Thursday 4/7/22 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for MLB, NBA & NHL games
Ben Burns
MLB
9 Washington +1.5 -135
9 sd/arizona under-9
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GreenPunter
MLB USA – BASEBALL
Kansas City Royals – Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
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Ziti sports
The MLB season kicks off today. I am looking to have MY BIGGEST season ever.
MLB
Milwaukee Brewers -182 Chicago Cubs (2:20 PM)
San Diego Padres vs Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9 -110 (9:40 PM)
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors OVER 218 -110 (7:40 PM)
NHL
Columbus Blue Jackets -130 Philadelphia Flyers (7:05 PM)
Montreal Canadiens vs. New Jersey Devils OVER 6.5 -115 (7:05 PM)
Edmonton Oilers -125 Los Angeles Kings (10:35 PM)
SOCCER OVER SYSTEM
UEFA - Europa Conference League- Feyenoord vs. Slavia Prague OVER 2.5 -131 (12:45 PM)
UEFA - Europa Conference League- Leicester City vs. PSV Eindhoven OVER 2.5 -127 (3:00 PM)
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The Prez
8-1 NHL run.
(61) Nashville Predators at (62) Ottawa Senators
4% Total Over 6.0 (-120). Play is good to 6.5 -120.
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John Bollman
SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA 140
ANALYSIS: This is actually my upset of the day in terms of value. Madison Bumgarner takes on Yu Darvish in Arizona to begin the season. Fernando Tatis Jr. is still out and the Padres were just 11-8 against the Dbacks last season. The Dbacks were also 5-4 at home against the Padres last season. These teams actually faced off with these same starting pitchers on Opening Day last season, with both starters getting lit up. Darvish faced the Dbacks 5 times last season throwing quality starts in two of them, but he was hit hard in those other three. Both games in Arizona he was hit hard too. Madison Bumgarner pitched well to end last season and he has looked good in the Spring with some returned velocity. He faced the Padres three times last season and was hit hard on Opening Day, but he pitched two quality starts against them after that. The Padres were ranked just 24th in the league last season with a .306 wOBA against lefties. The Dbacks also have a good back of the bullpen in Ian Kennedy and Mark Melancon. Mark Melancon signed with the Dbacks in the offseason after leaving the Padres. Look for him to possibly be a key player in this revenge game for him.
+1007 16-6 IN LAST 22 SD ML PICKS
+563 8-3 IN LAST 11 ARI ML PICKS
11:32 AM
HOUSTON @ L.A. ANGELS | 04/07 | 9:38 PM EDT
HOUSTON 110
ANALYSIS: The Angels were just 17th in the league at hitting lefties last season although their lineup is looking much healthier. The Astros were also 13-6 against the Angels last season. Framber Valdez is coming off a long playoff run where he played a big role for the Astros. However, he didn’t debut last season until the end of May so the long season shouldn’t affect him. Valdez pitched 6 quality starts in his first 7 games last season and he faced the Angels twice. He allowed 4 ER in 5 IP in his first start against them, then dominated in his second start now allowing a run in 7 IP. Shohei Ohtani is coming off an MVP season, but it did take him a little while to get settled in last year. He faced the Astros twice and also had one very good start and one very bad start. He has actually never beaten the Astros, he is 0-2 with a 6.86 ERA against them in five starts. The Astros lost Carlos Correa, but they still went to the World Series last season and return everyone else. Take the Astros as underdogs.
+1239 32-18 IN LAST 50 LAA ML PICKS
+1498 17-3 IN LAST 20 HOU ML PICKS
11:29 AM
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Matt Severance
SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/07 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +1.5
ANALYSIS: Looks like John Bollman and I largely agree here -- he just refuses to use the runline for some reason!! I'm not about to predict an Arizona win, but I'll be taking home teams at +1.5 on the runline often this season and we pay only -115 here. That strategy has worked absolute wonders in hockey, and batting last in MLB is even a bigger advantage than having the last line change in the NHL. San Diego's lineup simply isn't the same without Fernando Tatis -- and SD struggled against lefties in 2021 even with Tatis in there. Friars starting pitcher Yu Darvish was horrible on the road last year (2-7, 5.54 ERA). Snakes southpaw starter Madison Bumgarner isn't what he used to be but still more than capable of an excellent outing.
+809 10-2 IN LAST 12 SD ATS PICKS
+759 10-3 IN LAST 13 ARI ATS PICKS
11:44 AM
PITTSBURGH @ ST. LOUIS | 04/07 | 4:15 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -200
ANALYSIS: Our first MLB pick of the season! Think I will be fading the Pirates about 100 times this season. They are going to be terrible and may trade their best player, Bryan Reynolds, by Opening Day. One of the NL Rookie of the Year favorites is 6-foot-7 Bucs shortstop Oneil Cruz, but the team is starting him in the minors for service time reasons. It will be the final Opening Day for Cardinals pitcher Adam Wainwright and catcher and future Hall of Famer Yadier Molina (and presumably for newly signed Albert Pujols as well). Wainwright had a 2.74 ERA at home last season and was 4-0 with a 0.30 ERA in four starts against the Pirates. JT Brubaker is scheduled on the mound for Pittsburgh. He was 5-13 with a 5.36 ERA last year.
