Saturday 4/17/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Ben Burns
3* soccer goy wolverhampton
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Jeff Hochman
FLORIDA @ TAMPA BAY | 04/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
FLORIDA +140
ANALYSIS: Tampa Bay defeated the Panthers in overtime despite getting outshot 38-19 on Thursday. The Lightning have been outshot in four of their past five games. The Panthers are ranked No. 6 in shot differential (+170) this season. Tampa Bay is still without Steve Stamkos, and the Lightning have a revenge game against Carolina on deck. I like the road team in this spot.
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Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper ⚽️
Saturday
English Premier League
Play #1
Newcastle United vs West Ham United
TV; NBCSN - Time; 7:30am
Best Bets:
Draw +240
Under 2.5 goals -105
Play #2
Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Sheffield United
TV: Peacock - Time: 3:15pm
Best Bets:
Wolverhampton Wanderers -140
Under 2.5 goals -165
English Premier League FA Cup Semifinals
Play #1
Chelsea vs Manchester City
TV: ESPN+ - Time: 12:30pm
Best Bets:
Under 2.5 goals -130
Draw +235
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Adam Lykkesteen - Vegasinsider UFC Handicapper
UFC Fight Night - Whittaker vs Gastelum - Main Card Predictions
Date: Saturday April 17th
TV: ESPN & ESPN+ - Time: 7:00 & 10:00pm
Venue: UFC Apex
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Main Event - Middleweight Bout - Robert Whittaker vs Kelvin Gastelum
Best Bet - Robert Whittaker -265
Co-Main Event: Lightweight Bout - Drakkar Klose vs Jeremy Stephens
Drakkar Klose -110
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Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
NHL Big Plays 14-3 Last 17..
NHL
Tampa Bay -145 (BIG PLAY)
St Louis -125
Chicago/Detroit Over 5.5 [-113]
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB
Yankees +105
Athletics -135
Dodgers -123
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Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics
TV; ESPN - Time; 4:40pm
Best Bet - Boston Celtics -4
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Pickswise Sports
NHL 3* Best Bets
Pittsburgh Penguins -1.5 goals [-105]
St Louis Blues [-130]
MLB Best Bets
Rays/Yankees Under 8 (-110) - BIG PLAY
Reds -130
Padres +120
NBA 3* Best Bet - Boston Celtics -4
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10VipBets
Italy : Serie A
Cagliari – Parma
Parma +0
Odd: 2.30
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Ben Burns
10* texas-132
9* devils+1.5-115
8* flyers+1.5-199
9* blue jays-108
9* brewers-134
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baseball33
Miami Marlins - San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
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John Bollman
WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA | 04/17 | 12:30 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -140
ANALYSIS: The Caps are coming off a bad loss to the Sabres at home in a let-down game after scoring 14 goals and allowing 2 in the previous two games, including a 6-1 win against the Flyers. It is the first game of their road trip and they perform just as well on the road as at home. The Flyers just beat the Penguins 2-1 in a shootout, and Carter Hart looked like himself for the first time in a very long time. However, the Caps are 4-1 against the Flyers this season and 3-0 in Philly. Look for the Caps to start off their road trip strong.
TAMPA BAY @ N.Y. YANKEES | 04/17 | 1:05 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -105
ANALYSIS: Tyler Glasnow is 1-0 with a 0.46 ERA this season and he is coming off the best outing of his career. He has a 1.54 ERA in two starts in Yankees stadium and the Rays have been absolutely owning the Yankees recently. The Rays have the seventh highest OPS in the league against lefties, while the Yankees have the sixth worst OPS in the league overall. Jordan Montgomery allowed four runs in five innings in his last start which was also against the Rays.
ATLANTA @ CHI. CUBS | 04/17 | 2:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -125
ANALYSIS: Huascar Ynoa has a 0.75 ERA in two starts this season despite having no record. Trevor Williams has been inconsistent having thrown a quality start in his first start and allowing five runs in 3.1 IP in his last outing. The Cubs have the lowest batting average in the league this season, and they are close to being the worst team batting average to start in history. The Cubs have scored 34 runs in 13 games this season and they easily have the worst OPS in the league. The Braves are already 9th in the league in OPS despite their slow start and they’ve scored the ninth most runs.
