Wednesday 5/26/21 thread for free handicapping service plays and expert predictions for NBA, MLB & NHL games.
Toby Maxtone-Smith - Vegasinsider Soccer Handicapper
2021 UEFA Europa League Final
Match: Villarreal vs Manchester United
Date: Wednesday May 26th, 2021
TV: Paramount+ - Time: 3:00 p.m.
Venue: Stadion Energa Gdansk
Location: Gdansk, Poland
2021 UEFA Europa League Final Best Bets
Manchester United -119
Under 2.5 goals [-130]
Both Teams to Score - NO - [-125]
__________________
Kevin Davis - BoogieDownPicks
MLB Big Plays 13-2 ytd...Cashed Phillies +116 yesterday..
MLB
Yankees/Blue Jays Under 9.5 [-110] - - - BIG PLAY
Orioles +185
__________________
Kevin Rogers
Vegasinsider NBA
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
TV: TNT - Time: 10:05 p.m.
Best Bet - Utah Jazz -8.5
Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: NBA TV - Time: 7:00 p.m.
Best Bet - Philadelphia 76ers -8
__________________
Pickswise Sports
UEFA Europa League Final
Villarreal vs Manchester United
Best Bet - 3* Over 2.5 goals [+100]
__________________
MLB-Martingale
2 units
Oakland Athletics – Seattle Mariners
Oakland -1
__________________
Stitches--NY Post. Lost (again) yesterday with the Nats. He's on a nice little run for us . Season record now 24-31.
Wednesday's play (20 units) is on the White Sox.
__________________
Mike Barner
NBA SPECIALIST
ATLANTA @ NEW YORK | 05/26 | 7:30 PM GMT
NEW YORK -2
ANALYSIS: The Knicks need a win badly after losing a heartbreaker in the final seconds of Game 1 at home. Julius Randle was awful on the offensive end, scoring 15 points on 6-for-23 shooting from the field. He shot 45.6 percent from the field during the regular season, so look for him to bounce back and lead the Knicks to a victory.
MEMPHIS @ UTAH | 05/26 | 10:00 PM GMT
MEMPHIS +9
ANALYSIS: The return of Donovan Mitchell (ankle) should provide a big boost for a Jazz team that doesn’t want to go on the road down 0-2 in this series. I think they win Wednesday's game with him back on the floor, but this is still a huge spread for a team that lost Game 1. Also, the Grizzlies are 15-8 ATS as road underdogs. Look for them to keep things fairly close.
__________________
Jeff Hochman
WEST COAST WISEGUY
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 05/26 | 6:30 PM GMT
PITTSBURGH -115
ANALYSIS: The Penguins dropped a tough one in double overtime on Monday, despite outshooting the Islanders 50-28, and are one loss away from being eliminated. Close-out games against talented skaters are tough. Pittsburgh is 12-3 when playing with one day of rest after a loss. I like the Penguins in this spot.
+860 12-4 IN LAST 16 NHL ML PICKS
__________________
Matt Severance
SEVERANCE PAYS
FLORIDA @ TAMPA BAY | 05/26 | 8:00 PM GMT
TAMPA BAY -150
ANALYSIS: Tampa Bay couldn't finish things off in Game 5 in South Florida, but I don't think the Bolts will miss another chance at home to move on Wednesday. They at least now have seen Florida rookie netminder Spencer Knight, who was excellent in Game 5. The Lightning have totaled 11 goals in their two home matchups in this series, albeit not vs. Knight. The Panthers are 3-7 in their past 10 as dogs.
__________________
Stephen Oh
DATA SCIENTIST
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 05/26 | 6:30 PM GMT
PITTSBURGH -110
ANALYSIS: Game 6 of this series Wednesday with the Islanders able to close it out at home up 3-2, but 62 percent of simulations have Sidney Crosby and the Penguins winning at pick'em to force a Game 7 back in Pittsburgh. The Pens are 8-3 in their past 11 road games.
ST. LOUIS @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/26 | 2:10 PM GMT
UNDER 8.5
ANALYSIS: Wednesday matinee from the South Side as these teams close out an interleague series. While St. Louis again adds the DH, 67 percent of model simulations have this game finishing Under 8.5 runs with a good pitching matchup between the Cards' John Gant (3-3, 2.04) and White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon (5-1, 1.27).
