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June Good - Bad Pitchers Report

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June Good - Bad Pitchers Report
By Marc Lawrence
Playbook.com

If it’s June, school is out. And so too will be the NBA, sometime soon - we think. It’s also the time of the season when MLB pitchers look to ace exams in hopes of keeping their teams in the pennant chase. To get a better feel on what to expect, let’s examine their results from exams in the past.

Listed below are hurlers that have enjoyed a two-to-one or better success ratio in team starts the last three seasons during the month of June. On the flip side, we’ve also listed pitchers that struggle in June team starts, winning 33% percent or less of their efforts. To qualify pitchers must have made a minimum of 10 starts, with at least one start each June over the last three years. I’ll be back next month with July’s Good Month Pitchers. Until then, enjoy…

GOOD MONTH PITCHERS:

Buehrle, Mark • 11-5

Never a household name, Buehrle has long been one of the most consistent pitchers in baseball. In his first season in the National League, the veteran left-hander has his lowest ERA (3.26) and WHIP (1.12) since the 2005 season with the White Sox and will be one of the main cogs if Miami is to be a playoff team.

Hanson, Tommy • 12-2

Typically, Hanson warms up like the Georgia weather in June. Like all the Atlanta pitchers in late May, Hanson has not been nearly as effective with his location, which is why his hits per innings pitched and walks are up. If the 25-year old is going to turn it around, it would seem to be this month. Amazingly, Hanson has an ERA well over six at Turner Field.

Lee, Cliff • 13-4

Lee went on the DL with a strained left oblique in the latter stages of April and has shown signs of returning to prior form. His strikeouts-to walk ratios are running at 5 to 1, giving the impression if he isn’t quite at peak performance, he will be soon. With Roy Halladay gone for six to eight weeks, Lee will have to be the man along with Cole Hamels if Philadelphia is going to be a true contender in the NL East and just not a team in total decline.

Lester, Jon • 10-5

The Boston lefty is on these pages month after month, but has not been the same this season. Normally, Lester averages 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings, but this year he’s down alarmingly to 6.0. Scouts have noticed a great dependency on the fastball, using fewer cutters and curves. In the ultra-competitive AL East, the Red Sox need a steady Lester if they are to be more than a .500 club.

Price, David • 11-5

Tampa Bay’s ace is fulfilling their desires, seldom having an off start and able to work thru games when he doesn’t have his best stuff. Make certain to see if the price is right on Price at home, since he is sporting a Kate Upton-sized bikini ERA of 1.19 at Tropicana Field.

Sabathia, CC • 12-4

It’s a short list of pitchers who have been as consistently good as the Yankees Sabathia, who is 84 games over .500 for his career. What makes C.C. (Carsten Charles in case you were wondering) so effective is his knowledge of pitching, able to work side to side and up and down to keep hitters off-balance. The big man continues to overwhelm left-handed hitters, who are batting just over the Mendoza Line against him.

Verlander, Justin • 12-4

Baseball’s most overpowering pitcher does not have as many wins this season compared to last, but this only because of a weaker bullpen and fickle offense. Thru the first two months of the season, Verlander is near or ahead of last year’s Cy Young and MVP numbers in ERA, batting average allowed and WHIP. He’s a possible no-hitter each time out, but not the sure bet of year ago with a weaker overall team performance.

Weaver, Jered • 10-5

The one player who has been doing his job for Los Angeles is Weaver, who started the season with a 6-1 record, 2.61 ERA and had teams hitting just .195 against him. Weaver is on the DL until at least June 12 after injuring his back in his last outing against the Yankees. He will be sorely missed. (No pun intended)

BAD MONTH PITCHERS:

Gonzalez, Gio • 4-10

At the present rate, Gonzalez will soon be in the upper group of this article. After putting together a 31-21 record in his last two years in Oakland with an earned run average in the low three’s, the Hialeah, Fla. born lefty has found a home in a Nationals uniform. Gonzalez is averaging well over a strikeout per inning with opposing batters hitting a feeble .156 against him. Though he’s only walked 25 batters in 61+ innings, as ESPN’s Orel Hershiser pointed out, Gonzalez is effectively wild, in three zones (high, medium and low) that hitters never feel comfortable at the plate.

Guthrie, Mark • 5-10

Colorado’s minor league system has to be barren of pitching prospects having Guthrie and Jamie Moyer in the starting rotation. (The latter is a fluid situation) Why the Rockies signed Guthrie is a mystery since it was proven for years, hurlers that pitch to contact will be lit up at Coors Field. The park might also be getting to Guthrie’s nerves since he’s a career almost 2-to-1 K’s to walks pitcher and he is nearly even in this category in 2012, trying to be too fine.

