SPORTS ADVISORS
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Colorado (82-64) at San Francisco (79-66)
The Giants hand the ball to All-Star Matt Cain (13-5, 2.61 ERA) as they go for a three-game series sweep of the suddenly slumping Rockies, who will turn to southpaw Jorge De La Rosa (14-9, 4.37) at AT&T Park.
San Francisco has hammered the Rockies the last two nights by scores of 9-1 and 10-2 and is now 2½ games behind Colorado in the wild-card race. The Giants have won three in a row after a four-game slide, and they’re on additional hot streaks of 36-17 at home, 45-20 as a home chalk, 6-1 on Wednesday and 9-3 against southpaw starters.
Colorado has followed up an eight-game winning streak with four straight losses – two in San Diego over the weekend and two in San Francisco. The Rockies are in additional funks of 1-7 on the road, 3-13 as an underdog (1-11 as a road pup) and 0-7 versus winning teams, but Jim Tracy’s squad is 4-1 in its last five on Wednesday and 44-20 in its last 64 versus right-handed starters.
The Giants hold a 10-7 lead in the season series against the Rockies, including six straight wins at home. In fact, the host has won eight straight and 10 of 11 in this rivalry.
De La Rosa has given up one earned run in each of his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA during this stretch, with the Rockies winning all three games, including a 4-1 victory in San Diego on Friday. The Mexican native has given up two earned runs or fewer in eight of 11 outings since the All-Star break, going 8-2 with a 3.21 ERA. He’s 5-3 with a 3.84 ERA in 12 road starts, yielding three earned or fewer in 10 of those contests.
The Rockies are 15-3 in De La Rosa’s last 18 starts overall, 6-1 in his last seven on the road, 6-1 in his last seven versus N.L. West foes and 6-0 in his six career starts against the Giants. He’s 5-0 with a 3.35 ERA in nine career appearances (three relief) against San Francisco, including 2-0 with a 5.40 ERA in two games this year.
Cain is coming off Friday’s 10-3 home loss to the Dodgers in which he gave up four runs in six innings. It was the second time in his last three starts and the fourth time in his last eight that Cain allowed at least four runs in a game, and the right-hander is 1-3 with a 3.83 ERA in eight outings since the beginning of August.
Behind Cain, the Giants are on runs of 18-6 overall, 17-5 at home, 10-2 as a home chalk and 6-1 versus divisional rivals. After the loss to L.A. on Friday, he’s now 6-3 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 games at AT&T Park, and he’s 8-5 with a 3.16 ERA in 17 career starts against Colorado (2-1, 3.60 ERA in four games this season).
Colorado carries “under” trends of 6-3 overall, 7-4 on the highway, 8-5 versus N.L. West rivals, 7-0 on Wednesday and 5-1 against right-handed starters. However, the over is 7-2 in San Francisco’s last nine at home and 5-0 in its last five against the N.L. West, but otherwise it is on “under” streaks of 5-0 on Wednesday, 4-1 against lefty starters,11-5 overall when Cain pitches and 8-2 when Cain starts at home against Colorado.
Finally, the under is 6-3 in the last nine Rockies-Giants battles at AT&T Park, though the first two games of this series have flown over the posted price.
ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO
AMERICAN LEAGUE
L.A. Angels (86-58) at Boston (85-58)
The Red Sox shoot for their sixth straight win when they send Paul Byrd (1-1, 6.08 ERA) to the Fenway Park mound to oppose the Angels and Joe Saunders (13-7, 4.81) in the middle game of a three-game series.
Daisuke Matsuzaka pitched by far his best game of the season Tuesday as Boston rolled to a 4-1 win in the series opener. The Red Sox are a perfect 6-0 on their current homestand, allowing a total of nine runs in the process (with five of those nine coming in one game) and they’ve built up a 5½-game lead on Texas in the wild-card race. Terry Francona’s club enters tonight on positive streaks of 50-19 at Fenway Park and 4-1 on Wednesday, but they’re still just 4-7 in their last 11 against A.L. West foes.
Los Angeles has now dropped two in a row and three of four after a four-game winning streak. The Angels are still on impressive runs of 57-29 overall, 27-14 on the road, 47-25 against the A.L. East (12-5 last 17), 6-3 versus right-handed starters and 4-1 on Wednesday.
The Angels still hold a 4-3 edge in the season series with Boston, and they’re 13-6 in the last 19 meetings overall (6-3 at Fenway).
Saunders has been brilliant since returning from a stint on the disabled list, going 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA in four outings, including a 7-1 rout of the White Sox on Friday in which he yielded just the one run on three hits in seven innings. The southpaw is 7-4 with a 5.38 ERA on the road this year, but 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two on the highway (10-0 win in Seattle; 7-2 win in Kansas City).
