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(@mvbski)
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Jim Feist

LA Dodgers and SF Giants
Take Under

If you're fan of offense in baseball, don't watch this game. Both teams have struggled all season, with the Dodgers ranked 13th in the National League in runs scored, while the Giants are 14th. Both starting pitchers are on a roll, with LA's Derek Lowe sporting a 3.20 ERA his last three starts, while San Francisco lefty Jonathon Sanchez has a 2.08 his last three games. The Dodgers are on an 11-4 run under the total, highlighted (or lowlighted) by winning a 1-0 game despite getting no hit. San Fran is on a 10-5-1 run under the total. Don't look for much offense, Play the Dodgers/Giants under the total!

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 7:43 am
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Dave Cokin

TEX Rangers and BAL Orioles
Take TEX Rangers

Jeremy Guthrie is pitching some outstanding baseball for Baltimore. But the talented right hander hasn't been able to dent the win column on a regular basis thanks to unfortunate run support when he takes the mound. It's been the opposite for Rangers veteran Vicente Padilla, who's been almost unbeatable on the road regardless of how he throws. I'm going to go with the trends in this one and I'll go for the good sized dog price in the process with the Rangers.

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 7:44 am
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JEFF BENTON

Josh Beckett is a stud, we know this, and he's been pitching his tail off recently (1.64 ERA in his last three starts), but the Red Sox ace doesn't have much to show for his efforts. Boston last his two most recent starts (2-1 at home to Arizona; 3-2 at Houston); they're 1-3 in his last four outings; and they're only 8-7 in his 15 starts this season, including 4-5 on the road. So why are the struggling Sox such a big favorite in this one Mostly because New York rookie right-hander Darrell Rasner has come crashing back to earth the kid has gone four straight starts without a quality outings, and New York is 1-6 in his last seven starts.

However, Rasner wasn't that bad against the Mets on Sunday, giving up just two runs in five innings of a 3-1 loss. Also, Rasner has been dynamite at Yankee Stadium this year, going 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in four starts the only defeat being a 2-1 setback to the Royals. Throw in Beckett?s 5.87 career ERA against the Yankees (5.90 in five starts at the Stadium), and I'll look for the Bombers to bounce back from Thursday's ugly 7-0 loss to the BoSox.

3♦ N.Y. YANKEES

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:03 am
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JAKE TIMLIN

Friday selection is the Milwaukee Brewers -1 1/2 Runs.

Looking to erase their tough loser on Thursday I look for the Brewers to roll big time minus the Run Line today. After all thanks to being back home where they have been a big money maker posting a 25-13 season record as Milwaukee has won their last 6 at home it's the Brewers who hold all of the advantages today. You see what today comes down to is pitching where Milwaukee with Sheets who is 9-2 with a sub 3 ERA has a huge edge over the Pirates who counter with Gorzelanny who has been awful on the road this year going 1-5 with a road ERA of 8.63. Flat out Milwaukee is going to be on a mission to forget about their ninth inning collapse in the desert yesterday and due to that look for the Brewers to destroy the weak traveling Pirates.

All Milwaukee!

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:05 am
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TONY WESTON

Tonight it'll be another easy winner as the Baltimore Orioles will get over on the Texas Rangers.

Over their last 19 games the Orioles are a modest 11-8, but are 7-3 at home in that stretch. They're 8-3 their last 11 home games and are an impressive 24-13 at home this season. But the difference for Baltimore tonight will be starting pitcher Jeremy Guthrie, who is only 4-7 this season, but has an impressive 3.50 ERA.

Over Guthrie?s last six starts he's 2-1 with three no decisions and the Orioles are 4-2. He also has a 3.25 home ERA this season in eight starts in front of the home crowd.
Opposite Guthrie will be Rangers starting pitcher Vicente Padilla, who has allowed 18 earned runs in his last 31 innings of work as Texas is only 3-2 in that stretch.

Padilla has been giving up a lot of earned runs and a lot of home runs (eight in that five game stretch) and he?ll get lit up again tonight.

