The Sports Investing Professional
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With the Red Sox blowing a 9 run lead there will be no better person than a pissed off Beckett to have on the bump. In 4 of his last 5 he's given up 0 Earned Runs. If there was any chance of a let down in his performance it was greatly reduced by the exploding bullpen last night.
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BOSTON RED SOX -145
The Spread
Washington Nationals at Florida Marlins, 12:10PM ET
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Washington is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Pick: Washington
Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves, 7:00PM ET
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Philadelphia is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pick: Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Rays at Toronto Blue Jays, 1:07PM ET
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Toronto is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Tampa Bay
Toronto is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
Pick: Tampa Bay
IndianCowboy
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Take Under 8 between the Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
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Let's take the Under today as the Braves host the Phillies. Yesterday's contest should have gone under but went to extras as there were just five runs scored up to the 8th inning. As per this game, bear in mind that it is a division game and Jurrjens has been huge for this team thus far. Although he is 5-6 he has a 2.93era and has put together 7 of 9 quailty starts. He comes off a 1-4 loss to Boston despite pitching well and looks to bounce-back at home against division rivals in the Phils. Cole Hamels, the California native lefty goes for the Phils today as they look to rebound from the 4-5 loss in extras yesterday. He has lost his last two efforts despite pitching relatively well including and I expect him to put forth a quality effort given those two losses plus the Phillies coming off a loss themselevs. As he comes off a non-quality start, Hamels has not put together back to back non-quality starts in over ten games so he too is on the bounce-back. The Under is 8-2 for Hamels when he starts as a road favorite and the Under is 8-2 when Jurrjens starts with a total set at this range.
Stephen Nover
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White Sox Sox +$1.10 at Indians
Analysis: Analysis: Why is Jeremy Sowers favored? Perhaps the better question is why is Jeremy Sowers even on a big-league roster?
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I can answer the first question. Sowers is favored (although that line rapidly is coming down) because the oddsmaker made a mistake.
First off, the White Sox are hot. The Indians are not. Chicago has won four in a row. The White Sox are 11-4 in their last 15. They have captured 12 of their last 16 road contests.
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The White Sox offense finally has picked up, averaging six runs in their last 15 games and batting .308 in their last 10 games.
Sowers is 2-5 this season with a 5.44 ERA. He is 0-4 with a 6.87 ERA lifetime mark against the White Sox.
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The White Sox tore up a much, much better lefty last night scoring seven runs on 11 hits in three innings against Cliff Lee. They should have even greater success facing the southpaw Sowers, who relies on finesse and guile rather than talent. That may work against a team not swinging the bats well, but he shouldn't be effective here. He rarely is.
White Sox starter Jose Contreras has pitched much better since coming back from the minors to correct mechanical flaws. The oddsmaker isn't giving Contreras that respect, though. But Contreras has a 2.15 ERA and 0.78 WHIP in 29 1/3 innings since his return. He is 4-2 with a 3.34 ERA lifetime versus Cleveland.
Two of the Indians' biggest bats - Victory Martinez and Travis Hafner - are a combined six-for-49 versus Contreras with no extra base hits.
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Cleveland has lost its last four games and six of its past seven. The Indians are 3-13 in their last 16 games. They have the worst record and manager in the American League.
The White Sox have a rested bullpen. The Indians' bullpen is one of the worst in baseball.
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All my check marks go to the White Sox. It's a nice bonus to get them at this value price.
VEGAS EXPERTS
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San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals
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San Francisco’s pitching staff continues to lead the league in ERA and last night got another good performance from veteran Randy Johnson. Tonight, the Giants will go with right-hander Matt Cain who is having the best start to a season in his career. Cain has a 11-4 TSR with a 2.57 ERA this season. San Francisco has played well in this spot after six or more road games winning nine of 11 tries this season. St. Louis is just 3-9 this season against the NL West and 0-7 revenging back-to-back home losses. Look for the Giants to win the series and pull themselves within one game of a sweep.
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Play on: San Francisco
YANKEE CAPPER
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Chicago Cubs -130
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New York Mets +220
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Los Angeles Dodgers -145
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Seattle Mariners RL -125
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Angels/Rangers Under 9.5
Dave Price
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1 Unit on Angels/Rangers UNDER 9.5
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Both Weaver and Millwood have had plenty of success when pitching in this division match with 2.64 and 3.75 ERA's respectively. In fact, the Under is 5-0 in Weavers last 5 road starts vs. the Rangers and 6-0-1 in Weavers last 7 starts vs. the Rangers overall. The Rangers offense is not as strong as it was early in the season and, in fact, the Under is 14-3 in the Rangers last 17 games as a home favorite and 11-2-1 in Millwood's last 14 home starts. I'll take the Under here this evening.
