Friday 5/14/21 thread for handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games
Matt Snyder
MIAMI @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/14 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: Through last Friday night, the Dodgers had lost 14 of their last 18 games. They lost again on Sunday and then were on the verge of losing Tuesday before Gavin Lux's clutch three-run bomb in the eighth. Then they blew the Mariners out on Wednesday. Thursday was an off day. They are rested and have their mojo back and are ready to go on an extended run. Clayton Kershaw loves pitching at home and the Marlins are ripe for the taking. On the run line we only need the Dodgers to win by two, but expect a blowout-level Dodgers win. They are coming. Mark my words.
+215 3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ATS PICKS
9:31 PM
SAN FRANCISCO @ PITTSBURGH | 05/14 | 6:35 PM EDT
UNDER 7.5
ANALYSIS: The Pirates have one of the worst offenses in baseball and have now scored two or fewer runs in eight of their last 10 games. The level of pitching they've faced hasn't really mattered. This time around, though, they'll get a guy pitching like one of the best in baseball in Kevin Gausman. Expect him to shut them down deep into the game. So why not just take the Giants? Because Pirates' starter Tyler Anderson is quietly having an excellent season. In his last five starts, he has a 2.32 ERA while holding opponents to a .152/.222/.200 line. He's been better at home, too. It's a low under, but I like it.
+145 6-4 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS
9:28 PM
PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 05/14 | 7:37 PM EDT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The over is awfully tempting here with the Blue Jays' powerful offense taking on Vince Velasquez, but we're taking the Jays on the run line instead. It boils down to trust. The Phillies have knocked Steven Matz around for years, notably Bryce Harper, Didi Gregorius and Jean Segura, but this is an inconsistent bunch likely to be without JT Realmuto. Meantime, the Jays' bats are really hot and TD Ballpark has played incredibly hitter-friendly all year. The over is likely to hit, but we're more confident in a multi-run Jays win.
+215 3-1 IN LAST 4 MLB ATS PICKS
9:24 PM
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Elite Sports Picks
Chicago Cubs (Arrieta) -145 over Detroit (Skubal)
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Insider Sports Report
4* San Francisco (Gausman) -145 over Pittsburgh (Anderson)
Range: -125 to -165
3* St. Louis (Oviedo)/San Diego (Musgrove) OVER 7
Range: 6.5 to 7.5
3* Cleveland (Civale) -130 over Seattle (Flexen)
Range: -110 to -150
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National Sports Service
4* Oakland (Montas)/Minnesota (Shoemaker) OVER 9
3* Tampa Bay (Glasnow) -150 over N.Y. Mets (Peterson)
3* Cincinnati (Miley) -105 over Colorado (Marquez)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/14/21
4 Unit --> N.Y. Yankees (Kluber) -1.5 runs -120 over Baltimore (Kremer)
3 Unit --> Chicago Cubs (Arrieta) -145 over Detroit (Skubal)
3 Unit --> Philadelphia (Velasquez) +115 over Toronto (Matz)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/14/21
5★ San Francisco (Gausman) -145 over Pittsburgh (Anderson)
3★ N.Y. Mets (Peterson) +130 over Tampa Bay (Glasnow)
3★ Texas (Benjamin)/Houston (Greinke) OVER 9
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Nick Andre - Vegasinsider WNBA Expert
WNBA
Indiana +3
Phoenix +2.5
Dallas +5.5
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Stitches--NY Post. Won yesterday (after 5 losers in a row) with the Blue Jays. Season record now 18-25.
Friday's play is the Pirates.
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XS Sports Picks Friday May 14th
NHL:
$1000 Winnipeg +144 (8pm)
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XS Sports Picks Friday May 14th MLB
This Week 7-3 (70%) +$13,580
$4000 Boston -118 (7:10pm)
$1000 Miami +194 (10:10pm)
$3000 Miami Under 7 -121 (10:10pm)
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XS Sports Picks Friday May 14th NBA
This Week 5-2 (71%) +$11,600
$3000 Orlando Under 219.5 -110 (8pm)
$5000 Golden State -4.5 (9:30pm)
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Matt Snyder
+145 6-4 IN LAST 10 MLB PICKS
SAN FRANCISCO @ PITTSBURGH | 05/14 | 6:35 PM GMT
UNDER 7.5
ANALYSIS: The Pirates have one of the worst offenses in baseball and have now scored two or fewer runs in eight of their last 10 games. The level of pitching they've faced hasn't really mattered. This time around, though, they'll get a guy pitching like one of the best in baseball in Kevin Gausman. Expect him to shut them down deep into the game. So why not just take the Giants? Because Pirates' starter Tyler Anderson is quietly having an excellent season. In his last five starts, he has a 2.32 ERA while holding opponents to a .152/.222/.200 line. He's been better at home, too. It's a low under, but I like it.