Pencil in Guthrie as your starting pitcher and take Baltimore at home.

3♦ ORIOLES

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:06 am
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Carlo Campanella

Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers

Pittsburgh heads to Milwaukee knwoing they're just 2-14 on the road this season. While you might be tempted to back them on Friday since they've won back-to-back games, forget it, as we find them at a horrible 9-20 after winning 2 of their last 3 games this year.

7* Play On Milwaukee

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:07 am
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John Ryan

San Diego Padres vs. Arizona D-Backs
Play: Arizona D-Backs

Ai Simulator 3* graded play on Arizona – Upon rare occasion my Ai Simulator produces a large favorite to play and this is certainly one of them. As always though, there is literally tons of data that reinforces the play and I will review some of these now. Haren is pitching extremely well and has not given up an ER in his last 2 starts spanning 14 IP and just 1 ER in his last 3 starts spanning 21 IP. He has gone 7 innings in 3 straight starts and 5 of his last 6. In the start where he did not go 7 innings he went 6 allowing 2 ER and 5 hits walking none and recording 5 K’s. His ERA is 2.84 with a WHIP of 0.967 for the season. SD is one of the worst NL offenses batting just 247 and scoring 3.7 RPG on the season. SD starter Baek is struggling to make it through 5 innings and has posted a 6.38 ERA in his last 3 starts and is winless on the season with a 0-4 mark. D is just 2-11 (-11.6 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game this season; 1-11 (-10.8 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better this season. SD has lost 10 of their last 11 games and facing Harne will be yet another loss based on the AiS projections.

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:09 am
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DUNKEL

Texas at Baltimore
The Rangers were pounded in New York on Wednesday (18-7), but look to take advantage of yesterday's day off as they come into the contest with an 8-4 record with the extra rest. Texas is the underdog pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored straight up by 1. Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120). Here are all of today's games.

FRIDAY, JULY 4

Game 951-952: Washington at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Bergmann) 13.846; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.339
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-150); Under

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Gorzelanny) 14.212; Milwaukee (Sheets) 16.060
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-190); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-190); Under

Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Lowe) 14.890; San Francisco (Sanchez) 16.589
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-105); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-105); Over

Game 957-958: NY Mets at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 15.318; Philadelphia (Happ) 16.582
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+130); Under

Game 959-960: Houston at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 13.578; Atlanta (Hudson) 14.669
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-175); 9
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-175); Over

Game 961-962: Florida at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Olsen) 13.947; Colorado (Reynolds) 14.618
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Over

Game 963-964: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Zambrano) 14.519; St. Louis (Looper) 15.136
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+120); Under

Game 965-966: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Baek) 14.543; Arizona (Haren) 13.783
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-205); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+187); Under

Game 967-968: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Beckett) 15.154; NY Yankees (Rasner) 15.494
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (+120); Over

Game 969-970: Detroit at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Rogers) 15.337; Seattle (Bedard) 16.064
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-125); Over

Game 971-972: Texas at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 15.365; Baltimore (Guthrie) 14.363
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+120); Over

Game 973-974: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 15.802; Tampa Bay (Jackson) 16.084
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-155); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Blanton) 14.981; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.433
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-155); Under

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Byrd) 14.116; Minnesota (Hernandez) 16.998
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 3; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-115); Over

Game 979-980: Toronto at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Burnett) 15.295; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.087
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+115); Under

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:17 am
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Jack Clayton