Frank Jordan
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Houston Astros vs. San Diego Padres
Play: Houston Astros
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These two teams split the first two games of this four game series, but last nights win for San Diego came at a price as Adrian Gonzalez left with a knee injury. Gonzalez is the rock of the line up and if he is out the line looks very thin. Look for Houston to take advantage of his absence and win game three of this series. Play Houston
Lenny Del Genio
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San Francisco Giants at St Louis Cardinals
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
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Fast fact the San Francisco Giants have the best pitching staff in Major League Baseball. After winning consecutive games by a 17-0 margin, they were 6-3 winners last night as Randy Johnson followed Tim Lincecum with a strong performance on the mound. The Giants are 7-0 over the last two seasons after hitting .333 over a three game span. St. Louis, on the other hand, is 0-7 revenging BB home losses. They are 5-12 vs. San Francisco the last three seasons. Giants have won 11 of Matt Cains 15 starts this season as the right-hander went 7-0 with a 1.87 ERA in nine starts before suffering a rare losing decision last time out. Meanwhile, Cards starter Wainwright has benefited from ridiculous run support this year. Take San Francisco.
Mike Rose
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Edmonton Eskimos -9.5
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Over the past several seasons, the cogs that made the Blue Bombers go were QB Kevin Glenn, RB Charles Roberts, and WR Milt Stegall. But Glenn (free agency), Blink (trade), and Uncle Milt (retired) have all moved on from Winnipeg, and the team is forced to start anew. The new wave of Blue Bombers will be headed up by QB Stefan LeFors, who backed up QB Ricky Ray in Edmonton the L/2 seasons. Theres still a big question mark about how well LeFors, a University of Louisville product, can do at this level. He wasnt even good enough to be the second string man last season, as Jason Maas took that responsibility. As a result, LeFors only threw four passes all season, one of which was picked off. RB Fred Reid showed some flashes last season, but he isnt amongst the best backs the league has to offer. If there is one bright spot for the Bombers, its at wide receiver, where Derick Armstrong, Terrence Edwards, and Romby Bryant all have NFL-type talent. The defense is stock full of new names, and is a big reason why the team will have a whopping 20 new names on the roster this season.
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Thanks to the additions of DB Kelly Malveaux, DE Kai Ellis, and RB Jesse Lumsden, the green and gold really feel like they have a shot at taking all the marbles this season after a couple of sub-par years. New HC Richie Hall was the man that led Saskatchewans defense to the Grey Cup two years ago, and many in Canada feel as though his time to become a head coach in this league was far overdue. Many also think that the subtraction of former coach, the much-maligned Danny Maciocia, will aid the club. Capping the Eskies is pretty easy. As goes Ricky Ray, so will go the Eskimos. Ray led the CFL last year in both completion percentage (69.8%) and passing yards (5,661), and he is largely accepted as one of the best in the biz over the L/10 years or so. He leads an offense that averaged 25.6 points per game last season, but that average should go up thanks to the addition of Lumsden, who, when healthy, is arguably one of the best backs in the league.
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Winnipeg has the longest Grey Cup drought of any team in the CFL at 18 years. Theyre probably not going to be taking too many steps in the right direction this year, as its clearly a rebuilding era. Though LeFors has looked at this Edmonton defense for his entire career in practice, this defense knows him just as well. Expect to see some jitters early on from the young starter, while the veteran, Ray eats up a questionable defense.
Chris Jordan
Detroit -125 at OAKLAND
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Laying the road chalk with the Detroit Tigers in this matinee up in Oaktown, and listing both Verlander and Braden.
Time for Justin Verlander to prove his worth on the road; it’s long overdue.
It’s no secret his dominance at home is a major reason the Tigers have maintained their lead over second-place Chicago and the rest of the AL Central; he’s 4-0 with a 1.11 ERA in six Comerica Park starts. On the road, however, he’s 4-3 with a 4.88 ERA in 10 appearances, which isn’t bad, but certainly as dominant as the Tigers would like.
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Today in this matinee I am taking a shot in laying the road chalk, as he’s 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA in six starts against the Athletics; and though he’s also 1-2 in four starts in Oaktown, he also has a rather stingy 2.77 ERA.
I’d much rather back Detroit’s co-win leader than Oakland’s Dallas Braden, who has lost two straight starts, and who is now 0-2 in four starts. Last time out he simply couldn’t locate any of his pitches, and ended up giving up four runs – two of them earned - over 5-1/3 innings in a 4-2 loss.
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And since his worst outing of the year came against the Tigers on May 16, when he was tagged for six runs over five innings of a 9-1 defeat, this could be dangerous territory for him. The southpaw is 1-2 with a 9.13 ERA in five starts versus Detroit, so I don’t see a problem in laying this price on the road.
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1♦ DETROIT TIGERS
Gina
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Cubs -132
Detroit-122
Phillies -108
Mr A's
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New York Yankees -179
Texas Rangers -107
MLB Computer Picks
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White Sox -114
Reds -152
St Louis -142