GoodFella
Arizona +120
D-Backs off a nice (7-1) win over the Reds last night & the Reds have been using their bully quite a bit of late & of course they are missing the heart of their order and team in Votto & they are also "resting" both Cozart and Rolen (who rakes Saunders). Reds SP Leake has simply been better AWAY from his home ballpark & he faces a dangerous AZ lineup today, & like I said the Reds bully has seen a lot of action of late here. Arizona SP Saunders simply has been MUCH BETTER away from his home ballpark & almost always keeps his club in the game. We have a very nice "live dog" here IMO< as opposed to the SO MANY "Dead Dogs" we see go down DAILY, and my money is on the D-BACKS today.
Wunderdog
San Francisco at Atlanta
Pick: Atlanta -120
The San Francisco Giants have been a dominating home team the last few years, but are quite a different team on the road. This season is no exception as they are a mediocre 22-24 on the season. Madison Bumgarner has been a key contributor to both the home success and road woes for the Giants. While he is a stellar 7-1 with a 1.81 ERA at home, he has been a sour 4-4 with a 4.43 ERA on the road. The Braves are 10-4 this year when Hudson takes the mound and 18-8 going back to last season. The Giants are not-so large behind Bumgarner as a dog either at 1-6 in his last seven. The Braves have thrived behind Hudson when he gets an extra day of rest where they are 35-16 when he toes the rubber on five days of rest. They have also been 4-1 in his last five home starts vs. the Giants. Play on Atlanta.
Dave Price
Seattle Mariners -140
The Key: The Royals held on yesterday but are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win. They have lost 7 of their last 9 overall and are only 2-10 in home day games this season. Plus, the Mariners have the edge on the mound with Felix Hernandez, who is coming off a complete-game shutout against Texas in which he only allowed 3 hits while striking out 12 and walking no one. He has given up 1 or no earned runs in 5 of his last 6 starts. The Mariners are 7-2 in Hernandez's last 9 starts as a road favorite. Take Seattle.
Jack Jones
White Sox/Red Sox UNDER 10.5
Oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight in this Game 3 between the Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox. I like the chances of Boston's Clay Buchholz and Chicago's Jose Quintana to hold their opponents in check at the plate.
Buchholz is 4-1 with a 2.91 ERA in his last six starts, allowing just 14 earned runs over 43 1/3 innings. Quintana is clearly underrated, going 4-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in nine starts and two relief appearances in 2012.
The White Sox are 11-2 UNDER as a road underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Chicago is 30-12 UNDER in road games after scoring 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 38-17-1 in White Sox last 56 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. The UNDER is 5-1 in Red Sox last 6 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.
MLB Predictions
Cincinnati Reds -124
The Cincinnati Reds looks to split this four game set after dropping 2 of the first three. The Reds are 51-40 on the season and 27-18 at home, while the Dbacks are 44-47 on the season and 21-26 on the road. The Reds will send Mike Leake to the mound today who is 3-6 on the season with a 3.96 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and .273 opponents batting average. Over his last 5 starts he has been stellar with a 1.95 ERA and 0.97 WHIP. Joe Saunders will pitch his second game back from the DL. He is 4-6 on the season with a 3.52 ERA, 1.38 WHIP, and .286 opponents batting average. Saunders has allowed 7+ hits in 9 of his last 10 starts. Take note that the Reds as a team are better against lefties with a .256 team batting average over the season vs lefties. The D’backs are 2-6 in their last 8 road games, 1-4 in Saunders’ last 5 starts, and 0-4 in his last 4 starts as a road underdog. The Reds are 7-2 in their last 9 games overall, and 7-3 in Leake’s last 10 starts as a home favorite. Despite not having Votto in the line up I still like the Reds at home for a unit today as they split the series with Arizona.
