Dominic Fazzini
Kansas City -130 at DETROIT
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Zack Greinke (10-4, 2.00 ERA) might be the best pitcher in the American League this season, but he has been especially good against the Tigers.
The Royals right-hander has allowed just two runs (one earned) in two complete-game victories over Detroit this season, and is 3-0 with a 0.36 ERA in his last three outings vs. the Tigers. He also has won consecutive starts at Comerica Park, with a 0.64 ERA.
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Greinke, who is headed to the All-Star Game next week, has complained recently of fatigue, but said that is normal for him this time of the season.
Rookie Luke French (0-0, 2.35) will take the mound for Detroit. The left-hander has pitched just 7 2/3 innings in three big-league appearances (one start), allowing two runs on six hits, and should have his hands full today trying to match Greinke pitch for pitch.
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I think Kansas City has good value today as a slight favorite. Go with the Royals to gain a rare road win.
2♦ KANSAS CITY
Karl Garrett
NY Yankees at MINNESOTA
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Now 7-2 the last 9 days with my comp plays!
Take the OVER on Wednesday night between the Yankees and Twins.
New York's bats continue to make major noise, plating double-digits in runs in last night's series opener, as 5 of the last 8 games played between these teams at the Metrodome have played OVER the posted total.
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The Yankees have now played their last 3, and 4 of their last 6 OVER the total, and they did tattoo Minnesota starter Glen Perkins for 6 runs in just 1 inning of work in a May start in the Bronx.
AJ Burnett has certainly been in a groove for New York of late, but even if he shuts the Twins down, you can expect the Yankees' bats to once again carry this game OVER the posted total.
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HIGH-SCORING affair tonight at the Metrodome.
1♦ OVER
Chris Jordan
N.Y. Yankees -135 at MINNESOTA
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Taking the Yankees with A.J. Burnett tonight, as it appears they’re looking to make a late run at the Red Sox as we close out the first half. Last night the Bronx Bombers were impressive in a 10-2 win, as C.C. Sabathia allowed one run on three hits in seven innings while the team’s bottom third of the Yankees order produces seven hits and six RBI.
Things are going that well for the Yankees, who scored their sixth straight road victory by jumping all over Minnesota starter Scott Baker for five runs on nine hits with two walks in three innings, his shortest outing of the season.
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Things don’t get any easier for Glen Perkins, who is 1-3 with a 7.71 ERA in four career starts against the Bombers. I’d much rather bank on Burnett, who has surrendered just three earned runs in his last four starts. That includes two impressive wins in his last two starts, against the Mets and Blue Jays, as he’s lasted a minimum of seven innings and given up just two earned runs in both games combined.
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We’re laying the road chalk tonight, as the Yankees get it done once again.
2♦ N.Y. YANKEES
Bobby Maxwell
Texas at L.A. ANGELS -125
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Tonight's FREE winner comes from the big series going on out west between the Rangers and Angels as I love the Angels to get the win in the series finale tonight.
Big game, big series, big spot for the Angels' Ervin Santana to make his arrival this season and give his team a strong outing and chance to win. The guy was a stud for Los Angeles last season, going 16-7 but he's had trouble battling back from injury this year. This is his time to shine and he knows his team is counting on him.
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Santana is just 1-4 with a 7.43 ERA this season after the career year last season. He has given up four runs or more in four of his last five starts and the Angels have lost four of his seven starts. Against Baltimore on Friday he gave up six runs (four earned) in five innings of a 6-4 loss at home.
The Rangers counter with Vicente Padilla (6-4, 4.75) who got beat up by the Angels back on June 29, giving up five runs on 10 hits in just five innings. It was the second time this season they got to him, as he's allowed eight runs on 20 hits in 13 innings to Los Angeles.
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The Angels are riding some nice streaks coming into this one, including 6-2 at home, 8-2 at home against teams with losing records and 38-14 in the third game of a series.
All this, plus the Angels dominate this series, winning 25 of the last 38 meetings. I love the Angels and their unstable pitcher. Play Los Angeles.
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2♦ L.A. ANGELS
Matt Rivers
For Wednesday take the A's at Fenway.
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Yes the A's are pretty bad and at times do not hit a lick but I have a sneaky suspicion that they are going to get to Tim Wakefield today.
The Boston knuckleballer has been great and was just announced to have made the All-Star team. Wakefield deserves that honor as much as anybody but if I have seen it once I have seen it a million times, a guy finally gets to the Mid Summer Classic like this, reads his press clippings and then goes out that next time and gets drilled.
