Free Premium Service Plays For Wednesday 4/28/21

Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper

UEFA Champions League Semifinals
Paris Saint-Germain vs Manchester City
TV; CBSSN - Time; 3:00 p.m.

Best Bet - Paris Saint-Germain [+220]
Regular Play - Over 2.5 goals [-155]
__________________

Matt Severance

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/28 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +1.5
ANALYSIS: Arizona at -115 on the runline is good value at home in the series finale Wednesday. Snakes pitcher Taylor Widener (1-0, 2.82) worked six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and striking out five, when facing the Padres at Petco Park early this month. Friars rookie lefty Ryan Weathers (1-0, 0.59) has been great but is essentially a middle reliever who is starting -- he won't be out there more than five innings. Rather oddly, San Diego has lost seven straight Wednesday games dating to last season.

ST. LOUIS @ MINNESOTA | 04/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -140
ANALYSIS: Minnesota lost back-to-back games in St. Louis on April 9 & 10 but hasn't lost since, carrying a seven-game winning streak and pushing Vegas and Colorado for the top spot in the West Division. The Wild, who have a league-best plus-21 goal differential in the opening period, are pretty healthy while St. Louis is banged up on the blueline. The Blues also have dropped their past five away, and No. 1 netminder Jordan Binnington has a 3.35 GAA while losing four straight road starts. The home team is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.

COLORADO @ VEGAS | 04/28 | 9:30 PM EDT
VEGAS -125
ANALYSIS: Great matchup Wednesday between the top two clubs in the West Division, and these teams have the two best goal differentials in the NHL. We love Vegas at this short price. Colorado is loaded when fully healthy but is far from that right now due to injury/COVID protocols. Mainly, No. 1 netminder Philipp Grubauer will not play Wednesday for sure. Vegas is pretty healthy, on a franchise-record nine-game winning streak and 18-4-2 at home. Meanwhile, Stephen Oh's model pick for this one is Over 5.5 goals, and I agree with Grubauer out. I'd be willing to bet that total rises to 6 by the morning.
__________________

Stephen Oh

L.A. LAKERS @ WASHINGTON | 04/28 | 7:30 PM EDT
OVER 223.5
ANALYSIS: Washington's Bradley Beal continues to duel Steph Curry for the NBA scoring title. These teams played a barn-burner on Feb. 22 with the Wizards prevailing 127-124 in overtime back when L.A. had a healthy LeBron James but not Anthony Davis. Beal had 33 points and Russell Westbrook 32. This likely will not be that high-scoring, but my model simulations have 68 percent of forecasts landing Over the total of 223.5.

COLORADO @ VEGAS | 04/28 | 9:30 PM EDT
OVER 5.5
ANALYSIS: These are arguably the two best teams in the NHL but are stuck in the same West Division and thus can't meet in a conference finals. The Over is 5-2 in the Golden Knights' past seven games and 6-1 in the Avalanche's past seven vs. teams with a winning record. My model simulations forecast 62 percent of results in this matchup landing Over the too-small total of 5.5 goals.

MINNESOTA @ CLEVELAND | 04/28 | 1:10 PM EDT
CLEVELAND +110
ANALYSIS: First game of Wednesday with a 1:10 p.m. ET first pitch, although there could be some weather delays in northeast Ohio. My model believes the wrong team -- Cleveland -- has opened as the underdog with 56 percent of simulations forecasting an outright Indians victory. Minnesota is 2-5 in its past seven road games vs. lefties, and the Indians are scheduled to start southpaw Logan Allen.
__________________

Stitches--NY Post. Returned to his losing ways yesterday with the Phillies. Season record now 12-15.

