Dave Price
1 Unit on Twins/Royals UNDER 9
Head to head, the Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Kansas City. On top of that, the Under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 overall and 24-8-2 in the Twins last 34 road games. The Under is 6-0-1 in the Royals last 7 overall and 21-10-1 in Bannister's last 32 home starts. Lastly, the Under is 7-2-1 in Baker's last 10 starts vs. the Royals. We saw just 6 total runs in this matchup yesterday and I'm expecting another low number tonight.
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
287 - 186 run 60 % 35-16 run here 😮
TUES Boston Red Sox 8)
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Undefeated's pick:
Chicago/Pitts - bet on under the posted
total of eight points.
8)
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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MIN (-140) vs KAN
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Minnesota Twins starter Scott Baker has mostly positive memories of facing the Kansas City Royals. His last start isnt one of them. Baker looks to win his fourth straight decision Tuesday night and exact some revenge on the Royals when the Twins continue their three-game set at Kauffman Stadium. The right-hander had been 5-0 with a 1.87 ERA in his previous six starts versus the Royals (33-42) heading into his outing May 3. Baker (5-6, 5.17 ERA) took a no-hitter into the seventh inning before Kansas City chased him with five straight hits, and all of them scored as he was eventually charged with a 7-5 loss; I look for him to return to form this evening; it's interesting to note that the Royals are a horrible 1-5 (-3.8 units) as a home dog of +125 to +150; play on the TWINS!
Wunderdog
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Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh
Pick: Pittsburgh +1.5
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Someone is not paying attention here, and it is the oddsmakers. Ohlendorf has led the Pirates to a 6-1 mark in his last seven home starts. Against a Cubs team that has just 15 road wins in 39 tries, and four of the 15 came by a single run, so they would of covered -1.5 on the road in just 11 of 39! Those are not the kind of numbers you want to hitch your cart to, especially against an under the radar Pirates team winning 21 of 36 at home, and recently unbeatable at home if given +1.5 runs, as they would be 15-2 in their last 17. I'm going with the Pirates on the runline.
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Sacramento at Chicago
Pick: OVER 144
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The Monarchs have been a decidedly OVER team cashing 10 of their last 14 to the OVER, and on one day's rest they play better and score more, and are a perfect 5-0 to the OVER. The Sky has also been 5-0 after an ATS loss, and four of the past five meetings between these two teams have pushed OVER the posted total. I will go with the OVER here.
Chris Jordan
San Francisco at ST. LOUIS
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Normally, this might be a big-billed pitching showdown. But now that win No. 300 is out of the way, there are no more monumental wins or anything to get motivated for when it comes to Randy Johnson. We’re better off with Chris Carpenter, who is 5-2 on the season with a stifling 1.78 ERA.
The Cardinals’ right-handed ace is throwing tremendously right now and has been tossing quality strikes by using an array of pitches - his fastball, cutter, curveball and changeup – to keep batters off-balance. He's a handful, much more than the Big Unit will be for the Cardinals, who will be hungry after losing last night.
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Johnson's velocity has dropped since his dominating years of the late 1990s, and though his effectiveness hasn't, he’s certainly hittable. In two games against the Cardinals last season, the Big Unit went 0-1 with an ERA of 9.31. Last night the Giants won in a rout, tonight it’ll be the Redbirds.
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1♦ ST. LOUIS RUN LINE
Scott Delaney
We're on a 22-15-1 run with complimentary releases, and tonight we're taking the Diamondbacks against Cincinnati.
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I know the Reds have shown some offensive prowess lately, but overall this season the Reds are among the worst hitting teams in the majors. The team owns a .247 batting average. And I like out chances with Arizona and Danny Haren tonight, as he should have no problem helping the Snakes end their season-high five-game losing streak.
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He’s the National League’s ERA leader and comes in after allowing two runs and four hits with eight strikeouts in seven innings of a 2-1 loss to Texas. Run support was the issue in that pitching gem, as Haren had gone 3-0 with a 1.66 ERA in his previous five starts.
