Free Premium Service Plays for Sunday July 12,2009

Frank Patron

15000 unit al game of the week
chicago white sox +110 w/ Mark Buehrle

Brandon Lang

20 Dime - Mets
5 Dime Nationals -
5 Dime White Sox -

FREE – Phillies Run Line

Larry Ness

Perfect Storm
Yankees Josh Beckett

Better Look how Larry Ness
has Done
Find him in the Red Section
Under Losses
See the Hottest Services
Here
http://www.thespread.com/forum/index.php?topic=64694.0

Kosmo

Giants -140 1 unit
Boston -1.5 -140 1 unit
White Sox +110 1 unit

Scott Rickenbauch

regular Play
over Indians
Top Play
over minny wsox

charlie sports

mlb. dodgers @ milwaukee under 8 runs ( 500*).
mlb. reds-120 (30*)
mlb. twins-120 (20*)
mlb. giants-145 (20*)
mlb. cubs+110 (10*)
mlb. yankees-145 (10*) free play

Big Winner
from last night

Sports-Odds-and-Picks

MILWAUKEE -130 (with Gallardo)
FLORIDA -114 (with Johnson)
DETROIT -1.5 RUNS (-115)

Craig Davis

40 Dime ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over INDIANS (With Ohka)

TIGERS (ON THE RUN LINE)
Much like my 100-dime winner on the Tigers less than a week ago, I'm going right back to Justin Verlander at home for a fairly big play... and it's my only play of the day. It's not like there's much more I can say about Verlander today that I didn't say in my analysis for the 100-dime winner. Guys, Verlander absolutely dominates at home, and if it weren't for one very lucky double down the left field line with the bases loaded by David DeJesus, Verlander would have basically pitched a shutout for six or seven innings. At home, for whatever reason, Verlander is nearly unstoppable and will have no problem proving it again today vs. the Cleveland Indians... another team he has dominated when pitching against them at home.When you think of Verlander, you probably think of his rather high ERA over his last three or four games, but what you don't seem to understand is that the poor outings were all on the road. Make no mistake about it, if this game were on the road there is absolutely no way I would be offering a play on it. But this game is at Comerica... a park in which he has been a monster. Let's just take a quick peek at what he's been able to accomplish when pitching at Comerica: 7 starts, 5 wins, no losses, 46.1 innings pitched, 30 hits, 16 walks (0.96 WHIP), 8 ERs (1.54 ERA) and 62 strikeouts (more than one per inning). Folks, those numbers don't happen all that often and when you see a situation present itself like this one today, you have to jump all over it.Bottom line on Verlander, he doesn't lose at home and the Tigers seem to be giving him all the run support he needs to be successful in those games... nothing changes today.Cleveland counters with Tomo Ohka, and this guy has been an absolute mess this year, posting a 5.65 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP. Ohka has yet to win a single game this year and has failed to live up to expectations vs. Detroit in his career. Get this... Ohka's numbers vs. the Tigers in his career are as follows: 0-2 record with an 8.49 ERA and a 1.90 WHIP while Detroit hitters batted .327 vs. Ohka. He's struck out only 10 batters in 2009 with 9 walks, telling me he's allowing too many hits to too many batters. Absolutely nothing will change today in Motown and you'll not only see Verlander dominate another home start, but you'll see the Indians' bats completely fall asleep while you will see the Detroit bats light up vs. Ohka.Detroit is 26-13 so far this season when playing at home while Cleveland is a dismal 16-28 on the road. The Indians haven't been very successful recently, winning just 6 of their last 23 games while Detroit appears to be headed in the right direction, winning 11 of their last 13 home games and 10 of their last 13 on Sunday. Let's end the first half of the baseball season with a bang!! Take Detroit on the run line as your one and only play of the day.

