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(@shazman)
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Friday 4/29/22 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games

 
Posted : April 29, 2022 9:10 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 59257
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GreenPunter

Miami Marlins – Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
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mlb-undertips info

Los Angeles Dodgers – Detroit Tigers
Under 8.5
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MLB-Martingale

2 UNITS

New York Mets - Philadelphia Phillies
New York Mets -1.5
Odds : 2.80
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Big Al

Mariners
Dodgers
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CleInsiderSports

Baseball - MLB - Nationals/Giants O7.5
Hockey - NHL - Ducks/Stars U5.5
Basketball - NBA - Grizzlies/Wolves O229
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ZITI Sports
NBA PLAYOFFS
Minnesota Timberwolves +1 -110 Memphis Grizzlies (9:05 PM)

NHL
Minnesota Wild +110 Colorado Avalanche (8:05 PM)
Vegas Golden Knights vs. (18) St. Louis Blues OVER 6 -110 (8:05 PM)

MLB
Minnesota Twins +122 Tampa Bay Rays (7:10 PM)
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets OVER 7 -110 (7:10 PM)
Arizona Diamondbacks +172 St. Louis Cardinals (8:15 PM)

SOCCER UNDER SYSTEM
4/29
Austria - Erste Liga- SV Horn vs. Floridsdorfer AC UNDER 2.5 -119 (12:30 PM)
4/30
Portugal - Primeira Liga- Belenenses SAD vs. SC Braga UNDER 2.5 -115 (4:00 PM)
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Posted : April 29, 2022 9:18 am
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Matt Severance

CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 04/29 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -112
ANALYSIS: Friday game. The Reds are utter garbage -- their past 14 losses also have been losses on the runline (i.e. meaning each by at least two runs for newbies). I see no reason to take Rockies RL here considering they are so cheap straight up (way too cheap in my opinion). Colorado was just swept four in Philly, but as we've established previously this is a much different team at Coors Field. Rox pitcher Antonio Senzatela is historically better in Denver and that has continued in 2022: 2.16 ERA in two starts.

NASHVILLE @ ARIZONA | 04/29 | 10:30 PM EDT
ARIZONA +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Coyotes might have the worst home-ice advantage in the NHL ... but it should be an interesting atmosphere in their finale Friday because it's also their last-ever game in Glendale, a suburb of Phoenix. The team is moving to a 5,100-seat new all-purpose arena at Arizona State in Tempe, another Phoenix suburb (but likely a largely different fan base), for at least the next three years as it hopes to get a full-bore NHL complex built in the city. I'd imagine the guys would like to leave the true Glendale fans as winners. Nashville is playing the second of a B2B and has zip reason to care and probably sits a ton of guys. Third-stringer Connor Ingram already has been confirmed in net. I'll gladly take -107 on the Arizona puckline -- the Yotes are off back-to-back shocking road wins over Minnesota and Dallas as it is.

PHILADELPHIA @ N.Y. METS | 04/29 | 7:10 PM EDT
N.Y. METS -122
ANALYSIS: Small advantage for the Mets in that they were off yesterday while the Phillies finished a home series vs. Colorado. Philadelphia is just 2-5 on the road. New York starts shockingly good Tylor Megill (3-0, 2.35 ERA) and the team has won all four of his starts. He threw 5.1 shutout innings in Philadelphia on April 12. Philly's Aaron Nola (1-2, 3.74) allowed three runs in 3.1 innings vs. the Mets on April 13. He also historically has been worse on the road.

VEGAS @ ST. LOUIS | 04/29 | 8:00 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -175
ANALYSIS: Vegas has nothing to play for and the Blues still have a shot at home-ice advantage in the first round of the playoffs vs. Minnesota. St. Louis has to win and have the Wild not get a point in their Friday game vs. Colorado.

CHICAGO @ BUFFALO | 04/29 | 7:00 PM EDT
BUFFALO -129
ANALYSIS: Matchup of teams with nothing to play for and you pretty much always lean the home side there in the finale. The Sabres should have the goaltender advantage in Craig Anderson over the terrible Collin Delia.

BOSTON @ BALTIMORE | 04/29 | 7:05 PM EDT
BOSTON -135
ANALYSIS: Boston may not have banged-up DH JD Martinez, but AL batting leader Xander Bogaerts will be back in the lineup after getting Friday off. This price is quite small in my mind even though Baltimore is competitive at home. Rich Hill starts for the Sox and he's not totally trustworthy, but Tanner Houck, who couldn't pitch in this week's series in Toronto, essentially will piggyback so Hill will have a short leash and I trust Houck. The Birds are giving Kyle Bradish his first big-league start. He was the key piece back in the Dylan Bundy trade to the Angels in 2019 and is the team's No. 9 prospect.

CHI. CUBS @ MILWAUKEE | 04/29 | 8:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -145
ANALYSIS: Relatively cheap price on the Brewers at home ... presumably because the Cubs are starting their best pitcher in Kyle Hendricks so an upset is possible, but he historically is much worse on the road and his one away start this year was terrible. Chicago also used one of its most effective relievers (Scott Effross) in Thursday night's loss in Atlanta for two innings so he won't be available. Milwaukee's Adrian Houser had a 2.81 ERA at home last year and was very good in his lone start there in 2022.

FLORIDA @ MONTREAL | 04/29 | 7:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL +1.5
ANALYSIS: Florida had little to play for Thursday and rested a bunch of key guys so we took Ottawa on the puckline at home ... and that didn't work out. But I'm going back to the same theory here at a nice price of +100. The Cats did clinch the Presidents' Trophy on Thursday so now they REALLY don't have anything to play for in the second of a back-to-back.