He’s a much better choice than Bronson Arroyo, who toes the rubber for the Reds tonight. Arroyo, who was hit hard last Wednesday, has been inconsistent through five June starts, going 1-3 with a 6.51 ERA. Take the Snakes tonight.
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1♦ ARIZONA D'BACKS
Jimmy Boyd
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1 Unit on Florida Marlins -145
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We cashed in with the Marlins on the run line last night for a nice +120 winner and the Fish are worth a 1 unit wager for me tonight as I don't feel Nationals rookie starter Craig Stammen gives them a very good chance to win. He is just 1-3 on the season with an ERA of 5.49. Marlins rookie southpaw Sean West gives his team that better chance to win tonight as he goes after his fourth win in five starters and boasts an ERA of just 3.38 this season. Plus, the Nationals are 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter and 7-32 vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins have won 8 straight against the Nats and I look for this streak to reach 9 games tonight.
Dennis Macklin
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Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
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IMO, the wrong team is favored here. The Phillies are playing .700 ball on the road at 26-12 and tonight's starter Joe Blanton sports an ERA below 3.00 in his L6 starts. Derek Lowe was battered senseless in his three IL starts against the AL East going 0-3 (12.35) in three starts against the Balt, BOS, and NYY allowing a whopping 26 hits and 7 walks in 11 and 2/3 work. The Phils are 14-4 in L18 at Turner Field and appear to have much of the best of the pitching here. Give me the live dog Phillies.
BEN BURNS
New York Mets @ Milwaukee Brewers
PICK: New York Mets
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The Brewers come in as the hotter team and they took yesterday's opener, winning by a score of 10-6. The Mets figure to have the edge on the mound here though. After a rare off-stretch, Santana has bounced back with back to back solid efforts. For the season, he's now 9-5 with a solid 3.08 ERA and 1.204 WHIP, numbers which are really inflated due to the bad start against the Yankees. He's averaged greater than six innings per start and has more strikeouts than innings pitched.
Most recently, Santana held the Cardinals to two runs (one earned) through seven innings, en route to a 3-2 victory. That was against another elite pitcher in Chris Carpenter. Here, he'll be opposed by Mike Burns.
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While Burns may have the better name and the healthier team, he'll be going up against a former Cy Young award winner and he has yet to prove himself at this level. His lone start resulted in a 6-4 loss to the Twins. He gave up six hits, three walks and four runs in 5 2/3 innings. That translates to a 6.35 ERA and a 1.587 WHIP. Not very impressive.
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Santana's teams are 6-2 against the Brewers, including 4-2 and 1-0 victories in his last two starts against them. Santana had 17 K's to just one walk in those games. With the Mets at 5-0 on the season after giving up double-digits in their previous game and the line having come down a bit from it's opener... Consider New York
LARRY NESS
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Tampa Bay Rays @ Toronto Blue Jays
PICK: Tampa Bay Rays
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Around the middle of May (May 18 to be exact) the Blue Jays led the AL East by 3 1/2 games over the Red Sox, having opened the '09 season 27-14. Meanwhile, last year's AL champs (the Rays), were just 20-20. However, there's been a change of fortunes for both teams since, as the Blue Jays have gone 14-23 and the Rays 23-15. The Red Sox now lead the AL East at 47-29 with the Yankees in second at 43-32. The Rays are up to 43-35 (1 1/2 games behind the Yanks), while the Jays have fallen into fourth place (41-37), two games behind the Rays. Last night's 4-1 win over the Blue Jays and Roy Halladay (just his second loss of 2009), ups Tampa Bay's recent run to 14-4. The Rays are batting .304 as a team during their recent surge and also have 38 HRs in June, which matches a team record for HRs in a month that was set in August of 2005 and matched last August. Matt Garza goes for the Rays and while he's just 5-5 in 15 starts (team is 7-8), he's pitched much better than his record. He's got a solid ERA of 3.61 and has allowed just 74 hits over 97.1 innings with 85 strikeouts. The Blue Jays have lost three straight after last night and will turn to Scott Richmond to avoid a fourth consecutive loss. Richmond opened the '09 season 4-0 with a 2.67 ERA in his first five starts (team was 5-0) but in 10 appearances since (seven starts), is 2-4 with a 4.31 ERA (team is 3-4 in his starts). The Rays are averaging 5.62 RPG this season (5.38 on the road) and while Garza is just 3-3 all-time vs the Blue Jays, he's got a 1.99 ERA. Take the Rays.