+344 13-6 IN LAST 19 PIT ML PICKS
+510 9-3 IN LAST 12 STL ML PICKS
MON 4/4
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Gianni the Greek
MLB Season Win Totals/Futures
5% To Win NL Central = Milwaukee Brewers -175
5% Cincinnati : Over 73.5 (-115)
5% Detroit : Under 78.5 (-115)
5% Minnesota : Over 80.5 (-120)
4% Arizona : Over 66.5 (-115)
4% LA Angels : Over 83.5 (-115)
4% NY Yankees : Over 91.5 (-120)
4% SF Giants : Under 85.5 (-110)
5% Arizona : Over 66.5 (-115) UPGRADED to 5% BIG MOVE
4% St Louis : Under 84.5 (-110)
MLB Season Win Totals/Futures, Round 2:
4% Colorado : Over 68.5 (-125)
4% Oakland : Under 70.5 (-170)
4% Tampa Bay : Under 89.5 (-125)
4% Justin Verlander : Under 218,5 (-135) Strike-Outs
4% Justin Verlander : Under 13.5 (-145) Wins
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Fezzik
MLB Season Win Totals/Futures
2* NY Yankees UNDER 92.5-115
2* NY Mets UNDER 90.5 -115
2* HOU Astros UNDER 92
2* BOS Red Sox UNDER 85.5-115
2* KC Royals UNDER 75.5
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Dave Cokin
MLB Season Win Totals/Futures
5% OAKLAND A'S UNDER 69.5 WINS. THIS IS A 5% PLAY AS 69.5 OR BETTER.
Cincinnati Reds Under 74 Wins
Detroit Tigers Over 78.5 Wins
Los Angeles Angels Over 84 Wins
Washington Nationals Under 71.5 Wins
Cleveland Guardians Under 76.5 Wins
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The Winners Circle – Thursday Sports Plays
NBA BASKETBALL
Play Boston +6 over Milwaukee
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NHL HOCKEY
Play Carolina -345 over Buffalo
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MLB BASEBALL
Play Los Angeles Angels -130 over Houston
Play San Diego -160 over Arizona
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Carmine Bianco
3% Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 (-130)
3% Buffalo Sabres at Carolina Hurricanes
Total Over 6.0 (-124)
3% Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators
Total Over 6.0
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ross benjamin
10 cardinals rl
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dave price
7 cardinal rl
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CleInsiderSports
NBA - Magic/Hornets U230
NHL - Predators/Senators U6
MLB - Brewers/Cubs O9
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Goodfella
NHL
3* Pitt
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AccuScore Picks
4* Reds vs. Braves Under 8.5
3* Pirates vs. Cardinals Over 8
3* Astros vs. Angels Under 9
4* 76ers -1.5
4* Celtics +6.5
3* Celtics vs. Bucks Under 228
3* Spurs +9
3* Trail Blazers +17
3* Grizzlies +5
4* Maple Leafs vs. Stars Over 6.5
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Andy Lang
NBA Play of the Day
4% Nikola Jokik Over 49' PRA (-115)
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ATS Covers
MLB 7:10 pm New York Mets at Washington Nationals
New York Mets -112 for 1 units
MLB 9:45 pm San Diego Padres at Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres -130 for 1 units
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Tomas Sports
Astros ml
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Matt Severance
FEATURED PICK
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 04/07 | 2:20 PM EDT
CHI. CUBS +1.5
ANALYSIS: Well, I have to bet the first game of the season, don't I? Although this is in some jeopardy weather-wise, like many across the majors on Opening Day (two already postponed). It's reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes on the mound for the Brewers, but the winds blowing out fierce might actually be in Chicago's favor. I'm still not overly impressed with that Milwaukee lineup and the Cubs' should be better with the likes of Nick Madrigal and my pick for NL Rookie of the Year, Seiya Suzuki. Clint Frazier could be a sneaky pick for NL Comeback Player of the Year. Cubbies starter Kyle Hendricks usually pitches better at Wrigley. Getting Chicago even money on the runline is worth it. This will be our full-time introduction to the universal DH.