Marlins / Cubs Under 7.5
First thing you need to look at when betting a total at Wrigley Field is the wind, and by today’s total of 7.5 you can probably guess that the wind is blowing in from centre field. Not only is the wind blowing in this afternoon, but we have two solid pitchers on the mound. Mark Buehrle will be on the rubber for Miami and he is 9-8 on the season with a 3.13 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, and .262 opponents batting average. Over his last 4 starts he has allowed just 3 earned runs against and has struck out 7+ in each of those starts. Paul Maholm will be on the mound for Chicago making it a lefty match up, and he is 7-6 on the season with a 4.33 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, and .273 opponents batting average. Over his last four starts he has allowed just 2 earned runs against while walking just 3 and striking out 16. Also take note that Maholm has a solid 5-2 record and 3.02 ERA at home. Buehrle has a 1.25 ERA over his last three starts, while Maholm’s ERA is 0.84 over his last 3. The Marlins are hitting just .233 against lefties as a team, while the Cubs are hitting just .230. Note that the UNDER is 7-1-2 in the Marlins last 10 games overall, and 3-0-1 in Buehrle’s last 4 starts. The UNDER is 5-2 in the Cubs last 7 overall, and 5-1-1 in their last 7 games as a home underdog. This one should be a low scoring affair. Take the UNDER.
Evan Abrams
Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Detroit Tigers
When it comes to the Detroit Tigers, they just have not been able to stay on the winning train this season, but in their last 10 games they are 8-2 and are slowly climbing up the division. They will need to continue to rack up wins, especially at home if they want to get where they need to be and it starts today against Jerome Williams and the Angels. There will be runs scored in this game, I will tell you that because Williams always at least allows 2 or more runs and Scherzer has the knack to get rocked or give the Tigers a quality start. Williams has allowed 19 earned runs in his last four starts overall and I see that continuing today in Detroit. Take the Tigers today.
MTi Sports
Kansas City Royals +135
In Hernandez's last start vs the Royals he was shelled badly and the M's lost 7-0 as a 140 road favorite. The linesmakers anticipate bettors wanting to play on Hernandez to gain revenge in this situation. However, checking the results reveals that the Mariners are 0-15 with Hernandez when they lost the last time he started vs this opponent.
Seattle has lost these 15 games by an average of 3.5 runs per game and they are 0-5 in this spot this season.
As a team, the Mariners are 1-14 when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they allowed 12+ hits and trailed at the end of at least five separate innings.
Note that they are 0-8 on the road in this spot. In the history of the database, Seattle is 15-61 in this spot.
Indeed, Hernandez is off a fantastic start - shutting out the Rangers while striking out twelve and allowing no walks. The linesmakers know this and have made him a significant road favorite because of it. However, Seattle is 0-9 on the road with Hernandez when they won by multiple runs at home in his last start. Seattle's offense gets sluggish and complacent in this situation; playing small ball while relying on King Felix to produce another gem. They have supported him with an average of 1.7 runs per game in this spot.
The Royals are the side with the line value here.
FORECAST: KANSAS CITY 5 Seattle 3
Rocketman
Miami @ Chicago Cubs
Play On: Miami -125
Miami takes on the Cubs in Chicago this afternoon in the third and final game of this series. Chicago Cubs are 9-18 this year against left handed starters where they are scoring only 3.5 runs per game with a team batting average of only .239. Mark Buehrle is 9-8 with a 3.13 ERA overall this year and 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA his last 3 starts. He has 22 strike outs and only 3 walks his last 3 appearances. Miami has taken 4 out of the 5 overall meetings with the Cubs this season. Maholm is 3-5 with a 5.87 ERA in all starts vs Miami in his career. Miami is 5-0 last 5 games against a left handed starter. Miami is 17-8 last 25 games as a road favorite. Miami is 6-1 last 7 games when Buehrle starts on 4 days rest. Cubs are 3-7 last 10 games when Maholm starts as an underdog. Miami has won 6 of the past 7 meetings overall in this series. We'll recommend a small play on Miami!
SPORTS WAGERS
N.Y. Yankees -115 over OAKLAND
The Yankees are simply dominating. They’ve won nine of 11, they’re coming off a sweep of the Blue Jays and they’ve played .700 ball over their past 20 games. They’ve also dominated the A’s with a sweep earlier in the year, outscoring them 17-5 in three games and they’ve won nine straight at Oakland’s Coliseum. It doesn’t end there. The Yanks have scored five runs or more in 10 straight games. Over that span, they’ve hit .310, scored 65 runs and have knocked 20 out of the park. The A’s are hot too with nine wins in their past 10. However, they still own some ugly offensive numbers, paling in comparison to the Yanks. Oakland hitters strike out the third most in the league and its .221 team batting average is second worst in the majors, ahead of only the Mariners. As the Yanks have proven time and time again, the pitching matchup hardly matters, as they’ll outscore their opponents most of the time. A short price on this scorching guest has to get our attention.