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Oakland does have some pop with Scott Hairston now around helping Jason Giambi and Matt Holliday. Obviously it's the Sox who are the clear cut superior team of these two but Boston has been struggling a bit as they lost two of three vs. Seattle and were completely shut down by Brett Anderson in the first game of this series on Monday.
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It's asking a lot for Oakland to win this game as Trevor Cahill is far from being Cy Young, as evidenced by the dreadful last two outings, and the Athletics are really not very good overall but I like this number back in this situation and will give it a go.
1♦ A's
Tom Freese
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Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Chicago White Sox
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Chicago starter Jose Contreras has a 9-1 strikeout to walk in his last 3 starts. Chicago is 25-10 their last 35 games vs. a team with a win percentage of under 40%. The White Sox are 8-2 their last 10 road games and they are 14-3 in Game 2 of a series. Cleveland starter Aaron Laffey has more walks than strikeouts in his last 3 starts. Cleveland is 17-35 vs. a team that allowed 5 or more runs in their last game. The Indians are 7-19 their last 26 games vs. winning teams and they are 20-41 their last 61 games when playing Game 2 of a series. PLAY ON CHICAGO - (Contreras vs. Laffey)
Jeff Alexander
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1 Unit on Tampa Bay Rays -143
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I'll gladly pay the juice to get the much better starter on my side tonight. The Rays are 17-6 in Kazmir's last 23 home starts and a ridiculous 21-5 in his last 26 starts during game 2 of a series. The Blue Jays are 2-10 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa Bay and 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Blue Jays are 1-7 in Tallet's last 8 starts as an underdog and 0-5 in Tallet's last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter. With the edge at the plate and on the mound in this matchup, the Rays give us an excellent opportunity to cash tickets.
MTi Sports
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Toronto Blue Jays at Tampa Bay Rays
Prediction: Tampa Bay Rays
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The Rays are 13-0 since May 24, 2008 after scoring 3 runs or less and winning and it is not the first game of a series. Also Tampa is 7-0 after a win in which they allowed 1 or fewer walks. The Jays are 0-6 after a loss in which they were shut out in the first 6 innings. Consider backing the Rays.
BIG AL
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Texas/Anaheim Over
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Angels righthander Ervin Santana had his first start back in almost a month last Friday against the Orioles and pitched better than most of his previous starts this season. Despite yielding six runs (four earned) in five innings, there was more life on his fastball than in previous returns from issues involving his right elbow, forearm and triceps. He was in the 93-94 mph range, closer to the 94-96 range he held during his 2008 All-Star season. That's the good news. The bad news is that despite this, Santana still lost the game and now has a 1-4 record on the season and a 7.43 ERA to go with it. The other bit of bad news for him and the Angels going into this start is that this is Santana's first appearance this season against the Rangers, but in 14 previous career starts against them, Santana holds a 7-5 record with an ERA of 6.46, which means that even when he was performing at his best, he was still having problems with the Texas hitters. More bad news tonight: Santana has been awful at home this season, going 0-2 with a 12.12 ERA in four starts at Angel Stadium in 2009. Currently, the Rangers are scheduled to send righthander Vicente Padilla to the mound in his first start since June 29. Padilla missed some time with a sore shoulder and his most recent start seemed to reflect that as he got hit pretty hard in a loss against the Angels. Although he is reportedly throwing without any pain, don't expect Padilla to be 100% for this one. Take the 'over.'
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
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MIN (+110) vs NYY
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A situational value play on the Twins today. The New York Yankees have been dominating opponents the past two weeks. A.J. Burnett(notes) has done his share of that lately as well. Seeking their sixth win in as many tries against the Minnesota Twins this season, the Yankees send the red-hot Burnett to the mound Wednesday night at the Metrodome. However, the Twins (43-41) need victories in their next two games to win their fifth straight series. Minnesota entered Tuesday having won eight of 12. Glen Perkins (4-4, 4.38) pitched very well his past four starts, but his last appearance against the Yankees is one he?d rather forget. The left-hander faced New York on May 18 and retired only two batters while allowing six runs and seven hits in a 7-6 loss. Perkins, though, won his second consecutive start with another strong performance in a 5-1 victory at Kansas City on Wednesday. He allowed one run in seven innings, with 16 of his 21 outs coming on groundballs. MINNESOTA is 14-8 at home when the total is 9 to 9 1/2!
LT Profits
St. Louis Cardinals @ Milwaukee Brewers
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Todd Wellemeyer of the St. Louis Cardinals and Jeff Suppan of the Milwaukee Brewers are both off of their form right now, so look for these teams to reach double-digits combined tonight.
