Marc Lawrence
Super Play
Play On: Boston Red Sox w/Beckett
The Red Sox meet the Rangers in Texas tonight when Josh Becket takes the hill for Boston. Not only is Beckett in terrific KW form with 6 walks and 38 strikeouts in his last six starts he is also 6-1 in his last seven road starts in September. Look for Texas to drop to 0-5 in their last five tries on Fridays here tonight.
Charlies Sports
Navy / Ball St Over 61 (500*)
Ball St -6½ (30*)
Mets -140 (20*)
St. Louis -115 (20*)
Giants -115 (10*)
Balitmore -125 (10*) free play
Black Magic Sports
1 Unit on New York Yankees -154
The Yankees will walk all over the Seattle Mariners Friday in basically a must-win situation for New York. The Mariners have not only been terrible all season, they can’t even win at home. Seattle is 28-41 in all home games this season where they are scoring only 4.0 runs/game. Andy Pettite pitches his best on the road as indicated by his 8-4 record away from home with a 3.67 ERA. The Yankees are a perfect 6-0 against the Mariners in 2008. Pettite has yielded 2 earned runs or less in each of his last three starts when facing Seattle. Seattle is 13-33 after a one run loss over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Cash in with the Yankees.
WILD BILL
Baltimore Orioles -110 (5 units)
Tampa Bay Rays +175 (5 units)
Phillie +125 (5 units)
Nationals +140 (5 units)
Padres +340 (5 units)
Twins -150 (5 units)
Angels +155 (5 units)
Florida Marlins +105 (5 units)
Astros +145 (5 units)
Arizona D-backs +115 (5 units)
New York Yankees -155 (5 units)
Pirates +110 (5 units)
Brewers-Padres Over 7 1/2 (5 units)
Twins-Tigers Under 8 (5 units)
Investment Playmakers
20* Friday College Pigskin Game of the Night
BALL STATE -6.5
Eddie Mush
6* Ball State -7 over Navy
Their Clients are on a 26-7 winning streak on football so far this year.
Remember, their website is a different type of sports handicapping. The team listed first is the client pick(what we should bet on). Eddie likes Navy, so we should bet the opposite and take Ball State. 😀
The Miller Group
4* Navy/Ball State Side Smash (18-9 run)
With their ultra-efficient option offense, the Midshipmen are never really out of a game, but tonight we feel it's only a matter of time before Ball State's experience wins out.
The Cardinals return 11 starters to an offense that averaged over 31 points per game on more than 430 total yards per game a year ago. Navy's weakness is it's pass defense. Their secondary is actually weaker than it was a year ago, as we saw in last week's game when they allowed nearly 400 passing yards against Division 1-AA Towson. Ball State QB Nate Davis should have a field day picking apart this beleaguered Middies secondary, and while Navy will have the answers, a couple of stops by the Cardinals defense will allow them to pull away.
Ball State went on the road and won this game by three points last year, so it stands to reason that they should be able to improve on that performance at home here in 2008. Navy had a better team last year, lead by the electric Reggie Campbell. Meanwhile, Ball State should reach its peak this season. We'll lay the points in this spot. Take Ball State (4*).
4* Navy/Ball State Over (18-9 run)
When these two teams matched up last season, they put 65 points on the scoreboard in a 34-31 Ball State upset victory. Does anything change this time around? We don't believe so.
Ball State returns 11 offensive starters, including QB Nate Davis and RB Miquale Lewis. This unit averaged over 31 points per game a year ago, and picked up right where it left off in this year's opener, scoring 48 points on close to 500 total yards of offense.
There are a few new faces in the Navy offense, but most of the key pieces, minus Reggie Campbell, are back. They didn't miss a beat in their opener, putting 41 points on the board while racking up over 600 yards of total offense. Ball State is terrible against the run, and that should allow the Midshipmen to move the ball at will this evening.
The problem for Navy is that they can't defend the pass. There just isn't much talent in their secondary, and that spells trouble against Nate Davis and this pass-first Ball State offense. We should see points on the board on just about every drive from both teams tonight. Don't be shocked if this one gets into the 70s before it's all said and done. Take the over (4*).
NSA
20* Navy -7
Oscarxena Sports
Navy/Ball State Over 60 -1.15 (3 Unit Play)
Navy QB Enhada is still listed as out for this game but even without him last week Navy racked up 558 yards on the ground and sure it was against Towson but those are some big rushing numbers. Last year Navy rushed for 528 yards against Ball State so I see no reason why that should not happen here again tonight. The clock will run obviously but when you are gashing big yardage scores will happen. Ball State meanwhile counters with a pass happy attack that has everyone returning pretty much at the skill positions and Navy has one of the worst pass defenses in the country as even Towson was able to throw for 330 yards against them. I actually like Navy also in this game as they are always a dangerous dog but I really think we will see points tonight and I recommend this one Over the total.
