DUNKEL INDEX
MLB
Milwaukee at Miami
The Marlins look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 0-6 in Shaun Marcum's last 6 road starts against a team with a losing record. Miami is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Marlins favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110)
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Rusin) 14.463; Washington (Jackson) 15.354
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-210); 8
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-210); Under
Game 903-904: Houston at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Lyles) 14.976; Pittsburgh (Rodriguez) 14.051
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-220); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+180); Over
Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.820; Miami (LeBlanc) 15.497
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+110); Over
Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.156; Cincinnati (Latos) 15.889
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-180); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-180); Under
Game 909-910: Colorado at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.355; Atlanta (Hanson) 16.025
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-185); Under
Game 911-912: NY Mets at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Harvey) 15.192; St. Louis (Garcia) 14.564
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+130); Over
Game 913-914: San Diego at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 15.989; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.056
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-240); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+200); Over
Game 915-916: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 14.487; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.671
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under
Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Britton) 16.513; Toronto (Villanueva) 14.590
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-105); Over
Game 919-920: Cleveland at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 13.815; Detroit (Porcello) 15.454
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-215); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-215); Under
Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Garcia) 13.864; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.384
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-130); Under
Game 923-924: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Diamond) 14.725; White Sox (Quintana) 15.197
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-165); Under
Game 925-926: Texas at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 14.991; Kansas City (Guthrie) 15.733
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+135); Over
Game 927-928: LA Angels at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Greinke) 16.925; Oakland (Parker) 16.472
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-120); Under
Game 929-930: Boston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 13.714; Seattle (Beavan) 15.179
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Boston (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over
WNBA
Connecticut at Washington
The Sun look to bounce back from their 87-80 loss to Atlanta and build on their 13-3 ATS record in their last 16 games following a SU defeat. Connecticut is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Sun favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7 1/2)
Game 601-602: Connecticut at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 112.573; Washington 102.495
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 10; 146 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 7 1/2; 151
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-7 1/2); Under
Game 603-604: Los Angeles at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 115.181; Minnesota 124.734
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 163
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 8; 169 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-8); Under
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Colorado vs. AtlantaFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Rockies' (55-78) David Pomeranz (1-8, 5.13 ERA) is set to square off against the Braves' (76-59) Tommy Hanson (12-7, 4.45 ERA) on the mound this evening.
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Pomeranz gave up six runs off six hits over four frames in his team's 10-9 setback to the Dodgers on Wednesday; it was the fifth time in his last six starts that the beleaguered southpaw has been unable to make it into the fifth frame. He's now 0-5 with a deplorable 7.04 ERA over his last nine starts. Note that he's been particularly ineffective on the road this season, going 1-3 with a pedestrian 5.34 ERA thus far.
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Hanson is coming off an outing to forget in which he gave up four runs off eight hits with two walks while striking out three over five frames of work in his team's eventual 8-2 loss to the Padres on Wednesday. Hanson has hit a sluggish patch, but confirms that he's 100% and ready to go; he has a big opportunity to turn things around vs. the Rockies, and improve upon his 4-3, 4.81 ERA home record.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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To say this has been a lop-sided season series would be an understatement, as the Braves are already 4-0 this season, and have won six straight vs. Colorado in front of the home town crowd.FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Atlanta rolled to a fairly easy 6-1 victory in yesterday's series opener, and I expect another lop-sided affair today.
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You'll want to keep your eyes on the Braves' Martin Prado who is hitting .328 over his last 14 games.
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Expect Hanson to out-duel his "gas can" counterpart, and for the home side to take advantage of this situation; you may want to consider laying the 1.5 runs for the plus money pay out, in what will prove to be a blowout!
