Free Premium Service Plays For Monday 8/17/20

Larry Hartstein

NBA

Toronto Raptors -9.5
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Stephen Oh

TAMPA BAY -160
TAMPA BAY @ COLUMBUS | 8/17 | 3:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:03 PM
My model says the Lightning win in almost 70 percent of the simulations. Tampa Bay still is without captain Steven Stamkos (lower body), but Brayden Point has been a force in this series. The 24-year-old center has scored three of the Lightning's seven goals and set up another. Both of Tampa Bay's victories have been 3-2 decisions, including one the five-overtime classic in the series opener. Expect the Lightning to push Columbus to the brink of elimination on Monday.

9-4 IN LAST 13 NHL ML PICKS | +335
10-4 IN LAST 14 CLB ML PICKS | +486

4-2 IN LAST 6 TB ML PICKS | +150

MINNESOTA -195
KANSAS CITY @ MINNESOTA | 8/17 | 8:10 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:56 PM
Minnesota has won four of its last six contests, with three of the victories being 4-2 decisions. Two of those triumphs have come in this series. The Twins are looking to win the set after losing all three games at Kansas City last weekend. My model says Minnesota wins in well over 70 percent of the simulations. Look for the Twins to clinch its second straight series win.

12-8 LAST 20 MLB SIDES | +574
37-21 IN LAST 58 KC ML PICKS | +1992

21-12 IN LAST 33 MIN ML PICKS | +987

L.A. CLIPPERS -6
DALLAS @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 8/17 | 9:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 10:40 PM
My model says the Clippers cover the spread in well over 60 percent of the simulations. Los Angeles finished the regular season by winning four of its final five contests. It also won all three meetings with Dallas, including a 126-111 triumph in the bubble on Aug. 6. Expect the Clippers to post a similar victory Monday.

37-9 IN LAST 46 NBA PICKS | +2708
13-4 IN LAST 17 LAC ATS PICKS | +856

22-13 IN LAST 35 DAL ATS PICKS | +794
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Sam Quinn

UNDER 222
BROOKLYN @ TORONTO | 8/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:22 PM
Brooklyn's point totals have tended to trend toward the Over in the bubble, but a lot of that has been due to opponents missing players via injury or rest, and a fairly poor slate of defenses on its schedule. The Raptors either hit this total exactly or went Under in their first six bubble games. With their foot off the gas pedal in the last two, they went Over, but their defense is so overwhelming and well-suited for the playoffs that plenty of low-scoring games are likely in their future, especially given the shooting regression Brooklyn probably will experience. Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot didn't just magically become a 45-percent 3-point shooter overnight.

18-10 IN LAST 28 NBA PICKS | +694
DENVER -4.5
UTAH @ DENVER | 8/17 | 1:30 PM EDT
YESTERDAY 11:18 PM
The Nuggets went undefeated against the Jazz this season, and Utah is more depleted than ever now. They will be without Bojan Bogdanovic (wrist), Ed Davis (knee) and Mike Conley, who left the bubble for the birth of his son. Barring an absolute outburst from Donovan Mitchell or extremely hot shooting from Jordan Clarkson and Joe Ingles, there's little reason to believe Utah can score enough to keep up with the Nuggets. That's especially true given Utah's lack of bigger wings to throw at Michael Porter Jr. and the trouble Nikola Jokic's perimeter game will give Rudy Gobert.

18-10 IN LAST 28 NBA PICKS | +694
5-1 IN LAST 6 UTA ATS PICKS | +391
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Tony Finn

5% play Clippers -6
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SDQL

OVER 9
N.Y. METS @ MIAMI | 8/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
9:26 AM
The Mets are 10-0 OU in the first game of a road series with no rest against a right-hander when they lost the previous three times they faced a righty and 13-0 OU since the start of last season as favorites before game 90 when they are coming off a game as an underdog in which they allowed four-plus runs. The Marlins are 8-0 OU in the first game of a series with no rest as a home underdog when they are coming off a game as a dog and their starter worked fewer than four innings in his previous start. Miami has gone Over by an average of 4.75 runs in this spot. We make the Over the play.

19-6 IN LAST 25 MLB PICKS | +1071
CHI. WHITE SOX -145
DETROIT @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/17 | 8:10 PM EDT
9:22 AM
Detroit's Matthew Boyd allowed seven runs and failed to make it out of the fourth inning in his last start. This is a negative indicator, as the Tigers are 0-9 SU with Boyd when he worked fewer than five innings in his previous start. The Tigers allowed an average of 7.62 runs in those nine games. The White Sox are a reliable 6-0 SU as favorites after a win as a favorite in which they never trailed and 14-0 SU as a favorite of more than 120 when they are coming off a game in which they scored runs in fewer than three innings. The White Sox have value at this price.