Joseph D'Amico
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Tampa Bay Rays
Today's Free Winner is the Tampa Bay Devil Ray's over the Toronto Blue Jay's. Sportsfans,this is what I don't get. The Devil Ray's have the best record in baseball at 85-53. They have a very good pitcher on the mound in Sonnanstine. They beat the Yankee's yesterday 7-5. But yet they are a HUGE 'dog today. Here are some quick facts on this matchup. Tampa Bay is 9-3 in their last 12 road games,50-16 theri last 66 games on field turf,and are 7-0 their last 7 road games versus a right-handed pitcher. The Blue Jay's are 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games. The Devil Rays start Sonnanstine. He is 6-3 on the road with a solid 4.35 ERA. In the right-hander's 12.0 innings pitched this season against Toronto,he is 2-0. Toronto starts Halladay today. He is 7-4 at home with a 2.86 ERA. In his 28.0 innings pitched vs. Tampa Bay this season,the right-hander is 1-3 with an ERA of 4.82. The D-Ray's are a respectable 32-32 n the road. I know Toronto has won 5 staright but they were against the Twin's and Yankee's. Tampa Bay has won 5 of 7 versus the Yankee's and the Oriole's. In their 15 meetings this season,T.B. has won 11 games including 2 in a row and 4 of the last 5 over Toronto. There is a reason why the Devi lRay's are 12 1/2 games ahead of the last place Blue Jay's. Take the price and make your money.
3Daily Winners
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Play: Toronto Blue Jays
Play On home favorites, like Toronto with a money line of -175 to -250 with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), after a win by four runs or more. This simple system is 24-4, 85.7 percent the last three years. Blue Jays with Halladay fly away from Tampa Bay.
Plus10Club
Ethan Law
Pick: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Opposite Action Plays
Pick: BALL ST. -6.5
Sunday Selections
Pick: CLEVELAND INDIANS
LT Profits
Pick: CINCINNATI REDS
Mike Lineback
Pick: L. A. DODGERS
Mike Rose
Pick: A's / Orioles OVER 9.5
Alex Smart
Pick: Navy / Ball St. OVER 60
Black Widow Sports
1* on Indians/Royals Over 9.5
The OVER is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between the Indians and Royals. These teams have combined for 13 or more runs in all three of those contests. Tonight’s meeting will be another high scoring affair with two below-average starting pitchers going in Anthony Reyes and Brandon Duckworth. Cleveland is 13-5 OVER (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season this season. Kansas City is 119-75 OVER (+37.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997. The OVER is 5-1 in Royals last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Take the OVER 9.5 runs here.
Yankee Capper
3 Units - Pittsburgh Pirates (+105)
2 Units - San Diego Padres (+320)
Cajun-Sports
2 STAR SELECTION
Navy +7 over BALL STATE
The will host the Midshipmen on Friday with both teams coming off easy season-opening victories over 1-AA foes.
The Ken Niumatalolo got off to a terrific start, as the new Navy head coach saw his team dismantle the Towson Tigers, 41-13, while Ball State destroyed Northeastern, 48-14. These two teams squared off last season and the Cardinals grabbed a thrilling, 34-31, OT victory on the road.
The Midshipmen triple option opened the season with an outstanding performance over Towson, racking up a whopping 602 total yards. Shun White was in mid-season form for Navy, as the running back rumbled for an eye-popping 348 yards and three touchdowns. Quarterback Jarod Bryant added 75 rushing yards and one touchdown in the win, and also threw for 44 more yards to go along with a scoring strike to Bobby Doyle.
The Ball State offense was clicking on all cylinders in the team's opening win over Northeastern, as they tallied 487 total yards en route to a 34-point win. Quarterback Nate Davis was the star of the show, completing an outstanding 21-of-24 passes for 290 yards and three touchdowns.
While we usually don’t put much stock into a win over a 1-AA opponent, we have learned to play ON a team with a new head coach off a non-lined win.
With new head coaches, oddsmakers will likely take a “wait and see” attitude. A new coach can use a non-lined game against an inferior opponent to get some quality work in against a live opponent and build some confidence with a dominating win. Even with an easy win, the wagering public is likely to ignore or dismiss it, due to the level of competition. This means the line will not be adjusted against the team with the new coach, providing his team with line value.
Such is the case here. While the Middies may have changed captains, this ship is still sailing in the same direction, as not much has changed with the schemes. The Navy option appears to be as devastating as ever.
We also find the Midshipmen in good shape here according to our numbers, as they are 6-0 ATS (+14.4 ppg) on the road when not favored by 21+ points before another road game, and 12-0 ATS (+12.3 ppg) off a non-lined game when not a road favorite of 11+ points.
Revenge will also be on their minds here, and we note that non-Saturday road underdogs of more than 6 points, playing with revenge, are 4-0 ATS all-time, absolutely crushing the spread by 19 ppg!
We also have an NCAA Football POWER SYSTEM active here, which states: Play AGAINST a non-conference favorite of 3-15 points off a non-lined home contest vs. an opponent off a non-lined Saturday SU win in its last game.
With both teams coming off non-lined games, the non-conference favorites at the right price have been the wrong side, as they are 0-9 ATS, failing to cover the number by more than 17 ppg on average.
We expect another razor-thin game between these 2 as the Middies stay on the heels of the Cardinals and keep it close to the end for at least the spread victory.
PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: BALL STATE 35 NAVY 34