Wednesday 4/21/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Matt Severance
MONTREAL @ EDMONTON | 04/21 | 10:00 PM EDT
EDMONTON -125
ANALYSIS: Edmonton beat visiting Montreal 4-1 on Monday behind a four-goal third period. Habs No. 1 netminder Carey Price stopped all seven shots in the opening 20 minutes but didn’t come out after the intermission and will miss at least a week in concussion protocols. So that presumably means Jake Allen again Wednesday, and he has been a bit shaky of late -- including allowing three of the four goals Monday. The Canadiens are now 3-10 in their last 13 road games.
__________________
Stephen Oh
BALTIMORE @ MIAMI | 04/21 | 1:10 PM EDT
MIAMI -140
ANALYSIS: A good price on the Marlins as 67 percent of simulations have them winning behind lefty ace Trevor Rogers (1-1, 2.40). He has given up two earned runs or fewer in each of his first three starts and has a terrific strikeout ratio of 13.8 per nine innings. The Orioles, who lose the DH, are 1-4 in their past five vs. lefties.
UTAH @ HOUSTON | 04/21 | 8:00 PM EDT
UNDER 227.5
ANALYSIS: Utah has the NBA's best record and Houston is battling with Minnesota for the worst. The Rockets remain without a handful of injured players, while the Jazz are without All-Star and leading scorer Donovan Mitchell. Sixty-five percent of my model simulations have this game finishing Under the high total of 227.5.
__________________
Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB
Phillies -120
Twins -110
Yankees -119
__________________
The Sports Geek
NHL
Chicago +110
Arizona +140
NBA
Warriors -130 (Moneyline)
Bulls -125 (Moneyline)
__________________
Pickswise Sports - ⚽️
Soccer
1:00pm - Southampton/Tottenham Hotspur DRAW [+280]
3:15pm - Manchester City/Aston Villa
Manchester City +110
Under 3.5 goals
__________________
baseball33
Oakland Athletics - Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins
__________________
GMC
Nashville
Arizona
__________________
Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Phoenix Suns vs Philadelphia 76ers
Best Bet - Suns/76ers Under 221
NBA Player Prop Best Bet - Devin Booker Under 26.5 points (-110)
__________________
Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Phoenix Suns vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: NBA TV - Time: 7:10pm
Best Bet - Phoenix Suns -112 (Moneyline)
__________________
Mike Barner
ATLANTA @ NEW YORK | 04/21 | 8:00 PM EDT
NEW YORK +1.5
ANALYSIS: The Knicks have won seven straight games, four of which they entered as underdogs. They are 19-10 ATS at home, and although this is the second game of a back-to-back set for them, they are 7-4 ATS in such situations. The Hawks are dealing with injuries to Danilo Gallinari (foot), De’Andre Hunter (knee) and Tony Snell (ankle), who all are in jeopardy of missing Wednesday's contest. I think the Knicks keep their winning streak alive.
BROOKLYN @ TORONTO | 04/21 | 7:00 PM EDT
TORONTO -3.5
ANALYSIS: The Raptors are finally looking healthy for once with Kyle Lowry, Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby all expected to play in this game. The same can’t be said for the Nets, who are still without James Harden (hamstring). Kevin Durant (thigh) is also questionable to play. With the Nets having just played Tuesday, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Kyrie Irving get the night off for rest, either. If he does sit out, this line could move dramatically in the Raptors’ favor. I’ll take a chance and lock it in now.
__________________
Joe Williams
Vegasinsider NBA
Best Bet - Grizzlies/Clippers Over 227
Best Bet - Grizzlies +2
__________________
Jonathan Willis
Best Bet - Portland Trailblazers +2
__________________
Tim Wilkinson
Best Bet - Nuggets/Trailblazers Under 230.5
__________________
Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
Chicago/Nashville Over 5.5 [-110] - BIG PLAY
Chicago +120
San Jose +240
__________________
Vince Akins
Rays -105
Marlins -153
Nationals -158
Rangers/Angels Over 8.5
__________________
Matt Severance
MINNESOTA @ OAKLAND | 04/21 | 3:37 PM EDT
OAKLAND +1.5
ANALYSIS: How on earth are the A's home underdogs on a 10-game winning streak and about to sweep a struggling Twins team down two regulars in shortstop Andrelton Simmons and outfielder Max Kepler? Minnesota also could be without slugger Miguel Sano after he left the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader with a hamstring issue. The Twins do start a very good pitcher in Kenta Maeda (1-1, 3.07), but I'll gladly take Oakland on the runline at -170 while I can get it -- some books have the A's as ML favorites so the +1.5 wouldn't be available -- behind Frankie Montas (2-1, 4.91). He has been excellent the past two times out.
__________________
Vince Akins
NBA
Jazz -11
Knicks +2
Timberwolves/Kings Over 238.5
Spurs/Heat Under 216
__________________
John Bollman
PITTSBURGH @ DETROIT | 04/21 | 2:10 PM EDT
PITTSBURGH +105
ANALYSIS: The Tigers are awful against left-handed pitching, and there’s no reason not to fade them until they can fix that. The Pirates have been playing sneaky well to start the season and they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, while the Tigers are coming into this game having lost four in a row and seven of 10. Michael Fulmer has actually looked good this season but if the Pirates get to him, they get one of the worst bullpens in the league. Take the Pirates at plus money in the first game of the doubleheader.
