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shazman

(@shazman)

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Thursday 4/14/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games

Posted : April 14, 2022 7:48 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 58851

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Topic starter

Pickswise Sports

PGA Golf - RBC Heritage 3* Best Bets
Matthew Fitzpatrick +2400
Shane Lowry +2800
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CleInsiderSports

Soccer - Europa - AS Roma ML
Soccer - Europa - Barcelona ML
Soccer - Egypt - Al Mokawloon ML
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Andy Lang

PGA - RBC Heritage

4%Tommy Fleetwood Top 40
4% Dustin Johnson +120 ov Patrick Cantlay
3% Alex Noren Top Swedish
2% Joel Dahmen -135 ov Davis Riley
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MLBTOTAL

Tampa Bay Rays – Oakland Athletics
Over 8.5
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mlb-undertips info

USA: MLB
Kansas City Royals – Detroit Tigers
Under 9
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The Prez

4% REGULATION Toronto Maple Leafs +100
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Jon Eimer

Lyon vs. West Ham United (Thursday, 3 p.m. ET)
BTTS (1u -130)
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Martin Green

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Barcelona (Thursday, 3 p.m. ET)

Picks:
Barcelona -1.25 at -110 (one unit)
Both teams to score -110 (half unit)
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suarez1x2.eu
EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE – PLAY OFFS
Barcelona – Eintracht Frankfurt
Barcelona -1.5 @ 2.00
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Posted : April 14, 2022 7:56 am

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 58851

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Topic starter

Marco D'angelo
4* phils
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Carmine Bianco

5% Arizona Coyotes at Vancouver Canucks

Vancouver Canucks -1.5 (-115)
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ZITI Sports
NHL
Minnesota Wild -120 Dallas Stars (8:05 PM)
Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames UNDER 6 -110 (9:05 PM)

MLB
Chicago White Sox -105 Seattle Mariners (2:05 PM)
Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins UNDER 7.5 +100 (6:40 PM)
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees UNDER 8.5 -110 (7:05 PM)
Colorado Rockies -119 Chicago Cubs (8:40 PM)

SOCCER UNDER SYSTEM
Italy - Serie C Group B- AC Reggiana vs. Virtus Entella UNDER 2.5 -133 (3:00 PM)

SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
UEFA - Europa League- Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt OVER 3 -114 (3:00 PM)
UEFA - Europa Conference League- AS Roma vs. Bodo Glimt OVER 2.5 -166 (3:00 PM)
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Joe Ricconi
PHILLIES, ML
YANKEES/TORONTO OVER
PADRES
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Michael Alexander:

NBA, 04/15 10:10 PM New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers
PICK: Los Angeles Clippers -175 for 2 Units
The Pelicans have won nine of their past 11 with both CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram healthy, but we have to go Clippers at home. It is an advantage that they have an extra day of rest as well. The teams last played on April 3 in LA and the Clippers rolled by 19. Paul George and Robert Covington are very good defenders who can slow down Ingram (3-for-11 from the field in April 3 loss). George has been here/done that and will take over down the stretch offensively. The Clippers were 25-16 at home this season and New Orleans 17-24 on the road.

MLB, 04/14 2:10 PM Seattle Mariners vs Chicago White Sox
PICK: Seattle Mariners -115 for 2 Units
Both Kendall Graveman and Liam Hendriks pitched each of the last two days so they should be unavailable for the back of the White Sox bullpen while the Mariners have all their top arms available. Jimmy Lambert is making just his 7th career Major League appearance and 4th start overall and he wasn’t particularly impressive allowing 9 ER in 13 IP last season. Logan Gilbert pitched really well in his first start allowing just 1 ER in 5 IP. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see someone get the day off today for the White Sox. I like the Mariners to avoid the sweep today.

MLB, 04/14 5:14 PM St Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee Brewers
PICK: St Louis Cardinals 127 for 2 Units
The Brewers travel after the Orioles game for their home opener in a 4:15 local time matinee. Not only do they have the quick turnaround but they also have all the pregame Opening Day festivities to get through. The Cardinals had yesterday off so all their top bullpen arms were able to rest. Devin Williams, Brad Boxberger, and Josh Hader are the three top Brewers bullpen arms and they all pitched each of the last two nights. Brandon Woodruff struggled in his first start allowing 7 ER in 3.2 IP against the Cubs. Adam Wainwright pitched 6 scoreless in his first start. The Cardinals were 11-8 overall against the Brewers last season and 7-3 in Milwaukee. Take the value in the Cardinals on the road.

MLB, 04/14 8:40 PM Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies
PICK: Colorado Rockies -118 for 2 Units
Colorado was off Wednesday and will have a full bullpen -- that group has the best ERA in the majors. The Rox looked good in their first home series last week in taking two of three from the Dodgers, and the Cubs definitely aren't the Dodgers. Chicago rookie Seiya Suzuki has been fabulous and was my pick for NL ROY, but the Cubbies have totaled just two runs in back-to-back games. Simply not much else there. Cubbies southpaw starter Justin Steele has never pitched at Coors Field so that's likely to be a wake-up call. Colorado is 3-0 vs. lefties.