MIAMI @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/14 | 10:10 PM GMT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: Through last Friday night, the Dodgers had lost 14 of their last 18 games. They lost again on Sunday and then were on the verge of losing Tuesday before Gavin Lux's clutch three-run bomb in the eighth. Then they blew the Mariners out on Wednesday. Thursday was an off day. They are rested and have their mojo back and are ready to go on an extended run. Clayton Kershaw loves pitching at home and the Marlins are ripe for the taking. On the run line we only need the Dodgers to win by two, but expect a blowout-level Dodgers win. They are coming. Mark my words.
PHILADELPHIA @ TORONTO | 05/14 | 7:37 PM GMT
TORONTO -1.5
ANALYSIS: The over is awfully tempting here with the Blue Jays' powerful offense taking on Vince Velasquez, but we're taking the Jays on the run line instead. It boils down to trust. The Phillies have knocked Steven Matz around for years, notably Bryce Harper, Didi Gregorius and Jean Segura, but this is an inconsistent bunch likely to be without JT Realmuto. Meantime, the Jays' bats are really hot and TD Ballpark has played incredibly hitter-friendly all year. The over is likely to hit, but we're more confident in a multi-run Jays win.
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SDQL Gurus
+707 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS
CHI. CUBS @ DETROIT | 05/14 | 7:10 PM GMT
CHI. CUBS -135
ANALYSIS: The Cubs are 13-0 in franchise history with Jake Arrieta starting vs. any team that is on a four-plus game winning streak. Chicago was the underdog in four of the 13 wins. In addition, the Cubs are 10-0 in the first game of a series with rest as favorites of more than 130 when they lost the last two games their starter started. The Tigers are 0-13 in the first game of a home series with no rest when playing a team that has a better record and it is before the All-Star break.
TEXAS @ HOUSTON | 05/14 | 8:10 PM GMT
HOUSTON -216
ANALYSIS: The Astros are 17-0 as 185-plus home favorites after a game in which they did not hit a home run and 13-0 as home favorites after a game in which their opponent left 18-plus men on base. The Rangers are 0-18 as 170+ underdogs coming off a road game in which they hit at least one home run.
UTAH @ OKLAHOMA CITY | 05/14 | 8:00 PM GMT
OKLAHOMA CITY +13.5
ANALYSIS: Oklahoma City has been a lot grittier than the pundits would lead you to believe. The Thunder are 9-0 ATS at home with rest off a double-digit road loss in which they led by double digits and 6-0 ATS in franchise history at home off a road loss in which Darius Bazley had a negative plus/minus and took at least four shots. The Jazz are 0-7 ATS on the road off a home game and 0-6 ATS facing a team that is averaging less than 58.0 points per game from 2-point range.
NEW ORLEANS @ GOLDEN ST. | 05/14 | 9:30 PM GMT
UNDER 230.5
ANALYSIS: The Under is 14-0 when the Pelicans have rest and when their assists dropped by at least 10 and points scored dropped by at least three from the game before. The Under is 6-0 when Stephen Curry scored at least 15 points fewer in his last game then he did two games ago.
+630 14-7 IN LAST 21 NBA O/U PICKS
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Jeff Hochman
CINCINNATI @ COLORADO | 05/14 | 8:40 PM GMT
COLORADO +101
ANALYSIS: I am fading Wade Miley coming off his no-hitter. The Rockies are ranked No. 2 in batting average and No. 5 in OPS (on base plus slugging) against left-handed starters this season. Colorado is batting .292 against Miley at Coors Field. German Marquez has a lot more experience pitching at high-altitude than Miley. Take the Rockies on Friday.
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Justin Perri
+749 22-15-1 IN LAST 38 MLB PICKS
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 05/14 | 8:10 PM GMT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: I was unhappy to see this line move to 9 before I could post the play, but it has come back down to 8.5 and I am not sure it will stay there. This game has some of the best weather statistics of the night and looks to be good conditions for the hitters on both of these plus offenses. A’s starter Frankie Montas is rocking a 5.50 ERA and 4.60 FIP, while Twins starter Matt Shoemaker has a 6.43 ERA and a 6.17 FIP. Those are some high numbers, and both pitchers had similar stats to the season last year so I don’t see much sample size bias. Shoemaker has already been lit up by the A’s this season too. Take the Over.
MIAMI @ L.A. DODGERS | 05/14 | 10:10 PM GMT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: I am very happy to get even money on the run line here, as this game looks like it could be an solid spot for L.A. The Dodgers have an OPS of .794 against righties compared to .667 against lefties and will see RHP Sandy Alcantara tonight. Clayton Kershaw takes the ball for the home team and is looking to build on his last successful start. The Marlins are coming up from Arizona after a win last night and will have a hard time seeing the ball with the climate change combined with Kershaw’s already tough-to-hit mechanics. Look for the Dodgers stud to keep Miami’s offense to a minimum. Play the spread.
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Brian Bitler
9* MLB Executive Action Info
Seattle Mariners +102
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Larry Ness
Nba
10* memphis-7.5
mlb
10* blue jays-148
8* tampa bay-148
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MLB-Martingale
1 unit
Detroit Tigers – Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs -1.5
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Ben Burns
9* twins+1.5-155
9* padres-155
9* milwaukee+1.5-160
10* nyy-170
10* cavs+9
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Scott Spreitzer
Giants U3.5 F5 (3U)
Red Sox -120 (3U)
Leeds United +125 (4U)
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HUNTER ENGLEHART
Game: (917) Los Angeles Angels at (918) Boston Red Sox
Date/Time: May 14 2021 7:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: 1H Los Angeles Angels +100 G Canning (RHP), N Pivetta (RHP) Must Start
Canning VS Pivetta
Game: (931) Philadelphia Phillies at (932) Toronto Blue Jays
Date/Time: May 14 2021 7:37 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3 units
Play: 1H Total Under 5.5 (+100) V Velasquez (RHP), S Matz (LHP) Must Start
Valasquez VS Matz
Game: (907) Washington Nationals at (908) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: May 14 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 2 units
Play: 1H Total Under 4.5 (-105) M Scherzer (RHP), R Smith (RHP) Must Start
Scherzer VS Smith
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3 Rivers Sports
MLB
3* #911 St. Louis +160
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Dave Cokin
3% Cincinnati Reds 1st 5 Innings (+100) - Miley/Marquez must start
3% Giants/Pirates 1st 5 Innings under 3' - Gausman/Yajure must start
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Scott Spreitzer
Giants U3.5 F5 (3U)
Red Sox -120 (3U)
Leeds United +125 (4U)
NBA
Wizards -7.5 (4U)
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 9-4 Last 13 (+1093)
MLB
Cubs -128 - - - BIG PLAY
Rays -150
Reds -103
Brewers/Braves Under 8
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors
TV: ESPN - Time: 9:40 p.m.
Best Bet - Golden State Warriors -135 (Moneyline)
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 7-1 ytd..
MLB
Cubs -128 - - - BIG PLAY
Mets +145
Phillies/Blue Jays Under 10.5
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Pickswise Sports
NBA Best Bets
Nuggets -8.5
Warriors -1.5
MLB Best Bets
Astros -1.5 runs [-120]
Diamondbacks/Nationals Under 9 [-120]
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Doug Upstone
Red Sox -120 (6U)
Parlay: Dodgers & Giants (2U)
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Syndicate Picks 5/14
NBA
Houston +9
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MLB (Bob Balfe)
8:40 PM EST
Rotation # 905-906
Reds/Rockies Over 10.5 runs
Miley/Marquez
German Marquez is giving up a lot of walks this year which is hurting his ERA. The Reds should be able to make him pay for a few runs especially in this park. Wade Miley is pitching very well this year, but the Rockies are a decent team vs left handed pitching and in this park should get a few runs off him. I think both teams bats will be able to generate enough runs to make this high scoring. Take the Over.
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IQ Sports
5-unit: Wizards -7.5
4-unit: Jazz -14.5
4-unit: D'Backs +175
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
NBA ATS Big Plays 30-10 Last 40..
NBA
Clippers -7.5 - - - BIG PLAY
Pelicans +1.5
Kings/Grizzlies Under 224.5
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