Saturday 5/15/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
KYLE ANTHONY
Game: (24649) Lando Vannata at (24650) Mike Grundy
Date/Time: May 16 2021 1:00 AM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Mike Grundy -114
In a preliminary bout on Saturday's UFC 262 event in a SOLD OUT stadium in Houston, Texas…Mike Grundy faces Lando Vannata…
When breaking this fight down, one thing is certain… Lando Vannata fights the exact someway every fight. Since entering the UFC Lando has a record of 3-4-2 with some VERY dicey wins over that span. Most recently Lando lost to journeyman fighter Bobby Green in a sweeping one-sided decision striking bout. His movement can be unorthodox but lackluster defense is completely his downfall. Vannata's claim to fame was a short notice fight against Tony Ferguson where he had some shining moments, …even though he was submitted in round 2. My biggest issue with his style is leaving hands down for most of the fight. It makes him a fan favorite for viewing purposes, but overall he hasn't shown much in his 5 year UFC career. Lando's very hitable with limited care of putting himself in danger giving rounds away as opponents push out volume and he seeks the flashy offense.
While Mike Grundy is coming off a decision loss to undefeated rising star Movsar Evloev, giving Grundy only his 2nd career MMA loss. Although he lost, impressively Grundy took Evloev down twice in round one keeping top control until the extremely high-level grappling of Evloev shined. On Saturday night Lando won't present that kind of resistance in takedown defense. In fact, his style of forwarding pressure and flashy kicks could present extra openings for Grundy to take him down. I see this fight very similar to Grundy's fight prior against Nad Narimani. Grundy was able to comfortably move around the cage pressing without worry of being taken down. That allowed Grundy to utilize his boxing yet keeping Nad off balance worrying about level changes. In that bout it was a 2nd round knockout win for Grundy.
At the current price, Grundy is a solid bet at even money. The wild offense of Lando is all he offers up as Grundy could seek top control working positioning all fight.
Play: Mike Grundy (-114)
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Elite Sports Picks
Chicago Cubs (Williams)/Detroit (Urena) UNDER 9
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Insider Sports Report
4* Oakland (Irvin) +115 over Minnesota (Berrios)
Range: +125 to -120
3* Boston (Perez) -110 over L.A. Angels (Bundy)
Range: +115 to -130
3* Milwaukee -1.5 over Miami (NBA)
Range: +.5 to -3.5
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National Sports Service
5* Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -1.5 runs +105 over Kansas City (Minor)
3* Cleveland (McKenzie) -120 over Seattle (Sheffield)
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Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/15/21
4 Unit --> Cleveland (McKenzie) -120 over Seattle (Sheffield)
3 Unit --> New York -5 over Charlotte (NBA)
3 Unit --> Pittsburgh (Anderson) +125 over San Francisco (Cueto)
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Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/15/21
4★ Boston (Perez) -110 over L.A. Angels (Bundy)
3★ St. Louis (Wainwright) +115 over San Diego (Paddack)
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MLB-Martingale
1 units
Colorado Rockies - Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds -2
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XS Sports Picks Saturday May 15th
NHL This Week 4-2 (67%) +$4,080
$3000 Washington +100 (7:15pm)
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Ben Burns
10* under-5.5-washington/boston.
10* twins-140
10* twolves-3
9* tigers+1.5-130
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XS Sports Picks Saturday May 15th
MLB This Week 8-5 (62%) +$12,950
$3000 Oakland +133 (4pm)
$2000 Oakland Over 8.5 -106 (4pm)
$3000 Boston +105 (4pm)
$4000 Kansas City Over 8 +100 (7pm)
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XS Sports Picks Saturday May 15th
NBA This Week 5-4 (56%) +$2,800
$3000 Chicago +11.5 (1pm)
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Stitches--NY Post. Had a no play on Friday due to a pitching change. Season record remains 18-25.
For Saturday, he has a smaller (10 units) play on the Pirates again, and a larger (20 unit) play on the Cardinals. He also likes Rombauer in the Preakness.