Wednesday's play is the Royals.
__________________

NBASELECTION

Utah Jazz -9
__________________

Kevin Dolan

4% UCL

PSG - Man City over 2.75 -111 good to -130
__________________

XS Sports Picks Wednesday

NBA Yesterday 1-0 +$2000

This Week Action 2-1 (67%) +$2,700

$5000 San Antonio +5 -110 (8pm)
$3000 Washington Over 223 -110 (7:30pm)
__________________

MLB-Martingale

Baltimore Orioles – New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles / 2 units
__________________

XS Sports Picks Wednesday

MLB Yesterday 2-1 (67%) +$2,200

This Week 4-2 (67%) +$7,650

$3000 Cleveland +110 (1pm)
$3000 Boston Over 7 +100 (6:40pm)
$2000 Seattle +1.5 -105 (8pm)
__________________

XS Sports Picks Wednesday

NHL Yesterday 1-1 +$920

This Week 2-2 (-$2,080)

$5000 Toronto -135 (8pm)
$3000 Vegas Over 5.5 -120 (9:30pm)
__________________

Justin Perri

COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/28 | 9:45 PM GMT
SAN FRANCISCO -145

ANALYSIS: I am going back to it after the Giants' extra-inning loss on Tuesday. I won’t lie, it still stings, and the way San Francisco blew that game kept me up a bit. I do feel like the Giants gifted that contest to the Rockies, and I don't expect that to happen again on Wednesday after Colorado notched its first road win of the year. Back San Francisco to clinch the series win.

CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/28 | 4:10 PM GMT
OVER 8
ANALYSIS: Let’s not get cute, both of these teams can score. The Reds are loaded with solid hitters and the Dodgers will always find a way to manufacture runs. Cincinnati is 6-2-1 OU when it is the underdog and 7-2-1 OU in its last 10. Reds RHP Sonny Gray certainly is not the type of pitcher who makes you stay off a total, either. Let’s roll with the Over.

OAKLAND @ TAMPA BAY | 04/28 | 7:10 PM GMT
TAMPA BAY -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Rays lost in RHP Tyler Glasnow’s last outing as they couldn’t recover from the four runs allowed in the first inning against Toronto. I’m betting on Glasnow to have a better opening frame and notch a quality start, which gives Tampa Bay a good shot to cover this spread at plus money (-1.5 at +120). Let’s go Rays!
__________________

SDQL's

ORLANDO @ CLEVELAND | 04/28 | 7:00 PM GMT
CLEVELAND -3.5
ANALYSIS: The Magic are 0-12 ATS on the road with less than two days rest off a game as a dog after being outscored in the paint by double digits and 0-8 ATS off a loss in which they had less than 40 percent of the total rebounds. The Cavs are 10-0 ATS at home with less than two days rest off a road loss by more than 10 points when they are facing a team that is averaging more than 45.0 rebounds per game. We are on Cleveland.

N.Y. YANKEES @ BALTIMORE | 04/28 | 7:05 PM GMT
N.Y. YANKEES -157
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 20-0 with Domingo German when he averaged fewer than 4.0 pitches per batter and went fewer than seven innings in his last start. The Orioles are 0-8 as a dog when they won the last two games their starter started. We are on the Yankees.

COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/28 | 9:45 PM GMT
SAN FRANCISCO -145
ANALYSIS: The Giants are 9-0 in not the first game of a series as a favorite after they drew one or fewer walks, and it is before the All-Star break. The Rockies are 0-11 on the road when they came back from a deficit to win in their starter's last start and 0-10 as a road dog after an extra-inning game. We make the Giants the play.

CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/28 | 4:10 PM GMT
L.A. DODGERS -203
ANALYSIS: The Dodgers are 12-0 as a favorite of -140 or more in the last game of a three-game series when they lost the first two and it is before the All-Star break. They also are 9-0 as a favorite off a home game when their opponent’s starter has an ERA of higher than 4.00 on the season. Meanwhile the Reds are 0-17 in the last game of a series as a dog of +170 or more after a game in which they scored in more innings than their opponent and it is before the All-Star break and 0-16 after a game as a road dog in which they scored first, trailed and then won. The Dodgers impose their will on the Reds.