COLORADO @ MINNESOTA | 04/29 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +1.5
ANALYSIS: I'm going to pay the freight on the puckline at -214 and I'll tell you why: Minnesota needs just one point to earn second place in the Central Division and home-ice advantage in a first-round series playoff series against St. Louis. Thus, if the Wild get to OT, they can literally lie down on the ice. The Avalanche have absolutely nothing to play for as any shot at the Presidents' Trophy is gone. Two key Minnesota defensemen will return from injury in Jared Spurgeon and Matt Dumba.
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jack jones
15
sandiego rl
nyy rl
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mike lundin
dodgers rl
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Andy Lang

NBA

5% Desmond Bane Over 21' Points (-115)
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AccuScore Picks

4* Grizzlies -1.5
4* Panthers vs. Canadiens Under 7
4* Red Wings vs. Devils Under 6.5
3* Lightning vs. Islanders Over 6
3* Capitals vs. Rangers Over 5.5
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Posted : April 29, 2022 11:35 am
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The Money Team (TMT)

Yesterday 2-1 +$3,630
This Week 9-2 +19,890

MLB YTD 35-26 +$42,190

2k San Diego RL -105
3k NY Mets -117
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The Money Team (TMT)

Yesterday 2-1 +$2,000
Playoffs 34-10 +$39,800 (77%)

2k Parlay Memphis ML / Under 229 (+250 Odds)
3k Memphis Under 229
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Big Bobby Ligs

5%- New York Yankees -1.5 (-120) N Cortes (LHP), K Bubic (LHP) Must Start
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Marco D'Angelo

5%- Buffalo Sabres -130
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Delphi Sports

MLB
3* #963 Boston -135
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MLB8 club
Mets over 7
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mlbtotal us
Oak over 6.5
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Posted : April 29, 2022 1:25 pm
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Spartan

1* Guardians
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Matt Severance

VANCOUVER @ EDMONTON | 04/29 | 9:00 PM EDT
UNDER 6.5
ANALYSIS: I will be making a record amount of NHL picks today because of the unusual circumstances. I will either be rolling in the cash or selling a kidney after (my wife's). No reason for either team to care here and the Oilers are going to sit offensive superstars Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl (and presumably others) as they should. Half the Canucks' good players are out. You can't not "try" as a goaltender. So we have to go Under at plus-money no matter who is in net.

BOSTON @ TORONTO | 04/29 | 7:00 PM EDT
BOSTON -128
ANALYSIS: Boston could still move up to third place in the Atlantic Division with a win and Tampa Bay loss at the Islanders, and I'd imagine the B's will try to do that as they would then face the Leafs in the playoffs instead of Carolina. Toronto is resting Auston Matthews, John Tavares and Mitch Marner -- that's a LOT of points -- and top goalie Jack Campbell. The B's have the edge in net with Jeremy Swayman over Erik Kallgren. We just have to hope Boston doesn't decide to rest guys later tonight.

MEMPHIS @ MINNESOTA | 04/29 | 9:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA +1.5
ANALYSIS: Other than Game 2, Minnesota has essentially dominated this series but keeps collapsing in the fourth quarter when it loses. After a passive Game 3, Karl-Anthony Towns has been dominant the past two games. The Grizzlies will not have center Steven Adams tonight as he's in COVID protocols. That would be a big deal in the regular season, but he has fallen out of the rotation. Why even mention him then? What if Xavier Tillman/Brandon Clarke get into early foul trouble/injured? Plus, if Adams is in COVID protocols ... he's obviously been around the team. Not impossible another player lands in them today. Maybe I just badly want to see a Game 7 in this highly entertaining series.
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Carmine Bianco

FRIDAY NHL
Game: (1) Chicago Blackhawks at (2) Buffalo Sabres
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Buffalo Sabres -125

FRIDAY NHL
Game: (13) Columbus Blue Jackets at (14) Pittsburgh Penguins
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Pittsburgh Penguins/Nashville Predators money line parlay -125
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Tokyo

(975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Miami Marlins
Game: (975) Seattle Mariners at (976) Miami Marlins
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 6:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1H Miami Marlins +108 M Brash (RHP), E Hernandez (RHP) Must Start

(957) Arizona Diamondbacks at (958) St. Louis Cardinals
Game: (957) Arizona Diamondbacks at (958) St. Louis Cardinals
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 8:15 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: St. Louis Cardinals -182 M Bumgarner (LHP), A Wainwright (RHP) Must Start

(5) Detroit Red Wings at (6) New Jersey Devils
Game: (5) Detroit Red Wings at (6) New Jersey Devils
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: BetOnline
Play Rating: 1%
Play: 1P Detroit Red Wings Total Over 0.5 (-135)

(3) Washington Capitals at (4) New York Rangers
Game: (3) Washington Capitals at (4) New York Rangers
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: BetOnline
Play Rating: 1%
Play: New York Rangers Total Over 2.5 (-130)

(13) Columbus Blue Jackets at (14) Pittsburgh Penguins
Game: (13) Columbus Blue Jackets at (14) Pittsburgh Penguins
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: BetOnline
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Columbus Blue Jackets Total Over 2.0 (-140)

(9) Boston Bruins at (10) Toronto Maple Leafs
Game: (9) Boston Bruins at (10) Toronto Maple Leafs
Date/Time: Apr 29 2022 7:05 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 1%
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs +100
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XS Sports Picks Friday

MLB Yesterday 3-0 +$11,000
3* LA Angels +115
3* San Francisco -1.5 -105

NBA Yesterday 1-2 (-$3,800)
3* Minnesota 1Q PK -110
3* Minnesota FH +.5 -115
3* Minnesota FH Under 111
3* Minnesota Under 228.5

NHL 1-1 +$2,000
3* Seattle -124
3* Arizonia +1.5 -110
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Posted : April 29, 2022 2:27 pm
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