John Ryan
Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury
Play: Phoenix Mercury
Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Phoenix - AiS shows a 73% probability that Phoenix will win this game by 8 or more points. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 39-8 for 83% and has made 30.2 units since 1997. Play against road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games and is also a bad team sporting a winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season. Now, if you are impressed with this system and the 3* grading on Phoenix do yourself a favor and join me for a huge 7* WNBA Monster DOG that is backed by an 80% winning system against the MONEY LINE and also reinforced by 2 angles hitting 94%
Priceless Picks
1 Unit on Cleveland Indians +104
The Tribe has been struggling, but so has the Dodgers. I like the southpaw Lee to pitch a gem tonight to get the Indians in the win column. The Indians are 12-3 in Lee's last 15 interleague starts, 7-1 in Lee's last 8 road starts, 8-1 in Lee's last 9 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game, and 4-0 in Lee's last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Dodgers are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter, 0-5 in their last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter, and 3-14 in their last 17 vs. the American League Central. LA is also just 6-22 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. I expect the lefty Lee to give the Dodgers all kinds of trouble tonight.
Jeff Alexander Sports
1 Unit on Kansas City Royals -115
Kansas City has momentum on its side after sweeping its in-state rivals on the road. Now the Royals return home to take on the struggling Giants and I like their chances. The Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 overall, 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter, and 11-4 in their last 15 interleague home games. The Giants are 8-22 in their last 30 interleague games as an underdog and 3-14 in their last 17 interleague road games. They are 0-5 in their last 5 games as an underdog and 0-8 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. The Giants are 0-7 in Cain's last 7 interleague starts, 0-6 in Cain's last 6 Friday starts, and 3-13 in Cain's last 16 starts as a road underdog. We'll bet the Royals tonight.
Wunderdog
Baltimore at Milwaukee
Pick:Baltimore +129
The Birds are hot again having won 5 of 6 and 11 of their last 16. The Birds have won 2 of the 3 games started by Radhames Liz, who is yet to allow more than 4 hits in any game he has started, certainly capable of keeping the Birds in posiion to win. Jeff Suppan has provided many quality starts for the Brewers, but there is always the question of the bullpen, which has allowed 31 runs in his 14 starts, or more than 2 additional runs a game, as well as 11 blown saves. Think this game is a toss-up, so the value rides with the O's here
WNBA
Minnesota at Detroit
Pick: Detroit -8
Detroit is just one of two WNBA teams that remain unblemished at home. Tonight they will face a Minnesota team that is going through a bad stretch having dropped their last three. The Shock has not been challenged at home yet winning by a comfortable 11 points per game in their four played on familiar hardwood. They also have the memory of losing to the Lynx in Minnesota by 14, so this one will certainly have their attention. The Shock has depth as eight players on the roster are producing 5+ points. Not only have the Lynx dropped their last three, they have also dropped their last two road games, and barely escaped 0-11 Atlanta by four points. Revenge is a big motivator especially at home with the better team. The only shocker here would be if the Shock didn't come away with a double-digit win.
VicMonte
100* Royals
Lee Kostroski
Detroit Tigers @ San Diego Padres
PICK: Detroit Tigers
The Tigers are starting to live up to their potential winning ten of the last 12 games to make a charge in the Central standings. Pitching has been the key as the Tigers own a 3.34 ERA in the last ten games and the bullpen is starting to protect leads. San Diego is facing long travel after playing the last series in New York and the Padres have lost four consecutive games.
Greg Maddux has good numbers at home this season but the Padres have not produced a winning record in his starts this season, going 7-8. Maddux can no longer go deep into games and the San Diego bullpen has been a major problem this season, particularly of late with a 5.40 ERA in the last ten games.
Detroit rookie Eddie Bonine picked up a win in his first start last week even though he was hit fairly hard. He should benefit from pitching in this stadium and he may not need to pitch that well with the way the Tigers are hitting of late. Detroit is hitting .343 in the last ten games against right-handed pitching and Detroit has scored at least five runs in six consecutive games as they have dominated interleague action. The Padres are just 2-8 in the last ten home games against AL teams and San Diego should not be favored in this situation against a hot team.