With Saunders on the bump, L.A. is on hot streaks of 41-18 overall, 4-0 on the road, 9-2 against the A.L. East, 7-1 all-time versus the Red Sox and 4-0 when he pitches in Beantown. The one loss to Boston came on April 11 when he gave up four runs in seven innings, with the Halos falling 5-4 at home. Saunders has won all three of his regular-season starts at Fenway Park (2.75 ERA).
Byrd has made three starts since joining the Red Sox on Aug. 30, and he followed up a horrendous outing at the White Sox on Sept. 4 (seven runs allowed in 2 1/3 innings) with a two-run, five-inning stint a week ago tonight against Baltimore, getting a no-decision in his team’s 7-5 victory. The veteran right-hander has allowed just those two runs over 11 innings in two games at Fenway (1.64 ERA).
Going back to last year, the Red Sox are on an 8-2 roll behind Byrd, going 4-1 in his last five at home. For his career, he’s 4-2 with a 4.94 ERA in nine career starts against the Angels.
L.A. is riding “under” streaks of 16-3-1 overall, 7-0 on the road and 12-1-1 against right-handed starters, but the over is 12-5-1 in the Halos’ last 18 against the A.L. East, 14-3 in Saunders’ last 17 starts overall, 7-1 in his last eight on the road and 15-5-1 in his last 21 against the A.L. East (3-1-1 versus the Red Sox. Also, the over is 16-8 in Boston’s last 24 at Fenway.
ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
WNBA
Tampa Bay at Baltimore
The Orioles look to take advantage of a Tampa Bay team that is 1-11 in its last 12 games as an underdog.Baltimore is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110)
Game 901-902: Florida at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.537; St. Louis (Pineiro) 15.085
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-125); Under
Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Hart) 13.362; LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 15.946
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-290); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-290); Under
Game 905-906: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Davis) 15.001; San Diego (Mujica) 15.287
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-115); Over
Game 907-908: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Hernandez) 15.095; Philadelphia (Blanton) 13.981
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-275); 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+245); Under
Game 909-910: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Parnell) 13.573; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.397
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-235); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-235); Under
Game 911-912: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bazardo) 15.134; Cincinnati (Lehr) 14.007
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+125); Over
Game 913-914: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Looper) 15.905; Cubs (Harden) 15.181
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+155); N/A
Game 915-916: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (De La Rosa) 15.684; San Francisco (Cain) 15.417
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+125); Over
Game 917-918: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 15.118; Minnesota (Blackburn) 14.773
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+140); Under
Game 919-920: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Dinardo) 14.888; Detroit (Bonine) 15.487
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Over
Game 921-922: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 14.352; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.524
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over
Game 923-924: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 15.565; NY Yankees (Gaudin) 15.297
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 925-926: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Saunders) 16.529; Boston (Byrd) 15.918
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over
Game 927-928: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 15.411; Texas (Nippert) 15.509
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 929-930: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 14.833; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.970
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Under
WNBA
Seattle at Los Angeles
The Sparks open the playoffs looking to take advantage of a Seattle team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against the Western Conference. Los Angeles is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5)
Game 601-602: Atlanta at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 114.250; Detroit 116.212
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 169 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 167
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+3 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Seattle at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 109.726; Los Angeles 118.216
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 8 1/2; 132 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 138
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-5); Under
Marc Lawrence
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Colorado Rockies at San Francisco Giants
Prediction: San Francisco Giants
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The Giants meet the rockies in the 3rd and final game of this critical three-game series when Matt Cain matches serves with Jorge De La Rosa at AT&T Park. Cain enters tonight's contest with team start wins in 10 of his last 12 starts and is 6-3 his last nine home team starts against Colorado. With De la Rosa just 1-4 in his last five road starts on Wednesdays, look for the Giants to improve to 7-1 on Wednesdays here tonight.
Sports Gambling Hotline
Arizona -110 at SAN DIEGO
Our free play run stands at 34-18-3 the last 55 days.
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Late afternoon play on the Diamondbacks, as it looks like Arizona has found a team they can beat on a consistent basis.
The Snakes won again last night to make it 5 in a row over the Padres, and 9-5 overall in this years season series against Diego.
Doug Davis may be just 7-13 for the season, but he is 2-0 this season against San Diego, and 4-0 his last 5 starts against them, having allowed 6 earned runs in 33 innings of work.
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The Padres are still 38-37 for the season at home, but it looks like they are snake-bitten (no pun intended) against this Arizona team, and with Davis sporting such poisitive numbers against the Padres, we will back Arizona to complete the three game sweep.
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Play on 'Zona.
3♦ ARIZONA
Bobby Maxwell
Colorado at SAN FRANCISCO -130
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I'm 2-1 with my last three FREE selections and I'm sticking on the diamond tonight with winner on the Giants as they finish off a three-game sweep of the Rockies.
