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Free Picks: Service Plays for Tuesday, September 14,2010

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DUNKEL INDEX

Detroit at Texas
The Tigers look to take advantage of a Texas team that is 1-4 in Derek Holland's last 5 starts. Detroit is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+135)

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.913; NY Mets (Dickey) 14.021
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+170); Over

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Florida (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 16.727; Florida (Mendez) 14.988
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-155); Under

Game 955-956: Washington at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 14.787; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 13.416
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-220); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+180); Over

Game 957-958: Arizona at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 14.293; Cincinnati (Wood) 14.691
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-165); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-165); Under

Game 959-960: Milwaukee at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Capuano) 14.617; Houston (Norris) 15.251
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Over

Game 961-962: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.225; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.263
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-230); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+190); Under

Game 963-964: San Diego at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Garland) 14.946; Colorado (Hammel) 15.952
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Over

Game 965-966: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.259; San Francisco (Zito) 14.977
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-110); Under

Game 967-968: LA Angels at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Kazmir) 15.915; Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.949
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-105); Under

Game 969-970: Toronto at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Hill) 14.804; Baltimore (Arrieta) 16.361
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over

Game 971-972: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Nova) 15.189; Tampa Bay (Garza) 15.419
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-145); Over

Game 973-974: Detroit at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Bonderman) 16.742; Texas (Holland) 16.054
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+135); Under

Game 975-976: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Liriano) 15.352; White Sox (Danks) 15.882
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-110); Over

Game 977-978: Oakland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.309; Kansas City (Greinke) 14.487
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-110); Under

Game 979-980: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Matsuzaka) 14.573; Seattle (French) 14.782
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+115); Over

WNBA

Atlanta at Seattle
The Dream look to bounce back from their Game 1 loss and build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 road games. Atlanta is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Seattle favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2)

Game 653-654: Atlanta at Seattle (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.999; Seattle 117.918
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 1; 160
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 7 1/2; 163
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2); Under

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 7:40 am
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Marc LawrenceFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Philadelphia Phillies at Florida Marlins
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies
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When the Phillies send left hander Cole Hamels to the hill against Adalberto Mendez and the Marlins in Florida this evening they will do so knowing Hamels is in peak season form at 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three starts. He's also 13-6 his last 19 team starts during the month of September. With Mendez entering off his first major league victory in his last start, look for the Phillies to fry the FIsh here tonight. We recommend a 1-unit play on Philadelphia.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:09 am
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Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Diamondbacks at Reds
Prediction: Under
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Cincinnati starter Travis Wood has allowed 7 runs total in his last 3 starts. The Reds are 8-2-1 UNDER their last 11 games as home favorites. Cincinnati is 6-0 UNDER after scoring 5 or more runs in their last game. The Reds are 17-8-2 UNDER when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their last game. Arizona starter Daniel Hudson has allowed 5 runs total in his last 3 starts. The Diamondbacks are 44-16-5 UNDER their last 65 meetings vs. the Reds. The Snakes are 6-2 UNDER off a loss and they are 4-0 UNDER in the last 4 starts made by Hudson.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:09 am
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Frank JordanFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants
Play: San Francisco Giants
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The LA Dodgers are under .500 and have no shot at making it into post season play, but the next best thing is to knock of their long time rival Giants and send them to their off season plans early. The Dodgers have Clayton Kershaw on the mound who has won 11 games and has an era under 3.00. Against the rival Kershaw has a 2.25 era, but is 0-1 in three starts. The Giants are just one game back in the loss column to the Padres and have won 7 of their last 10 games. The Giants have Barry Zito starting the game for them who has a 2.84 era against the Dodgers this year but is 0-2 in 5 starts. In his last home start against the Dodgers Zito went 7 strong and got the no decision but the Giants won 3-2. Look for another performance like that out of Zito as they Giants win putting the pressure on the Padres. Play San Francisco