Jim FeistFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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New York Mets vs St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: New York MetsFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Cardinals have never faced Mets 23-yeard old righty Matt Harvey before, and he's throwing well with a 2.76 ERA for the season and a 1.80 ERA and 2-0 record his last three starts. For the season he's fanned 49 in 42 innings and allowed just 30 hits. Harvey turned in his third straight quality start in Wednesday's outing against the Phillies. He allowed two runs on six hits over 6 1/3 innings in the 3-2 win. Harvey has been quality in five of the seven starts to begin his career with a 49-to-17 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 42 1/3 innings pitched. The Mets are playing well, 10-4 in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Cardinals are 1-4 in Jamie Garcia's last 5 home starts and in his last three starts overall he's 0-2 with a 4.66 ERA. The Mets are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings, so grab the visitors. Play the NY Mets!
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Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox
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Free plays on a 25-10 run tonight we note that Certain home favorites off a home favored win by 2 or more runs at -140 or higher are 14-4 if they scored 4 or less runs and had 10 or more hits and 5 or more men left on base, vs an opponent off a +140 or higher 2 or more run road dog loss in a game where they scored 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits with 5 or more men left on base. System is some what long winded but effective none the less. Chicago has won 16 of 19 at home when the total is 9 to 9.5. Minnesota has lost 22 of the last 31 vs winning teams. Diamond for the Twins has lost 3 of 4 vs Chicago with a 5.06 era in his last 3 starts. Quintana has won 5 of 7 at home this year. Look for Chicago to get the win tonight.
ParlayJoe
NY Yankees
Yankees are 4-1 in Garcias last 5 starts on grass while the Rays are 0-4 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series and 1-5 in their last 6 games vs. a right handed starter. The play is on the Yankees +130
Milwaukee Brewers
Bounce back Tuesday for the brewers here. The Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 while Miami is 1-4 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Play is on the Brewers.
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Baltimore vs. TorontoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Baltimore Orioles (75-59) will send left hander Zach Britton to the mound on Tuesday night when they take on the Toronto Blue Jays (60-74). Britton is 4-1 on the year with a 4.80 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP. He has been locked in lately with 3 straight wins and an awesome ERA of 1.25. He has 4 quality starts in 8 starts this season including the last 3 straight games. He has never pitched in Toronto. The "Under" has cashed in 2 of his last 3 starts.
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Toronto will counter with right hander Carlos Villenueva on Tuesday night. Villanueva is 7-4 on the season with an excellent ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.20. The "Under" has cashed 4 of his last 5 starts and 4 of his last 5 home starts.
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Britton and Villanueva faced off on August 24th in Baltimore with Britton and the Orioles winning 6-4, cashing the "Over".
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In 12 games between these two this season, the "Under" cashed in 6 games. Baltimore has been red hot, winning 8 of their last 10 overall while climbing to within 1 game of the division leading New York Yankees in the race for the NL East. They have been winning with pitching as the "Under" has cashed in 6 of their last 8 games.
After hovering around the .500 mark for most of the season the Blue Jays have really started to slide. They are 6-14 in their last 20 games with the "Under" cashing 11-8-1.
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Britton is on fire right now while Villanueva has been the Jays best starter in the past 2 months with 7 quality starts in his last 10 games. The Jays offense isn't the same with slugger Jose Bautista out of the lineup. Look for a pitching duel in this game and take the "Under" to win!
Jesse SchuleFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Boston vs. Seattle
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The struggling Red Sox lost again last night in Seattle, it was their seventh straight loss on this West Coast road trip. The Mariners meanwhile have now won 17 of their last 20 games at Safeco, and they will look to keep the ball rolling tonight.
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Blake Beavan will get the call for Seattle, coming off a win his last time out. Beavan (9-8, 4.95 ERA) allowed a pair of run on five hits over seven innings in a 5-4 win over the Twins in his last start. He went five innings allowing just one run on seven hits, in a 5-1 win over Minnesota in his last start here at Safeco. The 23 year old has been inconsistent all year, and he has struggled a little with his command walking five in his last two starts.