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 04/17 | 4:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -130
ANALYSIS: Sonny Gray is making his first start of the season while Triston McKenzie opposes him. The Reds are 6-1 at home this season and the Indians are losing the DH in the NL ballpark. The Reds have the second highest OPS in the league while the Indians have the eighth worst OPS in the league. The Indians have scored the fifth fewest runs while the the Reds have scored the second most. McKenzie is making his second start of his career, he has allowed four runs, and six walks this season in 7.2 IP. Take the Reds at home.
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Mike Barner
MEMPHIS @ MILWAUKEE | 04/17 | 9:00 PM EDT
MEMPHIS +8.5
ANALYSIS: The Grizzlies played the Bucks tough the last time these two teams met, falling by one point in Memphis. The Grizzlies are 16-9 ATS on the road this season, while the Bucks are only 13-13 ATS at home. I think the Bucks win this game thanks to their mostly healthy roster, but I think the Grizzlies can keep things close, so give me the points.
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Zack Cimini
PITTSBURGH @ MILWAUKEE | 04/17 | 7:10 PM EDT
MILWAUKEE -135
ANALYSIS: On Friday, the Pirates won the series opener over the Brewers convincingly 6-1. Yet, at home the Brewers have dominated the Pirates winning 11 of the last 14 games. Take the Brewers to get back on track Saturday.
SAN FRANCISCO @ MIAMI | 04/17 | 6:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -130
ANALYSIS: On Saturday, the Marlins will aim to get to .500 as they host the Giants. Troubling signs have been evident with the Giants as they have scored just 42 runs in 13 games. Furthermore, they’ve provided Aaron Sanchez just one run of support in his two starts. Play the Marlins.
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INSIDER SPORTS REPORT
Last 37 Picks 16-21 (43%)
Yesterday 1-1
4* Milwaukee (Anderson) -150
3* Houston (Greinke) -140
3* San Antonio +9
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #960 Milwaukee -145 (Anderson)
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XS Sports Picks MLB
MLB This Week 11-9 (55%) +$300
$5000 Tampa Bay +100 (1pm)
$3000 Atlanta -113 (2:20pm)
$3000 Detroit +119 (4pm)
$2000 Cincinnati -1.5 +145 (4pm)
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XS Sports Picks NHL
NHL YTD 116-98 (54%) $65,380
This Week 10-3 (77%) +$19,380
$2000 Buffalo +1.5 -120 (3pm)
$3000 Minnesota -1.5 +140 (8pm)
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XS Sports Picks NBA
NBA YTD 153-112 (58%) +$32,430
Yesterday 2-1 (67%) +$940
$1000 Chicago -2.5 (8pm)
$1000 Washington Over 225.5 (8pm)
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World's Worst Picker
Play opposite of :
Cleveland
LA Angels
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Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers
TV: ESPN - Time: 4:40pm
Best Bet - Utah Jazz -120 (Moneyline)
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Dennis Schroder Over 15.5 points [-115]
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IC
4 Caps -135...NHL
3 Twins -105...MLB
4 arriors +5...NBA
Wolverhampton (4U)
Arsenal (4U)
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Scott Spreitzer
Marlins U3.5 F5 (6U)
NYFC -130 (3U)
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Ben Burns
Added
9* over-6.5-col-mets
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John Bollman
TORONTO @ KANSAS CITY | 04/17 | 6:10 PM EDT
TORONTO -111
ANALYSIS: Tommy Milone has pitched in two games this season, going three innings in each outing and only allowing one run overall. Ervin Santana is expected to make his first start since 2019. He never pitched more than three innings in Spring Training, and he allowed six runs in 12 IP. With these seven inning double headers, we tend to see a majority of teams use the same lineup in both games. The Blue Jays now have the best bullpen ERA in the league, take the value in the Jays.
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H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Rays -103
Double Dime - Reds -140
Double Dime - Marlins -130
Double Dime - White Sox +115
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godfatherlocks
top rated 2000 unit picks
#1 - Nationals -120 (mlb)
#2 - Cubs +105 (mlb)
#3 - Cardinals -105 (mlb)
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Tim Doyle
GOLDEN ST. @ BOSTON | 04/17 | 8:30 PM EDT
BOSTON -5
ANALYSIS: Boston is playing its best basketball of the season, They scored a very impressive win over the Lakers, even though they had to put their starters back in the game in the fourth quarter. The two-headed monster of Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum is just too much to contain. They need to get the ball out of Stephen Curry's hands, because right now he is in Zombie mode. You cannot stop him. If they get the ball out of his hands, that can be the difference in the game. Lay the points with the Celtics at home.
