Black Widow Sports
1* on Indians/Royals Over 9.5
The OVER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between the Indians and Royals. These teams have combined for 13 or more runs in all three of those contests. Tonight’s meeting will be another high scoring affair with two below-average starting pitchers going in Anthony Reyes and Brandon Duckworth. Cleveland is 13-5 OVER (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. Kansas City is 119-75 OVER (+37.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. The OVER is 5-1 in Royals last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take the OVER 9.5 runs here.
Brian Hansen
Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers
These teams have played over the total in five of seven meetings this season and I look for another high scoring game this evening. Josh Beckett is scheduled to make his first start since August 17 in this game after he was placed on the disabled list for strained right elbow. Beckett had struggled before going on the disabled list as he pitched just 17 innings over his last three starts and Beckett was shelled in his last start as he gave up eight earned runs in just 2.1 innings. Beckett has started three times in his career versus the Rangers compiling a 4.67 ERA and 1.51WHIP in 17.1 innings. Scott Feldman toes the rubber for Texas in this one. Feldman has been shaky in his career versus the Red Sox compiling a 6.75 ERA and 1.71 WHIP. Feldman started against Boston once this season giving up six earned runs on 10 hits in just 2.2 innings. Look for the offices to dominate as these teams reach double digits for the sixth straight meeting and sail over the number.
Vegas Experts
Houston Astros at Colorado Rockies
As hot as the Astros are right now, they are a total bargain at this price. Winners of eight straight, they just swept the Cubs in Wrigley (something no other team had done this season), so being on the road is no problem. Houston has won 14 of Brian Moehler's 21 starts this season and should take advantage of a Rockies team that is just 8-18 if coming off a division loss as a favorite of $1.50 or higher.
Play on: Houston
Tony Matthews
ANGELS / WHITE SOX OVER 10
We expect to see a high-scoring game as the Los Angeles Angels face-off against the Chicago White Sox in Friday's MLB contest. The Los Angeles Angels will use starting pitcher Dustin Moseley. Dustin Moseley has struggled this season. In fact, Dustin Moseley has a 7.15 ERA on the season. We see Dustin Moseley pitching another bad game today. The Chicago White Sox will use starting pitcher Mark Buehrle. Mark Buehrle has also struggled this season. In fact, Mark Buehrle has a 4.12 ERA on the season. In addition, Mark Buehrle has a 7.41 ERA in his last 3 starts. We also see Mark Buehrle pitching another bad game today. The bottom line, we should see many runs scored today! Take the Los Angeles Angels/Chicago White Sox Over 10
Jeff Benton
CINCINNATI REDS
Could the heat of the pennant race be getting to the Cubbies? They’ve followed up a seven-game winning steak with a season-high five-game slide, all at Wrigley Field, where Lou Piniella’s boys have been virtually bulletproof all season. And although much has been made about injuries to the 1-2 punch of starters Carlos Zambrano and Rich Harden, the fact is it’s the Cubs’ offense that has gone in the tank. They’ve tallied a total of five runs in four of the five losses during this slump, and they were shutout twice by the Astros in the last three games. Tonight, it’s Bronson Arroyo’s turn to tame Chicago. Arroyo has stepped his game up recently, going 3-0 with a 1.57 ERA in his last three starts. In fact, he’s allowed two runs or fewer in five of his last six outings. That includes a 2-1 victory at Wrigley Field on Aug. 20, when the right-hander gave up just one run on three hits in seven innings. In fact, Cincinnati is 2-0 this year against the Cubs with Arroyo on the hill, and in his last 10 starts against Chicago, Arroyo has a 2.70 ERA with seven quality starts. Then there’s Cubs starter Ted Lilly. He’s 0-3 with a 6.32 ERA in three starts against Cincinnati. this season (all at home!), and the Cubs are 1-6 in his last even efforts against the Reds – all as a favorite! You get the picture – the Reds are a steal at this plus price tonight!
3♦ CINCINNATI REDS
Scott Delaney
CHICAGO CUBS
Triple-revenge for the fiery southpaw, and I am banking on Ted Lilly to exact revenge over the Reds and Bronson Arroyo in this one. Lilly has gone at least six innings in nine straight starts, so his durability is a bright spot during a time the team is in desperate need of a booster shot with the news of Carlos Zambrano. Besides, all three of this season’s losses to the Reds came at home, and Lilly has been much better on the highway, winning seven of 10 decisions in 15 starts on the highway. I know Arroyo has been lights out lately, but he’s given up 13 earned runs to the Cubs over his last four starts against them, and with that 4.97 ERA on the year, I’d say he’s most certainly hittable.