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/28 | 9:40 PM GMT
SAN DIEGO -160
ANALYSIS: The Padres are 10-0 as a favorite of -140 or more after a game as a road favorite in which they did not hit a home run. They also are 10-0 in the second game of a series as a favorite of -140 or more after a loss in which they had at least three times as many hits as runs, and it is before the All-Star break. The Diamondbacks are 0-14 as a home dog after playing as a home dog when their starters have produced quality starts for three straight. Take San Diego.
__________________

Larry Hartstein

SEATTLE @ HOUSTON | 04/28 | 8:10 PM GMT
HOUSTON -1.5

ANALYSIS: The Astros have won five of six, scoring 38 runs (6.3 per game) in that span. Current Mariners are batting a collective .194 against Zack Greinke, with zero homers in 87 at-bats. Seattle has mustered a total of five runs in its current three-game skid. This matchup vs. Seattle is one Houston typically dominates; the Astros took the first two games of the series by 5-2 and 2-0 scores. Play Houston on the run line at -110.
__________________

Gus Augustine

40 Dime

Interleague Game of the Week
Pirates +105
__________________

Top Ranked Sports

4★ Kansas City (Minor) -115 over Pittsburgh (Keller)
3★ Minnesota (Happ) -120 over Cleveland (Allen)
3★ San Diego (Weathers) -160 over Arizona (Widener)
__________________

Scott Spreitzer

Braves -130 F5 (2U)
Astros -1.5 (5U)
Wild -150 (3U)
Manchester City +115 (3U)
__________________

Dave Cokin

4% Atlanta Braves 1H (-126)
__________________

Big AL

Utah Jazz
__________________

Mike Barner

CHICAGO @ NEW YORK | 04/28 | 7:30 PM EDT
NEW YORK -4
ANALYSIS: The Bulls pulled off a surprising win on the road against the Heat on Monday despite playing without Zach LaVine (COVID-19). They are in a tough spot to try and earn another win here against the Knicks, who had their nine-game winning streak snapped by the Suns on Monday. Despite that loss, the Knicks are 21-11 at home and have an identical 21-11 record ATS at home. With LaVine still out for the Bulls, I expect the Knicks to get back on the winning track here, while also covering along the way.
__________________

Matt Severance

PHILADELPHIA @ ST. LOUIS | 04/28 | 7:45 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +1.5
ANALYSIS: We've been on the Cards as very short opening moneyline underdogs in each game of this series (again, they may be favored by first pitch) but using the runline at +1.5, and we'll do it again considering the Phillies are starting the awful Vince Velasquez (0-0, 6.75). Johan Oviedo will make his first start of the season for the Cards. He pitched 4 2/3 scoreless innings in relief on April 11.
__________________

John Bollman

PHILADELPHIA @ ST. LOUIS | 04/28 | 7:45 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS -105
ANALYSIS: Johan Oviedo gets the start after pitching 4.1 innings in relief this season. He faces Vince Velasquez who allowed two runs in 4 IP in his only start this season. The Cardinals have won four of their last five games, all at home, and they might be streaking if they hadn’t run into the buzzsaw that is Zach Wheeler right now. The Cards are much better at home and the Phillies are 3-8 on the road, take the value in the Cards at home.

SAN DIEGO @ ARIZONA | 04/28 | 9:40 PM EDT
ARIZONA +143
ANALYSIS: The Diamondbacks have sneakily won seven of their last eight games, all as underdogs, and they’ve scored at least four runs in all eight of those games. They’ve got Taylor Widener starting who is 1-0 with a 2.82 ERA this season and he has faced the Padres this season throwing six scoreless innings. Ryan Weathers has looked great since being added to the rotation, he hasn’t allowed a run in two starts. However, this is a really small sample size and he faced the Dodgers twice who are ranked 20th in the league in OPS against lefties. The Dbacks are ranked first in the league against lefties with a .944 OPS and it isn’t even close. This is just a bad matchup for the Padres, take the Dbacks at home.

CHI. CUBS @ ATLANTA | 04/28 | 7:20 PM EDT
ATLANTA -130
ANALYSIS: Huascar Ynoa is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA this season, with his lone blemish coming against the Cubs in Chicago. He faces Kyle Hendricks who is 1-2 with a 5.68 ERA this season. Hendricks threw a quality start in his last outing, but he allowed seven runs in 4 innings in his start against the Braves. The Cubs have lost four games in a row, getting shut out in two of them, and they are 2-6 on the road this season. Take the value in the Braves at home.
__________________

Ricky Tran

Toronto
__________________

Jesse Schule

Dodgers rl
__________________

Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks

MLB
Rays 1st 5 innings [-180]
Phillies -105
Mets -1.5 runs [-118]
__________________

Joe Williams
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: NBA League Pass - Time: 7:10 p.m.

