Saturday 4/24/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper
England Premier League
Play #1
Liverpool vs Newcastle United
TV: Peacock - Time: 7:30 a.m.
Best Bet - Under 3.5 goals [-160]
Play #2
West Ham United vs Chelsea
TV: NBC - Time: 12:30 p.m.
Best Bet - Chelsea -135 (BIG PLAY) - Toby Maxtone-Smith 5-1 Last 6 Soccer Big Plays
Play #3
Sheffield United vs Brighton & Hove Albion
TV: Peacock - Time: 3:00 p.m.
Best Bet - Brighton & Hove Albion -150
__________________
Jonathan Willis - Vegasinsider College Football
FCS Spring College Football ATS Overall Record 24-11 & Big Plays went 6-2..
Saturday First Round - Update #1
Sam Houston State -9.5 (-120) - Big Play
Eastern Washington +7.5
Southern Illinois/Weber State Under 48.5
__________________
Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks
TV: ESPN - Time: 1:10p.m.
Best Bet - Raptors/Knicks Under 216.5
__________________
Tim Wilkinson
Vegasinsider NBA
Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks
TV: ABC - Time: 8:40 p.m.
Best Bet - Los Angeles Lakers
__________________
Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB
Cardinals -118
Nationals +183
Padres +140
__________________
Ben Burns
9* twins-192
10* UNDER-233.5-Utah-Minnesota
9* tigers+1.5-158
over brighton-sheffield
Mma zhang weili
__________________
Big Al
Brewers bases
Islanders NHL
Dodgers bases
__________________
Marty’s Plays
50* EPL Total of the Year
Brighton/Sheffield Under 2.5
30* Serie A
Genoa -0.5
__________________
Stitches--- NY Post. Won with the Yankees yesterday. Season record now 10-13.
Saturday's play is the Twins.
__________________
Football Jesus
MLB ; Oakland A's
__________________
Great Lake Sports
NBA
3* #508 New Orleans -2
__________________
H&H Sports
Saturday First Round - Update #1
Sam Houston State -10
__________________
Bryan Power
Braves
Phillies
__________________
Big Al
Mound mismatch
Dodgers
Afternoon delight
Milwuakee
__________________
AAA
San Fran
__________________
ASA
10
Milwuakee bucks
__________________
Brandon Lee
40 Rockies
40 Mavericks ml
__________________
Marc Lawrence
10 gom
Lakers
__________________
Ricky Tran
Raptors
__________________
John Bollman
NEW JERSEY @ PITTSBURGH | 04/24 | 12:30 PM EDT
PITTSBURGH -260
ANALYSIS: These two teams are trending in exact opposite directions as the Devils have lost eight straight games and nine of their last 10, while the Penguins are in a division race just one point back from the Islanders and Caps. These teams matched up four times already this month and the Penguins have won all four times including three by more than one goal. Take the Penguins.
PITTSBURGH @ MINNESOTA | 04/24 | 2:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -195
ANALYSIS: Michael Pineda has easily been the Twins best starting pitcher this season, as he is 1-0 with a 1.00 ERA in 18 IP. Trevor Cahill is 0-2 with a 9.69 ERA this season and he has had serious troubles in the first inning, and this Twins lineup can kill you in the first inning. The Twins get the advantage with the DH in adding Nelson Cruz while the Pirates don’t have the depth to match that. I like the Twins today.
__________________
Scott Spreitzer
Canucks -140 (3U)
Reds F5 +100 (3U)
Brighton -135 (3U)
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
San Francisco (Gausman) -150 over Miami (Lopez)
__________________
Insider Sports Report
4* Cincinnati (Miley)/St. Louis (Gant) UNDER 8.5
3* Utah -13.5 over Minnesota (NBA)
3* L.A. Dodgers (Bauer) -155 over San Diego (Snell)
__________________
National Sports Service
5* L.A. Dodgers (Bauer) -155 over San Diego (Snell)
3* Milwaukee (Peralta) -130 over Chicago Cubs (Alzolay)
3* San Antonio +2 over New Orleans (NBA)
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks
4 Unit --> San Francisco (Gausman) -150 over Miami (Lopez)
3 Unit --> Toronto +3.5 over New York (NBA)
3 Unit --> Minnesota (Pineda) -1.5 runs -105 over Pittsburgh (Cahill)
__________________
Top Rank Sports Picks
4★ Cincinnati (Miley)/St. Louis (Gant) UNDER 8.5
3★ New York -3.5 over Toronto (NBA)
3★ Philadelphia (Nola) -150 over Colorado (Senzatela)
__________________
Sebastian Sports/Seabass
MLB All 300
Red Sox Under
Twins Run Line
Cardinals
Brewers
Mets Over
Angels Over
Rangers
Diamondbacks
__________________
Jersey Kid Picks
NBA
New York Knicks
MLB Royals
MLB Parlay
Red Sox
Red Sox Over 9
__________________
Zack Cimini
SAN DIEGO @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/24 | 9:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -145
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers will attempt to avoid three straight home losses for the first time since July 2019. Ironically, the team to accomplish the feat was San Diego. Yet, look for the Dodgers to ride the arm of Trevor Bauer and limit the bullpen’s usage. I'm on L.A.