Get your brooms out San Francisco as the Giants are about to jump right back into this N.L. Wildcard race when they take their third straight against Colorado and fourth straight overall.
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San Francisco jumped to within 2 1/2 games of the Rockies with Tuesday's 10-2 win behind the pitching of rejuvanated Barry Zito, who struck out a season-high nine batters. Tonight this dominant pitching staff has Matt Cain (13-5, 2.61 ERA) going against the Rockies' best hurler this season, Jorge DeLaRosa (14-9, 4.37).
The Giants have won five straight against Colorado and just handed the Rockies their fourth consecutive loss since winning eight in a row. Colorado is in funks of 1-12 as a road 'dog, 1-7 on the road, 3-14 as an underdog and 1-4 on the road against right-handed starters.
With Cain on the hill, the Giants are 18-6 in his last 24 starts, 17-5 when he starts at home and 12-4 when he's a chalk. As a team, they are 36-17 at home, 46-20 as a home favorite and 6-1 when Cain faces N.L. West rivals.
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I love the Giants pitching staff and I think this is where they get right back into the fight with the Rockies. Play San Francisco.
4♦ SAN FRANCISCO
Dominic Fazzini
L.A. Angels at RED SOX
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The Blue Jays routed the Yankees 10-4 on Tuesday, giving me a win on my complimentary selection. I'm going to stay in the AL today to pick up another victory.
Angels starter Joe Saunders (13-7, 4.81 ERA) has regained his All-Star form after a stint on the disabled list in August for tightness in his pitching shoulder.
The left-hander is 4-0 in four outings with a 1.85 ERA since returning to the rotation. He allowed one run and three hits in seven innings Friday to beat the White Sox.
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Saunders also has had good success against Boston, going 4-1 with a 3.25 ERA in seven career starts, and he is 3-0 with a 2.75 ERA in three outings at Fenway Park.
Paul Byrd (1-1, 6.08) has made three starts for the Red Sox since coming out of his mini-retirement, and has had mixed results.
The veteran right-hander has made one really good start, one that was OK and had one awful outing. In his last start, Byrd allowed two runs and six hits in five innings in a no-decision against Baltimore. That was the OK one. Overall, he has given up nine runs on 19 hits and six walks in 13 1/3 innings.
Byrd is 4-2 in nine career starts vs. Los Angeles, but his ERA is a lofty 4.94 in those outings.
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Byrd is the epitome of a crafty veteran, but I can't take him against the red-hot Saunders in this one. Go with the Angels to grab the victory.
3♦ L.A. ANGELS
JIM FEIST
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TORONTO BLUE JAYS / NEW YORK YANKEES
TAKE: OVER
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The long road trip continues for Toronto, and they found their bats in Tiger Stadium, going 3 straight games over the total. The pitching staff, however, has slipped badly in the second half, outside of ace Roy Halladay. Starter Brian Tallet (7-9, 5.26 ERA) has been awful of late, struggling badly with control all season, walking 69 in 145 innings. That won't cut it in Yankee Stadium, an easy home run park. Andy Pettitte is 3-1 against the Jays this season, but an ERA over 4, walking 18 in 24 innings! Looks like an offensive show in the Bronx. Play the Blue Jays/Yankees Over the total.
DAVE COKIN
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CHICAGO WHITE SOX / SEATTLE MARINERS
TAKE: SEATTLE MARINERS
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Gavin Floyd is doing good work for the White Sox. But his road numbers are still less than stellar and he's got a tough draw here. Ryan Rowland-Smith has been very steady for the Mariners, who continue to drive hard for a winning season. I see decent value here with the Mariners being installed as home underdogs.
Matt Fargo
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Florida Marlins @ St. Louis Cardinals
PICK: Florida Marlins
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Florida gets a solid price this afternoon in a matchup of excellent starting pitchers. The Marlins took Game Two of this series last night and coupled with the Rockies loss, they are just 4.5 games out in the National League Wild Card race. The games remaining are dwindling so every game becomes that much more important and with a stud on the mound, these are the games Florida needs to take advantage of. The Cardinals loss made it four losses in the last five games for St. Louis, all of which have come at home. The Cardinals have been solid at home all season but Florida is four games over .500 on the road which is the fourth best road record in the National League. The pitcher referred to is Josh Johnson and he is having a phenomenal season. He is 14-4 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 29 starts with the Marlins going 20-9 in those games. His numbers slip a little on the road but they are made up for in his starts during the day as he is a perfect 5-0 with a 3.23 ERA in 10 starts with the Marlins going 9-1 in those games. Both career starts against the Cardinals have been quality efforts. He squares off against Joel Pineiro who is having a great bounce back season. He has a 3.21 ERA and 1.11 WHIP but he is just 14-10. His numbers go up during the daytime hours as he is 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in nine starts with St. Louis going just 4-5 in those games. The Marlins are 13-3 in Johnson’s last 16 starts as an underdog while the Cardinals are 1-4 in Pineiro’s last five starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Also, the Marlins are 4-1 in their last five road games against a team with a winning home record and the Cardinals are 1-5 in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record. 3* Florida Marlins
Brad Diamond Sports
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Play: Los Angeles over Boston
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Tonight’s hurler Paul Byrd of the Red Sox pitched well against the Orioles in his last outing, but let us face the real situation, that was the last place Birds. For the Angels, left-hander Saunders will take the bump where he has accumulated a super 3-0 mark at Fenway with a corresponding 2.75 ERA. With the Angels 7-1 versus Boston, I will support LA in a close call.
