Yankee Capper
MLB
5 Units - Cincinnati Reds-RL (+115)
4 Units - Brewers/Pirates Over 9.5
3 Units - Toronto Blue Jays (-115)
3 Units - Chicago White Sox (+155)
NFL
5 Units - San Francisco 49ers -3
4 Units - Broncos/Cardials Over 37
NCAA Football
4 Units - SMU/Rice Over 70
3 Units - Temple -7
3Daily Winners
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox
Play: Over
The White Sox and Red Sox series should be a good one, starting with Javier Vazquez (10-11, 4.37, 1.281) taking on Daisuke Matsuzaka (15-2, 2.98, 1.379) for Boston in the opener. Both pitchers have been sharp of late, with both clubs also hitting. Vazquez and Chicago are 16-6 OVER when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last two seasons and the BoSox are 7-0 OVER in home games vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs a game on the season. Match those angles with this system: Play OVER on road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 with a hot starting pitcher like Vazquez, with WHIP 0.800 or less over his last three starts and the team has an on base percentage of .375 or better over their last 10 games. This system is sick 34-6, 85 percent since 2004, with average score being 12 total runs. Play OVER.
WINNERS EDGE
MLB
KC Royals + 170 ,3 units (Underdog game of month )
Seattle M's even , 1 unit
Houston Astros + 110 , 1 unit
CFB
Army + 7 , 2 units
Info Plays
3* on San Francisco Giants +166
Barry Zito is starting to show signs of why the Giants gave him a $126 million contract a couple years ago. The lefthander, who won the 2002 American League Cy Young with the Oakland Athletics, has posted a 4.21 ERA since June 25, going 6-4 in 11 starts. The Reds have lost 4 of their last 5 games, while the Giants have reeled off six wins in their last eight games overall. We’ll Play Against - Home favorites with a money line of -110 or higher (CINCINNATI) - off a one run loss versus a division rival, in a game involving two bad teams (38% to 46%). This is a 38-18 ML System hitting 67.9% since 1997 and gaining 31.5 Units in the process. Bet the Giants on the road.
INDIAN COWBOY COMP
Chicago +3.5
Three games on tap for the WNBA today, note that Washington beat this team by 7 on the road back on June 13th, now Washington plays them at home today, Chicago comes off an outright win at New York, they have revenge in this game as well, the spread has come down from 6 to +3.5 in many places, Washington though comes off a 22 point beat down to Conn at home, so they are obviously looking to rebound, if anything, I still think that Chicago has gotten steadily better and this could be another outright victory for them. Nothing against Tree Rollins, but at times, he is a pitiful coach.
Additional write-up:
It should come no surprise that I love taking underdogs that can win outright and Chicago is a prime example. They won at New York as 8 point dogs in which the line closed at +4.5 and it is no surprise that once this line opened at +6 it came down to +3.5, this is despite 65% mind you are favoring Washington and the line continues to go the other way, don't forget, Chicago is 6-2 ATS of late, and Washington has lost by 22 to Conn at home, 7 to NY at home and 32 to Detroit at home, I can see them losing this game outright and Chicago winning outright here.
Black Widow Sports
1* on Baltimore Orioles +157
Baltimore’s Ace in Jeremy Guthrie has what it takes to knock off the Rays and Scott Kazmir on the road tonight. Guthrie owns a 3.28 ERA this season and he’s coming off strong performances against the Red Sox and Yankees. The Orioles are 14-6 in games played on Friday this season. The Orioles are 12-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in road games after 5 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. There’s something about getting on the road for the first time in a long time that gets this team to play their best baseball. A change of scenery is precisely what they’ll get tonight as Baltimore tames the Rays in Tampa Friday. Take the Orioles on the Money Line.
ROOT
Chairman- Cardinals
Millionaire- Yankees
Seabass
Baseball
20 SFG
30 Balt/Tampa Under
30 Milw/Pitt Over
50 Atl/Wash Under
50 Clev
Stephen Nover
Atlanta Braves @ Washington Nationals
PICK: Washington Nationals
Laugh at the Washington Nationals and their starting pitcher, Odalis Perez, if you want. But realize this: The Nationals are 5-2 in their last seven games and Perez has a 2.54 home ERA this season.