NHL, 04/14 7:10 PM St Louis Blues vs Buffalo Sabres
PICK: Buffalo Sabres 1.5 for 2 Units
I always hammer the Sabres as home puckline dogs (paying -140 here) and it has paid off as Buffalo is 23-14 ATS at home. The team's last home game? Mammoth upset of Carolina. The Blues are on a six-game winning streak but this feels like a bit of a letdown off a big comeback win in Boston on Tuesday and with a huge game vs. Minnesota on Saturday. STL has dropped its past four as a road favorite.

NHL, 04/14 9:10 PM Vegas Golden Knights vs Calgary Flames
PICK: Calgary Flames -150 for 2 Units
After a mini-funk, the Flames have won five straight and are closing in on clinching the Pacific Division title. Calgary defensemen Oliver Kylington (27 points) and Erik Gudbranson (17 points) have each missed multiple games but both practiced Wednesday and are trending toward a return. Vegas is 2-8 in its past 10 as a dog.
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Dave Essler

MLB 3*

Dodgers RL
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Griffin Warner ( new at pregame ) MLB 3* Dog/Week

STL
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Pickswise Sports

NHL 3* Best Bets (78-60 ytd)
Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5 goals [-125]
Pittsburgh Penguins -160
Vancouver Canucks -1.5 goals [-115]
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Posted : April 14, 2022 12:02 pm

shazman

(@shazman)

Posts: 58851

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Topic starter

John Bollman

ST. LOUIS @ MILWAUKEE | 04/14 | 5:14 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS 130
ANALYSIS: The Brewers travel after the Orioles game for their home opener in a 4:15 local time matinee. Not only do they have the quick turnaround but they also have all the pregame Opening Day festivities to get through. The Cardinals had yesterday off so all their top bullpen arms were able to rest. Devin Williams, Brad Boxberger, and Josh Hader are the three top Brewers bullpen arms and they all pitched each of the last two nights. Brandon Woodruff struggled in his first start allowing 7 ER in 3.2 IP against the Cubs. Adam Wainwright pitched 6 scoreless in his first start. The Cardinals were 11-8 overall against the Brewers last season and 7-3 in Milwaukee. Take the value in the Cardinals on the road.
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Matt Severance

VEGAS @ CALGARY | 04/14 | 9:00 PM EDT
CALGARY -158
ANALYSIS: Simply taking this Thursday game a bit early as the ML probably goes up a bit. After a mini-funk, the Flames have won five straight and are closing in on clinching the Pacific Division title. Calgary defensemen Oliver Kylington (27 points) and Erik Gudbranson (17 points) have each missed multiple games but both practiced Wednesday and are trending toward a return. Vegas is 2-8 in its past 10 as a dog. We won't get the Flames under -160 at home often before the playoffs.

ST. LOUIS @ BUFFALO | 04/14 | 7:00 PM EDT
BUFFALO +1.5
ANALYSIS: Thursday game. If you guys have been following me, I always hammer the Sabres as home puckline dogs (paying -140 here) and it has paid off as Buffalo is 23-14 ATS at home. The team's last home game? Mammoth upset of Carolina. The Blues are on a six-game winning streak but this feels like a bit of a letdown off a big comeback win in Boston on Tuesday and with a huge game vs. Minnesota on Saturday. STL has dropped its past four as a road favorite.

+2274 32-7 IN LAST 39 NHL ATS PICKS

CHI. CUBS @ COLORADO | 04/14 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -135
ANALYSIS: I'm bummed the Rockies (and former Cub Kris Bryant) aren't home dogs Thursday so I could play them on the runline. Colorado was off Wednesday and will have a full bullpen -- that group has the best ERA in the majors. The Rox looked good in their first home series last week in taking two of three from the Dodgers, and the Cubs definitely aren't the Dodgers. Chicago rookie Seiya Suzuki has been fabulous and was my pick for NL ROY, but the Cubbies have totaled just two runs in back-to-back games. Simply not much else there. Cubbies southpaw starter Justin Steele has never pitched at Coors Field so that's likely to be a wake-up call. Colorado is 3-0 vs. lefties.
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Matt Severance

SEATTLE @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 04/14 | 2:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE -110
ANALYSIS: It pains me to pick against my White Sox, and they aren't going to lose at home all that often, but they are using a bullpen day behind Jimmy Lambert (who stinks) and that pen is very thin with presumably top setup man Kendall Graveman and closer Liam Hendriks both unavailable having pitched in back-to-back games. In addition, the lineup is arguably the weakest of the season with Eloy Jimenez, Yasmani Grandal and Josh Harrison out and AJ Pollock on IL. Seattle pitcher Logan Gilbert had a solid rookie season in 2021 and was good in his 2022 debut at Minnesota.

