Andre Gomes
Indiana Fever @ New York Liberty
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We have in this contest two teams that have different motivations. The Liberty are already eliminated from the playoffs and they are only waiting for end of the season to rebuild the team, while the Fever are looking to secure the 1st seed through the playoffs in a competition against Phoenix so bottom line, we are not only betting in the better team but also in the most motivated team for tonight.
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The Liberty are a terrible team down the stretch and we already lost some weird plays in which they were playing well just to collapse down the stretch. Even in their last game against Connecticut they were leading 73-65 just to allow a 0-9 run and eventually they lost the game. The Fever meanwhile is exactly the opposite as with Katie Douglas and Tamika Catchings, they are a reliable clutch team down the stretch and they are being just a 2 points favorites (one possession) in this contest which is so important for them. This is a good spot for the favorite roll past a weaker team without any kind of motivation and with a short line to cover, I'm taking that! Take Indiana in here.
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Single Dime Play on Indiana Fever -2
John Ryan
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Seattle Mariners vs. LAA Angels
Play: Seattle Mariners
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Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Seattle as they face Anaheim set to start at 10:05 EST. Supporting this graded play is a system that has gone 193-129 making 67.5 units since 2003. Play against any team after 7 or more consecutive road games in September games. Here is a 2nd system that has gone 38-23 making 22.3 units since 2003. Play against any AL team with a good OBP of >=.350 facing a very good starting pitcher WHIP<=1.300 and ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts. Seattle starter Hernandez is 11-1 (+10.4 Units) against the money line versus good base running teams averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons; 10-2 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. Angels are a very weak 1-9 (-10.0 Units) against the money line versus a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70% over the last 2 seasons. Hernandez was nearly unhittable in his last winning start, which was against Angels. Take Seattle.
Wunderdog
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SA Silver Stars vs. LA Sparks
Play: Over 147.5
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Los Angeles has lost the passion for defense with their season becoming meaningless. After allowing 80+ in just seven of their first 25 games, they have allowed 80+ in four straight and in five of their last six. The difference however, is this team that scored 80 points just four times in their first 25. A team that never reached 90, has suddenly scored 90+ in three of their last six. I like the over here.
Lenny Del Genio
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Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
Prediction: New York Yankees
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At this point, we are ready to declare the race for the American League East pennant over. The Yankees will supplant the Rays as division champs, a fact that was drilled home loud and clear by yesterday?s doubleheader sweep that included an 11-1 beat down in Game 2. The Rays are 0-9 on the road this season after allowing double digit runs their previous game and the Yanks are flying high right now, nearly 40 games above .500, thanks to 45 wins in their last 63 games overall. This is a rare opportunity to grab the Bombers in the Bronx at a reasonable price. Take NY Yankees.
Drew Gordon
Texas -125 at CLEVELAND - Game 1
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Now a 53-40 roll with the plays I'm giving away. For today's complimentary play, I'm re-releasing my play on the Texas/Cleveland match up that got rained out Monday. (Note, this is Game 1 of the doubleheader, featuring the Rangers Hunter vs. Indians Carrasco).
The Rangers need to stop the bleeding, and they get just what the doctor ordered facing a Cleveland club they've owned this season, with a starter who had his best game of the season against them. Read on...
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Texas is a stellar 5-1 against the Tribe this season, and included in those wins is a real gem from Rangers rookie Tommy Hunter. He tossed 7 scoreless at Progressive Field back on August 12th, allowing 6 hits, while striking out 5 without issuing a single walk. Note, he's been a true road warrior this season, going 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA on the highway, including a quality effort in his last roadie at the Metrodome. Look for more of the same tonight.
On the flip side, rookie Carlos Carrasco gets the nod for the Tribe, and based on his debut, I wouldn't expect much here. He got tagged for 6 runs on 9 hits in just 3 innings at Detroit Tuesday, and although the Rangers offense has been down of late, they'll get more than their share of oppurtunities against the young righty in this one.
Sorry Indians-backers but I just wasn't impressed, and that's not too surprising based on Carrasco's rather ho-hum numbers coming out of Triple-A this year (11-10, 4.64 ERA).
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Bottom line, this game (and series) has become critical for the Rangers, and with a wet-behind-the-ears rookie getting the start for Cleveland, the Rangers cannot afford a letdown here. Look for Texas to make it 6-1 against the Tribe after tonight, as Tommy Hunter once again locks down this Indians offense tonight.
Take Texas behind Hunter over Cleveland and Carrasco in this MLB match up.
3♦ TEXAS
Randall the Handle
Cincinnati +2.35 over COLORADO
The Reds may not win here but they’re still one of the hottest teams in the business despite a 4-3 loss in the opener last night. They swept the Braves this past weekend, they’ve won 13 of its past 17 games and at this price the gain outweighs the risk. The real kicker here is that Jason Marquis is nowhere near worthy of this tag and if he pitches for 100 years he would never be worthy. Here’s a guy that has lived an extremely charmed life and at his very best he’s average. Marquis has allowed 10 runs over his past two games to the Mets and Giants, possibly the two worst offenses in the majors. His last nine opponents have been the aforementioned Mets, the Giants twice, Washington, Pitt, the anemic Cubbies, at Cincinnati, at the Mets and at San Diego. Could a nine-game span be any easier? The Rockies won five and lost four of those games and now he’s going to see a different Reds squad at a huge price. So, let the chips fall where they may because if you always bet against Marquis taking back 2-1 or more, you could not possibly lose money over time. Marquis isn’t worthy of this tag against a minor league club. Play: Cincinnati +2.35 (Risking 2 units).
Minnesota +1.00 over TORONTO
The Twins are much better at home where they’re 18-4 against lefties but that’s a pretty significant record and extremely difficult to ignore. They’ll face another southpaw here in Ricky Romero, a guy that got off to a tremendous start but that’s been laboring badly over the past couple of months. Romero has allowed four runs or more in six of his last 10 starts and he was really hit hard in his last against the Yanks. Furthermore, the Jays sparkplug, Aaron Hill, is very likely to miss this one, as he flew home to be with his wife, who is about or already has given birth. Jays are playing miserably and they’re in worse shape without Hill for sure. Brian Duensing has been outstanding since being inserted into the starting rotation. Duensing is coming off back-to-back seven inning gems against the White Sox and Rangers in which he allowed a combined one earned run, struck out 15 and walked just three. The Jays have never seen him and that, too, can’t hurt our chances. Duensing has also induced a lot of ground ball outs, which is another strong indication that he has what it takes. The kid is tough indeed and frankly, the Jays are at a disadvantage here and should not be favored. Jump on this one early. Play: Minnesota +1.00 (Risking 2 units).
ATS Consultants
Baltimore Orioles/Boston Red Sox OVER 9.5
Baltimore is playing out the string here in September, trying to get a glimpse of what looks to be a nice future with some very talented young players. Tonight, David Hernandez will take the mound for Baltimore, opposed by Clay Bucholz for the Red Sox.
Hernandez (4-6, 4.54) is a young, hard throwing righty who I think has a nice future, but more than likely as a reliever. He has pitched well at times, but tends to struggle the second and third time through a lineup. He is 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA in his last 5 starts.
Buchholz (4-3, 4.40) threw a no hitter against the O’s two years ago, but has yet to fulfill that potential as a full time Major Leaguer. He certainly has the ability, and the Red Sox refused to trade him at the deadline, so obviously they still believe in him. He allowed 7 runs on 9 hits vs. the Orioles the last time he faced them, which was August 2 in Baltimore.