Blue Jays/Angels Over

KBWINS

Cincinnati

floridabookybusters

Oakland

JerseySteveWins

Minnesota

Paul Leiner

10* Giants -115

Mighty Quinn

Orioles
Indians

Matty O'shea

Red Sox Runline

Cappers Access

Red Sox
White Sox

The Scout

Giants

Glen Mcgrew

Rockies

Vegas Steamline

Tex/Balt Over

Joe Wiz

White Sox
Twins

Rocco Spacamuro

50 * Orioles -135

betbetwin

Orioles -135

Unionmanspicks

MINNESOTA -125

Bob Donahue

Royals
Astros

Mike Wynn

Twins

JOHN FINA

Tampa Bay -160

SHARP SPORTS ADVISORS

CARDINALS

ARMVIN SPORTS

CUBS
BLUE JAYS

HOT LOCK SPORTS

Indians/Twins Under 9.5

#1 SPORTS

TWINS - 115

RAZOR SHARP

FLORIDA/COLORADO OVER

PLATINUM PLAYS

RANGERS + 120

HUDDLE UP

Minnesota -125

ARTHUR RALPH

Mariners

BIG TIME SPORTS

BLUE JAYS/ANGELS OVER

SCOUT

San Francisco

TOTALS 4 U

FLORIDA/COLORADO OVER

VEGAS SPORTS PICS

Boston +135**

TONY MATHEWS

Twins -127

Insider Sports Report

L.A. Dodgers/San Francisco UNDER 8

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:24 am
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SPORTS KINGZ

DETROIT +110

TEXAS +120

MINNESOTA -130

DODGERS -105

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:38 am
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Players of America

Houston Astros vs. Atlanta Braves
The Play: Atlanta Braves -170.0
Star Value: 5* (50 Units)

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins
The Play: Cleveland Indians +115.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
The Play: Under 9.0
Star Value: 3* (30 Units)

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies
The Play: New York Mets +135.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)

Oakland Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
The Play: Oakland Athletics +145.0
Star Value: 1* (10 Units)

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:40 am
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ATS Lock Canadian

Montreal -1 4 units

Saskatchewan/Brit Col Over 51.5 4 units

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:40 am
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LUCKY LEPRECHAUN SPORTS

Boston -130 over NY YANKEES

The Red Sox are 31-13 in Becketts last 44 starts as a favorite, 17-7 in Becketts last 24 road starts and 16-5 in his last 21 starts with 4 days of rest, while the Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games as a home underdog and 1-6 in Rasners last 7 starts. THe yankees are dead in the water right now. This team has no heart left, to go along with all the distractions surrounding them. In came Boston yesterday with the Yanks having their hottest pitcher on the mound and all they could do was lose 7-0. Today the Yanks face Josh Beckett, who is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA overall, including a 3-4 mark with a 3.14 ERA on the road and a 2-1 mark with a 2.45 ERA in his last 6 starts. Josh is also 7-4 with a 4.74 ERA in his career vs the Yanks, including a sparkling 3-0 mark with 2.90 ERA in his last 3 starts. Darrel Rasner gets the Ball for the Yanks and after a 3-0 start with a 1.89 ERA in his first 3 games of the season, he has gone just 1-6 with a 5.68 ERA in his his last 7 starts. For the year he is 4-6 with a 4.42 ERA overall, while he has pitched better at home, with a 3-1 mark and a 2.08 ERA. Also Darrell has alllowed a .392 OPB and a 1.93 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Too many baserunners to give the Sox. The Boston offense scores just 4.4 rpg on the road, but they have hit .286 with a .381 OBP, while scoring 4.9 rpg in their last 7 games, plus they put 5.5 rpg on the board in day games, hitting .302 in the process. The Yanks put 18 runs on the board vs Texas a few days ago, but they have only put up 7 total runs in the 4 games before that one and the one game after. The Yanks score just 4.4 rpg in day games and 4 rpg in divisional games. The Yanks are free falling and a visit from the Sox with Beckett on the mound won't help matters here. Boston takes game 2 of this 4 game set.

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:49 am
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JB's Computer Picks

Tampa Bay Rays -160

Minnesota Twins -135

Arizona Diamondbacks -210

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:50 am
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Dustin Hawkins

Chicago Cubs vs. St Louis Cardinals
Play: Chicago Cubs

In one of the most storied rivalries in baseball history, we're taking the Chicago Cubs over the St. Louis Cardinals. Chicago has been one of the best hitting teams in the NL, and when they get behind Carlos Zambrano their odds of winning increase dramatically. The Cards have been scraping together wins all season, but Chicago's firepower may be too much for them to overcome on Friday night.

 
Posted : July 4, 2008 8:52 am
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