+67 18-11 LAST 29 NHL SIDES
__________________
JM SPORTS
Game: (543) Atlanta Hawks at (544) New York Knicks
Date/Time: May 26 2021 7:35 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 5 units
Play: New York Knicks -130
5 UNIT New York Knicks (-130) over Atlanta Hawks –
Madison Square Garden for the playoffs? Not something you have heard in the recent years, but I find it hard to imagine that a team as good as the Knicks have been, would go down 0-2 in one of the craziest atmospheres, a stadium that has missed seeing the NBA playoffs. The Knicks are 20-5 as a F in the L25, they are 7-1 in the L8 as a F off a LHF when the line is > -3, going 17-7 in the L24 off a L, which includes a 9-3 record as a F off a L TY. In those 12 games, the Knicks are outscoring opponents 112.8 - 97.8 (a +15 PPG differential), and I can’t imagine what that atmosphere is going to be like in the intensity of a game 1 L at home, and the importance of capitalizing on home court, in the L4Y they are 11-2 as a HF off a LH (5-0 in the L5 games). New York is also 16-3 @ home when the line is between 3 and -3, and are capitalizing on teams that allow 46%+ shooting, going 30-13 ATS. Atlanta on the other hand is 15-32 as a RD in the L47, they also are 6-13 ATS s/ 2007 off a W in the 1st round of the playoffs as an AD. The Hawks have also put up 90+ shot attempts in the L2 games, in the L2Y they have done that 17 times, and in the 3rd game following that stretch, the Hawks are 3-14 ATS.
Game: (911) San Francisco Giants at (912) Arizona Diamondbacks
Date/Time: May 26 2021 9:40 PM EDT
Betting Line Provider: Consensus Line
Play Rating: 4 units
Play: San Francisco Giants -135 J Cueto (RHP), M Kelly (RHP) Must Start
4 unit San Fransisco Giants (-135) over Arizona Diamondbacks –
San Fransisco has been one of the hottest teams in baseball as of late, and doing up against Arizona shouldn’t hurt that record. The Diamondbacks are 18-30 on the ML TY and they are #30 in opponent BA TY (.263). The Diamondbacks have also struggled as the D, they are 1-16 in the L17 games as a D, and they are getting outscored by 3.83 runs/game over that 17 game stretch (6.12 AA ; 2.29 AF)!! San Fransisco on the other hand is 5-0 in the L5 games, outscoring their opponents by 5.4 runs/game over that span (7.4 AF ; 2.0 AA). On the year the Giants are #6 in run differential (+1.00) and #4 in opponent runs/game (3.574).
__________________
Justin Perri
MODEL GUY
COLORADO @ N.Y. METS | 05/26 | 7:10 PM GMT
UNDER 6.5
ANALYSIS: The Mets have potentially the worst roster in baseball, and they might be facing the only team that can be expected to do worse on a given night in the Rockies. We all know of the Rockies' woes on the road by now, but what about the Mets at home? The Under is 13-2-2 this year at Citi Field, and none of the Mets' last four games have gone over six runs. With Marcus Stroman taking the mound in Queens tonight, I trust this game to stay Under. Book it.
BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA | 05/26 | 1:10 PM GMT
MINNESOTA -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Orioles are fading, and fading fast. They've lost nine of their last 10 games to fall to 17-31, rank near the bottom of the league in walk rate and weighted runs created, and are a good bet to lose to the Twins again on Wednesday. I'm also picking against Baltimore starter Jorge Lopez, who has allowed an expected slugging percentage above .600 on his fastball for the last three years. Lopez also ranks in the bottom one percent of Max Expected Velocity on hit balls. Let’s fade him and take Minnesota to run up the score. Play the run line.
__________________
SDQL Gurus
SERIOUS SCIENTISTS
L.A. DODGERS @ HOUSTON | 05/26 | 7:40 PM GMT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: The Astros are 6-0 OU (+3.92 rpg) as underdogs following a loss by five or more runs as underdogs. The Dodgers are 9-0 OU (+5.56 rpg) as road favorites after a road game in which they hit at least one home run.
TEXAS @ L.A. ANGELS | 05/26 | 4:07 PM GMT
OVER 8.5
ANALYSIS: The Rangers are 13-0 OU (+2.77 rpg) as road underdogs after they lost by five or more runs and it is before the All-Star break. The Angels are 7-0 OU (+2.86 rpg) in series finales as home favorites following a home game in which they issued at least five walks.
BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA | 05/26 | 1:10 PM GMT
MINNESOTA -190
ANALYSIS: The Twins are 7-0 as favorites when Michael Pineda starts after they lost in his last outing. The Orioles are 0-10 as 120-plus underdogs against a right-hander when they lost the last three times they faced a righty.
KANSAS CITY @ TAMPA BAY | 05/26 | 7:10 PM GMT
TAMPA BAY -210
ANALYSIS: The Rays are 10-0 as favorites in the second game of a series against a team that has won at least two straight and it is before the All-Star break. The Royals are 0-11 as 170-plus underdogs after a one-run win as road dogs and it is before the All-Star break.
