.
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MLB Free Pick: Red Sox/Braves Under 9
Fantasy Sports Gametime
Cold as Ice
Lost Big Favorites !!!
100* Play Kansas City (-155) over Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh has lost 33 of the last 48 games as a home underdog of +125 or higher and they have also lost 39 of the last 60 games when playing on a Sunday. Kansas City pitcher, Zack Greinke has won 2 consecutive games vs. NL Central Division Opponents and he is also 9-3 in all starts this season with an ERA of 1.90.
100* Play Detroit (-135) over Houston
Detroit has won 7 the last 9 games and they have also won 14 of the last 17 games coming off six or more consecutive inter-league games. Detroit has won 19 of the last 26 day games and Edwin Jackson has an ERA of 1.89 in all road games this season.
50* Play Milwaukee (-155) over San Francisco
San Francisco has lost 15 of the last 19 games as a road underdog of +125 to +175 and Jonathan Sanchez is 0-1 vs. Milwaukee over his career with an ERA of 15.09. Jonathan Sanchez has lost 8 of the last 10 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175 and he is also 0-7 in all road games this season with an ERA of 6.62.
50* Play Tampa Bay (-155) over Florida
Tampa Bay has won 6 of the last 7 games and they have also won 4 of their 5 games vs. Florida this season. Tampa Bay has won 52 of the last 63 games as a home favorite of -150 or higher and they have also won 32 of the last 41 day games when playing at home.
WNBA 100* Play Sacramento (+6) over Detroit
Detroit has lost 5 of their 6 games against the spread this season and they have also lost 8 of the last 11 games against the spread coming off a road loss by 10 points or more. Sacramento has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 games coming off three or more consecutive losses and they have also covered the spread in 53 of the last 85 games when playing three or less games in 10 days.
Jr Tips
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PADRES vs. RANGERS
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The Texas Rangers (40-33) lost 7-3 to San Diego on Saturday to see its three-game winning streak end and San Diego (32-41) ended its three-game slide with a season-high 16-hits.Texas will start Tommy Hunter (0-0, 5.06 ERA), who will be recalled from Triple-A Oklahoma City to make his second start of the year. Hunter, a 22-year-old right-hander, is 3-2 with a 3.83 ERA for Oklahoma City this season but he was 0-2 with a 16.36 ERA last season with 3 Big League starts. San Diego's Chad Gaudin (3-6, 5.60) will try to win consecutive starts for the first time since he won three straight with Oakland from April 18-28, 2008. The right-hander ended a personal three-game losing streak Tuesday by allowing two runs over seven innings in a 9-7 win at Seattle although Gaudin is 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA in seven career starts against the Rangers, including 0-2 with an 8.59 ERA in three outings at Arlington. Both teams will be starting two bad pitchers on the mound tonight. San Diego's starter is getting spot duty coming from Triple A means and have never had success in the Bigs. You'll see early bullpen activity and a lot of runs for both teams tonight.
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TAKE OVER 11 RUNS
MLB Computer Picks
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Baltimore Orioles -135
Colorado Rockies +105
Texas Rangers -140
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Mr. A's
Milwaukee Brewers -155
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Los Angeles Angels +125
Craig Davis
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Today's free play winner is on the Atlanta Braves (with Hanson) over Boston. After losing a couple of one-run games to the Red Sox, Atlanta has to be sick and tired of dropping these close games because it just doesn't seem that they can get their bats going. Against Brad Penny, it's probably the best forumal for allowing that to happen. Penny is not the pitcher he once was in Florida or Los Angeles and although he hasn't been horrible, he's obviously not the pitcher he once was... at least not yet. For Atlanta, you gotta like what this kid Tommy Hanson has been doing lately. There was a lot of buzz about him coming into the season and he's apparently living up to the hype. Hanson's season ERA is only 3.13, but over his last three starts it's a miniscule 1.06, with wins over the Yankees, Baltimore and Cincinnati (two of those on the road). He's only started four games this season, and after a rough outing in Game 1, he's settled down and dominated. Watch him today as he dominates yet another opponent from the AL East.
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3♦ ATLANTA
The Spread
Cincinnati Reds at Cleveland Indians, 1:05PM ET
Cincinnati is 467-543 (+43.5 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
Cleveland is 3-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
Cleveland is 11-23 (-16.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
Pick: Cincinnati
LA Angels at Arizona Diamondbacks, 4:10PM ET
LA Angels are 35-21 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LA Angels are 140-97 (+28.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
Arizona is 33-52 (-24.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Arizona is 30-44 (-17.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
Pick: LA Angels
Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves, 1:35PM ET
Boston is 7-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Boston is 10-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Boston is 62-32 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 7 games at home
Pick: Boston
RJ Robbins
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San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers
Play: Over 11
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The Padres are 16-6 Over on the road vs RHP this season. Chad Gaudin has been hit hard his L3 starts going 1-2, with a 7.31 ERA and on the road this season going 2-4, 6.18 ERA. He is 2-4, with a 6.18 ERA vs Texas in 7 starts. Texas has recalled Tommy Hunter from AAA, who us 0-0, with a 5.16 ERA making his second start of the season. OVER 11
Whats Burns interleague TOY?
Please stop posting requests for plays. If they are available they are posted.
Making requests unnecessarily taxes the system not to mention it's pretty annoying.