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:10 am
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Rob VincilettiFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros
Play: Milwaukee Brewers
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Houston qualifies in a negative system here tonight that pertains to certain home favorites off a home favored win, if they scored 4 or less runs with 10 more hits and 10 or more men left on base if the total was 8 or less and the opponent tonight is off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs. Home favorites in this role are several games under .500. The Brewers are a live dog here tonight. They average 5 runs per game in road games this year as well. On the mound they C. Capuano tonight. Capuano has been real good of late and has allowed just 2 runs in 12 innings of work as he finally appears to be healthy from all the injuries. B. Norris of Houston has been disappointing this season with a 4.90 era. Over his last 3 starts he has a horrendous 6.06 era. Look for Milwaukee to get the win tonight.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:11 am
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Matt FargoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Yankees at Tampa Bay Rays
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
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The Yankees are in their worst run of the season. They have dropped four straight games for the first time this year and they are 1-7 over their last eight games as the offense has completely shut down. New York has averaged 2.9 rpg over this eight-game stretch. The Yankees have dropped the first four games of this roadtrip and going back to the last series with Tampa Bay, they are 7-12 in their last 19 road games. Tampa Bay took a half-game lead with last night’s extra-inning victory and improved to 4426 at home on the season. This includes wins in 10 of its last 12 games at Tropicana Field. The pitching took a big hit during the recent roadtrip but playing at home is the perfect cure as on the season the Rays have a 3.43 ERA and 1.18 WHIP compared to 4.21 and 1.33 on the road respectively. This is the best time for Matt Garza to face New York as his track record is not very good. The Rays have lost his last seven starts against the Yankees despite him pitching fairly solid in those games. He has faced New York just once this season and itched good enough to win but the Rays dropped a 5-4 game. He has been outstanding at home this season with a 3.24 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 13 starts with the Rays going 10-3 in those games. Going back further, the Rays are 20-7 in Garza’s last 27 starts as a home favorite. New York sends Ivan Nova to the hill and he has been a decent addition to the rotation. He has not allowed more than three runs in any of his four starts but he has only one quality outing to show for it. His overall ERA is a solid 2.92 but his WHIP is 1.34 and that is rather high so he is allowing baserunners but has been fortunate to have been able to get out of jams. Tampa Bay also falls into a great league-wide situation. Play on American League favorites with a moneyline between -125 and -175 that are averaging between 4.7 and 5.2 rpg going up against a starter whose ERA is 4.20 or better after a combined score of three runs or less. This situation is 36-8 (81.8 percent) since 1997. Also, the Rays are 24-9 this season against American League starters with an ERA of 3.50 or better. 3* Tampa Bay Rays

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:12 am
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BIG ALFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston Red Sox @ Seattle Mariners
PICK: Boston Red Sox
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Righthander Daisuke Matsuzaka may have turned in his worst start of the season in his last outing at home against the Rays, but he's probably not too worried about a repeat as he heads into Seattle for a start against the Mariners. Dice-K is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in just over 44 career innings vs. Seattle and he had a very good start there back on July 18, and although the Sox lost that game, that was back when their offense all banged up and not producing like it is now. The Sox have been doing very well in his recent road starts, going 4-2 in his last six starts away from Fenway Park, and going back further, they are 24-10 in his last 34 road outings. Lucas French is a young lefthander who has never faced Boston before, but he could be in for a bit of a unpleasant surprise tonight as the Sox are the third-best team hitting southpaws in the American League with a .269 seasonal batting average against them so far. French has had four home starts this year and only one of them (August 29) was against a team with anywhere near the offense that Boston possesses (the Twins). French's other three outings at Safeco were against the Royals, Indians, and Athletics. Tonight will be his toughest test at home so far this season. Take the Red Sox.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:13 am
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Bryan LeonardFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Indians
Play: Cleveland Indians
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The Indians just faced Scott Kazmir last week and he shut them down allowing a single run in 6 innings of work. But that has been the exception for Kazmir this season as he enters play with a whopping 6.09 ERA on the road. Cleveland had made a living out of pounding the veteran before that start. They had scored 17 earned runs in his previous 13.1 innings against the Tribe. Now after seeing the lefty just last week we expect another beating at the hands of the Tribe.
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Cleveland has won 4 of the last 7 meetings including 3 of 6 this year in Anaheim. This is actually the first time this season that the Angels have traveled to Cleveland. Los Angeles is just 10-22 their last 32 on the road, and as we have mentioned in the past this is a veteran team that is used to the postseason. They can't be too excited to play these meaningless late season road games.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:13 am
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Jim FeistFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVlCE PLAYS VlSlT THESPREAD.COM
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Angels vs. Indians
Play: Under 9
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A pair of lighting hitting teams meet, with the Angels slumping to 9th in the AL in runs scored, the Indians at 12th. Lefty Scott Kazmir has been throwing better, with a 3.63 ERA his last three starts. Josh Tomlin of the Indians has quietly been throwing well, with 13 walks in 47 innings and fewer hits than innings pitched. Play the Angels/Indians Under the total.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:14 am
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BRAD DIAMOND SPORTS
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Phillies over Florida
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The Marlins played the Phillies tough in their most recent 4-game set at the Bank. However, Philadelphia did come away with a 3-1 mark. In Florida, the Phillies have won 14 of 17, while going 6-1 the last seven meetings overall. With the Marlins 6-14 versus winning clubs and the Phillies a super 9-1 on the road versus plus units, the play is the visiting club.

 
Posted : September 14, 2010 8:15 am
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