Now granted, Wellemeyer had a nice outing vs. the San Francisco Giants in his last start, but that snapped a string of seven straight starts without a Quality Start. He has a much tougher assignment tonight vs. a potent Milwaukee lineup that is batting .287 vs. right-handed pitching over the last 10 games. Wellemeyer has also been awful on the road this season despite his 3-2 away record, as he owns a poor 5.60 ERA and 1.67 WHIP when traveling.
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Similarly, Suppan is also coming off of his best effort in a while vs. the Chicago Cubs, but he still has a 5.09 ERA and 1.64 WHIP over his last three starts. While one would think Suppan should have success vs. the Cardinals after pitching for them for so long, that was not the case the last time he faced them as he allowed five earned runs on seven hits while lasting only 3.2 innings here in Miller Park on May 26.
We look for both starter to bounce off of their improved outings last time out and revert back to their normal mediocre forms tonight.
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Pick: Cardinals/Brewers Over 9.5
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Free Selection from Totals4U
Wednesday's free selection: Cincinnati/Philadelphia over 10
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BE CAREFUL. I HAPPEN TO THINK THE REGULAR PICKER IS ON
VACATION. THAT IS WHY THEY HAVE BEEN HAVING SO MANY
LOSSES RECENTLY. 😮
Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports
289 - 192 run 60 % 37-21 run here
WED Houston Astro's
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EZWINNER'S FREE SELECTION
Game: Los Angeles Dodgers @ New York Mets
(963) Los Angeles Dodgers -$141
(Listing Kuroda and Perez)
We have an Oliver Perez sighting! Mets starting pitcher Oliver
Perez will return from the disabled list to start this game against
the Los Angeles Dodgers. Perez, sidelined since May with a right
knee injury, is 1-2 with a 9.97 ERA in five starts this season. The
Dodgers .293 average against left handed pitchers is third best in
the major leagues. I expect them to light up Perez. The Dodgers s
tarting pitcher Hiroki Kuroda should get the job done against the
minor league lineup that the Mets will run out there.
Play on Los Angeles.
2009 Free Selections Record 98-85 (53.6%) 😮
The Spread
Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs, 2:20PM ET
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Atlanta is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Chi Cubs are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games when playing Atlanta
Pick: Atlanta
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets, 7:10PM ET
LA Dodgers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 17-8 SU in their last 25 games on the road
NY Mets are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
Pick: NY Mets
St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers, 8:05PM ET
St. Louis is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing St. Louis
Pick: Milwaukee
Wunderdog
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Pittsburgh at Houston
Pick: Houston -165
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The Astros have been waiting for Wandy Rodriguez to mature into the pitcher they believed he could be, and all of that has materialized this season. Rodriguez has pitched the Astros to an 11-6 mark in his 17 starts. Rodriguez has been especially tough at home. He had one big bump vs. the Colorado Rockies at home, but otherwise has been lights out and pitched to a 1.53 ERA in front of the hometown fans. Charlie Morton has logged 17 good innings for the Pirates, but it can't be forgotten that Morton posted a 30-45 mark in the minors, before being brought up by the Braves a year ago, and went 4-8 with a 6.15 ERA. Morton's numbers are better than he is right now and I think the Astros catch up to him in this one. I'm going with Houston here.
Ben Burns
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Florida Marlins at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: Under
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Ryan Sadowski has yet to give up a run in the majors. In 13 innings spanning two starts, Sadowski has allowed just seven hits. The rookie right-hander pitches to contact and has a solid sinking two-seam fastball. This serves him especially well in a pitcher-friendly stadium like AT & T Park is. The Marlins will be facing Sadowski for the first time and Florida, through Monday's games, is hitting just .244 in road games. Like Florida, San Francisco will also be forced to deal with a tough right-hander in this match-up. Chris Volstad gets the start for the Marlins and he's in his second MLB season. So far in his career Volstad is holding hitters to a .249 batting average. Also, even though Volstad is coming off of a tough start, he had previously produced five quality starts in his last seven outings. One of those quality outings came against the Giants as Volstad was very effective against San Francisco in his only career appearance against them. The biggest problem for Volstad this season has been the home run ball but AT & T Park isn't conducive to home run hitting. The Giants had 28 homers at home through Monday's games and that's among the least in the majors. Note also that Florida has hit just 32 homers (through Monday's games) on the road. This is among the lowest rankings in the league. Heading into Tuesday's game, the Giants were 18-13 to the under when the total is an 8.5 or an 8. The Marlins have gone over the total just twice in Volstad's eight road starts this season.