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Boston will send John Lester to the mound tonight, coming off a loss in his last outing. Lester (8-11, 5.01 ERA) allowed five runs on nine hits, while walking three over eight innings in a 5-2 loss to the Angels in his last start.
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Lester is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA in his last three starts at Safeco, and he has allowed three home runs in those contests. Michael Saunders has feasted on Lester, going 3 for 6 with a home run against the left-hander. Brendan Ryan and Jesus Montero have both hit .333 versus Lester in their respective careers.
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Red Sox catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia is 3 for 5 in his career versus Blake Beavan.
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I don't expect these two starters to have banner nights in this contest, we could see a few runs scored.
Scott SpreitzerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Houston Astros at Pittsburgh Pirates
Prediction: Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5
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Houston has won two of their last three games, but I'm not "buying." The Astros have won just 10 of 60 games since June 28. We have gone against them several times on the run line, citing that the overwhelming majority of their losses have come by more than one run. Pittsburgh has been struggling, no doubt about it. But I believe the Bucs are getting "just what the doctor ordered" on Tuesday when they step-in against Jordan Lyles. The Astro righty has been rocked just about every way a pitcher can be. He's been tagged badly on the road and has an 8.04 ERA in three career starts against Pittsburgh. Houston has lost nine of Lyles' ten road starts in 2012, with the last six losses coming by a combined score of 56-13, an average margin of more than 7 rpg. Meanwhile, the Bucs will start former Astro Wandy Rodriguez, who has pitched well in his last two starts. Rodriguez' ex-mates average just 2.61 rpg in road games against southpaws. I expect a wide margin Pittsburgh win and I'm recommending a run line play on the Pirates.
Tom FreeseFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Play: San Diego Padres
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The 73-63 Dodgers are at Home to Host the 62-74 Padres on Tuesday for game 2 of their 3 Game series in Los Angeles. The Dodgers give the rock to 12-8 Kershaw while 5-2 Stults gets the nod for The Padres. Kershaw starts his day off with a 2.85 ERA Overall giving up 61 earned runs in 192.7 innings pitched allowing 47 BB and recording 192 K's. On the other side of the diamond, Stults begins his half with a 2.43 ERA giving up 17 earned runs in 63 innings pitched allowing 14 BB and recording 30 K's. The Dodgers are 1-6 in their last 7 Tuesday Games and 5-12 in their last 17 against National League West Clubs. The Padres are 9-2 in their last 11 Overall Games against teams with winning records and 4-1 in Stults' last 5 Starts. Solid play on the Padres with Stults.
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Baltimore @ TorontoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
Play: Toronto -103FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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The Baltimore Orioles take on the Blue Jays in Toronto in Game Two of this three game series. Baltimore has been very good this year and sit only one game behind the NY Yankees for the AL East Division lead. Baltimore is scoring only 3.9 runs per game on the road this year. Baltimore is allowing 6 runs per game on turf this year where opponents are hitting a combined .300. Zach Britton has a 5.03 ERA on the road this season. Carlos Villaneuva is 7-4 with a 3.10 ERA overall this year, 5-4 with a 3.03 ERA in all starts this season and 4-1 with a 1.74 ERA at home this year. Toronto is 19-5 at home vs Baltimore the past 3 years. Baltimore is 1-5 last 6 games on the road when Britton starts against a team with a losing record. Toronto is 6-0 last 6 games when Villanaueva starts as a home favorite and 7-1 last 8 games when he starts at home overall. Baltimore is 14-44 last 58 meetings in Toronto. Toronto would like nothing better to play the role of a spoiler and they do that here tonight. We'll recommend a small play on Toronto tonight!
Dave CokinFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers
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Bad loss for the Brewers on Monday, but this is a lineup that can get to lefties. I'll give Shaun Marcum an edge tonight and I'll lean with the Brewers.