IndianCowboy

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Washington Nationals @ Houston Astros - Sunday July 12, 2009 2:05 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 9.5 (-120) (Play of the Day)

4 Unit Play. Take Under 9.5 between Washington Nationals @ Houston Astros (Sunday @ 2:05pm est). Let's take the Under between the Nats and Astros in Houston today. I've always said that Sunday baseball has yielded more unders than any other day from what I have tracked over the past four seasons. And, considering, I love unders on the diamond, it makes sense for us to ride two unders today. You notice that over 66% are riding Houston over Washington today as the line is essentially even for both teams? This indicates Vegas expects a solid start from Zimmerman which is why Houston is not a bigger favorite. Zimmerman has put together 5 straight quality starts and had given up 7 runs in 30 innings. His last start was a bit shaky as he gave up 7 hits in 4 innings and the Nats ended up losing the contest 4-5 on the road to the Rockies. I expect the Z to have a good game today as he likely bounces back well today. All in all, Moehler has done well for the Astros this year. Yes, he is 5-5 and has a 5.65 era, but the North Carolina native is coming around as he has put together 4 of 5 quality starts. He comes off a loss against Pittsburgh at home when the 'Stros lost 3-6 as he gave up 4 runs in 6 innings. I look for him to have a sound bounce-back at home as well as this game will likely in favor of the pitchers. The Under is 11-2 for the Nats following a win and the Under is 9-2-3 for the Astros when they face a pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

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IndianCowboy Winning Records:
All Sports All Picks 208-182 (53%) +51.7
All Sports Play of The Day 316-276 (53%) +64.7
MLB All Picks 56-37 (60%) +67.3

Handicapper: IndianCowboy
Sport: MLB Baseball
Game: Florida Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks - Sunday July 12, 2009 4:10 pm
Pick: 4 unit(s) TOTAL: Under 8.5 (100) (Play of the Day)

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 between the Florida Marlins @ Arizona Diamondbacks (Sunday @ 4:10pm est). What's nice about this contest is that both pitchers have faced the opposing teams this year. And, they both lost. Thus, it makes for a sort of revenge that these pitchers have against the opposing teams. Johnson gave up just 2 runs in over 6 innings to the Dbacks back on 5/19 and fell short 3-5. The young man from Minneapolis has been huge this year as has put together more than 10 straight quality starts and has a 7-2 record with a 2.82 era. He is one of the key reasons why the Marlins are in the hunt for the NL East title. Tack his revenge on the fact he comes off just his second loss of the year as he gave up 3 runs in 7 innings to the Giants on the road - but the Marlins were not able to gear up any offense and lost 0-3. I like the fact the Dbacks are Underdogs at home for this game as Davis usually plays well with a chip on his shoulder. Bear in mind he has been rock solid lately putting together four straight quality starts giving up 4 runs in 28 innings. In fact, Davis has been great all year as its the Dbacks offense that has struggled. Davis has a 2.97 era this year with 84 strikeouts as the 33 year old California native still proves that he can be highly effective. The Under is 7-1-1 for the Dbacks when the total is set at this range and the Under is 5-0 when the Marlins have faced a left handed starter of late.

10 Wins & 10 Losses Last 20 MLB Games

Jeff Benton

Sunday's 25 Dime MLB winner
25 Dime: YANKEES (over Angels)

NOTE: List only CC Sabathia as New York's starting pitcher. If Sabathia does not start, this play is VOID!