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The Whale
New Regular Evolution Series
MLB Brewers as a favorite or +1.5 runs as an underdog
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Baseball Selections to win $100 - We will start at a low amount and build as we get hot
1120am 969 Brewers run line -1.5 -115
110pm 1981 Guardians first 5 innings -135
115pm 973 Over 8 on Pirates
405pm 971 Over 9 on Mets
508pm 976 Over 8.5 on Braves
640pm 977 Over 9 on Padres
NBA to win $150
430pm 506 Toronto -1.5
430pm 503 Celtics +6.5
5pm 508 Minnesota -8.5
Baseball Two Team Parlays Bet $70
1120am 969 Brewers run line -1.5 -115
110pm 1981 Guardians first 5 innings -135
115pm 973 Over 8 on Pirates
405pm 971 Over 9 on Mets
508pm 976 Over 8.5 on Braves
640pm 977 Over 9 on Padres
NBA Two Team Parlays Bet $80
430pm 506 Toronto -1.5
430pm 503 Celtics +6.5
Baseball Round Robins 2's and a 3 for $15 a way for $60
1120am 969 Brewers run line -1.5 -115
110pm 1981 Guardians first 5 innings -135
115pm 973 Over 8 on Pirates
405pm 971 Over 9 on Mets
508pm 976 Over 8.5 on Braves
640pm 977 Over 9 on Padres
NBA Round Robin 2's and a 3 for $20 a way for $80
430pm 506 Toronto -1.5
430pm 503 Celtics +6.5
5pm 508 Minnesota -8.5
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kelso
15 warriors
15 guardians
15 mets
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VSiN Hosts & Guests
THE LOOKAHEAD
Scott Seidenberg
Celtics +6 vs Bucks
Raptors -2 vs 76ers
Rangers/Penguins UNDER 6
Astros/Angels F5 OVER 4.5
Astros F5 (+115) vs Angels
Cardinals TT OVER 4.5 (-125) vs Pirates
Brewers/Cubs F5 Under 5.5
FOLLOW THE MONEY
Pauly Howard
Yordan Alvarez HR Leader 19/1
Mitch Moss
13 Run Pool: Rockies (16/1)
13 Run Pool: Mariners (40/1)
David Peralta Over 1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Astros (+112) vs Angels
Paul Stone
Zalatoris over Oosthuizen
C. Young over List
Kopka over McIlroy
Scheffler 26/1
Conners 46/1
Si Woo Kim 91/1
Kokrak 101/1
C. Young 126/1
MacIntrye 126/1
Over 85.5 Highest Masters Score
Nigel Seeley
Atalanta-RB Leipzig Over 3.5
SC Braga +130
Liverpool +.5
Southampton +350
A NUMBERS GAME
Gill Alexander
Vit Kopriva +229 over Van de Sandschulp
Anhelina Kalinina -116 over Cornet (good to -130)
Alejandro Tabilo +140 over Fritz (Good to +125)
Mark Borchard
Guardians -121 over Royals
Yankees over 91.5 wins
Yankees to win the AL East +225
Dodgers over 98.5 wins
Giants over 86.5 wins
Tigers under 77.5 wins
Will Hill
Mets -110 over Nationals
Guardians -121 over Royals
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EdwardMLB
New York Mets
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The Money Team Baseball (TMT)
4k St Louis -1.5 +110
2k Kansas City Under 7.5
2k LA Angels Over 9 +102
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XS Sports Picks
3* Milwaukee -1.5 -110
5* NY Mets -110
3* NY Mets -1.5 +140
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Micah Roberts
MILWAUKEE @ CHI. CUBS | 04/07 | 2:20 PM EDT
OVER 9
ANALYSIS: This game may get some rain, but the wind is blowing out at 16 mph, which means if we get some shabby pitching, we should be able to get this game Over the total. Both teams bringing their No. 1 starters, but Chicago's Kyle Hendricks wasn’t fooling anyone in the spring as batters hit .347 against him over four starts. Pop flies can become home runs courtesy of the wind. The Over is the top play.
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Allie Gallie O'Neill
NASHVILLE @ OTTAWA | 04/07 | 7:00 PM EDT
OVER 6
ANALYSIS: Over their last ten games, the Predators have scored an average of 4.00 goals per game, so they should fare well against Anton Forsberg. The Preds are starting Juuse Saros who has struggled throughout the second half of the season, specifically on the road, where he has recorded a 3.43 GAA in his last 10 starts. These teams just played each other last week in Nashville and the Preds won 4-1, but tonight I expect the Senators to make a more significant contribution. Five of the last six Ottawa games, and eight of the last nine Nashville games have gone over six— I expect this one to do the same.
+259 12-8-1 IN LAST 21 NHL O/U PICKS
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Root
Reserve-Toronto Raptors
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Al McMordie
NBA 3-GAME PACKAGE - Milwaukee -5.5 , Denver -4 , Golden St -12 -115
NHL SLAPSHOT CLUB - Carolina -1.5 -128
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Master Sports
MLB
3* #985 Houston +115 (Valdez)
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Pure Lock
10* Minnesota Timberwolves -8.5
10* San Jose Sharks +185
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Arthur Ralph
MLB. Houston
NBA. Denver
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Andrew McInnis
14-0 NHL run.
(71) Vancouver Canucks at (72) Arizona Coyotes
4% REGULATION Vancouver Canucks -125
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