ST. LOUIS @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/26 | 2:10 PM GMT
CHI. WHITE SOX -203
ANALYSIS: The White Sox are 19-0 as 135-plus favorites following a home game when their opponent’s starter has an ERA lower than 2.80 on the season and it is before the All-Star break. The Cardinals are 0-17 as road underdogs of more than 135 when playing a team that has a better record and it is not a series opener.
TORONTO @ N.Y. YANKEES | 05/26 | 7:05 PM GMT
N.Y. YANKEES -153
ANALYSIS: The Yankees are 17-0 in the second game of a home series when they allowed 12 or more hits in the opener. The Blue Jays are 0-13 as 140-plus underdogs in the second game of a series when they had at least 12 hits in the opener and it is before the All-Star break.
+1680 53-25-1 IN LAST 79 MLB PICKS
__________________
Football Jesus : NBA Jazz - pts
__________________
Scott Spreitzer
Red Sox -115 (5U)
Golden Knights -135 (5U)
Villarreal +350 (3U)
__________________
Shazman thank u for all you do it's fantastic, if by any chance u can add Paul leiner, and or Al Demarco crew ,much appreciated thanks again
Jonathan Willis
Vegasinsider NBA
Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers
TV: NBA TV - Time: 7:05 p.m.
Best Bet - Philadelphia 76ers -8
__________________
Vince Akins Spotsbook Breakers
MLB Big Plays 17-7 ytd [+1947]...Lost Yankees yesterday..
MLB
Yankees -140 - - - BIG PLAY
Angels -108
Mets -130
Braves/Red Sox Over 10.5 [-110]
__________________
Michael Crosson
Vegasinsider NBA
Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks
TV: TNT - Time: 7:35 p.m.
Best Bet - New York Knicks -130 (Moneyline)
NBA Player Prop Best Bet: Trae Young Over 25.5 points (-114)
__________________
IC
5 Golden Knights-135
__________________
Joe Williams & Thom Cunningham Vegasinsider NHL Team
NHL Big Plays Outstanding 36-12 ytd...Cashed Maple Leafs yesterday..
NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning -137 - - - BIG PLAY (Game of the Month)
NHL Regular Plays
NY Islanders -105
NY Islanders/Pittsburgh Under 5.5 [-135]
Tampa Bay/Florida Under 6 [-110]
Vegas/Minnesota Under 5.5 [-115]
__________________
Elite Sports Picks
L.A. Dodgers (Bauer) -135 over Houston (Garcia)
__________________
Insider Sports Report
4* New York -2 over Atlanta (NBA)
Range: -.5 to -4
3* N.Y. Mets (Stroman) -130 over Colorado (Marquez)
Range: -115 to -155
3* Memphis/Utah OVER 218 (NBA)
Range: 216 to 220
__________________
National Sports Service
4* Chicago Cubs (Williams)/Pittsburgh (Crowe) OVER 8.5
3* Cincinnati (Hoffman) +110 over Washington (Ross)
3* Washington +8 over Philadelphia (NBA)
__________________
Primetime Sports Picks
Only The Best Sports Picks Everyday!
MEMBER PICKS For 05/26/21
4 Unit --> San Diego (Paddack) -130 over Milwaukee (Houser)
3 Unit --> Washington/Philadelphia OVER 230.5 (NBA)
3 Unit --> L.A. Dodgers (Bauer)/Houston (Garcia) UNDER 8.5
__________________
Top Rank Sports Picks
Sports Handicapping At Its Best®
Marquee Picks® For 05/26/21
4★ New York -2 over Atlanta (NBA)
3★ Atlanta (Smyly) +100 over Boston (Piveta)
3★ Utah -8.5 over Memphis (NBA)
__________________
Shazman thank u for all you do it's fantastic, if by any chance u can add Paul leiner, and or Al Demarco crew ,much appreciated thanks again
I don't see Leiner or DeMarco much during baseball season but if I do I will always post them. I'm sure they will be back around for football.
Matt Severance
ST. LOUIS @ CHI. WHITE SOX | 05/26 | 2:10 PM EDT
ST. LOUIS +1.5
ANALYSIS: St. Louis hasn't been swept by an American League opponent in a three-game regular season series in four years and will have to beat White Sox ace Carlos Rodon (5-1, 1.27) to avoid that fate in this matinee (see news feed story). However, the Cards are 7-2 in their past nine day games and start underrated John Gant (3-3, 2.04). He has held every opponent this season to three runs or less and six hits or less and has given up just one homer. The White Sox are sitting one of the keys to their lineup in leadoff hitter and former batting champion Tim Anderson. Thus, we'll go Cards on the runline.