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Dave Cokin NHL Playoff Series Play
2% Bruins at Capitals - Capitals to win series (+135)
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Larry Ness
Signature 37
10 padres-128
8* twins-138
8* over-7.5-sf-pitt
10* Bruins-125
8* over-230.5-twolves-boston
10* bucks+2
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Ben Burns
10* under-5.5-washington/boston.
10* twins-140
10* twolves-3
9* tigers+1.5-130
ADDED
9* over-233.5-nets-bulls
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Bob Balfe
Mil/Heat under 232
Atl -116
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #963 Oakland +120 (Irvin)
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Big Al
SF Giants
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Rickey Tran
Tigers +1.5
Seattle +1.5
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Bryan Powers
10 Twins
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Sean Murphy
10 Cubs
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Tim Michael
10 Mariners
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Jim Feist
Oakland
Cws-1.5
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Lee
50 gom White sox -1.5
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Scott Spreitzer
White Sox RL (7U)
Midnight Burbon/Concert Tour +105 (6U)
Rombauer/Crowded Trade -120 (2U)
Bruins U5.5 (3U)
West Ham +135 (3U)
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HUNTER ENGLEHART
Game: (977) Chicago Cubs at (978) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time: May 15 2021 4:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: 1H Total Under 4.5 (-101) T Williams (RHP), J Urena (RHP) Must Start
Williams VS Urena
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Jack Winningham
MLB
Cubs
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Mike Barner
BOSTON @ MINNESOTA | 05/15 | 2:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -4.5
ANALYSIS: The Timberwolves have long been out of the playoff hunt, but they haven’t been resting any of their starters. The Celtics are getting ready for the playoffs and will be without Kemba Walker, Marcus Smart, Robert Williams and Tristan Thompson for this game on top of Jaylen Brown (wrist) being out for the season. That means Luke Kornet and Tacko Fall will be tasked with trying to slow down Karl-Anthony Towns. The Timberwolves have significantly more firepower, so they could win this game by a wide margin.
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
NBA ATS Big Plays 30-11 Last 41..
NBA
Knicks -5.5
Lakers -8.5
Spurs/Suns Over 225 - - - BIG PLAY
Bulls/Nets Under 232
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Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 8-1 ytd
MLB
Cubs -132
Diamondbacks +111
All regular plays
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Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 10-4 Last 14 [+1293]..
MLB
White Sox -180
Red Sox +106
Nationals -115
Reds/Rockies Over 11
All regular plays
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Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
NHL Big Plays 28-9 ytd..
NHL
Boston Bruins -123 - - - BIG PLAY
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BATTAGLIA
Preakness
Race 13
Rating : 2 Stars
#5-3-10-6
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Marco D'Angelo
4* Toronto Over
2* Twins -137
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Syndicate Picks 5/15
MLB
LA Angels -115
Baltimore +145
Detroit +120
UFC
Michael Chandler +110
Ronaldo Souza -130
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John Bollman
ST. LOUIS @ SAN DIEGO | 05/15 | 8:40 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +120
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals walked 12 batters yesterday, yet somehow still only lost by one with only five runs scoring. The Padres are still without top players in Fernando Tatis Jr., Will Myers, and Eric Hosmer. Chris Paddack is 1-3 with a 4.78 ERA this season and he has yet to pitch six innings in a game this season. Adam Wainwright is 2-3 with a 3.80 ERA but he has gone at least seven innings allowing two runs or less in three of his last four starts. The Cards are second in the league with 11 road wins this season and they shouldn’t walk that many batters with Wainwright starting. Take the value in the Cards.
+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+445 6-2 IN LAST 8 STL ML PICKS
+145 2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS
10:42 AM
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 05/15 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND +130
ANALYSIS: Cole Irvin is 3-4 with a 3.29 ERA this season and he has pitched three straight quality starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in an outing since his second of the season. Jose Berrios is 3-2 with a 3.49 ERA this season and he allowed just one run in five innings against the Athletics the first time they matched up. He has honestly been one of the best pitcher’s for the Twins this season, but he is coming off an outing against the Tigers where he allowed five walks and only struck out one. The As take their walks better than anybody, and the Twins bullpen has the sixth worst ERA in the league. Take the value in the Athletics.