Right now the Nationals are a dangerous foe because they are loose, have good spirit and the middle of their lineup now packs some punch and speed with a return to health of Elijah Dukes (two homers last night), Ryan Zimmerman and Lastings Milledge.
The Nationals are a big home 'dog to the Braves here. I'm not sure why. What is so great about the Braves right now? Their bullpen is terrible. Mark Kotsay just got traded and Casey Kotchman is on the restricted list.
There's not a whole left anymore except a hobbling Chipper Jones. This is reflected in Atlanta losing 13 of its last 17 games.
The Braves are going with Jorge Campillo. He hasn't been so hot the second time around the league as opponents figure him out. Campillo is 1-2 with a 7.04 ERA in his last four starts.
Mike Neri Guaranteed Selections
VERY STRONG LATE SERVICE COLLEGE FOOTBALL WINNER
Temple -7
Marc Lawrence
3* HOUSTON ASTROS
Robert Ferringo
5-Unit Play. Take Temple (-7) over Army
Note: This is our Gridiron Game of the Week.
This is a big-time revenge game for the Temple Owls. Temple lost 37-21 at home last season in a game in which they outgained the Black Knights by over 130 yards. The reason: two kick return scores and a fumble returned for a TD. Those are fluke plays and I don’t expect a repeat. What’s more, 22 starters return from that Owls team – that’s right: the entire first string on offense and defense – including eight three-year starters and a host of experienced backups. Army? Not so much. The Knights brought back just eight starters and are one of the more inexperienced teams in the land. They are starting a freshman quarterback and will be without their starting right tackle (Mike Lemming) and their starting left tackle is questionable (Jason Johnson). On top of that, Army is in the midst of reverting to an option-based attack this year. I think that will take some time to work through and going up against the MAC’s No. 1 total defense is not the team to do it against. Further, Army has some questions on special teams, where they will be breaking in two new kickers. It’s a small thing, but something that could hurt them in an early game like this.
Finally, Army is a woeful 11-21-1 ATS as a home dog over the last seven years. They are also just 2-9 SU in its last 11 home openers and just 5-24 SU vs. D-IA teams since 2002. Owls are 6-2 ATS against Independents and 4-1 in their last five games on turf. I see this one being a low-scoring affair (I lean ‘under’) but I don’t see the Knights moving the ball well enough to keep this one close. Look for somewhere in the 24-6 range.
2.5-Unit Play. Take Rice (-3.5) over SMU
This is going to be a recurring theme in our Week 1 picks: new coaches are 15-29 ATS in their first lined game with their new school in the last few years. June Jones may be able to rebuild SMU, but not in a day. Jones is fielding a young, inexperienced Mustangs team tonight as he heads to Houston, led by true freshman quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell. This Rice team mounted a furious comeback last year to win at SMU. They return 16 starters (including seven three-year starters), an experienced quarterback, and a second-team All-American wideout (Jarrett Dillard). Rice has won nine straight over the Mustangs at home (6-0 ATS run) and are 5-1 ATS in this series overall. They have the benefit of the home crowd, the Experience Factor, and the better skill position players. This is a short line against a team that is still trying to find its way in a new regime.
Matty O'Shea
Triple-Dime Bet
TAM / BAL Over 7.5
At first glance, you might think this game would go UNDER considering the two starting pitchers. However, both have struggled against the opposition. Tampa Bay's Scott Kazmir is 4-3 lifetime against the Orioles with a 4.30 ERA, and his opponent is hitting .277 against lefties this season. Meanwhile, Baltimore's Jeremy Guthrie is just 2-3 during his career against the Rays with a 4.43 ERA. Tampa is hitting .282 against righties in the last 10 games, and the OVER is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings at Tropicana Field. The OVER is also 27-9-1 in Baltimore's last 37 road games, so bet the OVER in a surprising result as my Triple Dime AL Total Play O' the Month.
Plus10Club
Ethan Law
Pick: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: SMU / Rice OVER 69.5
Sunday Selections
Pick: SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS
LT Profits
Pick: DENVER BRONCOS +3 -120
Mike Lineback
Today's Pick: RICE -3.5
Mike Rose
Pick: TEMPLE -7
Rocketman Sports
Pick: DENVER BRONCOS +3
Alex Smart
Pick: ARMY +7.5
Beat Your Bookie
100-LAA
50-Tampa Bay
50-Det
NCAA
100 ARMY
NFL
50-Denver