+890 49-32 IN LAST 81 MLB ATS PICKS
+102 5-3 IN LAST 8 STL ATS PICKS
+94 2-1 IN LAST 3 CHW ATS PICKS
12:26 PM
BALTIMORE @ MINNESOTA | 05/26 | 1:10 PM EDT
MINNESOTA -1.5
ANALYSIS: The Orioles are in a free-fall after a promising start and are missing a few regulars in the matinee finale due to injury. They start Jorge Lopez, who is 1-5 with a 6.00 ERA overall and 0-1 with a 10.43 ERA in two starts during the day. Minnesota has activated Michael Pineda (2-2, 2.79) off the injured list. The right-hander ranks seventh in the American League in WHIP (1.01) and 12th in opponent batting average (.204). The Twins also have DH Nelson Cruz in the lineup. A bruised wrist had kept him on the bench for the past six games except for an occasional pinch-hit role. Minnesota on the runline.
+890 49-32 IN LAST 81 MLB ATS PICKS
+545 5-0 IN LAST 5 MIN ATS PICKS
12:18 PM
PITTSBURGH @ N.Y. ISLANDERS | 05/26 | 6:30 PM EDT
N.Y. ISLANDERS -110
ANALYSIS: These teams are pretty darn equal and while home-ice advantage hasn't mattered much in this series so far, New York was spectacular at home during the regular season and has the hot goaltender in Ilya Sorokin, who owns a .951 save percentage in the series and has won all three starts. Tristan Jarry, meanwhile, has allowed at least three goals in each of his past three. New York clinches the series in front of the biggest home crowd of the season.
+2106 131-80 IN LAST 211 NHL ML PICKS
+355 10-5 IN LAST 15 NYI ML PICKS
+45 3-2 IN LAST 5 PIT ML PICKS
11:39 AM
__________________
Tim Wilkinson - Vegasinsider Totals Club
NBA
Knicks/Hawks Under 213
76ers/Wizards Over 229
Jazz/Grizzlies Under 219.5
__________________
The Sports Geek
MLB Big Plays 33-13 ytd...Lost with Cardinals yesterday..
MLB
Red Sox -136 - - - BIG PLAY
Yankees -140
Giants -112
Rays -198
Rays -1.5 runs [+100]
NBA
Jazz -9
76ers -8
76ers/Wizards Under 229.5
Soccer - UEFA Europa League Final
Manchester United -105
NHL
Tampa Bay -137 - - - - - NHL Game of the Month
Tampa Bay -1.5 goals [+165]
Vegas -124
New York Islanders +102
__________________
Dave Cokin
3% Texas Rangers (+100) - Dunning/Canning must start
3% Boston Red Sox (-135) - Pivetta/Smyly must start
__________________
The Winners Circle – Wednesday
MLB BASEBALL
Play Tampa Bay -205 over Kansas City (MLB)
Play Los Angeles Dodgers -125 over Houston (MLB)
=====
NHL HOCKEY
Play Pittsburgh -105 over New York Islanders (NHL)
Play Vegas -125 over Minnesota (NHL)
=====
NBA HOOPS
Play Memphis +8.5 over Utah (NBA)
Play Washington +8 over Philadelphia (NBA)
__________________
WWP
He is playing
Reds
Astros
Diamondbacks
So if fading play
Nationals
Dodgers
Giants
__________________
Johnny Capone's Smart Plays
Play each of these for SAME RISK amount!
TEXAS +104
PITT +125
TOR +138
MILWAUKEE +113
ARIZONA +106
*List Pitchers and lines will differ but you should be able to get close to these!
__________________
Kevin Dolan
5% - Utah Jazz -8.5
__________________
WUnderdog
NBA
Atlanta@New York 212.5 Over
__________________
Matt Severance
TEXAS @ L.A. ANGELS | 05/26 | 4:07 PM EDT
L.A. ANGELS +1.5
ANALYSIS: This isn't so much backing the Angels and their starter Griffin Canning (3-3, 5.56) but that Texas is an atrocious 10-22 against right-handed pitching. It's Dane Dunning (2-3, 3.74) for the Rangers and in his last start against the Angels, Dunning gave up four runs on six hits over five innings. That the Halos are very slight moneyline underdogs (that number has been bouncing back and forth) allows me to take them on the runline, which I will do. L.A. is 20-8 when scoring 4+ runs this season and 1-19 when scoring 3-or-fewer.
Jim Feist
MLB
3* #909 San Diego -123
__________________
Jack Winningham
NHL
TB
__________________