19-6 IN LAST 25 MLB PICKS | +1071
3-1 IN LAST 4 CHW ML PICKS | +148

3-1 IN LAST 4 DET ML PICKS | +147
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Bill Marzano

COLORADO -1.5
COLORADO @ ARIZONA | 8/17 | 5:30 PM EDT
10:16 AM
This series has been dominated by the Avs, and I look for them to take a commanding 3-1 lead. They've outshot the Coyotes 119-69 overall, including 51-23 in Game 3. The Coyotes managed to win, though, behind the stellar play of Darcy Kuemper. For Game 4, Play Colorado -1.5 goals at +150.

4-3 IN LAST 7 NHL ATS PICKS | +240

L.A. DODGERS -1.5
SEATTLE @ L.A. DODGERS | 8/17 | 9:40 PM EDT
10:10 AM
The Dodgers have struggled at home, but this is a very favorable matchup for them. Seattle has dropped five straight overall contests and is just 4-9 on the road this year. Los Angeles is riding a five-game winning streak and leads the major leagues with 43 home runs.

17-11 LAST 28 MLB SIDES | +269
4-1 IN LAST 5 LAD ATS PICKS | +240

N.Y. YANKEES -1.5
BOSTON @ N.Y. YANKEES | 8/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
9:59 AM
The Yankees are dominating this series and it doesn't seem to matter who is in their lineup or on the mound. Boston's pitching staff is one of the worst in the AL. New York is looking for its 10th consecutive win against its long-time rival and is an incredible 9-1 at home this year. Boston has been outscored 100-50 in losing 14 of the last 15 meetings. The Red Sox are in the midst of a seven-game losing streak. Their 6-16 record is the worst in the AL, they own a major league-worst 6.03 ERA and they've been outscored 67-32 during their skid.

17-11 LAST 28 MLB SIDES | +269

OVER 218.5
PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON | 8/17 | 6:30 PM EDT
9:59 AM
The Celtics are healthy and averaged 119 points in the bubble. Philly has averaged over 120 points since the restart, making more than 41 percent of its 3-pointers. This will be a fast-paced game with a lot of 3-point attempts, free throws, and points off the bench. The Over is 11-3 in Philly's last 14 games. Go Over.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS | +90

OVER 222
BROOKLYN @ TORONTO | 8/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
9:54 AM
Both teams shoot a lot of threes, leading to long rebounds and fast-break points. Toronto has six players averaging in double digits and a deep bench. Brooklyn will play small-ball and knock down a lot of treys. Go Over.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA PICKS | +90

BROOKLYN +10
BROOKLYN @ TORONTO | 8/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
9:49 AM
The Nets are no joke. They can score. The Raptors went 7-1 in the bubble but they have a history of struggles in Game 1 of a playoff series (5-14 ATS). The Nets ended Toronto's franchise-record 15-game win streak in the last meeting, so they will enter this one with confidence. Grab the points.

2-1 IN LAST 3 NBA ATS PICKS | +90
2-1 IN LAST 3 TOR ATS PICKS | +90
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Mike Barner

NBA

114-66

Denver Nuggets -4.5
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Hot Shot Sports

NBA
3* Brooklyn +10
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Tony Mejia

Clippers/Mavericks Over 229
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Michael Crosson
NBA
Jazz/Nuggets Under 215
Raptors -10
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Kevin Rogers

Boston Celtics -6 (-113)
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Ralph Michaels

Game: (755) Philadelphia 76ers at (756) Boston Celtics
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 6:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Boston Celtics -5.5 (-110)

#756 4% Boston -5.5 Philadelphia 6:30
Simply a play against Philadelphia away from home . The 76ers were 29-2 SU and 19-11-1 ATS at home. Away from home they went 14-28 SU and 14-28 ATS while going 5-18 as a dog. No Simmons and Embid is struggling.
Game: (973) Seattle Mariners at (974) Los Angeles Dodgers
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

#974 4% LA Dodgers -1.5 runs -140 Seattle (Stripling & Dunn) 9:40 PM
The Dodgers offense has started to click avg 10 hits/gm the last 6 and they are coming off an easy Sunday win in which they rested a few players. On the flipside the Mariners are playing their 7th straight road game, they’ve lost 5 straight and are 3-12 their last 15 games. Seattle has also avg’d just 5 its per game their last 5. Stripling is coming off his first loss in a game he lasted only 4 2/3. Justin Dunn is a young prospect that has made 3 starts but he’s avg 4 1/3 inning per start with a 8-10 K-W ratio leading to a 1.62 WHIP.
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Gianni The Greek.