OAKLAND @ TAMPA BAY | 04/14 | 1:10 PM EDT
TAMPA BAY -215
ANALYSIS: I'll be honest in that I'm just playing this because it's going to be on TV where I live, and I want to have a reason to care. It's a bit of a high price (I don't love -1.5 runlines) on Tampa Bay, but A's pitcher Cole Irvin wasn't very good last season and wasn't in his 2021 debut, either. Irvin was 1-10 with a 6.60 ERA and .890 OPS in 12 starts on four days rest last year (which he is on here). After facing Frankie Montas and losing Wednesday, I think the Rays tee off on Irvin. Tampa is 1-0 vs. lefties this year and was 11 over .500 against them last year. It's Josh Fleming for Tampa. He went 7-3 with a 2.28 ERA in 14 appearances (five starts) at home in 2021 and pitched 3.1 scoreless innings of relief at the Trop on Saturday vs. Baltimore. The Rays would need a win today to avoid losing a four-game series at home for only the third time since the start of the 2019 season.

NEW ORLEANS @ L.A. CLIPPERS | 04/15 | 10:00 PM EDT
L.A. CLIPPERS -179
ANALYSIS: The Pelicans have won nine of their past 11 with both CJ McCollum and Brandon Ingram healthy, but we have to go Clippers at home. It is an advantage that they have an extra day of rest as well. The teams last played on April 3 in LA and the Clippers rolled by 19. Paul George and Robert Covington are very good defenders who can slow down Ingram (3-for-11 from the field in April 3 loss). George has been here/done that and will take over down the stretch offensively. The Clippers were 25-16 at home this season and New Orleans 17-24 on the road. (I'm not picking Hawks-Cavs until there's clarity on Jarrett Allen's potential return.)

+3241 73-26 IN LAST 99 NBA ML PICKS
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John Bollman

CHI. CUBS @ COLORADO | 04/14 | 8:40 PM EDT
COLORADO -125
ANALYSIS: Justin Steele dominated in his first start of the season but he has never pitched at Coors Field before. The Rockies are 4-1 on the season and they won their first home series against the Dodgers. They were also one of the best home teams in the league last season going 48-33 at Coors Field. In a very small sample size, the Rockies are ranked 5th in the league in wOBA against lefties and they hit Steele hard in Chicago the only time they faced him last season. The Rockies were also ranked 6th in the league in wOBA against lefties last season. Kyle Freeland struggled in his first start but the Cubs lineup isn't the Dodgers. Take the Rockies at home.

SEATTLE @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 04/14 | 2:10 PM EDT
SEATTLE -120
ANALYSIS: Both Kendall Graveman and Liam Hendriks pitched each of the last two days so they should be unavailable for the back of the White Sox bullpen while the Mariners have all their top arms available. Jimmy Lambert is making just his 7th career Major League appearance and 4th start overall and he wasn’t particularly impressive allowing 9 ER in 13 IP last season. Logan Gilbert pitched really well in his first start allowing just 1 ER in 5 IP. I also wouldn’t be surprised to see someone get the day off today for the White Sox. I like the Mariners to avoid the sweep today.

Matt Snyder

CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/14 | 10:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Reds' pitching staff is banged up to the point that they are starting reliever Luis Cessa, possibly as an opener. Cessa hasn't started a game since 2018. He will likely be followed by Reiver Sanmartin, who allowed five runs in 2 1/3 innings last time out. The Reds' bullpen as a whole isn't very good and they've lost four of five since taking Opening Day. On the other end, the Dodgers are playing their first home game of the year and have won their last two games by a combined count of 14-2 after a modest 1-2 start. Max Muncy just hit his first homer, it's possible there are signs of life from Cody Bellinger and Gavin Lux has been killing the ball while it's only a matter of time until Mookie Betts and Trea Turner get going. Oh, and Cy Young candidate Walker Buehler gets the start after the bullpen nearly got a day of rest in Clayton Kershaw's perfect-through-seven Wednesday outing. This will be a bloodbath. The -1.5 run line looks fun.

TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 04/14 | 7:05 PM EDT
TORONTO 115
ANALYSIS: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. was "only" hitting .263/.300/.421 before Wednesday night, but he's all of a sudden up to .391/.417/.957 (love those small samples!). Vlad Jr. feeling good is really bad news for the opponent. Yankees starter Luis Severino isn't all the way back yet. He only lasted three innings on 65 pitches last time out. The Yankees bullpen has been great, but it has worked 30 2/3 innings in a week and the Yankees haven't had a day off. And this Jays offense can go off without any notice. Just look at Vlad's before and after above. On the other side, the Yankees' offense has been pretty reliant on home runs and that figures to continue to be the case all season, given the makeup of the lineup. Jays' starter Kevin Gausman is the most splitter-heavy pitcher in baseball and is excellent at keeping the ball on the ground.

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Great Lake Sports

MLB
3* #908 San Diego -110 (Musgrove)
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Posted : April 14, 2022 1:37 pm

shazman

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Posts: 58851

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Topic starter

H&H Sports - - Update #1

MLB
3* Marlins -112
2* Rays -1/2 run [-130] 1st 5 innings
2* Cardinals +125
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Bryan leonard