Lenny Del Genio
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Arizona Diamondbacks at Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks
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The Dbacks have certainly had their fair share of issues with the Reds, losing 11 of 15, including five of six here in the Queen City. But things should change tonight with Dan Haren on the hill. Despite a 6-5 record in 15 starts, Haren boasts an ERA of 2.25. He has allowed two earned runs or less in each of six consecutive starts. Big pitching mismatch tonight against Arroyo, who has an 8.21 ERA over his last three starts. He?s only allowed two earned runs or less in six starts all season! Take Arizona.
Freddy Wills
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -1
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The Cardinals offense has struggled and it has been the main reason why the team has lost as of late. Last night it was their pitching and hitting as Lincecum blanked them for a 10-0 win. Tonight Randy Johnson will face Chris Carpenter on the hill.
We like the value we get here on the run line for our free pick. Johnson has struggled his last two times facing the Cardinals and the Cardinals as a team have a .289 average against him including 9-21 3HR .429 average for Albert Pujols. Johnson threw 102 pitches in his last outing and has a 5.25ERA on the road.
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Carpenter will go for the Cardinals and as I said in our hot and cold starters article he should be well motivated at home after Lincecums performance last night. Giants hitters have a .210 average against Carpenter over his career and Carpenter has .43 ERA at home in 3GS.
Worth noting: The Cardinals have won 81.8% of their home games by more than one run. The Giants have lost 81.8% of their games by more than 1 run.
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Take Cardinals -1.5
Michael Cannon
LA Angels (EV) at TEXAS
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Let’s take the Angels tonight for the road win over the Rangers.
Los Angels has won six in a row and will be trying for its second seven-game winning streak of the season.
Joe Saunders will start for the Halos and he’s 8-4 with a 3.66 ERA on the year. The left-hander is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last three starts.
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The Rangers will counter with Scott Feldman, who hasn’t won since June 3. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 4.70 ERA in his last four starts, and 1-2 with a 6.18 ERA in five lifetime starts against the Angels.
Take the Angels as they grab the road win.
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2♦ LA ANGELS
Rob Homyak
5 Units on Florida Marlins
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Craig Stammen will be the starting pitcher for the Nationals on this day. Righthander Stammen is 1-3 this season with a 5.49 ERA.
Stammen's opponent in this one will be Sean West. The Marlins lefthander has a 3.38 ERA to go along with a 3-2 record this season.
Emilio Bonifacio's sacrifice fly in the bottom of the eighth inning broke a 2-2 tie, and the Marlins went on to beat the Nationals 4-2 on Monday night.
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Florida cashed as -200 home favorites as the game played UNDER the 9-run total set by sportsbooks.
Winning pitcher Ricky Nolasco gave up two runs over eight innings for the Marlins, while Hanley Ramirez went 3-for-4 with a run batted in for Florida.
Ryan Zimmerman went deep for Washington, as Ron Villone was tagged with the loss after allowing the go-ahead run in the bottom of the eighth inning.
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When FLORIDA team played as a -140 to -160 home Favorite - Last 5 years - 2nd game of a series
Record 15-6
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Florida has won the first seven matchups with Washington this season and eight straight overall in the series. The Marlins went 14-3 against the Nationals in 2008.
can you post burn's 10*