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Vegasinsider Spring College Football
Week #10 CFB FCS Spring Football 22-10 ATS
Saturday CFB
Villanova +5
James Madison -9.5
Alabama A&M -4
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Aaa
10
Texas
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Red dog
Tigers
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Rogers
Braves
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Big al
Marlins
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Jim Feist
Texas
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Asa
10 Mets -1.5 first game
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Tim Michael
10 Toronto gm 2
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
Big Plays ATS 20-6 Last 26..
NBA
Suns -9.5
Warriors +5
Warriors/Celtics Under 228
Suns/Spurs Over 227
All regular plays
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Stats Analytics Sports (NBA) - 1* Washington Wizards -4
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Matt Severance
SAN JOSE @ MINNESOTA | 04/17 | 8:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -170
ANALYSIS: Won on Minnesota beating San Jose 3-2 on Friday and obviously being home in the second of a back-to-back is a huge advantage. Plus, the Wild have a terrific 1A goaltender in rookie Kaapo Kahkonen. Yes, he has struggled a bit of late but still prefer him over San Jose's Martin Jones, who has lost three straight starts while posting an .810 save percentage.
+1889 110-68 IN LAST 178 NHL PICKS
+625 8-1 IN LAST 9 MIN ML PICKS
2:45 PM
CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | 04/17 | 4:10 PM EDT
CINCINNATI -140
ANALYSIS: We won on the Reds on Friday, and I see no reason why we won't here -- they simply mash the ball at home. Plus, Cleveland still isn't used to not having the DH. Former All-Star Sonny Gray makes his 2021 debut for Cincinnati but apparently is stretched out after pitching in simulated games. Cleveland's Triston McKenzie (0-0, 4.70), meanwhile, isn't stretched out as a former reliever and has been significantly worse on the road in his young career.
CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 04/17 | 7:00 PM EDT
DETROIT +120
ANALYSIS: I absolutely believe the wrong team is favored here and that it will shift by puck drop as the Hawks are starting backup Malcolm Subban (4-5-1, 3.14). You should be betting against Chicago whenever he starts on the road. Detroit has won three straight and beat the Hawks 4-1 on Thursday -- and that was without No. 1 Jonathan Bernier, who should start here. He's far superior to Subban.
OTTAWA @ MONTREAL | 04/17 | 4:00 PM EDT
MONTREAL -210
ANALYSIS: Worrisome price on the Habs in the second of a back-to-back, but Ottawa is awful on the road and Montreal will get back No. 1 netminder Carey Price. He hasn't played since April 5 due to a lower-body injury. Price has a 2.53 GAA at home this year. Montreal has won eight of the past 11 at home in the series.
UTAH @ L.A. LAKERS | 04/17 | 4:30 PM EDT
L.A. LAKERS -114
ANALYSIS: I believe Utah is punting on this game in the second of a back-to-back and unusual start time. Donovan Mitchell is out injured and we know that Rudy Gobert and Mike Conley so far are resting.
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Scott Spreitzer
Celtics -5 (5U)
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Matt Severance
HOUSTON @ SEATTLE | 04/17 | 9:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE +1.5
ANALYSIS: Houston's Zack Greinke is still a solid pitcher but not close to his former ace form, and remember the Astros remain without a handful of regulars, led by Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman, on the COVID list. Thus, I think Seattle home at -145 on the runline (tempting as a +110 outright dog) is good value.
BALTIMORE @ TEXAS | 04/17 | 7:05 PM EDT
TEXAS -135
ANALYSIS: Had a solid MLB day Friday but lost on Texas -- still, I think this ML is criminally low even though the Rangers aren't that good. I may even parlay with the runline, although I generally don't do the RL on short favorites. That's because I am a White Sox fan and know well of Rangers right-hander Dane Dunning (1-0, 1.00), the key piece back for Texas in the Lance Lynn trade. Meanwhile, Baltimore's Dean Kremer (0-1, 10.50) is starting on short rest.
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National Sports Service Picks
Picks For 04/17/21
5* Atlanta (Ynoa) -120 over Chicago Cubs (Williams)
3* Arizona (Weaver) -110 over Washington (Fedde)
3* L.A. Lakers +8.5 over Utah (NBA)
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Jack Winningham has the Wizards in NBA action.
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