+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+843 24-11 IN LAST 35 MIN ML PICKS
+477 14-8 IN LAST 22 OAK ML PICKS
10:41 AM
BOSTON @ WASHINGTON | 05/15 | 7:15 PM EDT
WASHINGTON +110
ANALYSIS: With how this line looks for Game 1 and they way the public is betting, there is going to be a lot of value on the Capitals this series. Alex Ovechkin returned for the Caps in their last game of the season with no limitations, John Carlson is expected to play, and TJ Oshie has been practicing and could return tonight. The Bruins played well down the stretch but the Caps actually played better going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. And for the Rask is a massive advantage crowd, Tuuka Rask is 4-11-7 with a 3.03 GAA in his career against the Caps. I just don’t see how you can’t take the value in the home, higher-seeded underdog here, and I have a feeling the value will be on this side all series.
+1250 33-16 IN LAST 49 NHL ML PICKS
+700 10-2 IN LAST 12 WAS ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS
10:22 AM
KANSAS CITY @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -180
ANALYSIS: Mike Minor is 2-2 with a 5.75 ERA this season and he has yet to pitch a quality start. He recently allowed five runs in five innings against the White Sox. The White Sox have their best pitcher this season in Carlos Rodon pitching, he is 5-0 with a 0.58 ERA this season. Rodon is coming off six scoreless innings against the Royals and the White Sox are the best team in the league at hitting lefties with a .896 OPS and .312 batting average. This is an expensive price, but the White Sox should be at least -200 here.
+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+325 3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 CHW ML PICKS
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SDQL
L.A. ANGELS @ BOSTON | 05/15 | 4:10 PM EDT
BOSTON +110
ANALYSIS: Friday's 4-3 loss was only the Angels’ third one-run loss of the season. We mention this because LA is 0-9 SU after it lost by one run, getting beat by an average of 5.44 runs per game. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 7-0 in the second game of a series at home coming off a game as favorites in which they scored first, trailed and won -- and it is before the All-Star break. Boston has won these seven games by an average of 4.57 runs.
+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+60 2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS
8:03 AM
CLEVELAND @ SEATTLE | 05/15 | 9:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -111
ANALYSIS: The Indians are 12-0 SU on the road vs. a lefty when coming off a road game and they faced righties in each of their last three games. The Tribe have won these 12 games by an average of 4.25 runs and trailed in only one of them. The Mariners are 0-7 as home underdogs coming off a game as underdogs when their opponent’s starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.00 on the season.
+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+744 16-5 IN LAST 21 CLE ML PICKS
+55 2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS
8:02 AM
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 05/15 | 7:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -160
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 16-0 in the second game of a series as favorites when they hit multiple home runs as favorites in the opener and it is before the All-Star break. More importantly, New York is a perfect 18-0 in Domingo Germain’s career when he is coming off a start in which he needed fewer than four pitches per hitter, and he was not a 180-plus favorite. With the Orioles 0-10 in the second game of a series as underdogs when they scored in fewer innings than their opponent in the opener, we are on NY.
+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+63 10-6 IN LAST 16 BAL ML PICKS
+48 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
8:00 AM
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Zack Cimini
SAN FRANCISCO @ PITTSBURGH | 05/15 | 6:35 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -115
ANALYSIS: On Friday the Pirates defeated the Giants, 3-2, in extra innings. On the year the Giants are 4-0 following an extra-inning game. Three of the wins were by multiple runs, and the other was a 1-0 shutout of the Marlins. Look for that streak to continue on Saturday as Johnny Cueto bounces back from a rough outing against the Padres. Take the Giants.
+890 25-18 IN LAST 43 MLB ML PICKS
+863 11-3 IN LAST 14 SF ML PICKS
+263 14-10 IN LAST 24 PIT ML PICKS
10:10 AM
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Justin Perri
WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | 05/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -121
ANALYSIS: Joe Ross is sitting with a 4.26 ERA but 67 percent of the runs he has allowed came from a single run-in with the Cardinals. Today he faces the Diamondbacks in the desert with a red-hot offense behind him in some great hitting conditions. The Nationals have a Visual Memory Index similar to that of yesterday’s, when they scored 17 runs. The Diamondbacks are starting Seth Frankoff, who has thrown all of 4.2 innings in his career -- half coming in 2017. The Nats could quickly get out to a lead again against this inexperienced pitcher making his first ever start. I am backing the Nats in the desert tonight.
