Rocketman
Boston @ Baltimore
Play: Baltimore -117
Boston travels to Baltimore to take on the Orioles in Game One of this three game series. Boston is 3-8 this year when playing with a day off. Baltimore is scoring 5.3 runs per game their past seven games overall. Josh Beckett is 5-9 with a 4.97 ERA overall this year, 3-4 with a 4.59 ERA on the road this season and 0-1 with a 7.98 ERA his last 3 starts. Wei-Yin Chen is 10-7 with a 3.79 ERA overall this year, 5-4 with a 3.77 ERA at home this season and 2-1 with a 3.63 ERA his last 3 starts. Chen is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA in all starts vs Boston in his career. Baltimore has won 6 of 9 meetings against Boston this year. Boston is 4-9 last 13 games as a road underdog. Boston is 5-14 last 19 games during Game 1 of a series. Boston is 2-8 last 10 games when Beckett starts. Baltimore is 6-1 last 7 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Baltimore is 7-2 last 9 games overall. Boston is 1-6 last 7 games when Beckett starts vs Baltimore including 0-4 last 4 games when Beckett starts in Baltimore. We'll recommend a small play on Baltimore tonight!
Andre Gomes
Mets / Reds Over 8
Both teams are on a good spot for today, as they had a rest day yesterday. The Mets will be using Young as their SP today and he is coming from a poor performance on his last start, where he allowed a season-worst of seven runs, while surrendering three home runs in just 4.1 IP of a 13-0 loss against Miami. Young is 1-5 and he has allowed nine homers in his last seven outings, while not being able to stay in the game for at least five innings in three occasions. Young is a flyball pitcher (57.5% rate FB% vs 25.3% GB%) and while he performs really well on pitcher-friendly parks like LA or SF, he will definitely struggle tonight in a hitting-friendly park like the Great American Ball park. After a good month of June, Young struggled in July with a 6.00 ERA (5.91 FIP) and he keeps struggling in August with a 6.35 ERA (5.92 FIP), so I expect him to have a lot of work tonight against the Reds offense.
On the other hand, Cincinnati start Latos in the mount tonight and he has been pitching very well lately, with just 2, 2, 0 and 1 runs allowed (3.69, 3.84, 2.96 and 3,09 FIP). Latos is an excellent pitcher against RH batters (.198 BA and .588 OPS), but he struggles against LH batters (.265 BA and .826 OPS). Latos also has a high FB% which puts him prone to allow home runs. From his last four starts, two of them were against Milwaukee and Pittsburgh, whose top hitters are right handed, while the other two were against Colorado (good hitting team, but with a lot of banged up guys right now) and Houston (poor hitting team). Considering the fact that the Mets have a lot of LH batters (#9 in the league in OPS vs RH with .748), Latos is also likely to struggle tonight, as the Mets have 5 LH batters that they can use on their lineup. In fact, Latos has already played at NY against the Mets this season and he allowed 7 hits and 3 ER (7/3 K/BB ratio) in just 5IP.
With both pitches prone to struggle today, I believe we have a lot of value on the Over and so, I'll take it on this contest.
SPORTS WAGERS
Washington +111 over SAN FRANCISCO
Jordan Zimmerman is 7-3 on the road with a 1.89 ERA. Madison Bumgarner is 7-1 at home with an ERA of 1.98. These are two outstanding pitchers with full skills support so let’s call the pitching matchup a toss-up. All other factors lean heavily in the Nationals favor.
Washington is now 11-2 in August. They walloped the Giants again last night by belting out 21 hits and scoring 14 times. They’ve now defeated the Giants in all four games played this season while outscoring them 38-14.
San Francisco has lost 11 of their past 19 games. Take out six recent games against the 42-71 Rockies, in which the Giants won five, and the numbers are even worse. San Fran owns one of the worst runs per game average in the majors. It offers up extremely poor value against a red hot club that it is yet to beat this season. Why should this one be any different?
Ross King
Arizona D-Backs vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Arizona D-Backs
St.Louis has outscored Arizona 33-17 while sweeping them there and have defeated them 6 straight times.A closer look reveals St.Louis is currently 13-23 versus teams with a winning record.St.Louis starter Kelly is 2-5 3.47 e.r.a.Take Arizona with their ace on the hill to get some revenge here tonight as your freeplay.
OC DOOLEY
Cleveland Indians +180
Most reading this analysis will remember last year’s trade deadline when Cleveland was in contention for a possible playoff spot and acquired former Colorado ace Ubaldo Jiminez from the Rockies. That trade has turned out to be a disaster as in 34 different start in an Indians uniform Jiminez for the most part has struggled. But according to his manager Jiminez last time on the mound was at his absolute best with an aggressive fastball as he worked both sides of the plate. The Indians as a team are a positive 4-2 ever since they snapped an ugly eleven-game losing skid and tonight starting second baseman Jason Kipnis returns to the lineup following a bout with injury. The host Angels are riding a current 3-9 slump where the pitching staff (6.30 ERA) has repeatedly failed. Ever since being acquired at the trade deadline Zack Greinke is winless for the Angels. In the past two starts Greinke has allowed 10 runs and last time on the mound he issued a season-high 5 walks. Keep an eye out for Cleveland infielder Asdrubal Cabrera who is a .484 lifetime hitter when facing Greinke. The following statistic will come as a shock to most but for the entire season when cast as a hefty home favorite of between 175-and-200, the Angels are a disastrous 0-7