3♦ CHICAGO CUBS
Tony Weston
LA ANGELS
Consider that not only are the Angels one of the best road teams in all of baseball with a 42-26 record, but they come into tonight having gone 6-3 their last nine games and having gone 8-4 their last 12. is also 13-8 its last 21 games on the road, including 2-1 on this current roadie. On the flip side, the White Sox have struggled recently, going 2-5 their last seven games. And while Chicago is 9-4 its last 13 games at home, consider that six of those wins have come against bottom dwellers Seattle and Kansas City. In that stretch the White Sox have also played potential playoff teams Boston and Tampa and went a combined 3-4 against both. They’ll get a shot at another playoff team and get hammered, by an Angels team that’s 2-1 in Chicago this season. Don’t be scared off by Anaheim’s dog status and take the pup on the road.
3♦ LA ANGELS
Las Vegas Sports Advisors
NY Yankees -154 POD
NY Mets -136
Boston -130
SPORTS ADVISORS
COLLEGE FOOTBALL
Navy (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS) at Ball State (1-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Navy and Ball State eased into the season with blowout victories in their openers against undermanned teams, and now the two will square off under the lights at Ball State Stadium in Muncie, Ind.
Ball State opened the season eight days ago with an easy 48-14 victory over Northeastern in an unlined contest. QB Nate Davis threw for 280 yards and three touchdowns as the Cardinals racked up 487 yards of total offense, including 190 on the ground behind RB MiQuale Lewis (11 carries, 95 yards, one TD).
Navy, the top rushing team in the nation the last three seasons, appears well on its way to defending that title after rushing for 558 yards in Saturday’s 41-13 rout of Towson in a non-lined game. RB Shun White had for a school-record 348 rushing yards and three TDs in the victory on just 19 carries. White broke a 27-year Middies’ record by 50 rushing yards.
Navy won its final four games last season (2-2 ATS) to earn a berth in the Poinsettia Bowl, where the Midshipmen fell 35-32 to Utah, but covered as nine-point ‘dogs. Navy is 49-19 ATS in its last 68 road games, but otherwise the program is on ATS slides of 3-7 in non-conference games, 1-4 against the MAC and 0-4 in Friday kickoffs.
Ball State won four of its last six (3-2 ATS) to end the 2007 campaign and earn a spot in the International Bowl against Rutgers, where the Cardinals got destroyed in a 52-30, falling way short as 11-point underdogs. Despite that result, they are on ATS runs of 11-5 overall, 7-2 in non-conference games, 11-3 against teams with a winning record and 4-0 in September contests.
These teams met almost a year ago with Ball State getting a 34-31 overtime victory, covering as a seven-point road ‘dog. The teams combined for more than 1,100 total yards in the game.
The over is 8-3 in the Middies’ last 11 overall, 4-1 in their last five September games, 5-0 in their last five on the road and 5-1 in their last six against teams with a winning mark. For Ball State, the over is on streaks of 10-1 in September and 5-2 in non-conference contests, but the under is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last six lined games overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Philadelphia (76-64) at N.Y. Mets (79-61
The Phillies open a crucial three-game series against the Mets at Shea Stadium with Brett Myers (8-10, 4.40 ERA) on the hill opposite New York’s Michael Pelfrey (13-8, 3.66).
Philadelphia trails New York by three games in the N.L. East standings, but the Phillies have struggled against their division rivals this season, losing 10 of the 15 matchups to the Mets, including six of the last eight.
The Mets return home off a 6-2 road trip that included wins in each of their last four. They are on streaks of 37-17 overall, 20-7 at home, 19-7 against N.L. East rivals and 49-23 following an off day. Meanwhile, the Phillies are in the midst of a 10-game road trip that has them go 3-4 in the first seven games. However, Philly is on hot streaks of 5-2 coming off a loss, 5-1 following an off day and 17-8 on Friday.
Myers has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.78 ERA, and the Phillies have won six of his last seven outings. Myers has held all seven of those opponents to three runs or less. The veteran right-hander saw the Mets on July 23 and gave up three runs on three hits in five innings of a 6-3 loss, and for his career he is 8-6 with three saves and a 5.19 ERA in 24 games against New York.
Pelfrey is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his last three overall, including two complete games, and 8-5 with a 2.66 ERA in 15 starts at home. The Mets have won seven of his last 10 starts. Pelfrey has given up six runs on 15 hits in two starts (10 total innings) versus the Phillies this season, and the Mets have split the two games.