Best Bet - Atlanta Hawks +8.5

Vegasinsider NBA
Portland Trailblazers vs Memphis Grizzlies
TV; NBA League Pass - Time; 9:10 p.m.

Best Bets
Grizzlies -117 (Moneyline)
Under 240.5
__________________

Tim Wilkinson
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV; NBA League Pass - Time; 7:10 p.m.

Best Bet - Hawks/76ers Over 215
__________________

AAA

LA Dodgers ml
__________________

Stephen Nover

Royals
__________________

Power Sports

Tampa bay
__________________

Will Rogers

10 Astros rl
__________________

Power Play Wins

MLB: St Louis Cardinals -105
__________________

BEST SPORTS CAPPER

NBA: San Antonio Spurs +5
__________________

Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns
TV: ESPN - Time: 10:10 p.m.

Best Bet - Phoenix Suns -4

NBA Player Prop Best Bet - Devin Booker Under 27.5 points [-116]
__________________

Capper Advantage

NBA: Denver Nuggets -4
__________________

MVP Lock Club

NBA: New York Knicks -4
__________________

3 Rivers Sports

MLB
3* #920 Texas +105 (Dunning)
__________________

Elite Sports Picks

L.A. Dodgers (Kershaw) -1.5 runs +105 over Cincinnati (Gray)
__________________

Insider Sports Report

4* Minnesota (Happ) -120 over Cleveland (Allen)
Range: +100 to -140

3* Washington (Fedde)/Toronto (Matz) UNDER 9
Range: 9.5 to 8.5

3* Atlanta (Ynoa) -125 over Chicago Cubs (Hendricks)
Range: -110 to -150
__________________

National Sports Service

4* San Diego (Weathers) -160 over Arizona (Widener)

3* Chicago White Sox (Rodon) -1.5 runs -105 over Detroit (Mize)

3* Denver -4 over New Orleans (NBA)
__________________

Primetime Sports Picks
MEMBER PICKS For 04/28/21

4 Unit --> San Francisco (Wood) -130 over Colorado (Marquez)

3 Unit --> Chicago/New York OVER 207 (NBA)

3 Unit --> Seattle (Dunn) +1.5 runs -115 over Houston (Greinke)
__________________

Sportsline Computer

MLB

Cleveland +105
__________________

Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 04/28/21

4★ Kansas City (Minor) -115 over Pittsburgh (Keller)

3★ Minnesota (Happ) -120 over Cleveland (Allen)

3★ San Diego (Weathers) -160 over Arizona (Widener)
__________________

JERSEY KID PICKS

Twins
LA Dodgers
Brewers
Brewers Over
__________________

John Bollman

COLORADO @ VEGAS | 04/28 | 9:30 PM EDT
VEGAS -140
ANALYSIS: The Golden Knights have won a franchise-record nine straight games and both of their goalies have been on fire. The Aves have lost their last two games after starting strong with Devan Dubnyk in net. The Aves are still without Philip Grubauer and Mikko Rantanen, and the Knights are playing their best hockey of the season right now. The Aves are just 13-7-2 on the road while the Knights are 18-4-2 at home. Take the value in the Knights at home.

ST. LOUIS @ MINNESOTA | 04/28 | 7:00 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -150
ANALYSIS: The Wild have won seven straight games and they return home where they are 17-4-0 this season. They get the Blues who have won two games in a row but are just 5-5 in their last 10 games. Cam Talbot is 16-6-3 with a 2.33 GAA and he’s even better at home. These two teams have only faced off three times this season with the home team winning all three. Take the value in the Wild at home.
__________________

Micah Roberts

COLORADO @ SAN FRANCISCO | 04/28 | 9:45 PM GMT
UNDER 7

ANALYSIS: The wind is blowing out slightly to center in Sand Francisco, and the Rockies are smoking the ball lately. Their last four games have gone Over the total, but I think Wednesday's pitching matchup will keep things quiet in a low-scoring game. German Marquez, who hasn’t allowed more than three runs in any of his five starts and only 11 runs overall, will set the tone. Alex Wood has allowed just one run in both his starts. Under is the play.
__________________

Matt Severance

CHICAGO @ NEW YORK | 04/28 | 7:30 PM EDT
NEW YORK -175
ANALYSIS: It's always a bit dangerous to wager on a team right after a long winning streak was just snapped as New York's was Monday, but the Knicks are clearly better than the Bulls, are at home (with fans) and will apparently welcome back key reserve Alec Burks from COVID protocols. Chicago burned me big in Miami on Monday, but that was mostly a fluke and the Bulls remain without Zach LaVine. They may not reach 100 points against that top-ranked New York defense and former Bulls coach Tom Thibodeau.