NBA
Game: (751) Utah Jazz at (752) Denver Nuggets
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 1:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Total Under 216.5 (-110)

751) Under 216.5 Utah-Indiana...(4%) via Pinnacle
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Root

Millionaire- Padres

Perfect play- Clippers
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Doug Upstone

4 White Sox-145
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Tony George

4 Units - #956 - Atlanta -145 over Washington *7:10 EST
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Gianni the Greek

NHL
Game: (55) Colorado Avalanche at (56) Arizona Coyotes
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 5:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Under 5.5 (-135)
55) Under 5.5 (-135) Colorado-Arizona...(5%) - BIG MOVE via Consensus

NHL
Game: (59) St. Louis Blues at (60) Vancouver Canucks
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 10:30 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5%
Play: Total Over 5.5 (+105)
59) Over 5.5 (+105) St Louis-Vancouver...(5%) via Consensus
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Andrew McInnis

NHL Monday P.O.D
Game: (57) Boston Bruins at (58) Carolina Hurricanes
Date/Time: Aug 17 2020 8:00 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Total Over 5.0 (-135)
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Bill Marzano

NHL

Tampa Bay Under 5
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Scott Spreitzer MLB

4-Unit Play: Take F5 Inn. Under 5 (-115) Jays v. Orioles (7:35 p.m., Monday, August 17)
Ryu has been outstanding in his last two starts, looking like the pitcher we grew used to as a member of the L.A. Dodgers. His first two times through a lineup have seen terrific numbers, including in his career where he owns a sub-3.00 ERA both times through. Alex Cobb is off to a strong start in 2020 but has yet to stay in a game longer than 5.1 innings. The Jays scored a total of 14 runs in their last half-dozen road games, so Cobb should stay in-form. Add-in what was a bullpen game for the O's yesterday and we'll eliminate the late innings and play the First 5 Innings Under between the Jays & Orioles on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 965 Padres -130 over Rangers (9:05 p.m., Monday, August 17)
Zach Davies gets the ball to start things for the Padres as he looks to get SDG back in the win column. They've played a tough slate up to now but Davies has been fantastic and he'll face a Rangers' offense averaging just 3.85 rpg on the season. Jordan Lyles has been lit-up for 11 earned runs and 26 base runners (11 walks) in his last three starts, spanning just 14.1 IP. His xFIP says he's not likely to find the sweet elixir anytime soon. I'm backing the Padres on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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Scott Spreitzer NBA

5-Unit Play: Take 758 Clippers -6 over Mavs (9 p.m., Monday, August 17)
This is a potentially bad matchup for the Mavs. They obviously need Luka Doncic to tee-off but the Clippers are one of a few teams that owns the personnel to slow down one of the top offensive forces in the league. Patrick Beverly is questionable for the Clips but the good news is that Montrezl Harrell is expected to play. The postseason is what the Clippers are built for and they've had no trouble with Dallas, going 3-0 SU/ATS against them this season, including a 126-111 win in the bubble. Porzingis is expected to play for the Mavs but the Clippers should pull away over the final 12 minutes. I'm laying the points with the Clippers on Monday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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Mastermind Sports (The Swami - NBA) - 10* Top Play 76ers/Celtics 218
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H&H Sports (NBA) - Double Dime Clippers/Mavericks Over 229
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ASA Sports (NBA) - Clippers -6
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Bill Marzano

UNDER 5
BOSTON @ CAROLINA | 8/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
11:20 AM
The Bruins were dealt a huge blow when G Tuukka Rask decided to opt out. However, they have a very capable backup in Jaroslav Halak, who went 18-6-6 with a 2.39 goals-against average and .919 save percentage during the regular season. Carolina G James Reimer has a .959 SP this postseason and will keep his team in the series. This will be a low-scoring, defensive battle, a 2-1 kind of game. The Under is 6-1 in the Bruins' last seven overall games and 5-1 their last six meetings with Carolina.

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NHL O/U PICKS | +280

UNDER 5
COLORADO @ ARIZONA | 8/17 | 5:30 PM EDT
10:53 AM
If not for two empty-net goals in the final minutes of Game 3, we easily would have cashed a winner. The Coyotes are only in this series because of the stellar play of G Darcy Kuemper. He has made at least 37 saves five times this postseason, stopping 49 shots on two occasions. Meanwhile, the Avalanche don't give up a lot of scoring chances. Both teams have really struggled on the power play as Arizona is 0-for-9 and Colorado 1-for-9.