+734 23-16-1 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS
3:28 PM
N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 05/15 | 7:05 PM EDT
BALTIMORE +147
ANALYSIS: The Yankees figure to be without Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Hicks, Gleyber Torres and maybe even Gio Urshela tonight. Which really makes you wonder how the Orioles are still getting a +147 money line. I am sure people are going to be scared off by Jorge Lopez’s subpar 5.63 ERA, but the Yankees may only be able to get two lefthanded bats in the lineup against him. And I think the Orioles can win against Domingo German, who is allowing a .321 average against his fastball this year. Baltimore has already seen German this year too, so it wouldn’t shock me if the Orioles are able to beat him the second time around.
+734 23-16-1 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS
2:38 PM
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Syndicate Picks 5/15
MLB
LA Angels -115
Baltimore +145
Detroit +120UFC
Michael Chandler +110
Ronaldo Souza -130
__________________John Bollman
ST. LOUIS @ SAN DIEGO | 05/15 | 8:40 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +120
ANALYSIS: The Cardinals walked 12 batters yesterday, yet somehow still only lost by one with only five runs scoring. The Padres are still without top players in Fernando Tatis Jr., Will Myers, and Eric Hosmer. Chris Paddack is 1-3 with a 4.78 ERA this season and he has yet to pitch six innings in a game this season. Adam Wainwright is 2-3 with a 3.80 ERA but he has gone at least seven innings allowing two runs or less in three of his last four starts. The Cards are second in the league with 11 road wins this season and they shouldn’t walk that many batters with Wainwright starting. Take the value in the Cards.+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+445 6-2 IN LAST 8 STL ML PICKS
+145 2-1 IN LAST 3 SD ML PICKS
10:42 AMOAKLAND @ MINNESOTA | 05/15 | 4:05 PM EDT
OAKLAND +130
ANALYSIS: Cole Irvin is 3-4 with a 3.29 ERA this season and he has pitched three straight quality starts. He has not allowed more than three runs in an outing since his second of the season. Jose Berrios is 3-2 with a 3.49 ERA this season and he allowed just one run in five innings against the Athletics the first time they matched up. He has honestly been one of the best pitcher’s for the Twins this season, but he is coming off an outing against the Tigers where he allowed five walks and only struck out one. The As take their walks better than anybody, and the Twins bullpen has the sixth worst ERA in the league. Take the value in the Athletics.+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+843 24-11 IN LAST 35 MIN ML PICKS
+477 14-8 IN LAST 22 OAK ML PICKS
10:41 AMBOSTON @ WASHINGTON | 05/15 | 7:15 PM EDT
WASHINGTON +110
ANALYSIS: With how this line looks for Game 1 and they way the public is betting, there is going to be a lot of value on the Capitals this series. Alex Ovechkin returned for the Caps in their last game of the season with no limitations, John Carlson is expected to play, and TJ Oshie has been practicing and could return tonight. The Bruins played well down the stretch but the Caps actually played better going 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. And for the Rask is a massive advantage crowd, Tuuka Rask is 4-11-7 with a 3.03 GAA in his career against the Caps. I just don’t see how you can’t take the value in the home, higher-seeded underdog here, and I have a feeling the value will be on this side all series.+1250 33-16 IN LAST 49 NHL ML PICKS
+700 10-2 IN LAST 12 WAS ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS
10:22 AMKANSAS CITY @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/15 | 7:10 PM EDT
CHI. WHITE SOX -180
ANALYSIS: Mike Minor is 2-2 with a 5.75 ERA this season and he has yet to pitch a quality start. He recently allowed five runs in five innings against the White Sox. The White Sox have their best pitcher this season in Carlos Rodon pitching, he is 5-0 with a 0.58 ERA this season. Rodon is coming off six scoreless innings against the Royals and the White Sox are the best team in the league at hitting lefties with a .896 OPS and .312 batting average. This is an expensive price, but the White Sox should be at least -200 here.+1471 49-29 IN LAST 78 MLB ML PICKS