MONTREAL @ EDMONTON | 04/21 | 10:00 PM EDT
EDMONTON -140
ANALYSIS: The Oilers just beat the Canadiens 4-1 at home on Monday, and they get they again at home but this time without Carey Price who was injured during that game. Jake Allen will get the start after relieving Price in the first game and allowing three goals. The Canadiens have actually owned this series this season, winning four of six games, which is why were getting such good value. However, the Oilers have won two in a row and six of 10 while the Canadiens have lost two in a row and seven of 10.
ST. LOUIS @ WASHINGTON | 04/21 | 4:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -160
ANALYSIS: Carlos Martinez has started three games this season, and he has allowed 13 earned runs in 15 IP overall. The Cardinals are 0-3 in games he has started while the Nats get Max Scherzer today. Scherzer allowed four solo home runs in his first start and has allowed just five hits and one run in 13 IP since. Juan Soto is out, but the Cards were strategically pitching around him this series before he was hurt. Take the value in Scherzer at home.
MINNESOTA @ OAKLAND | 04/21 | 3:37 PM EDT
OAKLAND -105
ANALYSIS: The Athletics have now won 10 straight games after starting the season 1-7 and have vaulted into first in the division. They get Frankie Montas starting today, who has looked like his old self his last couple starts allowing just one run in 12 innings. The Twins start their ace in Kenta Maeda, he has not allowed more than two runs in any start, but he also has only made it through five innings once. The Twins were struggling to hit before they had a three-day layoff, and we can see it didn’t help much as they didn’t score a run yesterday and it only hurt their defense by forcing Willians Astudillo to play Second Base. Take the As.
__________________
Larry Hartstein
ST. LOUIS @ WASHINGTON | 04/21 | 4:05 PM EDT
WASHINGTON -157
ANALYSIS: After a rough first start, Max Scherzer has been dominant in his last two outings. Carlos Martinez, meanwhile, is 0-3 with a 7.80 ERA after posting a 9.90 ERA last year as a starter. This line should be higher. Look for the Nats to beat the Cards for the eighth time in the past 10 meetings.
__________________
Rockdeman Sports (Underdog of the Day)
Atlanta Braves +122
__________________
Master Sports
MLB
3* #955/956 Milwaukee/San Diego under 7.5 (Houser/Lamet)
__________________
Larry Ness
Atlanta Braves
Philadelphia 76ers
__________________
Big AL
Cincinnati Reds
__________________
Sean Murphy
10 goy San diego
__________________
Bryan Powers
Marlins
__________________
H&H Sports
MLB
Triple Dime - Marlins -152
Double Dime - Giants/Phillies Under 8.5 (-120)
__________________
Scott Spreitzer
Knicks +1.5 (4U)
Royals -105 F5 (4U)
__________________
The Sports Geek
NBA - Adding
Raptors -4
76ers +1.5
Thunder +9.5
Jazz -11
Trailblazers/Nuggets Over 229.5
NHL - Adding
Edmonton -129
MLB
Red Sox -127
Astros -142
Braves +122
Angels -1.5 runs [+105]
__________________
Micah Roberts
MINNESOTA @ OAKLAND | 04/21 | 3:37 PM EDT
OAKLAND -111
ANALYSIS: The Twins come in with a three-game losing streak and losses in eight of their last nine. The A’s have won 10 straight and they do it in a variety of ways. One game is about the starting pitcher, the next a clutch hit from an unlikely source, another is the bullpen, and perhaps a game-saving defensive play. On Tuesday, it was two shutouts in the double-header, 7-0 and 1-0. Fun ballclub. The A’s keep winning Wednesday.
__________________
Pickswise Sports
MLB Best Bets
Marlins -152
Athletics +105
Angels/Rangers Over 8.5
NBA Best Bets
Suns -115 (Moneyline)
Nuggets -125 (Moneyline)
__________________
Gavin Anthony Sports
MLB:
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks
NBA:
Philadelphia 76ers ML
Indiana Pacers -9
Sacramento Kings -4
Denver Nuggets ML
LA Clippers ML
__________________
HUNTER ENGLEHART
Game: (975) Atlanta Braves at (976) New York Yankees
Date/Time: Apr 21 2021 6:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Pinnacle
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: Total Over 8.5 (-112) I Anderson (RHP), C Kluber (RHP) Must Start
Anderson vs Kluber
3% at over 9 with -110 odds or worse
__________________
Dave Cokin
Game: (969) Tampa Bay Rays at (970) Kansas City Royals
Date/Time: Apr 21 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: 1H Kansas City Royals -110 M Wacha (RHP), J Junis (RHP) Must Start
__________________
IC
3 Mets -120...MLB
4 Cavs +3...NBA
3 Kiwoom/Hanwha Over 9
__________________