CINCINNATI @ L.A. DODGERS | 04/28 | 4:10 PM EDT
L.A. DODGERS -210
ANALYSIS: I went to bed last night with the Dodgers leading the Reds 5-3 fairly late in the game and figured I had won on L.A. at -1.5 on the runline. The Dodgers lost 6-5 and are on their first three-game skid since Aug. 29-31, 2019. I find it hard to imagine they are swept a series at home even though Cincinnati is solid enough. Reds starter Sonny Gray (0-1, 7.88 ERA) has not been sharp in two starts off back problems. L.A.'s Clayton Kershaw (3-2, 2.56) is 3-1 with a 1.38 ERA over his last four starts. I'm not taking the runline here even though it's tempting on L.A. at even money but will risk the big price of -210 on the moneyline. The Reds are 3-8 in their past 11 vs. lefties
__________________

RALPH MICHAELS

Game: (923) Detroit Tigers at (924) Chicago White Sox
Date/Time: Apr 28 2021 8:10 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 3%
Play: Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-105) C Rodon (LHP) Must Start

#924 3* Chicago White Sox w/ Rodon -1.5 runs (-105) Detroit 8:10 PM
The White Sox have their bats going hitting .302 the last 10 days while Detroit is batting .192. The Tigers now have to face Rodon who has thrown 19 iunnings and allowed 1 earned run with a 0.68 WHIP. Tigers also are 1-6 vs lefties and are LAST in SLG% vs southpaws. White Sox lost series opener to Tigers and bounce back strong tonight (White Sox 7-2 off a loss incl 2-0 at home).innings
Game: (37) St. Louis Blues at (38) Minnesota Wild
Date/Time: Apr 28 2021 7:08 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4%
Play: Minnesota Wild -150

#038 4% Minnesota -150 St Louis 7 PM
Minnesota not only comes in winning 7 straight after 4 straight road wins but they are also 13-0 as a HF since January 28th. The Blues are 4-12 their last 16 as an AD. Minnesota is 12-6 revenging a loss and in their trip tp St Louis on April 9th & 10th they lost 9-1 and 3-2!
__________________

The Sports Geek

MLB
White Sox -1.5 runs [-105]
Braves -127

NHL
Colorado +130 (BIG PLAY)
Toronto -155
Minnesota -140
Winnipeg +105

NBA
Knicks -4
Wizards +2
Hawks +9
Nuggets/Pelicans Under 231
__________________

Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
NBA ATS Big Plays 22-9 Last 31..

NBA
Clippers +4.5
Grizzlies -117 (Moneyline)
Heat/Spurs Over 213
Hornets/Celtics Under 217

All regular plays

MLB Big Plays 2-0 (+200)

MLB
Red Sox +230
Dodgers -200
Giants -145

All regular plays
__________________

Pickswise Sports

MLB 3* Best Bet - Cardinals/Phillies Over 8.5 [-115]

NBA 3* Best Bets
Trailblazers +2
Suns -4

NHL 3* Best Bets
Toronto Maple Leafs -155
Toronto Maple Leafs -1.5 goals [+170]
Edmonton/Winnipeg Over 6
__________________

Rockdeman Sports

(MLB Underdog of the Day) - Arizona Diamondbacks +138
__________________

Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
LA Clippers vs Phoenix Suns
TV: ESPN - Time: 10:10 p.m.

Best Bet - Los Angeles Clippers +4.5
__________________

Matt Blunt - Vegasinsider
NHL Big Plays 18-5 Last 23..

NHL
Colorado/Vegas Over 5.5
Ottawa/Vancouver Over 6
St Louis/Minnesota Under 5.5
__________________