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NHL O/U PICKS | +280

UNDER 5
TAMPA BAY @ COLUMBUS | 8/17 | 3:00 PM EDT
10:38 AM
The Lightning can take a commanding series lead with a win here. Tampa Bay G Andrei Vasilevskiy has posted a 1.86 goals-against average this postseason while Columbus counterpart Joonas Korpisalo owns a 1.51 GAA and a terrific .956 save percentage. The Blue Jackets could again be without two key offensive players in Cam Atkinson and Nathan Gerbe. The Under is 26-10-3 the last 39 overall meetings between the teams.

7-4-1 IN LAST 12 NHL O/U PICKS | +280
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Larry Hartstein

N.Y. METS -157
N.Y. METS @ MIAMI | 8/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
3:15 PM
Both teams are slumping, but I like the Mets to continue their recent dominance of the Marlins. New York has won 15 of the past 22 meetings. The Marlins plated a total of one run in their past two games. Look for New York to improve to 21-7 in its last 28 as a road favorite.

22-13 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +481
43-25 IN LAST 68 NYM ML PICKS | +1140

27-16 IN LAST 43 MIA ML PICKS | +795

CHI. WHITE SOX -153
DETROIT @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 8/17 | 8:10 PM EDT
1:54 PM
Detroit is in the midst of a five-game losing streak that began with a pair of home setbacks against Chicago. The Tigers have scored five runs in three of the defeats but have allowed a total of 36. Detroit left-hander Matthew Boyd has yielded seven runs over 4 2/3 innings in each of his last two starts. Expect the White Sox, who tied a major-league record Sunday by belting four consecutive home runs, to continue the assault against Boyd.

22-13 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +481
8-1 IN LAST 9 CHW ML PICKS | +814

12-7 IN LAST 19 DET ML PICKS | +447

ST. LOUIS +158
ST. LOUIS @ CHI. CUBS | 8/17 | 5:15 PM EDT
1:46 PM
After returning from a lengthy quarantine to take two of three on the South Side of Chicago, the Cardinals begin a string of five games in three days on the North Side. The Cubs lead the NL Central but have dropped three straight after winning nine of their previous 10. They have allowed 16 runs during their skid and recorded only four hits in Sunday's 6-5 loss to Milwaukee. Look for the Cards to pounce on Kyle Hendricks in the opener of Monday's doubleheader.

22-13 IN LAST 35 MLB PICKS | +481
21-16 IN LAST 37 CHC ML PICKS | +217
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Kenny White

DALLAS +6.5
DALLAS @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 8/17 | 9:00 PM EDT
4:58 PM
The Mavericks are the top offensive team in the NBA. I know their defense is rather average, but if they're going to steal a game in this series, it will be the first one. Normally, I would back the defensive team, but I just don't want to lay points with no home-court advantage. The Clippers won all three regular-season meetings after beating Dallas in the bubble 126-111 in a very low-paced game. I'm expecting a similar contest tonight. The Mavericks outscore their opponent by five points per 100 possessions while Los Angeles outscores its foes by 6.3. I'll take the Mavericks and the points as they seek revenge.

4-0 IN LAST 4 NBA ATS PICKS | +400

UNDER 218
PHILADELPHIA @ BOSTON | 8/17 | 6:30 PM EDT
4:38 PM
During the eight-game stretch to end the regular season, Boston's median score was 117-112 and Philadelphia's was 121-124.5. Both add up way higher than today's total. Why? Rivals,The rivalry and playoff history from last year. The median score from the four regular-season games was 209, with three of the four going Under 218. Boston's defense is tremendous, and it plays at a slower place. Philadelphia's defense ranks in the top 10, its offense is outside of the top 10 and pace is No. 19 in the NBA.

5-4 IN LAST 9 NBA PICKS | +60
3-1 IN LAST 4 BOS O/U PICKS | +191
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H&H Sports (Final Update)
MLB - Triple Dime Minnesota Twins -162

NBA - Double Dime Clippers/Mavericks Over 229 (posted earlier)
NBA - Dime Play Philadelphia 76ers +7

NHL (Icecrusher) - Dime Play St Louis Blues -123
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Rockdeman Sports
MLB
Cubs (game one)
Braves/Nationals Over 10
Rockies/Astros Under 9.5
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**Note
That Play from Mastermind Sports should say Under 218 Celtics/76ers
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