JR O'DonnellFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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SF Giants -135FOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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We have the Arizona D-Backs (66-70 & 33-36 road) visiting the San Francisco Giants (77-58 & 38-28 home) in a NL West game. Giants lead the West by "5" games, while the D-Backs sit in third 11.5 games out and trying to get to .500. Zona sends out Ian Kennedy (12-11, 4.27 ERA & 1.32 WHIP), and he is up to "12" wins but hasn't been anywhere near as sharp as he was last season. In his last "5" starts he has gone 27.2 innings, allowed "15" runs, and walked "16" batters. Truly walks and home runs have been his bugaboo, as he gave up "7" dingers over that "27" innings! In fact in his last "6" starts he has allowed "17" walks and "11" homers! He faces Ryan Vogelsong (12-7, 3.02 ERA & 1.19 WHIP) who has went 3-2 in his last "5" games, and after two duds in mid August he followed that with two wins, and a solid "13 innings and only allowing "7" runs in his last two starts. G-Men are really tough at home, and only allow 3.3 r/g, while Arizona score a half run less on the road. Finally SFG is 47-44 vs. RHP while the D-Backs are 40-46 against the same.
Dave EsslerFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Chicago Cubs +1.5 -125
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Fading someone (Jackson) who threw 123 pitches the last game (unless of course it's someone that does that routinely) is something I'll do more often than not. The Nationals haven't seen Rusin. Morse is questionable. The Nationals may well be in "semi" shutdown mode, and their bullpen hasn't been up to snuff lately. Washington committed a couple of errors last night (cyclical, usually) and both Storen and Clippard pitched last night.
Matt FargoFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Arizona vs. San Francisco
Pick: San FranciscoFOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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This is a great price for the Giants which have won six of their last seven games and have taken a solid 4.5-game lead over the Dodgers in the National League West. San Francisco is now 10 games over .500 at with the series opening victory last night and the victory snapped a two-game skid on its home turf. The Giants are 21-7 in their last 28 games as home favorites between -110 and -150. they hope to get Ryan Vogelsong turned around as he has been a quality start dominator but three of his last four start have been of the non-quality version. Two of those came on the road however and he has been great at home with the exception of just one start as 12 of his 13 home outings have resulted in quality performances. Arizona meanwhile has been on a rough slide as it has dropped nine of its last 11 games to fall four games under .500 on the season. The Diamondbacks have lost their last three games on this roadtrip and despite scoring eight runs on Monday, the offense has been the culprit. They are hitting only .226 over their last 10 games while scoring four runs or less nine times. Ian Kennedy has been hit or miss this season as he has a 4.27 ERA and 1.32 WHIP with Arizona going just 13-14 in his 27 starts. He has been a better pitcher on the road but the offense behind him has held him down as Arizona is 7-9 in his 16 road starts and averaging only 3.4 rpg in those starts. The Diamondbacks are 3-8 in Kennedy's last 11 road starts against teams with a winning record.
Steve JanusFOR THE LARGEST SELECTION OF FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles Angels -117FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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There's no question the A's are playing some incredible baseball right now. Oakland has won 15 of their last 18 overall. At the same time, Los Angeles is playing pretty good baseball of their own. The Angels are 10-3 over their last 13, including an 8-3 win on Monday over Oakland.
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The Angels desperately need to sweep the A's to really feel good about their chances of making the playoffs. I think they will at least take the first two games of the series.
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Los Angeles will send out Zack Greinke against Jarrod Parker, and I think Greinke is the clear-cut starter to back in this one. Greinke is coming in off two dominant starts at Detroit and home against Boston. In those two outings he allowed just 3 earned runs on 10 hits over 14 and 2/3 innings of work.
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Parker has been solid in 2012, but is coming off a bad start at Cleveland. He allowed 5 runs on eight hits in just five innings of work. I look for those struggles to carry over into tonight's game.FOR FREE SERVICE PLAYS VISIT THESPREAD.COM
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Los Angeles is 7-1 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game, 8-1 in their last 9 games as a favorite, and 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win.