MIAMI @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/24 | 9:05 PM EDT
MIAMI +135
ANALYSIS: Pitcher Pablo Lopez is familiar with the Giants, having pitched in Sunday’s matchup, in which he didn’t allow a run and struck out nine. Meanwhile Giants pitcher Kevin Gausman did not see the Marlins last week. Play Miami to break out of its slump.
Bryan Leonard
League: NHL
Competition: Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings
Time: Saturday, April 24, 07:08 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Pick: Dallas Stars -190 (BetOnline)
Analysis:
47 Dallas at DetroitNot many times will we recommend a team as an away favorite in this price range. But a look at the stats shows this line should be much higher.In 5x5 G+-/60 Dallas ranks 13th and Detroit 24th. In xG/60 we find the Stars +0.23 and the Red Wings -0.26. So about 1/2 goal advantage for the visitor in a full 60 minutes of 5x5 play.On the Power Play in G+-/60 Dallas ranks 7th and Detroit 30th. In xG/60 the Stars are +6.47 and the Red Wings +4.31. Over two goals per 60 minutes advantage on the Power Play.Playing Short Handed in G+-/60 the Stars rank 20th and the Red Wings 29th. In xG/60 Dallas is -6.14 and Detroit is -6.55.Major advantages across the board for the Stars, along with revenge for an embarrassing 7-3 loss on Thursday. Dallas has won 5 of the 7 games played between these two this season. The Stars worst goal prevention on the season was allowing five goals twice. Now off a seven goal effort look for Dallas to clamp down majorly on Saturday.PLAY DALLAS
__________________
Larry's MLB 10* LEGEND Play (16-8 MLB run!)
Handicapper: Larry Ness
League: MLB
Competition: San Diego Padres(Snell) vs Los Angeles Dodgers(Bauer)
Time: Saturday, April 24, 09:10 pm ET
Bet Type: Moneyline
Action or Listed Pitchers: Listed Pitchers
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers -137 (BetAnySports)
Analysis:
My 10* LEGEND Play is on the LA Dodgers at 9:10 ET.The Dodgers made it EIGHT straight NL West titles in 2020 and then went on to capture the franchise's first World Series win since 1988. As for San Diego, the Padres snapped a 13-year postseason drought in 2020. The Padres won their wild card series over the Cardinals but then were no match for the Dodgers, getting swept 3-0 and outscored 23-9. The Dodgers entered the current season as a big favorite to win the NL West, the NL pennant and even the World Series. However, the Padres have assembled an impressive team and were a 'sexy' preseason team "to watch for!" These two teams met last weekend in San Diego with the Padres avoiding a three-game sweep with a 5-2 last Sunday.The Dodgers were 13-2 before losing last Sunday and then split a two-game series in Seattle, before losing the first two contests of their four-game home series vs the Padres. LA's 14-6 record is still the best record in MLB but the Dodgers enter Saturday night's game losers of FOUR of their last five. The Padres avoided a three-game sweep at home to the Dodgers last Sunday but followed by losing all three games at home to the Brewers Monday-Wednesday. They came to LA on Thursday just 10-10 but have opened the series with back-to-back wins. Fernando Tatis Jr. hit two HRs and Yu Darvish went seven strong innings as the San Diego Padres earned a 6-1 victory Friday, after a 3-2 Thursday win.Tonight's starting pitchers are the same as last Sunday's game. Blake Snell goes for San Diego and Trevor Bauer for Los Angeles. Both are former Cy Young winners, with Snell earning his in 2018 with Tampa Bay (21-5, 1.89 ERA, 0.97 WHIP and .186 BAA) and Bauer winning his last season with Cincy (just 5-4 but with a 1.73 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 100-17 KW ratio and a BAA of .159). Snell has yet to earn a decision in four 2021 starts (team is 2-2 and he owns a 4.11 ERA, 1.37 WHIP but also a .186 BAA). Bauer is 2-0 in three starts (Dodgers are 2-1) with a 2.42 ERA, 0.62 WHIP, 36-6 KW ratio and .114 BAA. In last Sunday's game, Snell pitched five innings (two ERs allowed with a 7-2 KW ratio), while Bauer allowed one run (solo HR) in six innings with a 7-1 KW ratio and left with a 2-1 lead.Snell complained LOUDLY when he was removed in Game 6 of last year's World Series against the Dodgers but the fact remains that he is not much more than a five-inning pitcher. His longest outing in four starts this season is five innings (twice), going 4.2 innings in a third and getting just TWO outs in a fourth. Bauer has pitched into the 7th inning in three of his four 2021 starts, with last Sunday's effort (see above) being his shortest outing (six innings). In this quick "re-hook," I'm on Bauer and the Dodgers.Good luck...Larry
__________________
OSKEIM SPORTS' NBA AFTERNOON TOTAL OF MONTH
Handicapper: Oskeim Sports
League: NBA
Competition: Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks
Time: Saturday, April 24, 01:10 pm ET
Bet Type: Over / Under
Pick: Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks Under 215.5 (-110) (BetOnline)
Analysis:
The UNDER applies to a very strong 223-130 NBA totals system of mine that is 88-52 since 2019 and 22-11 in its last 33 circumstances. The UNDER falls into a very good 34-12 situation of mine that invests on the under in games with a total between 210 and 219.5 points if the home team is off back-to-back double-digit wins at home. The UNDER also finds support in a 42-15 system that invests on the under in certain games with a total of 210 points or more if the road team is playing with revenge versus an opponent off consecutive home wins by ten or more points.The Knicks are 15-2 UNDER since February 1, 2014 at home following a home win in which they shot greater than 50% from the field. This situation contains a near-perfect 11-1 UNDER subset angle. New York is 15-5-1 UNDER in its last 21 games following a win, 23-8 UNDER in its last 31 games as a favorite and 20-7 UNDER in its previous 27 games versus .499 or worse opposition. Take the UNDER and invest with confidence.