Hamels, Cole • 5-11

Based on this year’s results, Hamels might not be a good Play Against pitcher in June like in the past. In the final year of his contract on a team that might be descending, the Phillies port-sider has put it all together with his baffling array of pitches. Besides a plus fastball, Hamels off-speed stuff has been unhittable, giving reason why he has a 1.80 ERA in night games. Let’s see if he can overcome what has been his toughest month.

Volstad, Chris • 4-13

The Chicago Cubs sent Volstad down after beginning 0-6 with a 7.42 ERA. Unless he finds himself, there is little reason for the Cubs to bring him back to the Windy City since he is winless in his past 19 starts.

Blackburn, Nick • 5-11

The Minnesota right-hander went on the shelf May 17 after a left quad strain. It probably was a blessing since his ERA of 8.38 in eight starts had manager Ron Gardenhire reaching for the TUMS before games, not just during. Blackburn’s frighteningly low strikeouts-to-innings pitched numbers could be hidden when the Twins could hit, but now, not so much. His next rehab assignment is scheduled for June 3, where a further determination of his status will be forecast.

 
Posted : May 30, 2012 9:23 pm
(@buxton)
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thx for this, good stuff.

 
Posted : May 31, 2012 7:32 pm
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Your welcome Mike

 
Posted : June 1, 2012 6:51 pm
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Top 5 Worst pitchers to bet on the road
By Jason Logan
Covers.com

Forty-nine-year-old pitcher Jamie Moyer was designated for assignment by the Colorado Rockies, then officially released Sunday after the veteran hurler opened the season 2-5 with a 5.70 ERA over 10 appearances.

Moyer burned Rockies bettors for -6.38 units, with -5.38 of that damage coming in five road starts. He suffered four of his five losses away from Coors Field and lugged an ERA north of 8.00 when toeing the opposing rubber.

Finding a solid road pitcher is a great way to get maximum value out of MLB moneylines. But wagering on these five arms away from home can leave MLB bettors with a nasty case of road rash.

Not only are these big-name hurlers who demand a hefty price tag, but some of their clubs are among the chalkiest public faves on the MLB board.

Mark Buehrle, Miami Marlins (2-4, 3.66 ERA on the road, -3.59 units)

The Marlins’ big offseason addition has been steady in South Beach but shaky away from the sun and surf. Buerhrle hasn’t been terrible on the road, losing most games due to a lack of run support. But he was just knocked around for four runs on 11 hits in Friday’s 6-4 loss at Philadelphia. The Marlins' ace is hovering in the red when it comes to units, thanks to his road record.

Matt Garza, Chicago Cubs (1-4, 6.10 ERA on the road, -4.13 units)

Life away from the Friendly Confines hasn’t been friendly to the Cubs' ace. Garza is down 4.73 units on the year, suffering the bulk of those losses away from Wrigley Field. In fact, the right-hander has lost his last three starts, all coming on the road. Following rough outings in Houston and Pittsburgh, Garza looked sharper, allowing two runs over six innings in San Francisco. However, Chicago mustered only one run of support.

Francisco Liriano, Minnesota Twins (0-4, 8.84 ERA on the road, -4.19 units)

Liriano is back in the Twins’ rotation after being demoted to the bullpen following a horrid start to the year. The southpaw looked good in his most recent outing – six shutout innings Wednesday – but that start came inside Target Field. Liriano will make his first road start Tuesday in Kansas City since a four-run, 5 1-3 inning-effort in Los Angeles on May 1.

Hiroki Kuroda, New York Yankees (1-4, 4.17 ERA on the road, -4.81 units)

Anytime a New York pitcher stumbles, those issues are especially expensive thanks to the ever-present Yankee Tax. Those juiced up moneylines aren’t as bad on the road, where Kuroda has performed well in recent outings but hasn’t received the support of the Bronx Bombers’ big bats. He’s given up just two runs on 11 total hits over 15 innings in his last two road starts. The Yankees are providing just 3.19 runs in support during Kuroda’s road starts, compared to the 9.00 in Ivan Nova’s (4-0) and 8.44 in C.C. Sabathia’s away outings (4-1).

Joe Blanton, Philadelphia Phillies (1-4, 6.30 ERA on the road, -0.78 units)

Blanton has posted a respectable 3-1 record and 3.90 ERA inside Citizens Bank Park but has left Phillies bettors saying “Oh brother” away from the City of Brotherly Love. The righty has been lit up in his last two road outings. He was smacked for seven runs on 10 hits in just 4 1-3 innings in St. Louis, followed by a six-run, nine-hit blood bath that lasted five innings in New York Tuesday. Blanton has been serving up watermelons, giving up 11 home runs over his last five games, including two dingers in Sunday’s home game against Miami.

 
Posted : June 3, 2012 9:14 pm
(@buxton)
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Red Sox SP Jon Lester is 14-0 with a 2.47 ERA in 19 career starts against the Baltimore Orioles, with the team winning 16 of those contests.

 
Posted : June 5, 2012 2:30 pm
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