+325 3-0 IN LAST 3 KC ML PICKS
+300 3-0 IN LAST 3 CHW ML PICKS
__________________SDQL
L.A. ANGELS @ BOSTON | 05/15 | 4:10 PM EDT
BOSTON +110
ANALYSIS: Friday's 4-3 loss was only the Angels’ third one-run loss of the season. We mention this because LA is 0-9 SU after it lost by one run, getting beat by an average of 5.44 runs per game. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 7-0 in the second game of a series at home coming off a game as favorites in which they scored first, trailed and won -- and it is before the All-Star break. Boston has won these seven games by an average of 4.57 runs.+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+60 2-1 IN LAST 3 BOS ML PICKS
8:03 AMCLEVELAND @ SEATTLE | 05/15 | 9:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND -111
ANALYSIS: The Indians are 12-0 SU on the road vs. a lefty when coming off a road game and they faced righties in each of their last three games. The Tribe have won these 12 games by an average of 4.25 runs and trailed in only one of them. The Mariners are 0-7 as home underdogs coming off a game as underdogs when their opponent’s starter has a strikeout-per-walk ratio less than 2.00 on the season.+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+744 16-5 IN LAST 21 CLE ML PICKS
+55 2-1 IN LAST 3 SEA ML PICKS
8:02 AMN.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 05/15 | 7:05 PM EDT
N.Y. YANKEES -160
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 16-0 in the second game of a series as favorites when they hit multiple home runs as favorites in the opener and it is before the All-Star break. More importantly, New York is a perfect 18-0 in Domingo Germain’s career when he is coming off a start in which he needed fewer than four pitches per hitter, and he was not a 180-plus favorite. With the Orioles 0-10 in the second game of a series as underdogs when they scored in fewer innings than their opponent in the opener, we are on NY.+907 14-4 IN LAST 18 MLB ML PICKS
+63 10-6 IN LAST 16 BAL ML PICKS
+48 2-1 IN LAST 3 NYY ML PICKS
8:00 AM
__________________Zack Cimini
SAN FRANCISCO @ PITTSBURGH | 05/15 | 6:35 PM EDT
SAN FRANCISCO -115
ANALYSIS: On Friday the Pirates defeated the Giants, 3-2, in extra innings. On the year the Giants are 4-0 following an extra-inning game. Three of the wins were by multiple runs, and the other was a 1-0 shutout of the Marlins. Look for that streak to continue on Saturday as Johnny Cueto bounces back from a rough outing against the Padres. Take the Giants.+890 25-18 IN LAST 43 MLB ML PICKS
+863 11-3 IN LAST 14 SF ML PICKS
+263 14-10 IN LAST 24 PIT ML PICKS
10:10 AM
__________________Justin Perri
WASHINGTON @ ARIZONA | 05/15 | 8:10 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -121
ANALYSIS: Joe Ross is sitting with a 4.26 ERA but 67 percent of the runs he has allowed came from a single run-in with the Cardinals. Today he faces the Diamondbacks in the desert with a red-hot offense behind him in some great hitting conditions. The Nationals have a Visual Memory Index similar to that of yesterday’s, when they scored 17 runs. The Diamondbacks are starting Seth Frankoff, who has thrown all of 4.2 innings in his career -- half coming in 2017. The Nats could quickly get out to a lead again against this inexperienced pitcher making his first ever start. I am backing the Nats in the desert tonight.+734 23-16-1 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS
3:28 PMN.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 05/15 | 7:05 PM EDT
BALTIMORE +147
ANALYSIS: The Yankees figure to be without Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Hicks, Gleyber Torres and maybe even Gio Urshela tonight. Which really makes you wonder how the Orioles are still getting a +147 money line. I am sure people are going to be scared off by Jorge Lopez’s subpar 5.63 ERA, but the Yankees may only be able to get two lefthanded bats in the lineup against him. And I think the Orioles can win against Domingo German, who is allowing a .321 average against his fastball this year. Baltimore has already seen German this year too, so it wouldn’t shock me if the Orioles are able to beat him the second time around.+734 23-16-1 IN LAST 40 MLB PICKS How do you get a tie in a fuckin bb game
2:38 PM
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