Philadelphia is just 4-13 in Myers’ last 17 road starts and 5-16 in his last 21 against the N.L. East, but 4-1 in his last five at Shea Stadium. Meanwhile, the Mets are 13-3 in Pelfrey’s last 16 outings overall, 8-1 in his last nine at home and 6-0 in his last six in a series opener.
For the Mets, the over is on streaks of 7-3-1 overall, 8-1-1 at home, 19-7-3 following an off day, 6-2-1 behind Pelfrey overall and 9-1-2 when he faces a team with a winning record. Conversely, the under is 6-0-1 in Myers’ last seven overall, 9-4 in his last 14 at Shea, 6-2-2 in his last 10 on the highway and 21-10-2 in the Phillies’ last 33 against winning teams..
ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. METS
Arizona (71-68) at L.A. Dodgers (70-70)
The Diamondbacks arrive in Los Angeles for a key three-game set between N.L. West rivals, and they’ll send Danny Haren (14-7, 3.24) to the mound to face the Dodgers’ Derek Lowe (11-11, 3.69).
Arizona leads Los Angeles by 1½ games in the standings, but the DBacks have dropped four of the last five to the Dodgers, including two of three in the desert last weekend. For the season series, Arizona leads 8-7, including splitting six games in Hollywood.
The DBacks rallied for a 4-3 walk-off victory Thursday over St. Louis to cap a 3-3 homestand. Meanwhile, the Dodgers have followed up an eight-game losing skid with a five-game winning streak. On Wednesday, L.A. completed a three-game sweep of the Padres with a 6-4 victory.
Los Angeles is 18-6 in its last 24 at home, including 7-2 in its last nine at home against right-handed starters, but the Dodgers are just 6-16 in their last 22 following an off day. Meanwhile the DBacks are stuck in slumps of 7-3 overall, 0-4 on the road and 1-5 versus the N.L. West.
Haren has been roughed up a bit lately, posting a 5.68 ERA in his last three games, allowing 12 runs and 30 hits in 19 innings. Arizona has lost three of his last five, including Saturday’s 6-2 setback to the Dodgers when he allowed five runs on 10 hits in six innings. Haren has faced the Dodgers four times this season and the D’Backs are 2-2, but in his only outing in Los Angeles, the right-hander allowed six runs on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings of an 8-3 defeat back on April 23.
Lowe is 2-1 with a 1.33 ERA in his last three starts and he’s 8-5 with a 2.64 ERA in front of the home fans, holding the opposition to a .246 batting average in Los Angeles. In his most recent start on Sunday, Lowe blanked Arizona on four hits in six innings of work en route to an 8-1 road victory. Los Angeles is 3-1 in his four starts against Arizona this season (seven runs allowed in 22 1/3 innings). For his career, Lowe is 5-7 with a 4.01 ERA in 16 starts against Arizona.
Arizona is 12-5 in Haren’s last 17 starts overall, 5-2 in his last seven versus N.L. West rivals and 4-1 in his last five on the highway. Los Angeles is 5-1 in Lowe’s last six against N.L. West foes, but just 3-8 in his last 11 against winning teams and 1-4 in his last five starts on Fridays.
The over is 6-2 in Haren’s last eight overall, 7-1 in Arizona’s last eight overall and 5-0 in the Snakes’ last five against N.L. West teams. The over is also 7-1 in the Dodgers’ last eight overall and 5-1 in their past six against N.L. West opposition. Finally, the last four series meetings between these clubs have hurdled the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
LT Profits
Kansas City Royals +135
The Kansas City Royals completed a three-game sweep of the Oakland Athletics by winning a doubleheader last night, while the Cleveland Indians cannot be too excited about this series after playing spoiler by taking two out of three games from the Chicago White Sox.
Royals starter Brandon Duckworth has done a nice job whenever called upon, as he has allowed exactly three runs in each of his two starts. Believe it or not, Duckworth has allowed three runs or less in eight of his last nine major league starts. The problem is that those starts have been spread across the last three years! That said, he has looked healthy in his two starts back and we see no reason why he cannot have continued success vs. an Indians team that has never faced him before.
Now Anthony Reyes has also pitched well in five starts this season, in fact allowing two earned runs or less on each occasion. However, Reyes is not exactly a youngster and he has never been able in maintain this kind of form over a prolonged period in the past. This, he actually looks overvalued here as he is a prime candidate to implode at any time.
Finally, the Kansas City bats have suddenly caught fire, as the Royals are batting .304 as a team while averaging 5.10 runs the last 10 games, and we look for them to scratch out enough runs off of Reyes to get this victory at a price.