EZWINNERS
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Los Angeles Angels @ Boston Red Sox
Play: Los Angeles Angels -$105
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Joe Saunders took the loss in his only start against Boston this season. Saunders didn't pitch too bad as he allowed four earned runs in seven innings, but just didn't recieve much run support. In his career Saunders had pitched very well against the Red Sox, posting a 4-1 record against Boston in seven starts with an ERA of 3.25. Saunders in also in a grove right now posting a perfect 3-0 record in his last three starts with an ERA of only 1.91. Paul Byrd takes the mound for Boston and Byrd has a 6.08 ERA in his three starts since signing with Boston this season. The Angels should be able to provide Saunders with enough run support to pick up the win here. The Angels are a solid 13-6 in their last 19 meetings with Boston and 8-0 in Saunders last eight starts as a road favorite. Play on the Angels.
Scott Spreitzer
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Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
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I'm laying the price with the Reds on Wednesday. First look at this matchup (Bazardo/Lehr) leads one to believe that the folks are in for a lot of runs at Great American. While Bazardo is likely to get lit-up, Justin Lehr has been tremendous at home. Lehr's overall ERA is a hefty, 4.93. But in four starts at home, the righthander has allowed just 10 earned runs and 32 base runners in 26 innings, for a 3.46 ERA and 1.23 WHIP, to go along with a strong, .213 BAA. Both teams average about the same runs scored per game in tonight's situation, but while Houston is 14-25 in road night games against righties, the Reds are above .500 in home night games against righthanders. That leaves the pitching matchup as the deciding factor, and that lies with Cinci as mentioned above. I'm laying the price with the Reds on Wednesday.
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Play on: Cincinnati
VEGAS EXPERTS
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Florida Marlins at St. Louis Cardinals
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Love the fat price on underdog Florida here as they start the sensational Josh Johnson, who comes in sporting a 9-1 team start record in day games this season. Not only that, but the Marlins are also 13-3 since the start of the '08 season when Johnson takes the mound in the underdog role. The team itself is 8-1 this season on the road following a one run win. St. Louis could be phoning it in with four losses in five games. Florida needs this one badly.
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Play on: Florida
LT Profits
Arizona Diamondbacks at San Diego Padres
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The Arizona Diamondbacks have taken the first two games of this series vs. the San Diego Padres at Petco Park, but we look for the home-standing Pads to avoid the sweep and salvage a win today.
San Diego starter Edward Mujica has done some outstanding work in middle relief this season, and he did not disappoint when called on to make his first Major League start last Friday either. Mujica tossed four shutout innings vs. a pretty good Colorado Rockies lineup, allowing only two hits with three strikeouts and no walks.
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Yes, Mujica does not figure to go more than five innings today either, but he has the support of one of the better bullpens in baseball. The Padres rank eighth in the Major League with a cumulative 3.77 bullpen ERA, and that number drops to a fantastic 2.90 in this spacious stadium.
Now Dug Davis is quietly pitching decently in the desert, as his 7-13 record does not do him justice when you consider that he has a 3.89 ERA overall and has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts. However, he still puts too many men on base, as evidenced by his rather high 1.46 WHIP, and thus does not usually work deep into games. That could be a problem with a terrible Arizona bullpen that has a 6.54 ERA over the last 10 games.
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It may not be pretty, but look for San Diego to scratch out enough runs to get that elusive victory.
Pick: Padres -110
Karl Garrett
White Sox at SEATTLE
G-Man made it a 4-1 comp play run last night as underdog Kansas City came through.
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For Wednesday, take the Mariners to beat up on the White Sox, and Gavin Floyd once again.
Seattle did lose to the Pale Hose last night, but are still 9-4 their last 13 at home against Chicago.
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Better still is the fact that Gavin Floyd is 1-3 his last 5 starts against the M's allowing 23 runs to score in his 26 innings of work against them. That includes an 0-1 mark in his 2 starts versus Seattle this year, allowing 8 runs in his 12 innings of work.
Ryan Rowland-Smith hasn't been spectacular, but has been a soild starter for the Mariners, and with Chicago at just 32-41 on the road this year, the play tonight is on Seattle.
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2♦ SEATTLE