Yankees
I know the Yankees have blown multiple-run leads and lost big in the first two games of this series in Anaheim. However, unlike this afternoon, they also didn’t have CC Sabathia on the mound in either of those contests.Don’t look now, but Sabathia is starting to round into form. He rebounded from a terrible home start against Seattle 10 days ago – no surprise there, as nobody has pitched well at new Yankee Stadium – with a sensational outing against the Twins on Tuesday. In that contest, he gave up just one run on three hits and a walk in seven innings, with New York rolling to a 10-2 victory. In his previous road start a week earlier, he put up an identical one-run, three-hit, seven-inning effort at the Mets, and the Yanks rolled 9-1.Sabathia is now 6-3 with a 2.98 ERA in 10 road starts (compared with 2-2 with a 4.55 ERA at home). And if you take out a six-run, 4 1/3-inning disaster in his Yankee debut at Baltimore on Opening Day, Sabathia is 6-2 on the highway and given up just 16 earned runs in 62 1/3 innings (2.31 ERA) with a 52-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Also, five of his six road wins been blowouts (6-1 at Kansas City, 4-0 at Baltimore, 10-5 at Cleveland, 9-1 at the Mets, 10-2 at the Twins).But here’s what really makes Sabathia appealing today: He’s facing an Angels lineup that, yes, has scored 24 runs in the first two games of this series, but it’s still a lineup that’s been completely decimated by injuries recently. Just this week, L.A. was forced to put sluggers Torii Hunter and Vlad Guerrero on the DL, and then in Friday’s 10-6 win over New York, the Halos’ hottest hitter – outfielder Juan Rivera – strained a hamstring and had to leave the game. Rivera didn’t play Saturday and with the All-Star break coming up, I highly doubt Mike Scioscia will put him on the field today.That leaves Kendry Morales and Mike Napoli as the only power bats in the L.A. lineup. And while Napoli, who had a big game Saturday, is a stud, Morales is a switch-hitter who has been dreadful from the right side this year (.213, 0 HR, 5 RBI in 61 at-bats) but torrid when batting lefty (.303, 15 HR, 44 RBI). Well, we all know Sabathia is a southpaw, one of the nastiest in the game, meaning Morales will spend most of the day in the right side of the batter’s box.Finally, a quick word about Angels starter John Lackey. Normally one of the better, more consistent right-handers in the game, he simply has not been himself this year. First, he missed the first six weeks of the season while recovering from a shoulder injury, and since returning, he’s gone 3-4 with a 5.18 ERA 11 starts, with the Angels going 5-6 in those 11 games. He’s also 1-3 with a 5.46 ERA in four home starts, including an 8-5 loss to Texas on Tuesday when he gave up six runs in 4 2/3 innings.The Halos have now lost six of Lackey’s last seven home starts since late last year, and the hard-throwing Texan is just 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA in 15 lifetime starts against the Yankees Bottom line: Despite roughing up Andy Pettitte in the fifth inning on Saturday, Los Angeles is still barely hitting .250 against left-handed pitching at home this year and it was hitting .216 vs. lefties over a 10-game stretch prior to Saturday’s contest. Thus, I see no reason why Sabathia – who is five times the pitcher Pettitte is at this point in their respective careers – wouldn’t easily handle the Angels’ “B” lineup. I also see no reason why the surging Yankees offense (.303 team average last 10 games) won’t tee off on Lackey.Behind their high-priced ace and their slugging third baseman (A-Rod has homered three times in the last two days), the Bronx Bombers will avoid the sweep today and they -- and us! -- will head into the All-Star break with an easy win.

Scott Spreitzer

4 Units Wash/ Hou Under

Ben Burns

Big Game of the Year
10 Unit

Ben Burns | MLB Money Line Sun, 07/12/09 - 2:05 PM
Triple-Dime bet 956 Brewers Gallardo

HotLockSports

Colorado Rockies -134
Game Time: Sunday 12th of July 2009 03:10:00 PM

Game Analysis
We have been Zig Zagging here as we had the Braves big time yesterday and for good reason. Today is another day and the Rockies are the Play. Why? Colorado is 5-1 in Hammels L 6 starts and the kid has pitched well. The Home team is 6-1 in Wests L 7 when he is behind home plate calling the game. In Game 4 of a Series, the Braves are 1-4 L 5 in a 4 game series while the Rockies are 5-1 L 6 of Game 4's. We will take the better Pitcher at home with the hotter team right now. Rockies for 4 units today!

Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take #958 Houston Astros -115
3-Unit Play Take #963 Florida Marlins -120
3-Unit Play Take #976 Minnesota Twins -125