Pick: Royals +135
Matt Fargo
New York Yankees at Seattle Mariners
Prediction: New York Yankees
The Yankees took two of three in Tampa Bay to keep their very slim playoff hopes alive. They have taken three of four games on this roadtrip thus far and have now won six of their last seven away from home. This is a huge road trip and one that they need to keep the momentum going. New York still has 13 games left against Chicago, Tampa Bay, Toronto and Boston so there is still hope to make a move in the Wild Card picture. New York is 6-0 against Seattle this season and is 8-0 in the last eight.
The Mariners were on a very solid run but dropped the final two games in Texas in their most recent series. Seattle has actually been playing better baseball on the road as it is 4-6 in its last 10 games and is a dismal 28-41 at home on the season, the worst home record in all of baseball. The pitching has picked things up of late but the season ERA sits at 4.65 which is 6th worst in the Majors. The Mariners are 3-11 in their last 14 games against teams with a winning record.
Any Pettitte looks to bounce back following consecutive dismal performances. He allowed six runs in each of his last two starts but that actually helps up out here. On three different occasions this season, Pettitte has posted back-to-back non-quality outings and all three times, he has followed that up with a quality start. He has posted a 2.53 ERA in those games and in his two starts against Seattle since coming back to New York, he has a 2.70 ERA. The Yankees are 17-8 in his last 25 road starts against a team with a losing record.
Seattle counters with Brandon Morrow who will be making his first ever Major League start. He has 40 appearances out of the bullpen this season and has a very solid 1.47 ERA to show for it but now things will be different. His longest outing this season was only two innings so stamina is a big concern with him tonight. He has faced the Yankees six times out of the pen and the results are not good as he has a 12.27 ERA and 3.27 WHIP covering just 3.2 innings. The Yankees get to him again tonight. Play New York Yankees 1.5 Units
Maddux Sports
Navy/Ball State Over 60
MIGHTY QUINN
Blue Jays
Armvin Sports
Pirates +106
MJP Sports
NAVY 6.5
PlayByPlayInc.
NAVY/BALL STATE Over 59
Value-Champ Sports
NAVY 7
Tony Diamond
NAVY 7
Pro View Picks
BALL STATE -7
Nanathan Armstrong
BALL STATE -6.5
PupsandChalk
PHILLIES/METS Under 8.5
DIME PLAYERS CLUB
BALL St -6.5
Cappers Access
Navy
Orioles
James Patrick Sports
Astros/Rockies Over
lasvegassportsadvisors
Milwaukee -1.5
Global Handicapping
Boston -1.5
Vegas Vet
Texas
Jack Clayton
Marlins
ARTHUR RALPH
SL Cards
Lance's Lock
Marlins
All Free Picks
Navy
Joe Wiz
Cardinals
Dodgers
Glen Mcgrew
SF Giants
floridabookybusters
Navy/Ball State Over 60.5
ELPsports
Oakland
Charlies Sports
Athletics
LPW Sports Forecast
Chicago White Sox
JB's Computer Picks
New York Mets -140
Boston Red Sox -140
New York Yankees -160
EZWINNERS
3 STAR: (960) ST. LOUIS (-$113) over Florida
(Listing Looper only)
(Risking $396 to win $300)
3 STAR: (966) LA DODGERS (-$123) over Arizona
(Listing Lowe only)
(Risking $369 to win $300)
=======================================================
BOOKIE PAYS YOU:
GET ON THE OVER in tonights matchup between Navy and Ball State
See their analysis below:
=========================================================
Today we WILL keep this winning streak alive, as we usually have our
winning streaks in sevens... So, five simply isn't enough. It's very simple...
GET ON THE OVER in tonights matchup between Navy and Ball State.
1) Navy put up 41pts. last weekend, while allowing over 300 passing yards...
that means lots of offense, and NO defense. 2) Ball State put up 48pts. last
week, while allowing 237passing yards to Northeastern... this also means
lots of offense, but absolutely NO defense. 3) Navy allowed 330 passing
yards to Towson University.............who the hell is that! In case I haven't
convinced you yet, just listen to this... 4) Navy has covered the OVER 5
straight times on the road, and 4 straight versus teams with a winning home
record. 5) Ball State has covered the OVER in 10 of their last 11 September
games. GET ON THE OVER in this one as I see these two covering the
posted 60pts. easily. *** Also... I will not be releasing a pick tomorrow, as
I'm heading to another BIG TIME college football game... Florida vs. Miami.
Thanks.
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P.S. Bookie Pays You is 46-10 over their last 56 releases including several four
day winning streaks, multiple three day winning streaks, and not to mention two
seven day winning streaks. Better yet, they've only lost back to back releases
twice throughout the last 56 days!