__________________
GODFATHERLOCKS
MLB
2 TOP RATED 2000 UNIT PICKS
#1 - DETROIT TIGERS +105 (MLB)
#2 - ST. LOUIS CARDINALS-115 (MLB)
__________________
Tim Doyle
L.A. LAKERS @ DALLAS | 04/24 | 8:30 PM EDT
L.A. LAKERS +2.5
ANALYSIS: I never thought I would say this, but the Lakers were better on Thursday night when Anthony Davis was not on the floor. He really struggled, going 2 of 10 from the field and he even missed two free throws. But if you are Frank Vogel, to win an NBA title, obviously you're going to need a healthy Anthony Davis. Game two for Davis will be much improved, and the line has dropped from 3.5 in the first game in this series to 2.5 in this spot. The Mavericks were fortunate to cover against the Lakers in game one of this series. Love the Lakers in this spot. There is a revenge factor for them as well.
__________________
Marco D'Angelo
Chicago Bulls +4.5
Dallas Stars -200
__________________
Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB
Twins -184
Astros -151
Red Sox/Mariners Over 9 (BIG PLAY)
NBA ATS Big Plays 21-9 Last 30.
NBA
Pistons +5
Knicks +1.5
Knicks/Raptors Under 213.5
Jazz/Timberwolves Over 230
__________________
Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
NHL Big Plays 17-4 Last 21..
NHL
Washington/NY Islanders Over 5.5
Ottawa/Vancouver Over 6
Both regular plays
__________________
Kevin Rogers (Vegasinsider MLB) - Los Angeles Dodgers -142
NBA - Los Angeles Lakers +2
__________________
Stats Analytics Sports
MLB - All one unit plays
Pirates/Twins Under 8
Rangers/White Sox Under 8
Padres/Dodgers Under 7
__________________
Rockdeman Sports (MLB Underdog of the Day) - Arizona Diamondbacks +180
__________________
The Sports Geek
NBA
Nuggets -13.5
Heat/Bulls Under 205
MLB
Dodgers -142
Braves/Diamondbacks Over 8.5 [-118]
NHL
Florida +105
St Louis +152
__________________
Pickswise Sports
NBA Best Bets
Jazz -12
Lakers/Mavericks Over 217
Spurs/Pelicans Under 228.5
MLB Best Bets
Cardinals -109
Brewers -105
Twins -1.5 runs [+105]
NHL Best Bets
Ottawa +132
Winnipeg/Toronto Over 5.5 [-135]
__________________
5 Star Baller
MLB: San Francisco Giants -143
__________________
Marc Lawrence
Texas rangers
__________________
IC
3 - Lakers +2
__________________
Matt Severance
N.Y. YANKEES @ CLEVELAND | 04/24 | 6:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +1.5
ANALYSIS: Reigning AL Cy Young winner Shane Bieber available as a runline home underdog, even at the high price of -180? Yes, New York is starting Gerrit Cole, but I have to take it. Some books have the Indians favored and thus the + RL would not be available so we will jump while we can.
CAROLINA @ FLORIDA | 04/24 | 7:00 PM EDT
FLORIDA -103
ANALYSIS: Carolina is an excellent team and won at Florida 4-2 on Thursday. Still, getting the also-excellent Panthers as home dogs is great value. Florida will turn to Chris Driedger in net this time and he is 6-2-1 with a 1.55 GAA at home this year.
L.A. ANGELS @ HOUSTON | 04/24 | 4:10 PM EDT
HOUSTON -155
ANALYSIS: Absolutely learned my lesson to not go -1.5 on the runline Friday. I figured Houston would beat the Angels but tried for the better value. The Stros did win but only 3-2. I usually recommend only runline underdogs, and that's what I'll be doing going forward. That said, I'm not taking it here. But I will stick with Houston considering the Halos remain without Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon.