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(@shazman)
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Monday 4/12/21 free thread for handicapping and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.

 
Posted : April 12, 2021 8:52 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60781
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Stephen Oh

WINNIPEG @ OTTAWA | 04/12 | 7:00 PM EDT
WINNIPEG -175
ANALYSIS: My model says the Jets win in over 70 percent of the simulations, so you're getting excellent value at this number. Winnipeg has won five of its six meetings with Ottawa this season, including a 4-3 home triumph on Apr. 5 that kicked off the team's three-game winning streak. The Jets have outscored their opponents 13-5 during the run. The most recent meeting also began a four-game slide during which the Senators have allowed a total of 17 goals. Take the Jets.

HOUSTON @ PHOENIX | 04/12 | 10:00 PM EDT
PHOENIX -13
ANALYSIS: My model says the Suns cover in well over 60 percent of the simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number. Phoenix has won 11 of its last 13 games overall and seven in a row at home. Devin Booker has been hot of late, scoring at least 21 points in each of his last eight outings. The Rockets have lost seven of their last eight contests, with their last two defeats being 16 and 17 points. Take the Suns to cover.
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The Sports Geek
Monday NHL Card

NHL
Minnesota Wild -135 (BIG PLAY)
Minnesota Wild -1.5 goals [+190]
Columbus Blue Jackets +110
Montreal Canadiens +126
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Pickswise Sports

NHL 3* Best Bet - Toronto Maple Leafs -129

MLB 3* Best Bet Red Sox/Twins Over 9
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RAMNBA INFO

New York Knicks - Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers +2.5
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Las Vegas Pipeline

50 Cubs + 117

50 LAD - 1.5
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT

4* Seattle (Sheffield)/Baltimore (Kremer) OVER 9
3* Orlando +6.5 over San Antonio (NBA)
3* Oakland (Bassitt) -130 over Arizona (Bumgarner)
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Larry Hartstein

WASHINGTON @ ST. LOUIS | 04/12 | 7:45 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -140
ANALYSIS: The depleted Nats have lost five straight and have been shut out in three of their last four games. Nolan Arenado and the Cardinals should jump on Nats starter Erick Fedde, who gave up nine baserunners in less than two innings in his first start. Look for St. Louis to win its sixth straight series opener dating to last season (3-0 this year).
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Posted : April 12, 2021 9:15 am
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LMM Sports

Knicks/Lakers over 204
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Matt Severance

BOSTON @ MINNESOTA | 04/12 | 2:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -145
ANALYSIS: Assuming they play (no reason why they shouldn't), two of the AL's hottest hitters will be on display in the lone matinee of Monday. They would be Red Sox DH JD Martinez and Twins outfielder Byron Buxton. Martinez is hitting .472 with five homers (T1 in MLB) and 16 RBIs (first in MLB). He had a three-homer game Sunday. Buxton is hitting .481 with five homers and nine RBIs. While the Sox are playing better than the Twins right now, I trust Minnesota lefty starter JA Happ more than I do Boston counterpart Martin Perez. The Red Sox are 6-15 in their past 21 vs. southpaws, while Perez is 0-3 with a 4.91 ERA in five games (four starts) in his career vs. the Twins.
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Mike Barner

FEATURED PICK

DENVER @ GOLDEN ST. | 04/12 | 10:00 PM EDT
DENVER -4.5
ANALYSIS: Despite having Jamal Murray (knee) miss four straight games, the Nuggets are 7-1 since Aaron Gordon made his debut with the team. During that stretch, six of their wins came by at least seven points and four were by at least 10. Even if Murray is forced to sit again, Denver could win this game handily against a Warriors team that will be without Kelly Oubre Jr. (wrist) and James Wiseman (knee).
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Scott Spreitzer

A’s F5-135 (4U)
Wild -140 (3U)
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Dave Cokin

3% Chicago White Sox (-135)
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
LA Lakers vs NY Knicks
TV: NBA League Pass - Time: 7:40pm

Best Bet - Lakers +2.5

NBA Player Prop Best Bet - Julius Randle under 23.5 points [-116]
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Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Philadelphia 76ers vs Dallas Mavericks
TV; ESPN - Time; 7:40pm

Best Bet - Philadelphia 76ers -140 (Moneyline)
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks

MLB
Indians +120
Phillies 1st 5 innings +130
Braves -133
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Bryan Leonard

ALL HOCKEY PLAYS

Play #1
Game: (3) Toronto Maple Leafs at (4) Montreal Canadiens
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 7:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Toronto Maple Leafs -130

Play #2
Game: (7) Chicago Blackhawks at (8) Columbus Blue Jackets
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 7:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Westgate
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Columbus Blue Jackets +103

Play #3
Game: (9) St. Louis Blues at (10) Minnesota Wild
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 8:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Wild -135
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H&H Sports

MLB
Triple Dime - Minnesota Twins -144
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World's Worst Picker

Play opposite

Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
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Pickswise Sports

NBA Best Bet - Sacramento Kings +3.5
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3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #901/902 San Diego/Pittsburgh under 8 (Darvish/Cahill)
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Posted : April 12, 2021 11:45 am
(@shazman)
Posts: 60781
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CARMINE BIANCO ALL HOCKEY PLAYS

MONDAY 5% NHL TOP PLAY
Game: (15) Vegas Golden Knights at (16) Los Angeles Kings
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 10:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 5%
Play: REGULATION Vegas Golden Knights -117

NHL - Vegas Golden Knights at Los Angeles Kings
Quick Synopsis: Knights and Kings in game 7 of their 8 game season series with the Knights having won 4 of 6. The early success of the Kings this season has been wiped out by a run over their last 22 games in which they've gone 7 and 15 and in 6 of those wins they've followed it up with a loss next time out. That 7th win came on Saturday in a 4-2 win over the Sharks. The Knights come off a 1-0 shutout win on Sunday at home against the Coyotes holding them to 14 shots on goal. Additionally the Knights have taken care of business against the divisions bottom tier going 5-1 vs the bottom 3 this season. With Fleury playing on Sunday the Knights likely switch to Lehner on Monday and he's gone 8-1 this season with a 2.33 GAA and .912 SV% including 3-0 vs the Kings this season.
The play is Vegas Golden Knights -117 In regulation
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Dave Cokin (ADDING)

3% Cincinnati Reds 1H (+100)

3% Rays/Rangers 1H under 4 (-120)
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JD Sports Authorities

Last 6 Picks 1-5 (17%)

Milwaukee -135

Oakland -126

New Orleans -2.5
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Stephen Nover

RL gow Tampa bay-1.5
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WUnderdog

ChicagoSox -125
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Lee sterling

LAKERS
Grizzlies

Top play
Blackhawks -118
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Oskiem Sports

AL Run Line Game Of Month
4% Tamps Bay Rays
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Wise Guy Insider

Last 6 Picks 2-4 (34%)

Memphis -2.5
Tampa Bay Under 7.5
Cards -142
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IC
NHL - 3 - Montreal

MLB - 3 - Cin/SF Over 8.5
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Posted : April 12, 2021 2:30 pm
(@shazman)
Posts: 60781
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PURE LOCK

Game: (553) Los Angeles Lakers at (554) New York Knicks
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 7:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: New York Knicks -3.0 (-110)
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Wayne Root

Chairman New York Knicks
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MIKEY SPORT

Game: (905) Miami Marlins at (906) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time: Apr 12 2021 7:20 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Atlanta Braves -150

4% Atlanta
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Bob Balfe

76ers over 218.5

Cin +101
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Posted : April 12, 2021 4:11 pm
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