Gamblers World
TIP OF THE DAY
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Boston Red Sox
Prediction: Boston Red Sox
The Boston Red Sox will be trying to extend a winning streak on Friday when they take on the St. Louis Cardinals at Fenway Park. The Cardinals will trot Kyle Lohse out to the mound in this one. Righthander Lohse has a 8-2 record and a 3.77 ERA this season. Lohse's opponent in this one will be Tim Wakefield. The Red Sox righthander has a 4.19 ERA to go along with a 4-4 record this season. Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 165-moneyline favorites versus the Cardinals, while the game's total is sitting at 9½. The Cardinals lost 8-7 to the Royals last time out at EVEN odds. The five runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9.5). Rick Ankiel hit a solo home run for the only Cardinals run. Brad Thompson suffered the loss, giving up two runs off five hits over five innings of work. J.D. Drew belted a three-run homer as the Red Sox defeated the Phillies 7-4 in the rubber match on Wednesday, as +125 road underdogs. The game's 11 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (9.5). Drew finished 4-for-5 at the plate with four RBIs for the Red Sox. Justin Masterson tossed five innings for the win, and Jonathan Papelbon threw a scoreless ninth inning for his 21st save. Current streak: St. Louis has lost 3 straight games. Boston has won 2 straight games. Team records: St. Louis: 42-32 SU Boston: 46-29 SU St. Louis most recently: When playing on Friday are 5-5 Before playing Boston are 5-5 After playing Kansas City are 4-6 After a loss are 5-5 Boston most recently: When playing on Friday are 8-2 Before playing St. Louis are 7-3 After playing Philadelphia are 8-2 After a win are 6-4 A few trends to consider: The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Boston St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston Boston is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing St. Louis The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against St. Louis Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Gina
New York Mets at Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies have won six of the last seven meetings against the Mets at Coors Field and will have their ace Aaron Cook (10-3, 3.29 ERA) on the hill tonight. The right-hander has won four straight decisions, including three starts and is 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA in seven career appearances, (five starts) versus the Mets. The Rockies have won five of Cooks last 6 starts at home. New York counters with John Maine (6-5, 3.87). The right-hander has lost three of his last four decisions and is 1-1 with a 2.63 ERA in two career starts versus Colorado.
Go with the hot Rockies at home. Colorado has won 11 of their last 15 games, eight of its last 11 at home.
Colorado Rockies -120
Frank Rosenthal
955 Jays-150
957 Cards Under 9.5
962 Yanks-145
Under 9
968 Braves Under 8.5
972 Twins-110
976 Padres-125
974 Kc Under 8.5
Locksmith Sports
1 Unit on Rockies -120
The Rockies are rolling! After a 3-game sweep of the Indians, I like them to stay hot at home against the Mets here. Cook has been brilliant for the Rocks all season long with a 10-3 mark and a 3.29 ERA. The Mets are just 4-20 against the money line after 3 or more consecutive road games this season while Colorado is 17-5 against the money line in home games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 over the last 2 seasons. Maine has a losing record on the road this season and has really struggled over his last 3 starts. Cook is a perfect 3-0 against the Mets in his career with a low 2.13 ERA. The Mets' road woes continue against Cook. Bet the Rockies .
JACK JONES
CUBS
We definitely like the Cubs to take one in the afternoon game today as the White Sox are 11-29 in road games vs. a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 or better over the last 2 seasons while the Cubs are 11-2 vs. a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season. The Cubs also play well against good teams, and teams that rely more on power than baserunning. The Cubs are 8-0 in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season this season and they are 15-3 in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
DUSTIN HAWKINS
TORONTO BLUEJAYS
The Blue Jays send the true ace to the mound looking for another complete game from him. Toronto will need to give him some run support to get the Win. The Pirates Zach Duke allows alot of hits and walks!! Look for the Blue Jays to have plenty of RBI chances.
Prediction Jays 6 Pirates 2
Ben Burns
New York Mets at Colorado Rockies
Prediction: Colorado Rockies
Maine is having a solid season. However, he wasn't all that sharp last time out, allowing five runs and taking the loss vs. Texas. The Mets are just 3-4 in his seven road starts. On the other hand, the Rockies are 11-4 in Cook's 15 starts, including 5-1 in his six here at Coors Field. In those six games, he has a stellar 2.56 ERA and 0.963 WHIP, averaging nearly eight innings per outing. The Rockies just swept the Indians and have now won five of their last six. Look for the defending NL Champs to carry that positive momentum back into National League play. Consider a play on COLORADO
Sapkowski 12-1 last 3 nights
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Scott Rickenbach
Marlins (RL) @ Athletics (RL)
PICK: Athletics (RL)
This is just a tremendous pitching mismatch and while we’re certainly not going to advise you to lay two to one odds with the A’s on the money line, we will tell you that there is solid line value with the A’s on the run line in this match-up. Simply by asking them to win by two or more, rather than just asking them to win the game, we can get a plus money return on our investment here. That is significant here because this one has blowout written all over it!
Mark Hendrickson get the start for the Marlins and, because he’s spent time in the American League in his career, he’s quite familiar with McAfee Coliseum. The fact is that Hendrickson would rather be elsewhere tonight. He’s 1-3 in five games (four starts) in Oakland where the A’s have hit .350 against him and he has an 8.61 ERA. The Marlins southpaw is certainly not in good form coming into this start either. He’s allowed 27 earned runs on 34 hits and 13 walks in his last 22 innings of work. As you can see, he’s allowing more than two base runners per inning during this rough stretch of five starts where he’s lasted an average of less than five innings per start!
With the A’s throwing Rich Harden tonight, this is simply a major mismatch. While Harden struggled in his first start when he came off the disabled list he has since been absolutely dominating. He’s allowed just 9 earned runs on only 25 hits in 38.2 innings of work. During this impressive stretch, Harden has struck out 47 batters. These ratios of strikeouts per inning pitched and strikeouts per hit allowed show how clearly dominant Harden has been since he got healthy. With the A’s off back to back losses where they scored just one run in each game, their offense will bounce back here. As for how the Marlins will fare, their two wins in three games at Seattle should be taken with a grain of salt. Seattle has been a miserable club recently. That’s why, with the pitching edge factored in, this one is a blowout in waiting. Play Oakland on the run line.