Lenny Del Genio
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Diamondbacks at Padres
Prediction: Over
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There's no bigger "pitcher's park" in MLB than Petco Park in San Diego and this fact is not lost on the oddsmakers as there have been 24 Padres home games this season with a total of seven or less. No other park has had more than nine. Even more interesting is the fact that 70% of those 24 games have gone Over the total. The public has bet this number up to 7.5 throughout the morning and we cannot say we disagree. Overall, San Diego has gone Over in 27 of their previous 45 games. They've gone Over five of the last six times they've met their NL West rivals, including the last time tonight's starter (Richard) faced the D'backs as he allowed five runs in less than four innings of work. Arizona has gone Over in 50 of 80 games as an underdog this year, including 15 of 22 when starter Lopez toes the rubber. Take Over Arizona/San Diego.
Black Widow
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1* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 +102
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Boston continues to fight, scratch and claw their way into the AL East race. This team is not going to give up. They sit 5.5 games back in the division and we look for Boston to finish the season strong. They aren't going to slip up tonight against the Seattle Mariners, who feature the worst offense in the American League. Seattle his hitting .237 and scoring 3.3 runs/game this year, and they are 20-44 on the road this season. Boston is hitting .277 and scoring 5.2 runs/game at home. Seattle has lost three straight games by 3 runs or more. David Pauley goes for the Mariners, and he sports a 6.13 ERA through three road starts this year. Josh Beckett has not been on his game this year, but he has fared well against the Mariners. Beckett is 4-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last 5 starts against Seattle, allowing just 6 earned runs in 33.1 innings. Seattle is 10-40 (-21.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons, losing by 2.7 runs/game. Boston is 18-2 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons, winning by 3.3 runs/game. Take the Red Sox on the Run Line.