Rays -110
Little time for a write up today but Penny's near .300 BAA when traveling is the opposite of the home loving Price..2.67 ERA...
Rays -130
Thursday
Once again rushed for time...
Washington scoring 5.6 RPG last 11...well above their season average 4.5
7 of 9 over when these two square off
Fl/Wash o8.5 -115
Sunday
Moyer has terrorized the Fish over the past 4 years life time 13-2...tough going against those stats...I am however keeping an eye on this one as the Philly money continues to come in... considering his 1 win last 3 at Citizens versus the Fish along with his obvious home field problems at this stage of his career...4-6 7.16 ERA..... 77 hits...60 IP
Sunday
Moyer has terrorized the Fish over the past 4 years life time 13-2...tough going against those stats...I am however keeping an eye on this one as the Philly money continues to come in... considering his 1 win last 3 at Citizens versus the Fish along with his obvious home field problems at this stage of his career...4-6 7.16 ERA..... 77 hits...60 IP
Florida -107
A few notes as I work through the rotation
The hyped pitching staff of the Rays allowing 5.6 RPG last 10...well above their season average of 4.5
Last 10 these two teams (Tampa/LAA) are #1 and #5 in scoring
Price on the road combined with Santana at home!!
50 IP...83 hits......30 walks......
Keeping an eye on Houston now at +114 Oswalt stated Friday after a work out he was ready to go that weekend..but as a precaution they held him until tonight...
More later
Houston/Florida....
Hampton and West have trouble finding the plate..combining for a 2+ WHIP last 6 starts... 38 walks...56 K's in 80 IP... Both teams scoring well above their season average past 10..
This series has been dominated by overs..would expect more of the same...
o10 -105 (Greek)
Toronto/Tampa
No surprise the Rays dropping 5 of 6 as their west coast woes has been well documented..Tropicana is a different story.... Facing Halladay is always a major concern however his success at the Trop has been limited..
2-2 over the past 3 years...26 IP allowing 29 hits with a 290+ BAA..
Shields has allowed the Jays one run in his past 2 home starts...past 3 years 34 IP...30 hits....Rays have taken care of business in their division while they Jays have not...
Rays-115
Worth a couple of $$'s
Roy Jones Jr vs Jeff Lacy
155 Jones Jr to win by KO, TKO or Dq +180
156 **Jones Jr to win by Decision *-110
157 Lacy to win by KO, TKO or Dq +450
158 Lacy to win by Decision +1600
159 Draw +3500
Not sure how this rates a PPV..but it would take Google several minutes to find the last time Jones KO'd an opponent...The slower Lacy's best chance is to catch Jones cold with a big shot...doubt that happens
Shopping as some outs haven't posted this yet but
Jones X Decision -110 or better
If Gorzelanny can stop any club Pitt should top the list...scoring less than 3 RPG last 12...Meanwhile Duke has allowed more than 4 runs in only 3 of 22 starts...16 of those 3 or less.... Over players are tagging this..could reach 10 before game time...
Keeping a close eye on this one....
If Gorzelanny can stop any club Pitt should top the list...scoring less than 3 RPG last 12...Meanwhile Duke has allowed more than 4 runs in only 3 of 22 starts...16 of those 3 or less.... Over players are tagging this..could reach 10 before game time...
Keeping a close eye on this one....
u10.5
LAA/Cleveland
Sowers has been impressive 3 of past 4 but now he faces the most effective offense in baseball that just happens to destroy LHP....
26-11...plus scoring 8 RPG over their past 11...
Weaver hasn't lived up to expectations esp when traveling allowing 6+ RPG ...69 hits in 61 IP with 31 walks...
They failed to cover the number last night despite combining for 25 hits, doubt that will be the case this evening
LAA/Cleveland o10 -115
Saturday
We picked on LAA's Santana quite a bit over the past year..but happened to catch his last 2 starts.. and the talk of the booth was his velocity being back near mid 90 versus the 87/88 in his first 8/9 starts...LAA has one of if not the best day record in MLB 26-9..now off a loss last night..
LAA -123
The Alabama
Canadian invader MILWAUKEE APPEAL (Milwaukee Brew) has been a top performer in her two campaigns to date and has to be viewed as a win threat in this field. Third in the Queen's Plate S. and a close second in the Prince of Wales S. (her dirt debut) in her last pair, the filly is adept at handling a route of ground and has more bottom to her than anything in the field. We are very concerned, however, about the fact that the three-time stakes heroine is drawn wide in here and could be giving ground to her foes with every stride. The switch to jockey Velazquez should be a good one.
Interesting filly here..could be a really good one and hopefully a nice tote...
Wednesday
Even when considering Greinke's sterling performance last night Cleveland over the past 10 is hitting nearly 40 points above their season average..scoring a half run above season average when traveling. (5.7 on the road)
7 of Huff's last 9 have topped this number plus allowing .355 BA in day games..Hochevar has fared better .276 BAA overall but .308 post all star
along with .296 during the day. Would expect 2-3 innings work from both pens which would only enhance our chances of topping the 9.5
KC pen 6.12 ERA at home and Indians 5.76 when traveling...
Will shop the o9.5 -105 at BJ for a bit as I look for better